ETF Builder & Backtest System [TradeDots]Create, analyze, and monitor your own custom “ETF-like” portfolio directly on TradingView. This script merges up to 10 different assets with user-defined weightings into a single composite chart, allowing you to see how your personalized portfolio would have performed historically. It is an original tool designed to help traders and investors quickly gauge risk and return profiles without leaving the TradingView platform.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Custom Portfolio Construction
Multiple Assets : Combine up to 10 different stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, or other symbols.
User-Defined Weights : Allocate each asset a percentage weight (e.g., 15% in AAPL, 10% in MSFT, etc.).
Single Composite Value : The script calculates a weighted “ETF-style” price, effectively simulating a merged portfolio curve on your chart.
2. Performance Tracking & Return Analysis
Automatic History Capture : The indicator records each asset’s starting price when it first appears in your chosen date range.
Rolling Updates : As time progresses, all asset prices are continually evaluated and the portfolio value is updated in real time.
Buy & Hold Returns : See how each asset—and the overall portfolio—performed from the “start” date to the most recent bar.
Annualized Return : Automatically calculates CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) to help visualize performance over varying timescales.
3. Table & Visual Output
Performance Table : A comprehensive table displays individual asset returns, annualized returns, and portfolio totals.
Normalized Chart Plot : The composite ETF value is scaled to 100 at the start date, making it easy to compare relative growth or decline.
Optional Time Filter : You can define a specific date range (Start/End Dates) to focus on a particular period or to limit historical data.
⚙️ KEY FEATURES
1. Flexible Asset Selection
Choose any symbols from multiple asset classes. The script will only run calculations when data is available—no need to worry about missing quotes.
2. Dynamic Table Reporting
Start Price for each asset
Percentage Weight in the portfolio
Total Return (%) and Annualized Return (%)
3. Simple Backtesting Logic
This script takes a straightforward Buy & Hold perspective. Once the start date is reached, the portfolio remains static until the end date, so you can quickly assess hypothetical growth.
4. Plot Customization
Toggle the main “ETF” plot on/off.
Alter the visual style for tables and text.
Adjust the time filter to limit or extend your performance measurement window.
🚀 HOW TO USE IT
1. Add the Script
Search for “ETF Builder & Backtest System ” in the Indicators & Strategies tab or manually add it to your chart after saving it in your Pine Editor.
2. Configure Inputs
Enable Time Filter : Choose whether to restrict the analysis to a particular date range.
Start & End Date : Define the period you want to measure performance over (e.g., from 2019-12-31 to 2025-01-01).
Assets & Weights : Enter each symbol and specify a percentage weight (up to 10 assets).
Display Options : Pick where you want the Table to appear and choose background/text colors.
3. Interpret the Table & Plots
Asset Rows : Each asset’s ticker, weighting, start price, and performance metrics.
ETF Total Row : Summarizes total weighting, composite starting value, and overall returns.
Normalized Plot : Tracks growth/decline of the combined portfolio, starting at 100 on the chart.
4. Refine Your Strategy
Compare how different weights or a new mix of assets would have performed over the same period.
Assess if certain assets contribute disproportionately to your returns or volatility.
Use the results to guide allocations in your real trading or paper trading accounts.
❗️LIMITATIONS
1. Buy & Hold Only
This script does not handle rebalancing or partial divestments. Once the portfolio starts, weights remain fixed throughout the chosen timeframe.
2. No Reinvestment Tracking
Dividends or other distributions are not factored into performance.
3. Data Availability
If historical data for a particular asset is unavailable on TradingView, related results may display as “N/A.”
4. Market Regimes & Volatility
Past performance does not guarantee similar future behavior. Markets can change rapidly, which may render historical backtests less predictive over time.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading and investing carry significant risk and can result in financial loss. The “ETF Builder & Backtest System ” is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Always conduct your own research.
Use proper risk management and position sizing.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This script is an original creation by TradeDots, published under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Use this indicator as part of a broader trading or investment approach—consider fundamental and technical factors, overall market context, and personal risk tolerance. No trading tool can assure profits; exercise caution and responsibility in all financial decisions.
Backtest
*Auto Backtest & Optimize EngineFull-featured Engine for Automatic Backtesting and parameter optimization. Allows you to test millions of different combinations of stop-loss and take profit parameters, including on any connected indicators.
⭕️ Key Futures
Quickly identify the optimal parameters for your strategy.
Automatically generate and test thousands of parameter combinations.
A simple Genetic Algorithm for result selection.
Saves time on manual testing of multiple parameters.
Detailed analysis, sorting, filtering and statistics of results.
Detailed control panel with many tooltips.
Display of key metrics: Profit, Win Rate, etc..
Comprehensive Strategy Score calculation.
In-depth analysis of the performance of different types of stop-losses.
Possibility to use to calculate the best Stop-Take parameters for your position.
Ability to test your own functions and signals.
Customizable visualization of results.
Flexible Stop-Loss Settings:
• Auto ━ Allows you to test all types of Stop Losses at once(listed below).
• S.VOLATY ━ Static stop based on volatility (Fixed, ATR, STDEV).
• Trailing ━ Classic trailing stop following the price.
• Fast Trail ━ Accelerated trailing stop that reacts faster to price movements.
• Volatility ━ Dynamic stop based on volatility indicators.
• Chandelier ━ Stop based on price extremes.
• Activator ━ Dynamic stop based on SAR.
• MA ━ Stop based on moving averages (9 different types).
• SAR ━ Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse).
Advanced Take-Profit Options:
• R:R: Risk/Reward ━ sets TP based on SL size.
• T.VOLATY ━ Calculation based on volatility indicators (Fixed, ATR, STDEV).
Testing Modes:
• Stops ━ Cyclical stop-loss testing
• Pivot Point Example ━ Example of using pivot points
• External Example ━ Built-in example how test functions with different parameters
• External Signal ━ Using external signals
⭕️ Usage
━ First Steps:
When opening, select any point on the chart. It will not affect anything until you turn on Manual Start mode (more on this below).
The chart will immediately show the best results of the default Auto mode. You can switch Part's to try to find even better results in the table.
Now you can display any result from the table on the chart by entering its ID in the settings.
Repeat steps 3-4 until you determine which type of Stop Loss you like best. Then set it in the settings instead of Auto mode.
* Example: I flipped through 14 parts before I liked the first result and entered its ID so I could visually evaluate it on the chart.
Then select the stop loss type, choose it in place of Auto mode and repeat steps 3-4 or immediately follow the recommendations of the algorithm.
Now the Genetic Algorithm at the bottom right will prompt you to enter the Parameters you need to search for and select even better results.
Parameters must be entered All at once before they are updated. Enter recommendations strictly in fields with the same names.
Repeat steps 5-6 until there are approximately 10 Part's left or as you like. And after that, easily pour through the remaining Parts and select the best parameters.
━ Example of the finished result.
━ Example of use with Takes
You can also test at the same time along with Take Profit. In this example, I simply enabled Risk/Reward mode and immediately specified in the TP field Maximum RR, Minimum RR and Step. So in this example I can test (3-1) / 0.1 = 20 Takes of different sizes. There are additional tips in the settings.
━
* Soon you will start to understand how the system works and things will become much easier.
