This momentum and trend-following strategy captures the majority of any trending move, and works well on high timeframes.
It uses an equal-period EMA and SMA crossover to detect trend acceleration/deceleration, since an EMA places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data.
This version is optimized for longs, and designed to cut your losses quickly and let your winners run.
To reduce noise and optimize entries, we combined this with an overall trend bias for further confluence.
How it works:
Signals are determined by the crossover of an EMA and SMA of the same length, e.g. EMA-50 and SMA-50.
The overall trend bias is determined using a slower SMA golden/death cross, e.g. SMA-50 and SMA-100.
The signal is stronger when it occurs in confluence with the overall trend bias, e.g. when EMA-50 crosses over SMA-50, while above the SMA-100. This is analogous to only opening long positions in a bull market.
Signal description:
Trend Buy: EMA crosses above SMA, and overall trend bias is bullish. Buying is in confluence with the overall trend bias.
Risky Buy: EMA crosses above SMA, and overall trend bias is bearish. Buying is early, more risky, and not in confluence with the overall trend bias.
Late Buy: SMA crosses above BIAS_SLOW. This gives further confirmation of bullish trend, but signal comes later.
Sell: EMA crosses under SMA.
Strategy entry and exit conditions:
This version enters a Long when "TREND BUY" is signalled.
This version has Sell/Shorts disabled because UP ONLY.
Long entry: Strategy enters Long when EMA is above SMA, while overall trend bias is bullish.