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AHR999X Index

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AHR999X Index - A Tool to Watch Bitcoin Tops
The AHR999X Index is designed as an extension of the well-known AHR999 Index, specifically to help identify Bitcoin's market tops. This index combines two critical components:

200-Day Fixed Investment Cost:
The average cost if you invested a fixed amount into Bitcoin every day over the last 200 days (using a geometric mean).
Growth Estimate:
A price estimate derived from a logarithmic regression model based on Bitcoin's age.

The formula for AHR999X is:

AHR999X = (Bitcoin Price ÷ 200-Day Fixed Investment Cost) × (Bitcoin Price ÷ Growth Estimate) × 3
How to Interpret AHR999X
Above 8: Accumulation Zone – Bitcoin is historically undervalued.
Between 0.45 and 8: Neutral Zone – Bitcoin is within a reasonable price range.
Below 0.45: Exit Zone – Historically signals market tops and high-risk areas.

A Cycle Observation
One important point to note:
The bottom value of AHR999X increases with every Bitcoin market cycle.
This reflects Bitcoin's long-term price appreciation and diminishing volatility over time.

發行說明

This update reflects Bitcoin's long-term price appreciation and diminishing volatility over time.

發行說明

This update reflects Bitcoin's long-term price appreciation and diminishing volatility over time.