* If something doesn't work, just reset the engine settings and start over again.
* Use the tips I have left in the settings and on the Panel.
━ Details:
Sort ━ Sorting results by Score, Profit, Trades, etc..
Filter ━ Filtring results by Score, Profit, Trades, etc..
Trade Type ━ Ability to disable Long\Short but only from statistics.
BackWin ━ Backtest Window Number of Candle the script can test.
Manual Start ━ Enabling it will allow you to call a Stop from a selected point. which you selected when you started the engine.
* If you have a real open position then this mode can help to save good Stop\Take for it.
1 - 9 Сheckboxs ━ Allow you to disable any stop from Auto mode.
Ex Source - Allow you to test Stops/Takes from connected indicators.
Connection guide:
//@version=6
indicator("My script")
rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)
buy = not na(rsi) and ta.crossover (rsi, 40) // OS = 40
sell = not na(rsi) and ta.crossunder(rsi, 60) // OB = 60
Signal = buy ? +1 : sell ? -1 : 0
plot(Signal, "🔌Connector🔌", display = display.none)
* Format the signal for your indicator in a similar style and then select it in Ex Source.
⭕️ How it Works
Hypothesis of Uniform Distribution of Rare Elements After Mixing.
'This hypothesis states that if an array of N elements contains K valid elements, then after mixing, these valid elements will be approximately uniformly distributed.'
'This means that in a random sample of k elements, the proportion of valid elements should closely match their proportion in the original array, with some random variation.'
'According to the central limit theorem, repeated sampling will result in an average count of valid elements following a normal distribution.'
'This supports the assumption that the valid elements are evenly spread across the array.'
'To test this hypothesis, we can conduct an experiment:'
'Create an array of 1,000,000 elements.'
'Select 1,000 random elements (1%) for validation.'
'Shuffle the array and divide it into groups of 1,000 elements.'
'If the hypothesis holds, each group should contain, on average, 1~ valid element, with minor variations.'
* I'd like to attach more details to My hypothesis but it won't be very relevant here. Since this is a whole separate topic, I will leave the minimum part for understanding the engine.
Practical Application
To apply this hypothesis, I needed a way to generate and thoroughly mix numerous possible combinations. Within Pine, generating over 100,000 combinations presents significant challenges, and storing millions of combinations requires excessive resources.
I developed an efficient mechanism that generates combinations in random order to address these limitations. While conventional methods often produce duplicates or require generating a complete list first, my approach guarantees that the first 10% of possible combinations are both unique and well-distributed. Based on my hypothesis, this sampling is sufficient to determine optimal testing parameters.
Most generators and randomizers fail to accommodate both my hypothesis and Pine's constraints. My solution utilizes a simple Linear Congruential Generator (LCG) for pseudo-randomization, enhanced with prime numbers to increase entropy during generation. I pre-generate the entire parameter range and then apply systematic mixing. This approach, combined with a hybrid combinatorial array-filling technique with linear distribution, delivers excellent generation quality.
My engine can efficiently generate and verify 300 unique combinations per batch. Based on the above, to determine optimal values, only 10-20 Parts need to be manually scrolled through to find the appropriate value or range, eliminating the need for exhaustive testing of millions of parameter combinations.
For the Score statistic I applied all the same, generated a range of Weights, distributed them randomly for each type of statistic to avoid manual distribution.
Score ━ based on Trade, Profit, WinRate, Profit Factor, Drawdown, Sharpe & Sortino & Omega & Calmar Ratio.
⭕️ Notes
For attentive users, a little tricks :)
To save time, switch parts every 3 seconds without waiting for it to load. After 10-20 parts, stop and wait for loading. If the pause is correct, you can switch between the rest of the parts without loading, as they will be cached. This used to work without having to wait for a pause, but now it does slower. This will save a lot of time if you are going to do a deeper backtest.
Sometimes you'll get the error “The scripts take too long to execute.”
For a quick fix you just need to switch the TF or Ticker back and forth and most likely everything will load.
The error appears because of problems on the side of the site because the engine is very heavy. It can also appear if you set too long a period for testing in BackWin or use a heavy indicator for testing.
Manual Start - Allow you to Start you Result from any point. Which in turn can help you choose a good stop-stick for your real position.
* It took me half a year from idea to current realization. This seems to be one of the few ways to build something automatic in backtest format and in this particular Pine environment. There are already better projects in other languages, and they are created much easier and faster because there are no limitations except for personal PC. If you see solutions to improve this system I would be glad if you share the code. At the moment I am tired and will continue him not soon.
Also You can use my previosly big Backtest project with more manual settings(updated soon)
Walk Forward PatternsINTRO
In Euclidean geometry, every mathematical output has a planar projection. 'Walk Forward Patterns' can be considered a practical example of this concept. On the other hand, this indicator might also be viewed as an experiment in 'how playing with Lego as a child contributes to time series analysis' :)
OVERVIEW
This script dynamically generates the necessary optimization and testing ranges for Walk Forward Analysis based on user-defined bar count and length inputs. It performs automatic calculations for each step, offers 8 different window options depending on the inputs, and visualizes the results dynamically. I should also note that most of the window models consist of original patterns I have created.
ADDITIONAL INFO : WHAT IS WALK FORWARD ANALYSIS?
Although it is not the main focus of this indicator, providing a brief definition of Walk Forward Analysis can be helpful in correctly interpreting the results it generates. Walk Forward Analysis (WFA) is a systematic method for optimizing parameters and validating trading strategies. It involves dividing historical data into variable segments, where a strategy is first optimized on an in-sample period and then tested on an out-of-sample period. This process repeats by shifting the windows forward, ensuring that each test evaluates the strategy on unseen data, helping to assess its robustness and adaptability in real market conditions.
ORIGINALITY
There are very few studies on Walk Forward Analysis in TradingView. Even worse, there are no any open-source studies available. Someone has to start somewhere, I suppose. And in my personal opinion, determining the optimization and backtest intervals is the most challenging part of WFA. These intervals serve as a prerequisite for automated parameter optimization. I felt the need to publish this pattern module, which I use in my own WFA models, partly due to this gap on community scripts.
INDICATOR MECHANICS
To use the indicator effectively, you only need to perform four simple tasks:
Specify the total number of bars in your chart in the 'Bar Index' parameter.
Define the optimization (In-Sample Test) length.
Define the testing (Out-Of-Sample Test) length.
Finally, select the window type.
The indicator automatically models everything else (including the number of steps) based on your inputs. And the result; you now have a clear idea of which bars to use for your Walk Forward tests!
A COMMONLY USED WINDOW SELECTION METHOD: ROLLING
A more concrete definition of Walk Forward Analysis, specifically for the widely used Rolling method, can be described as follows:
Parameters that have performed well over a certain period are identified (Optimization: In-Sample).
These parameters are then tested on a shorter, subsequent period (Backtest: Out-of-Sample).
The process is repeated forward in time (At each step, the optimization and backtest periods are shifted by the backtest length).
If the cumulative percentage profit obtained from the backtest results is greater than half of the historical optimization profit, the strategy is considered "successful."
If the strategy is successful, the most recent (untested) optimization values are used for live trading.
