BTC D-Collector

BTC D-Collector — Daily BTC Macro Distribution & Profit-Taking Signal System

Overview
BTC D-Collector is a purpose-built macro-level distribution detection and profit-taking tool designed for Bitcoin traders operating on daily charts. Its primary objective is to identify high-probability conditions for partial or full exits during extended uptrends, combining on-chain market metrics, long-term moving averages, and multi-layer momentum exhaustion filters. This approach helps traders time distributions in mature bull cycles while avoiding premature selling.

What It Does
BTC D-Collector analyzes Bitcoin price action and key metrics across four core dimensions:
1. On-Chain Market Valuation
Integrates external data feeds such as realized market capitalization and aggregate trading volume to compute derived valuation bands. These valuations highlight historically stretched price conditions relative to fundamental usage.
2. Long-Term Momentum & Trend Exhaustion using MACD, StochRSI, RSI and EMAs
Calculates multiple time-adaptive moving averages and dynamic oscillator signals to detect overbought conditions. These moving averages adjust their lengths automatically based on timeframe granularity, ensuring alignment with daily chart structures.
3. NUPL-Based Profitability Framework
Incorporates a normalized measure of unrealized profit and loss (NUPL) to estimate whether aggregate holders are in extreme profit territory, signaling increased risk of distribution phases.
4. Progressive Profit-Taking Logic
Includes a structured mechanism for incremental scaling out of positions. As price multiplies from the most recent significant low, a sequence of partial sell signals is triggered to lock in gains methodically.

How It Works
A signal requires a specific combination of confirmations:
1. Market Restart Signal
When the tool detects renewed bullish conditions (e.g., recovery in the long-term moving average structure), the system resets all partial sell counters and reinitializes the entry baseline.
2. Math AI Distribution Signal
Triggers when a crossover of adaptive moving averages suggests a macro distribution phase is initiating.
3. SELL Signal, Solid Distribution Signal
Activated if multiple conditions converge: high on-chain profitability readings, stretched valuation metrics, sustained overbought oscillator levels, and price trading above all major long-term moving averages.
4. Orange and/or Red Arrow, Risky Distribution Signal
A more aggressive early exit indication, appearing when the market is overextended but some filters are less aligned. These signals are optional and meant for conservative profit-taking.
5. SELL Signal with X on it, Step Distribution Sequence
As price increases by predefined multiples relative to the last confirmed entry, the indicator issues progressive scale-out labels, marking partial profit-taking levels at each multiple.
When any of these signals are confirmed, visual labels are plotted on the chart, and alerts are generated. The system remains inactive if conditions do not meet strict alignment criteria.

How To Use It
1. Confirm Context
Always review higher timeframe charts (weekly, monthly) to assess where Bitcoin is in its broader market cycle. BTC D-Collector is optimized for mature uptrend distribution, not for identifying bottoms.
2. Act According to Signal Type
-- Math AI & Solid Distribution Signals: Consider partial or full profit-taking.
-- Risky Distribution Signals: Optional early profit locks for cautious traders.
-- Step Distribution Labels: Use as incremental exit points to scale out positions progressively as price advances.
3. Integrate With Your Strategy
Combine this indicator’s outputs with your trading system’s risk management rules. Define position sizing and exit criteria in advance.

Why It Is Unique
1. On-Chain + Technical Alignment
Blends on-chain market cap valuation, profitability metrics, and classical price action—rarely combined in a single TradingView tool.
2. Adaptive Time-Based Logic
Moving averages and calculations dynamically adjust to the chart timeframe for consistent sensitivity across historical and current data.
3. Structured Profit-Taking Sequences
Provides a disciplined approach to gradually reduce exposure as price accelerates, avoiding emotional exits.
4. BTC Daily Focus
Optimized exclusively for BTC/USD and BTC/USDT pairs on daily charts, ensuring clarity and relevance for macro cycle traders.

Apply Risk Management
This indicator is not a standalone trading system. Always combine signals with a comprehensive trading plan, position sizing rules, and stop-loss management. Carefully evaluate whether each alert fits your risk tolerance and portfolio objectives.

Timeframe Selection
Designed exclusively for daily charts. Use on other timeframes is not recommended and may yield invalid signals.

Best Suited For
Swing traders, position traders, and long-term BTC investors looking for structured tools to guide profit-taking during sustained bull markets.

Important Notes
Signals generated by BTC D-Collector are intended to assist trading decisions and do not constitute investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and apply prudent risk management.

License
This indicator was developed by the ProphetAlgoAI team. Use is subject to a private, invite-only TradingView license. Redistribution or use outside TradingView is strictly prohibited without explicit permission.