Fed Cuts (ZQ) - Clear Signal (0-100)

Description:

0–100 “cuts signal” for how much markets expect the Fed to cut rates over the next
~12 months.

Colors at a glance:

0–33 = Calm (blue): little/no cuts priced.

33–66 = Watch (amber): cuts meaningfully priced.

66–100 = Act (red): substantial cuts priced / accelerating.

Key cues to watch:

Crosses up through 33 → “Watch”: prep reallocations; tighten risk; line up entries.

Crosses up through 66 → “Act”: tilt toward cut-beneficiaries; be careful with rate-sensitive cyclicals.

Falls back below 66: urgency cooling—scale back aggressive tilts.

Falls back below 33: back to baseline—return to neutral playbook.

Fast jumps (few days): rapid repricing—expect headline sensitivity.

Best use: Pair with my Risk mood and Labor Softness indicator.
Strong agreement = higher-conviction moves.

Symbols (once): Near = ZQ1!; Far ≈ ZQ13! (or same month next year). Adjust smoothing if it looks jumpy.