OTHER WINDOW OPTIONS
ANCHORED: That's a pattern based on progressively expanding optimization ranges at each step. Backtest ranges move forward in a staircase-like manner.
STATIC: Optimization ranges remain fixed, while backtest ranges are shifted forward.
BLOCKED: Optimization ranges are shifted forward in groups of three blocks. Backtest ranges are also shifted in a staircase manner, even at the cost of creating gaps from the optimization end bars.
TRIANGULAR: Optimization ranges are shifted forward in triangular regions, while backtest ranges move in a staircase pattern.
RATIO: The optimization length increases by 25% of the initial step’s fixed length at each step. In other words, the length grows by 25% of the first step's length incrementally. Backtest ranges always start from the bar where the optimization ends.
FIBONACCI: A variation of the Ratio method, where the optimization shift factor is set to 0.618
RANDOM WALK
Unlike the window models explained above, we can also generate optimization and backtest ranges completely randomly—offering almost unlimited variations! When you select the "Random" option in the "Window" parameter on the indicator interface, random intervals are generated based on various trigonometric calculations. By changing the numerical value in the '🐒' parameter, you can create entirely unique patterns.
WHY THE 🐒 EMOJI?
Two reasons.
First, I think that as humanity, we are a species of tailless primates who become happy when we understand things :). At least evolutionarily. The entire history of civilization is built on the effort to express the universe in a scale we can comprehend. 'Knowledge' is an invention born from this effort, which is why we feel happiness when we 'understand'. Second, I can't think of a better metaphor for randomness than a monkey sitting at a keyboard. See: Monkey Test.
Anyway, I’m rambling :)
NOTES
The indicator generates results for up to 100 steps. As the number of steps increases, the table may extend beyond the screen—don’t forget to zoom out!
FINAL WORDS
I haven’t published a Walk Forward script yet . However, there seem to be examples that can perform parameter optimization in the true sense of the word, producing more realistic results without falling into overfitting in my library. Hopefully, I’ll have the chance to publish one in the coming weeks. Sincerely thanks to Kıvanç Özbilgiç, Robert Pardo, Kevin Davey, Ernest P. Chan for their inspiring publishments.
DISCLAIMER
That's just a script, nothing more. I hope it helps everyone. Do not forget to manage your risk. And trade as safely as possible. Best of luck!
© dg_factor
Optimal MA FinderIntroduction to the "Optimal MA Finder" Indicator
The "Optimal MA Finder" is a powerful and versatile tool designed to help traders optimize their moving average strategies. This script combines flexibility, precision, and automation to identify the most effective moving average (MA) length for your trading approach. Whether you're aiming to improve your long-only strategy or implement a buy-and-sell methodology, the "Optimal MA Finder" is your go-to solution for enhanced decision-making.
What Does It Do?
The script evaluates a wide range of moving average lengths, from 10 to 500, to determine which one produces the best results based on historical data. By calculating critical metrics such as the total number of trades and the profit factor for each MA length, it identifies the one that maximizes profitability. It supports both simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA), allowing you to tailor the analysis to your preferred method.
The logic works by backtesting each MA length against the price data and assessing the performance under two strategies:
Buy & Sell: Includes both long and short trades.
Long Only: Focuses solely on long positions for more conservative strategies.
Once the optimal MA length is identified, the script overlays it on the chart, highlighting periods when the price crosses over or under the optimal MA, helping traders identify potential entry and exit points.
Why Is It Useful?
This indicator stands out for its ability to automate a task that is often labor-intensive and subjective: finding the best MA length. By providing a clear, data-driven answer, it saves traders countless hours of manual testing while significantly enhancing the accuracy of their strategies. For example, instead of guessing whether a 50-period EMA is more effective than a 200-period SMA, the "Optimal MA Finder" will pinpoint the exact length and type of MA that has historically yielded the best results for your chosen strategy.
Key Benefits:
Precision: Identifies the MA length with the highest profit factor for maximum profitability.
Automation: Conducts thorough backtesting without manual effort.
Flexibility: Adapts to your preferred MA type (SMA or EMA) and trading strategy (Buy & Sell or Long Only).
Real-Time Feedback: Provides actionable insights by plotting the optimal MA directly on your chart and highlighting relevant trading periods.
Example of Use: Imagine you're trading a volatile stock and want to optimize your long-only strategy. By applying the "Optimal MA Finder," you discover that a 120-period EMA results in the highest profit factor. The indicator plots this EMA on your chart, showing you when to consider entering or exiting positions based on price movements relative to the EMA.
In short, the "Optimal MA Finder" empowers traders by delivering data-driven insights and improving the effectiveness of trading strategies. Its clear logic, combined with robust automation, makes it an invaluable tool for both novice and experienced traders seeking consistent results.
Fourier For Loop [BackQuant]Fourier For Loop
PLEASE Read the following, as understanding an indicator's functionality is essential before integrating it into a trading strategy. Knowing the core logic behind each tool allows for a sound and strategic approach to trading.
Introducing BackQuant's Fourier For Loop (FFL) — a cutting-edge trading indicator that combines Fourier transforms with a for-loop scoring mechanism. This innovative approach leverages mathematical precision to extract trends and reversals in the market, helping traders make informed decisions. Let's break down the components, rationale, and potential use-cases of this indicator.
Understanding Fourier Transform in Trading
The Fourier Transform decomposes price movements into their frequency components, allowing for a detailed analysis of cyclical behavior in the market. By transforming the price data from the time domain into the frequency domain, this indicator identifies underlying patterns that traditional methods may overlook.
In this script, Fourier transforms are applied to the specified calculation source (defaulted to HLC3). The transformation yields magnitude values that can be used to score market movements over a defined range. This scoring process helps uncover long and short signals based on relative strength and trend direction.
Why Use Fourier Transforms?
Fourier Transforms excel in identifying recurring cycles and smoothing noisy data, making them ideal for fast-paced markets where price movements may be erratic. They also provide a unique perspective on market volatility, offering traders additional insights beyond standard indicators.
Calculation Logic: For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The For Loop Scoring mechanism compares the magnitude of each transformed point in the series, summing the results to generate a score. This score forms the backbone of the signal generation system.
Long Signals: Generated when the score surpasses the defined long threshold (default set at 40). This indicates a strong bullish trend, signaling potential upward momentum.
Short Signals: Triggered when the score crosses under the short threshold (default set at -10). This suggests a bearish trend or potential downside risk.'
Thresholds & Customization
The indicator offers customizable settings to fit various trading styles:
Calculation Periods: Control how many periods the Fourier transform covers.
Long/Short Thresholds: Adjust the sensitivity of the signals to match different timeframes or risk preferences.
Visualization Options: Traders can visualize the thresholds, change the color of bars based on trend direction, and even color the background for enhanced clarity.
Trading Applications
This Fourier For Loop indicator is designed to be versatile across various market conditions and timeframes. Some of its key use-cases include:
Cycle Detection: Fourier transforms help identify recurring patterns or cycles, giving traders a head-start on market direction.
Trend Following: The for-loop scoring system helps confirm the strength of trends, allowing traders to enter positions with greater confidence.
Risk Management: With clearly defined long and short signals, traders can manage their positions effectively, minimizing exposure to false signals.
