Fibonacci Bollinger BandsThese Bollinger bands feature Fibonacci retracements to very clearly show areas of support and resistance. The basis is calculate off of the Volume Weighted Moving Average. The Bands are 3 standard deviations away from the mean. 99.73% of observations should be in this range.
BTCUSD
MACDouble + RSI (rec. 15min-2hr intrv) Uses two sets of MACD plus an RSI to either long or short. All three indicators trigger buy/sell as one (ie it's not 'IF MACD1 OR MACD2 OR RSI > 1 = buy", its more like "IF 1 AND 2 AND RSI=buy", all 3 match required for trigger)
The MACD inputs should be tweaked depending on timeframe and what you are trading. If you are doing 1, 3, 5 min or real frequent trading then 21/44/20 and 32/66/29 or other high value MACDs should be considered. If you are doing longer intervals like 2, 3, 4hr then consider 9/19/9 and 21/44/20 for MACDs (experiment! I picked these example #s randomly).
Ideal usage for the MACD sets is to have MACD2 inputs at around 1.5x, 2x, or 3x MACD1's inputs.
Other settings to consider: try having fastlength1=macdlength1 and then (fastlength2 = macdlength2 - 2). Like 10/26/10 and 23/48/20. This seems to increase net profit since it is more likely to trigger before major price moves, but may decrease profitable trade %. Conversely, consider FL1=MCDL1 and FL2 = MCDL2 + (FL2 * 0.5). Example: 10/26/10 and 22/48/30 this can increase profitable trade %, though may cost some net profit.
Feel free to message me with suggestions or questions.
MA PostureA simple script I wrote that allows you to look at the posture of a moving average. Rates of change can be useful to understanding momentum. Additionally, I have included a signal line so you can see if the posture is more or less than average.
MACD, backtest 2015+ only, cut in half and doubledThis is only a slight modification to the existing "MACD Strategy" strategy plugin!
found the default MACD strategy to be lacking, although impressive for its simplicity. I added "year>2014" to the IF buy/sell conditions so it will only backtest from 2015 and beyond ** .
I also had a problem with the standard MACD trading late, per se. To that end I modified the inputs for fast/slow/signal to double. Example: my defaults are 10, 21, 10 so I put 20, 42, 20 in. This has the effect of making a 30min interval the same as 1 hour at 10,21,10. So if you want to backtest at 4hr, you would set your time interval to 2hr on the main chart. This is a handy way to make shorter time periods more useful even regardless of strategy/testing, since you can view 15min with alot less noise but a better response.
Used on BTCCNY OKcoin, with the chart set at 45 min (so really 90min in the strategy) this gave me a percent profitable of 42% and a profit factor of 1.998 on 189 trades.
Personally, I like to set the length/signals to 30,63,30. Meaning you need to triple the time, it allows for much better use of shorter time periods and the backtests are remarkably profitable. (i.e. 15min chart view = 45min on script, 30min= 1.5hr on script)
** If you want more specific time periods you need to try plugging in different bar values: replace "year" with "n" and "2014" with "5500". The bars are based on unix time I believe so you will need to play around with the number for n, with n being the numbers of bars.
BotBotMy version of ChopBot with a little of Gen Opt.
Seems to be good for direction spotting during sideways and uptrend. Works only on 4h HA candles.
Exponential Bollinger BandsThese Bollinger Bands are exponential because the variance is calculated using the exponential moving average, rather than just adding the normal standard deviation to the ema. This may be more useful because the exponential standard deviation should be more sensitive to near term increases or decreases in volatility.
Please do not forget that Bollinger Bands should always be combined with another method of analysis. Bollinger Bands just provide an easy way to gauge where the price could range in. At 2 standard deviations of a continuously random variable, more than 98% of data points are in this range. I am however going to test this in excel to get the average number of data points that stay in the range for Bitcoin. I will upload my findings when I complete that. Please monitor this description if your interested.
[Bitcoin] Lastbattle's nose pickerI've been working on a top and bottom picker script over the past couple of weeks, based on RSI of multiple timeframe closing price. It've been a pretty good trading system that's tested over the last meteoric rise from 220~270 and back down to 230 right now, and I think it should be released to the community.
Sure, I'm not worried about this strategy not working anymore after it is being used by the majority. Everyone have a different view of the market, and this is more towards psychology. It'll likely to hold for as long as there are still humans trading Bitcoins. Bitcoin market is full of emotions, you'll never run out of it.
So why does it work?
If you take a look at the live charts offered by Bitcoinwisdom and Cryptowatch, they only offer 1, 3, 5, and 15 minute timeframe by default with no other option to switch.
Naturally more traders will look at these levels for oversold and overbought condition.
The same indicator does not work for the broader commodities market such as Gold and Silver.
How does it work?
As long as the RSI levels of 1, 3, 5, and 15 minute fulfills the oversold/overbought level, a signal will be given.
The overbought/oversold level gets compensated the higher volatility the market is in.
Note: **
-This is only for exit strategy. If you're on long, consider reducing or exiting your position when it displays a red. On the other hand if you're short, consider reducing or covering your shorts if it shows a green.
-It may give false signal in a trending market, use your trading experience and judgement to filter them out. (eg: uptrend usually have more than 1 legs AND after a long consolidation, RSI gets to oversold/overbought easily... the market will tend to test the support/resistance again.)
-This is tuned for the 15m interval, the script won't work beyond this. I use it for scalping futures. Feel free to change or remove this line 'plot(interval == 15 and '
-Even if it shows a signal, it may not be the true top/bottom. Sometimes there may be a weak diverged leg aka 'last fart', so that's one reason I dont use this for entry until more confirmation is given via other indicators.
** If your chart is zooming all the way down to 0, right click on the price at the right and select 'Scale price only'
Go ahead and try this out with willy, etc and see what works better :D
Credits:
-LazyBear for the volatility switcher script
