This is a profitable strategy script I created to teach my students how to automate their scripts using 3rd party APIs (more info available in my profile link at the bottom of this page).
What Is This?
This strategy is called the "Follow The Bear" strategy.
It's a forex trading strategy designed for one purpose and one purpose only: to take advantage of a recurring pattern on EURUSD's 1-Hour chart during the European market open.
The basic explanation is this:
During the European open we want to see a rally followed by a swing high shooting star / reversal pinbar candle. This typically means that traders buying EURUSD during the European/London open are now trapped long, and as price begins to retrace they are forced to sell, fueling a short-term retracement.
This strategy takes advantage of that pattern by aggressively selling short with a tight stop-loss above the pinbar candle and a conservative target.
There are many ways to trade this pattern, but this script represents my personal method for trading it.
It is not 100% accurate (no strategy is), but it does have a considerably high win rate over the past 6+ years considering its simplicity and I've been trading it for several months and can attest to its edge over the markets (at least through the Oanda data feed which is what I use).
The strategy rules are this:
Market: EURUSD
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Direction: Short Only
Timezone: 6AM-10AM GMT
Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday
Entry: Close of Pinbar Setup
Stop: 2 pips above signal candle
Target: 1:1
Risk: Up to you (backtest first! I use 1%)
The rule for the pinbar/shooting star candle pattern is that the candle must both open and close in the lower 50% of the bar's total size.
Automation
This script is already prepared to be auto-traded through a 3rd-party API that was created to relay TradingView alerts to your broker to execute and manage trades.
Sorry for the lack of information - due to TradingView's house rules I cannot go into any more detail here, but if you're interested in automating this script there is more info available in the resources offered under my profile link at the bottom of this page.
Disclaimer
The material and the resources offered here are for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and only execute trades based on your own personal judgement.
Trading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency, investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate.
The leveraged nature of forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
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- - Updated to Pine v5 - Added Backtester Display table - Tidied up settings menu a little bit