Final Note
Incorporating this indicator into your trading strategy adds a layer of mathematical precision to traditional technical analysis. Be sure to adjust the calculation start/end points and thresholds to match your specific trading style, and remember that no indicator guarantees success. Always backtest thoroughly and integrate the Fourier For Loop into a balanced trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future .
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Interest Rate Trading (Manually Added Rate Decisions) [TANHEF]Interest Rate Trading: How Interest Rates Can Guide Your Next Move.
How were interest rate decisions added?
All interest rate decision dates were manually retrieved from the 'Record of Policy Actions' and 'Minutes of Actions' on the Federal Reserve's website due to inconsistent dates from other sources. These were manually added as Pine Script currently only identifies rate changes, not pauses.
█ Simple Explanation:
This script is designed for analyzing and backtesting trading strategies based on U.S. interest rate decisions which occur during Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, to make trading decisions. No trading strategy is perfect, and it's important to understand that expectations won't always play out. The script leverages historical interest rate changes, including increases, decreases, and pauses, across multiple economic time periods from 1971 to the present. The tool integrates two key data sources for interest rates—USINTR and FEDFUNDS—to support decision-making around rate-based trades. The focus is on identifying opportunities and tracking trades driven by interest rate movements.
█ Interest Rate Decision Sources:
As noted above, each decision date has been manually added from the 'Record of Policy Actions' and 'Minutes of Actions' documents on the Federal Reserve's website. This includes +50 years of more than 600 rate decisions.
█ Interest Rate Data Sources:
USINTR: Reflects broader U.S. interest rate trends, including Treasury yields and various benchmarks. This is the preferred option as it corresponds well to the rate decision dates.
FEDFUNDS: Tracks the Federal Funds Rate, which is a more specific rate targeted by the Federal Reserve. This does not change on the exact same days as the rate decisions that occur at FOMC meetings.
█ Trade Criteria:
A variety of trading conditions are predefined to suit different trading strategies. These conditions include:
Increase/Decrease: Standard rate increases or decreases.
Double/Triple Increase/Decrease: A series of consecutive changes.
Aggressive Increase/Decrease: Rate changes that exceed recent movements.
Pause: Identification of no changes (pauses) between rate decisions, including double or triple pauses.
Complex Patterns: Combinations of pauses, increases, or decreases, such as "Pause after Increase" or "Pause or Increase."
█ Trade Execution and Exit:
The script allows automated trade execution based on selected criteria:
Auto-Entry: Option to enter trades automatically at the first valid period.
Max Trade Duration: Optional exit of trades after a specified number of bars (candles).
Pause Days: Minimum duration (in days) to validate rate pauses as entry conditions. This is especially useful for earlier periods (prior to the 2000s), where rate decisions often seemed random compared to the consistency we see today.
█ Visualization:
Several visual elements enhance the backtesting experience:
Time Period Highlighting: Economic time periods are visually segmented on the chart, each with a unique color. These periods include historical phases such as "Stagflation (1971-1982)" and "Post-Pandemic Recovery (2021-Present)".
Trade and Holding Results: Displays the profit and loss of trades and holding results directly on the chart.
Interest Rate Plot: Plots the interest rate movements on the chart, allowing for real-time tracking of rate changes.
Trade Status: Highlights active long or short positions on the chart.
█ Statistics and Criteria Display:
Stats Table: Summarizes trade results, including wins, losses, and draw percentages for both long and short trades.
Criteria Table: Lists the selected entry and exit criteria for both long and short positions.
█ Economic Time Periods:
The script organizes interest rate decisions into well-defined economic periods, allowing traders to backtest strategies specific to historical contexts like:
(1971-1982) Stagflation
(1983-1990) Reaganomics and Deregulation
(1991-1994) Early 1990s (Recession and Recovery)
(1995-2001) Dot-Com Bubble
(2001-2006) Housing Boom
(2007-2009) Global Financial Crisis
(2009-2015) Great Recession Recovery
(2015-2019) Normalization Period
(2019-2021) COVID-19 Pandemic
(2021-Present) Post-Pandemic Recovery
█ User-Configurable Inputs:
Rate Source Selection: Choose between USINTR or FEDFUNDS as the primary interest rate source.
Trade Criteria Customization: Users can select the criteria for long and short trades, specifying when to enter or exit based on changes in the interest rate.
Time Period: Select the time period that you want to isolate testing a strategy with.
Auto-Entry and Pause Settings: Options to automatically enter trades and specify the number of days to confirm a rate pause.
Max Trade Duration: Limits how long trades can remain open, defined by the number of bars.
█ Trade Logic:
The script manages entries and exits for both long and short trades. It calculates the profit or loss percentage based on the entry and exit prices. The script tracks ongoing trades, dynamically updating the profit or loss as price changes.
█ Examples:
One of the most popular opinions is that when rate starts begin you should sell, then buy back in when rate cuts stop dropping. However, this can be easily proven to be a difficult task. Predicting the end of a rate cut is very difficult to do with the the exception that assumes rates will not fall below 0.25%.
2001-2009
Trade Result: +29.85%
Holding Result: -27.74%
1971-2024
Trade Result: +533%
Holding Result: +5901%
█ Backtest and Real-Time Use:
This backtester is useful for historical analysis and real-time trading. By setting up various entry and exit rules tied to interest rate movements, traders can test and refine strategies based on real historical data and rate decision trends.
This powerful tool allows traders to customize strategies, backtest them through different economic periods, and get visual feedback on their trading performance, helping to make more informed decisions based on interest rate dynamics. The main goal of this indicator is to challenge the belief that future events must mirror the 2001 and 2007 rate cuts. If everyone expects something to happen, it usually doesn’t.
Descriptive Backtesting Framework (DBF)As the name suggests, this is a backtesting framework made to offer full backtesting functionality to any custom indicator in a visually descriptive way.
Any trade taken will be very clear to visualize on the chart and the equity line will be updated live allowing us to use the REPLAY feature to view the strategy performing in real time.
Stops and Targets will also get draw on the chart with labels and tooltips and there will be a table on the top right corner displaying lots of descriptive metrics to measure your strategy's performance.
IF YOU DECIDE TO USE THIS FRAMEWORK, PLEASE READ **EVERYTHING** BELOW
HOW TO USE IT
Step 1 - Insert Your Strategy Indicators:
Inside this framework's code, right at the beginning, you will find a dedicated section where you can manually insert any set of indicators you desire.
Just replace the example code in there with your own strategy indicators.
Step 2 - Specify The Conditions To Take Trades:
After that, there will be another section where you need to specify your strategy's conditions to enter and exit trades.
When met, those conditions will fire the trading signals to the trading engine inside the framework.
If you don't wish to use some of the available signals, please just assign false to the signal.
DO NOT DELETE THE SIGNAL VARIABLES
Step 3 - Specify Entry/Exit Prices, Stops & Targets:
Finally you'll reach the last section where you'll be able to specify entry/exit prices as well as add stops and targets.
On most cases, it's easier and more reliable to just use the close price to enter and exit trades.
If you decide to use the open price instead, please remember to change step 2 so that trades are taken on the open price of the next candle and not the present one to avoid the look ahead bias.
Stops and targets can be set in any way you want.
