MCPZ - Meme Coin Price Z-Score [Da_Prof]

3 天前

Meme Coin Price Z-score (MCPZ). Investor preference for meme coin trading may signal irrational exuberance in the crypto market. If a large spike in meme coin price is observed, a top may be near. Similarly, if a long price depression is observed, versus historical prices, that generally corresponds to investor apathy, leading to higher prices. The MEME.C symbol allows us to evaluate the sentiment of meme coin traders. Paired with the Meme Coin Volume (MCV) and Meme Coin Gains (MCG) indicators, the MCPZ helps to identify tops and bottoms in the overall meme coin market. The MCPZ indicator helps identify potential mania phases, which may signal nearing of a top and apathy phases, which may signal nearing a bottom. A moving average of the Z-score is used to smooth the data and help visualize changes in trend. In back testing, I found a 10-day sma of the MCPZ works well to signal tops and bottoms when extreme values of this indicator are reached. The MCPZ seems to spend a large amount of time near the low trigger line and short periods fast increase into mania phases.

Meme coins were not traded heavily prior to 2020, but the indicator still picks a couple of tops prior to 2020. Be aware that the meme coin space also increased massively in 2020, so mania phases may not spike quite as high moving forward and the indicator may need adjusting to catch tops. It is recommended to pair this indicator with the MCG and MCV indicators to create an overall picture.

The indicator grabs data from the MEME.C symbol on the daily such that it can be viewed on other symbols.

Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no claims as to its accuracy in forecasting future trend changes of memes or any other asset.

Hope this is helpful to you.

--Da_Prof

3 天前

發行說明

Slight update for the top trigger line.