INVITE-ONLY SCRIPT
已更新 Probability Of Expiring Cone
This script attempts to give forecasts over the range of the closed price based on the exponentially weighted volatility.
Overall, with the assumption of normal distribution of log return, which might not always hold true, it calculates the approximate/ estimated probability that the current candles will close within the plotted shape. One, two, and three sigma will give the probability of around 68%, 95% and 99% respectively.
This can be used to give you a better sense of what is likely with the current level of volatility, thus assist in risk management and position sizing.
May you be on the right side of the trade.
Overall, with the assumption of normal distribution of log return, which might not always hold true, it calculates the approximate/ estimated probability that the current candles will close within the plotted shape. One, two, and three sigma will give the probability of around 68%, 95% and 99% respectively.
This can be used to give you a better sense of what is likely with the current level of volatility, thus assist in risk management and position sizing.
May you be on the right side of the trade.
發行說明
Migration to Pine V5發行說明
Important Updates:- Add the option to allow the cone to scale with drifts in returns, making it directionally biased
- Add the option to customize the exact numeric probability value
- Increase from 32 forecast series to 64.
- Replace with EWMA Volatility Model with an approximation of GARCH.
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僅限邀請腳本
僅作者批准的使用者才能訪問此腳本。您需要申請並獲得使用許可，通常需在付款後才能取得。更多詳情，請依照作者以下的指示操作，或直接聯絡QallianceTech。
TradingView不建議在未完全信任作者並了解其運作方式的情況下購買或使用腳本。您也可以在我們的社群腳本中找到免費的開源替代方案。
作者的說明
Send me a direct message for life-time access request
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。