Also, please don't forget to update the spread. If your broker uses commissions instead of spreads or a combination of both, you'll need to manually incorporate those costs in this step.
And that's it! That's all you have to do.
Below this section you'll now see a sign warning you about not making any changes to the code below.
From here on, the framework will take care of executing the trades and calculating the performance metrics for you and making sure all calculations are consistent.
VISUAL FEATURES:
Price candles get painted according to the current trade.
They will be blue during long trades, purple on shorts and white when no trade is on.
When the framework receives the signals to start or close a trade, it will display those signals as shapes on the upper and lower limits of the chart:
DIAMOND: represents a signal to open a trade, the trade direction is represented by the shape's color;
CROSS: means a stop loss was triggered;
FLAG: means a take profit was triggered;
CIRCLE: means an exit trade signal was fired;
Hovering the mouse over the trade labels will reveal:
Asset Quantity;
Entry/Exit Prices;
Stops & Targets;
Trade Profit;
Profit As Percentage Of Trade Volume;
**Please note that there's a limit as to how many labels can be drawn on the chart at once.**
If you which to see labels from the beginning of the chart, you'll probably need to use the replay feature.
PERFORMANCE TABLE:
The performance table displays several performance metrics to evaluate the strategy.
All the performance metrics here are calculated by the framework. It does not uses the oficial pine script strategy tester.
All metrics are calculated in real time. If using the replay feature, they will be updated up to the last played bar.
Here are the available metrics and their definition:
INITIAL EQUITY: the initial amount of money we had when the strategy started, obviously...;
CURRENT EQUITY: the amount of money we have now. If using the replay feature, it will show the current equity up to the last bar played. The number on it's right side shows how many times our equity has been multiplied from it's initial value;
TRADE COUNT: how many trades were taken;
WIN COUNT: how many of those trades were wins. The percentage at the right side is the strategy WIN RATE;
AVG GAIN PER TRADE: the average percentage gain per trade. Very small values can indicate a fragile strategy that can behave in unexpected ways under high volatility conditions;
AVG GAIN PER WIN: the average percentage gain of trades that were profitable;
AVG GAIN PER LOSS: the average percentage loss on trades that were not profitable;
EQUITY MAX DD: the maximum drawdown experienced by our equity during the entire strategy backtest;
TRADE MAX DD: the maximum drawdown experienced by our equity after one single trade;
AVG MONTHLY RETURN: the compound monthly return that our strategy was able to create during the backtested period;
AVG ANNUAL RETURN: this is the strategy's CAGR (compound annual growth rate);
ELAPSED MONTHS: number of months since the backtest started;
RISK/REWARD RATIO: shows how profitable the strategy is for the amount of risk it takes. Values above 1 are very good (and rare). This is calculated as follows: (Avg Annual Return) / mod(Equity Max DD). Where mod() is the same as math.abs();
AVAILABLE SETTINGS:
SPREAD: specify your broker's asset spread
ENABLE LONGS / SHORTS: you can keep both enable or chose to take trades in only one direction
MINIMUM BARS CLOSED: to avoid trading before indicators such as a slow moving average have had time to populate, you can manually set the number of bars to wait before allowing trades.
INITIAL EQUITY: you can specify your starting equity
EXPOSURE: is the percentage of equity you wish to risk per trade. When using stops, the strategy will automatically calculate your position size to match the exposure with the stop distance. If you are not using stops then your trade volume will be the percentage of equity specified here. 100 means you'll enter trades with all your equity and 200 means you'll use a 2x leverage.
MAX LEVERAGE ALLOWED: In some situations a short stop distance can create huge levels of leverage. If you want to limit leverage to a maximum value you can set it here.
SEVERAL PLOTTING OPTIONS: You'll be able to specify which of the framework visuals you wish to see drawn on the chart.
FRAMEWORK **LIMITATIONS**:
When stop and target are both triggered in the same candle, this framework isn't able to enter faster timeframes to check which one was triggered first, so it will take the pessimistic assumption and annul the take profit signal;
This framework doesn't support pyramiding;
This framework doesn't support both long and short positions to be active at the same time. So for example, if a short signal is received while a long trade is open, the framework will close the long trade and then open a short trade;
FINAL CONSIDERATIONS:
I've been using this framework for a good time and I find it's better to use and easier to analyze a strategy's performance then relying on the oficial pine script strategy tester. However, I CANNOT GUARANTEE IT TO BE BUG FREE.
**PLEASE PERFORM A MANUAL BACKTEST BEFORE USING ANY STRATEGY WITH REAL MONEY**
Filtered MACD with Backtest [UAlgo]The "Filtered MACD with Backtest " indicator is an advanced trading tool designed for the TradingView platform. It combines the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) with additional filters such as Moving Average (MA) and Average Directional Index (ADX) to enhance trading signals. This indicator aims to provide more reliable entry and exit points by filtering out noise and confirming trends. Additionally, it includes a comprehensive backtesting module to simulate trading strategies and assess their performance based on historical data. The visual backtest module allows traders to see potential trades directly on the chart, making it easier to evaluate the effectiveness of the strategy.
🔶 Customizable Parameters :
Price Source Selection: Users can choose their preferred price source for calculations, providing flexibility in analysis.
Filter Parameters:
MA Filter: Option to use a Moving Average filter with types such as EMA, SMA, WMA, RMA, and VWMA, and a customizable length.
ADX Filter: Option to use an ADX filter with adjustable length and threshold to determine trend strength.
MACD Parameters: Customizable fast length, slow length, and signal smoothing for the MACD indicator.
Backtest Module:
Entry Type: Supports "Buy and Sell", "Buy", and "Sell" strategies.
Stop Loss Types: Choose from ATR-based, fixed point, or X bar high/low stop loss methods.
Reward to Risk Ratio: Set the desired take profit level relative to the stop loss.
Backtest Visuals: Display entry, stop loss, and take profit levels directly on the chart with
colored backgrounds.
Alerts: Configurable alerts for buy and sell signals.
🔶 Filtered MACD : Understanding How Filters Work with ADX and MA
ADX Filter:
The Average Directional Index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend. The script calculates ADX using the user-defined length and applies a threshold value.
Trading Signals with ADX Filter:
Buy Signal: A regular MACD buy signal (crossover of MACD line above the signal line) is only considered valid if the ADX is above the set threshold. This suggests a stronger uptrend to potentially capitalize on.
Sell Signal: Conversely, a regular MACD sell signal (crossunder of MACD line below the signal line) is only considered valid if the ADX is above the threshold, indicating a stronger downtrend for potential shorting opportunities.
Benefits: The ADX filter helps avoid whipsaws or false signals that might occur during choppy market conditions with weak trends.
MA Filter:
You can choose from various Moving Average (MA) types (EMA, SMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA) for the filter. The script calculates the chosen MA based on the user-defined length.
Trading Signals with MA Filter:
Buy Signal: A regular MACD buy signal is only considered valid if the closing price is above the MA value. This suggests a potential uptrend confirmed by the price action staying above the moving average.
Sell Signal: Conversely, a regular MACD sell signal is only considered valid if the closing price is below the MA value. This suggests a potential downtrend confirmed by the price action staying below the moving average.
Benefits: The MA filter helps identify potential trend continuation opportunities by ensuring the price aligns with the chosen moving average direction.
Combining Filters:
You can choose to use either the ADX filter, the MA filter, or both depending on your strategy preference. Using both filters adds an extra layer of confirmation for your signals.
🔶 Backtesting Module
The backtesting module in this script allows you to visually assess how the filtered MACD strategy would have performed on historical data. Here's a deeper dive into its features:
Backtesting Type: You can choose to backtest for buy signals only, sell signals only, or both. This allows you to analyze the strategy's effectiveness in different market conditions.
Stop-Loss Types: You can define how stop-loss orders are placed:
ATR (Average True Range): This uses a volatility measure (ATR) multiplied by a user-defined factor to set the stop-loss level.
Fixed Point: This allows you to specify a fixed dollar amount or percentage value as the stop-loss.
X bar High/Low: This sets the stop-loss at a certain number of bars (defined by the user) above/below the bar's high (for long positions) or low (for short positions).
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Define the desired ratio between your potential profit and potential loss on each trade. The backtesting module will calculate take-profit levels based on this ratio and the stop-loss placement.
🔶 Disclaimer:
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Back Week For BacktestIt is Backtest Calculator For Essential and Plus plan holders, the length of available intraday data is calculated as follows: from now to 6 weeks back multiplied by timeframe(in minutes), i.e. you can go 6 weeks back on the 1-minute chart, 12 weeks back on the 2-minute chart, 30 weeks back on the 5-minute chart, 90 weeks back on the 15-minute chart and so on. The higher timeframe is selected, the more intraday data is available.
This show creates a weekday label based on the data in the plans allowed by TradingView. This show creates a weekday label based on the data in the plans allowed by TradingView. How much data is available for Bar Replay? According to the article, we can replay 6 weeks backwards for a 1-minute chart. This indicator is a label that shows how far we can go back, consisting of multiplying each minute by 6 between 1 minute and 60 minutes.
1 minute => 6 week backtest
2 minutes => 12 week backtest
.....
15 minutes => 90 week backtest
...
59 minutes => 354 week backtest
Session candles & reversals / quantifytools— Overview
Like traditional candles, session based candles are a visualization of open, high, low and close values, but based on session time periods instead of typical timeframes such as daily or weekly. Session candles are formed by fetching price at session start (open), highest price during session (high), lowest price during session (low) and price at session end (close). On top of candles, session based moving average is formed and session reversals detected. Session reversals are also backtested, using win rate and magnitude metrics to better understand what to expect from session reversals and which ones have historically performed the best.
By default, following session time periods are used:
Session #1: London (08:00 - 17:00, UTC)
Session #2: New York (13:00 - 22:00, UTC)
Session #3: Sydney (21:00 - 06:00, UTC)
Session #4: Tokyo (00:00 - 09:00, UTC)
Session time periods can be changed via input menu.
— Reversals
Session reversals are patterns that show a rapid change in direction during session. These formations are more familiarly known as wicks or engulfing candles. Following criteria must be met to qualify as a session reversal:
Wick up:
Lower high, lower low, close >= 65% of session range (0% being the very low, 100% being the very high) and open >= 40% of session range.
Wick down:
Higher high, higher low, close <= 35% of session range and open <= 60% of session range.
Engulfing up:
Higher high, lower low, close >= 65% of session range.
Engulfing down:
Higher high, lower low, close <= 35% of session range.
Session reversals are always based on prior corresponding session , e.g. to qualify as a NY session engulfing up, NY session must have a higher high and lower low relative to prior NY session , not just any session that has taken place in between. Session reversals should be viewed the same way wicks/engulfing formations are viewed on traditional timeframe based candles. Essentially, wick reversals (light green/red labels) tell you most of the motion during session was reversed. Engulfing reversals (dark green/red labels) on the other hand tell you all of the motion was reversed and new direction set.
— Backtesting
Session reversals are backtested using win rate and magnitude metrics. A session reversal is considered successful when next corresponding session closes higher/lower than session reversal close . Win rate is formed by dividing successful session reversal count with total reversal count, e.g. 5 successful reversals up / 10 reversals up total = 50% win rate. Win rate tells us what are the odds (historically) of session reversal producing a clean supporting move that was persistent enough to close that way too.
When a session reversal is successful, its magnitude is measured using percentage increase/decrease from session reversal close to next corresponding session high/low . If NY session closes higher than prior NY session that was a reversal up, the percentage increase from prior session close (reversal close) to current session high is measured. If NY session closes lower than prior NY session that was a reversal down, the percentage decrease from prior session close to current session low is measured.
Average magnitude is formed by dividing all percentage increases/decreases with total reversal count, e.g. 10 total reversals up with 1% increase each -> 10% net increase from all reversals -> 10% total increase / 10 total reversals up = 1% average magnitude. Magnitude metric supports win rate by indicating the depth of successful session reversal moves.
To better understand the backtesting calculations and more importantly to verify their validity, backtesting visuals for each session can be plotted on the chart:
All backtesting results are shown in the backtesting panel on top right corner, with highest win rates and magnitude metrics for both reversals up and down marked separately. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance and session reversals as they are should not be viewed as a complete strategy for long/short plays. Always make sure reversal count is sufficient to draw reliable conclusions of performance.
— Session moving average
Users can form a session based moving average with their preferred smoothing method (SMA , EMA , HMA , WMA , RMA) and length, as well as choose which sessions to include in the moving average. For example, a moving average based on New York and Tokyo sessions can be formed, leaving London and Sydney completely out of the calculation.
— Visuals
By default, script hides your candles/bars, although in the case of candles borders will still be visible. Switching to bars/line will make your regular chart visuals 100% hidden. This setting can be turned off via input menu. As some sessions overlap, each session candle can be separately offsetted forward, clearing the overlaps. Users can also choose which session candles to show/hide.
Session periods can be highlighted on the chart as a background color, applicable to only session candles that are activated. By default, session reversals are referred to as L (London), N (New York), S (Sydney) and T (Tokyo) in both reversal labels and backtesting table. By toggling on "Numerize sessions", these will be replaced with 1, 2, 3 and 4. This will be helpful when using a custom session that isn't any of the above.
Visual settings example:
Session candles are plotted in two formats, using boxes and lines as well as plotcandle() function. Session candles constructed using boxes and lines will be clear and much easier on the eyes, but will apply only to first 500 bars due to Tradingview related limitations. Rest of the session candles go back indefinitely, but won't be as clean:
All colors can be customized via input menu.
— Timeframe & session time period considerations
As a rule of thumb, session candles should be used on timeframes at or below 1H, as higher timeframes might not match with session period start/end, leading to incorrect plots. Using 1 hour timeframe will bring optimal results as greatest amount historical data is available without sacrificing accuracy of OHLC values. If you are using a custom session that is not based on hourly period (e.g. 08:00 - 15:00 vs. 08.00 - 15.15) make sure you are using a timeframe that allows correct plots.
Session time periods applied by default are rough estimates and might be out of bounds on some charts, like NYSE listed equities. This is rarely a problem on assets that have extensive trading hours, like futures or cryptocurrency. If a session is out of bounds (asset isn't traded during the set session time period) the script won't plot given session candle and its backtesting metrics will be NA. This can be fixed by changing the session time periods to match with given asset trading hours, although you will have to consider whether or not this defeats the purpose of having candles based on sessions.
— Practical guide
Whether based on traditional timeframes or sessions, reversals should always be considered as only one piece of evidence of price turning. Never react to them without considering other factors that might support the thesis, such as levels and multi-timeframe analysis. In short, same basic charting principles apply with session candles that apply with normal candles. Use discretion.
Example #1 : Focusing efforts on session reversals at distinct support/resistance levels
A reversal against a level holds more value than a reversal by itself, as you know it's a placement where liquidity can be expected. A reversal serves as a confirming reaction for this expectation.
Example #2 : Focusing efforts on highest performing reversals and avoiding poorly performing ones
As you have data backed evidence of session reversal performance, it makes sense to focus your efforts on the ones that perform best. If some session reversal is clearly performing poorly, you would want to avoid it, since there's nothing backing up its validity.
Example #3 : Reversal clusters
Two is better than one, three is better than two and so on. If there are rapid changes in direction within multiple sessions consecutively, there's heavier evidence of a dynamic shift in price. In such case, it makes sense to hold more confidence in price halting/turning.
Quantitative Backtesting Panel + ROI Table - ShortsThis script is an aggregate of a backtesting panel with quantitative metrics, ROI table and open ROI reader. It also contains a mechanism for having a fixed percentage stop loss, similar to native TV backtester. For shorts only.
Backtesting Panel:
- Certain metrics are color coded, with green being good performance, orange being neutral, red being undesirable.
• ROI : return with the system, in %
• ROI(COMP=1): return if money is compounded at a rate of 100%
• Hit rate: accuracy of the system, as a %
• Profit factor: gross profit/gross loss
• Maximum drawdown: the maximum value from a peak to a successive trough of the system's equity curve
• MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion. The biggest loss of a trade suffered while the position is still open
• Total trades: total number of closed trades
• Max gain/max loss: shows the biggest win over the biggest loss suffered
• Sharpe ratio: measures the performance of the system with adjusted risk (no comparison to risk-free asset)
• CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate. The mean annual rate of growth of the system of n years (provided n>1)
• Kurtosis: measures how heavily the tails of the distribution differ from that of a normal distribution (symmetric on both sides of mean where mean=0, standard deviation=1). A normal distribution has a kurtosis of 3, and skewness of 0. The kurtosis indicates whether or not the tails of the returns contain extreme values
• Skewness: measures the symmetry of the distribution of returns
- Leptokurtic: K > 0. Having more kurtosis than a normal distribution. It's stretched up and to the side too (2nd pic down). High kurtosis (leptokurtic) is bad as the wider tails (called heavy tails) suggest there is relatively high probability of extreme events
- Mesokurtic: K =0. Having the same kurtosis as a normal distribution
- Platykurtic: K < 0. Having less kurtosis than a normal distribution. This suggests there are light tails and fewer extreme events in the distribution
- Skewness is good: +/- 0.5 (fairly symmetrical)
- Skewness is average: -1 to -0.5 or 0.5 to 1 (moderately skewed)
- Skewness is bad: > +/- 1 (highly skewed)
Evolving ROI table:
- The table of ROI values evolve with the year and month. The sum of each year is given. Please avoid using it on non-cryptocurrencies or any market whose trading session is not 24/7
Open ROI reader:
- At the top center is the open ROI of a trade
Quantitative Backtesting Panel + ROI Table - LongsThis script is an aggregate of a backtesting panel with quantitative metrics, ROI table and open ROI reader. It also contains a mechanism for having a fixed percentage stop loss, similar to native TV backtester. For longs only.
Backtesting Panel:
- Certain metrics are color coded, with green being good performance, orange being neutral, red being undesirable.
• ROI : return with the system, in %
• ROI(COMP=1): return if money is compounded at a rate of 100%
• Hit rate: accuracy of the system, as a %
• Profit factor: gross profit/gross loss
• Maximum drawdown: the maximum value from a peak to a successive trough of the system's equity curve
• MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion. The biggest loss of a trade suffered while the position is still open
• Total trades: total number of closed trades
• Max gain/max loss: shows the biggest win over the biggest loss suffered
• Sharpe ratio: measures the performance of the system with adjusted risk (no comparison to risk-free asset)
• CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate. The mean annual rate of growth of the system of n years (provided n>1)
• Kurtosis: measures how heavily the tails of the distribution differ from that of a normal distribution (symmetric on both sides of mean where mean=0, standard deviation=1). A normal distribution has a kurtosis of 3, and skewness of 0. The kurtosis indicates whether or not the tails of the returns contain extreme values
• Skewness: measures the symmetry of the distribution of returns
- Leptokurtic: K > 0. Having more kurtosis than a normal distribution. It's stretched up and to the side too (2nd pic down). High kurtosis (leptokurtic) is bad as the wider tails (called heavy tails) suggest there is relatively high probability of extreme events
- Mesokurtic: K =0. Having the same kurtosis as a normal distribution
- Platykurtic: K < 0. Having less kurtosis than a normal distribution. This suggests there are light tails and fewer extreme events in the distribution
- Skewness is good: +/- 0.5 (fairly symmetrical)
- Skewness is average: -1 to -0.5 or 0.5 to 1 (moderately skewed)
- Skewness is bad: > +/- 1 (highly skewed)
Evolving ROI table:
- The table of ROI values evolve with the year and month. The sum of each year is given. Please avoid using it on non-cryptocurrencies or any market whose trading session is not 24/7
Open ROI reader:
- At the top center is the open ROI of a trade
Regression Channel, Candles and Candlestick Patterns by MontyRegression Candles by ugurvu
Regression Channel by Tradingview
All Candlestick Patterns By Tradingview
This script was combined for a friend of mine who needed this.
This Script has regression candles by ugurvu, Regression channel and Candlestick patterns by tradingview.
The intention was to fuse these together so more information can be processed on the cost of a single indicator.
EMA Cross (data chaining template)Hello Traders! This is the source code for a simple EMA Cross indicator that can be chained to other indicators or another instance of itself as a filter.
The code is fully commented to guide you in building your own chain of indicators based on your ideas and trading plans.
All the best,
Val - Protervus Trading
Breakout Probability (Expo)█ Overview
Breakout Probability is a valuable indicator that calculates the probability of a new high or low and displays it as a level with its percentage. The probability of a new high and low is backtested, and the results are shown in a table— a simple way to understand the next candle's likelihood of a new high or low. In addition, the indicator displays an additional four levels above and under the candle with the probability of hitting these levels.
The indicator helps traders to understand the likelihood of the next candle's direction, which can be used to set your trading bias.
█ Calculations
The algorithm calculates all the green and red candles separately depending on whether the previous candle was red or green and assigns scores if one or more lines were reached. The algorithm then calculates how many candles reached those levels in history and displays it as a percentage value on each line.
█ Example
In this example, the previous candlestick was green; we can see that a new high has been hit 72.82% of the time and the low only 28.29%. In this case, a new high was made.
█ Settings
Percentage Step
The space between the levels can be adjusted with a percentage step. 1% means that each level is located 1% above/under the previous one.
Disable 0.00% values
If a level got a 0% likelihood of being hit, the level is not displayed as default. Enable the option if you want to see all levels regardless of their values.
Number of Lines
Set the number of levels you want to display.
Show Statistic Panel
Enable this option if you want to display the backtest statistics for that a new high or low is made. (Only if the first levels have been reached or not)
█ Any Alert function call
An alert is sent on candle open, and you can select what should be included in the alert. You can enable the following options:
Ticker ID
Bias
Probability percentage
The first level high and low price
█ How to use
This indicator is a perfect tool for anyone that wants to understand the probability of a breakout and the likelihood that set levels are hit.
The indicator can be used for setting a stop loss based on where the price is most likely not to reach.
The indicator can help traders to set their bias based on probability. For example, look at the daily or a higher timeframe to get your trading bias, then go to a lower timeframe and look for setups in that direction.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Backtesting- IndicatorFor anyone interested, Here is an example of how to put backtesting results into an Indicator. This calculates the same values as you find in the Summary Screen of the built in Strategy backtester. This will use the same result size as the standard backtester i.e. 5 minute chart grabs roughly 1 month of data, 1 minute chart grabs 1 week of data, etc... I tried to keep this as self-contained as possible so I put most of the code for the results in the bottom of the Indicator. The results stop at the last completed trade signal i.e. a Buy has a Sell to it. This is the same indicator I posted earlier with the PCT Trailing StopLoss so you will see that code in here as well. As said in my previous posting, the indicator is just a simple EMA crossover to give it something to do and I would not recommend using this indicator on its own, but instead copy the code to your own indicator if you find it useful. I also left the code in so that you can switch back to a Strategy if you want to verify the results.
Additional Notes:
- The results are within an acceptable margin of error due to the fact that the Indicator is having to calculate based on when the Buy and Sell Signal occur as opposed to when actual trades occur like in the Strategy Backtester
- I was trying to find a way to set the number of Buy Signals to use i.e. show me the results from the past 100 trades but couldn't sort out the logic. I am open to suggestions. Also keep in mind I am not a coder by profession so if you have any ideas on that front, please explain it to me as though I am a 5 year old child and provide code examples if possible :)
- I included the Strategy results in the Screen Shots so that you can see where the results line up.
Additional Additional Note:
This is not financial advice. Use at your own risk.
Manual Backtest - Flat the ChartThis script is an utility tool for manual backtesting.
The main problem in backtesting a discretionary strategy is the bias of knowing the future result of the market, in this way all the market will be crushed into a flat line, this way you can avoid bias.
The way to use this indicator is easy and made by 4 step:
Step 1 : add to an asset you won't backtest and put the auto scale on
Step 2 : go to the asset you will backtest and scroll left until the date you want to start
Step 3 : use the replay function of tradingview (15 min chart won't go back more than 18 month)
Step 4: toggle off the indicator or remove from the chart (untill next asset to backtest)
That's not a complex indicator but is what you need to do a fair backtesting
Zendog SHORT DCA Trigger RSI+StochRSIThis is a script that generates a SELL signal by combining RSI and Stochastic RSI into the same script and that can easily be integrated into an external Backtester like the one I published.
The script uses default values for RSI and Stochastic RSI overbought conditions.
They should be adjusted for specific assets and timeframes so they better match the current trend. Please beware you might overfit settings to match a short timeframe trend (like a few days or hours). If this is the case once the trend changes the signals will not be accurate.
The purpose of this script is to provide some pine code that can be used to further combine multiple indicators into a SHORT Deal Start signal.
Integration with the Zendog Backtster:
- add the backtester on the chart
- add this script on the chart
- in the Zendog backtester Deal start type select "External indicator"
- in the Zendog backtester Indicator source and value select "Zendog SHORT DCA Trigger RSI+StochRSI: SIGNAL"
Zendog LONG DCA Trigger RSI+StochRSIThis is a script that generates a BUY signal by combining RSI and Stochastic RSI into the same script and that can easily be integrated into an external Backtester like the one I published.
The script uses default values for RSI and Stochastic RSI oversold conditions.
They should be adjusted for specific assets and timeframes so they better match the current trend. Please beware you might overfit settings to match a short timeframe trend (like a few days or hours). If this is the case once the trend changes the signals will not be accurate.
The purpose of this script is to provide some pine code that can be used to further combine multiple indicators into a LONG Deal Start signal.
Integration with the Zendog Backtster:
- add the backtester on the chart
- add this script on the chart
- in the Zendog backtester Deal start type select "External indicator"
- in the Zendog backtester Indicator source and value select "Zendog LONG DCA Trigger RSI+StochRSI: SIGNAL"
QFL bull bypassThis bypass indicator triggers plots 1 when the price is above the QFL base.
This can be used as a "bypass" by a consumer indicator that can skip trades when the bypass is triggering.
You can use it for long and short strategies, to prevent using buy or sell signals in areas were the price is either overextended.
QFL works better in 1, 2 or 4 hours timeframes.
Inverse Fisher Transform on RSI for backtest w/alertsThis version of the Inverse Fisher Transform on RSI comes with support for
1) Backtesting with Gavin's backtest script
2) Bypass, you can use another indicator to pause buy signals from this indicator. Just create another indicator that plots "1" whenever you want to activate the bypass on the IFTRSI signal.
3) Independent buy and sell level thresholds. Some tokens perform better with a higher sell level, even levels as high as 0.996, sometimes the buy level can also be relaxed to even 0.6 and get incredible results on the 5 minute chart.
4) alerts for Buy and Sell signals
Make sure you add Gavin's backtest and select external signal and this indicator as the source.
TV signal for DCA backtestThis script allows you to backtest Trading View's "Technical Ratings" (Buy, Strong buy, Sell, Strong Sell) using Gavin's backtest script.
To use it add the backtest script to the chart together with this script and then from the back test settings connect the external indicator. You should select "TV Signal" as the source.
Backtesting works best on the 5m chart, but you can still change this script from its settings to higher timeframes.
Encoding
Buy is 1
Strong Buy is 2
Sell is -1
Strong Sell is -2
In the backtest script you can decide which rating you want to use for open deal and which one for close deal.
For example, if you were backtesting a long bot you could enter a long position when TV signal is Buy (1) and close the deal when TV signal is Sell (-1).
You have the full flexibility to decide which technical rating to use for your backtesting.
Enjoy!
Smart AlertsThis indicator provides back-tested signals and alerts from multiple technical indicators.
No more guessing whether or not you should trust an indicator. See your indicators' past performance at a glance.
No more false alarms. Disable re-painting of signals.
When multiple indicators overlap, a Confluence indicator will print (large triangle). With your settings properly tuned, this will show a HIGH probability of a move.
Current Signal/Alert Options (more to come):
RSI Oversold
RSI Overbought
EMA Crossing Up
EMA Crossing Down
Buy Signal Confluence
Sell Signal Confluence
Instructions:
-Enable/disable individual indicators so you can fine tune one at a time
-Adjust the indicator's settings
-Adjust your trade parameters (Max Wait, Take Profit %). Signals that would have given the desired profit in the time allowed will be painted orange.
-Repeat this process with each indicator until you're satisfied
-Set-up alerts
