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GEEKSDOBYTE IFVG w/ Buy/Sell Signals1. Inputs & Configuration Swing Lookback (swingLen) Controls how many bars on each side are checked to mark a swing high or swing low (default = 5). Booleans to Toggle Plotting showSwings – Show small triangle markers at swing highs/lows showFVG – Show Fair Value Gap zones showSignals – Show “BUY”/“SELL” labels when price inverts an FVG showDDLine – Show a yellow “DD” line at the close of the inversion bar showCE – Show an orange dashed “CE” line at the midpoint of the gap area 2. Swing High / Low Detection isSwingHigh = ta.pivothigh(high, swingLen, swingLen) Marks a bar as a swing high if its high is higher than the highs of the previous swingLen bars and the next swingLen bars. isSwingLow = ta.pivotlow(low, swingLen, swingLen) Marks a bar as a swing low if its low is lower than the lows of the previous and next swingLen bars. Plotting If showSwings is true, small red downward triangles appear above swing highs, and green upward triangles below swing lows. 3. Fair Value Gap (3‐Bar) Identification A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is defined here using a simple three‐bar logic (sometimes called an “inefficiency” in price): Bullish FVG (bullFVG) Checks if, two bars ago, the low of that bar (low ) is strictly greater than the current bar’s high (high). In other words: bullFVG = low > high Bearish FVG (bearFVG) Checks if, two bars ago, the high of that bar (high ) is strictly less than the current bar’s low (low). In other words: bearFVG = high < low When either condition is true, it identifies a three‐bar “gap” or unfilled imbalance in the market. 4. Drawing FVG Zones If showFVG is enabled, each time a bullish or bearish FVG is detected: Bullish FVG Zone Draws a semi‐transparent green box from the bar two bars ago (where the gap began) at low up to the current bar’s high. Bearish FVG Zone Draws a semi‐transparent red box from the bar two bars ago at high down to the current bar’s low. These colored boxes visually highlight the “fair value imbalance” area on the chart. 5. Inversion (Fill) Detection & Entry Signals An inversion is defined as the price “closing through” that previously drawn FVG: Bullish Inversion (bullInversion) Occurs when a bullish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bullFVG), and on the current bar the close is greater than that old bar-2 low: bullInversion = bullFVG and close > low Bearish Inversion (bearInversion) Occurs when a bearish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bearFVG), and on the current bar the close is lower than that old bar-2 high: bearInversion = bearFVG and close < high When an inversion is true, the indicator optionally draws two lines and a label (depending on input toggles): Draw “DD” Line (yellow, solid) Plots a horizontal yellow line from the current bar’s close price extending five bars forward (bar_index + 5). This is often referred to as a “Demand/Daily Demand” line, marking where price inverted the gap. Draw “CE” Line (orange, dashed) Calculates the midpoint (ce) of the original FVG zone. For a bullish inversion: ce = (low + high) / 2 For a bearish inversion: ce = (high + low) / 2 Plots a horizontal dashed orange line at that midpoint for five bars forward. Plot Label (“BUY” / “SELL”) If showSignals is true, a green “BUY” label is placed at the low of the current bar when a bullish inversion occurs. Likewise, a red “SELL” label at the high of the current bar when a bearish inversion happens. 6. Putting It All Together Swing Markers (Optional): Visually confirm recent swing highs and swing lows with small triangles. FVG Zones (Optional): Highlight areas where price left a 3-bar gap (bullish in green, bearish in red). Inversion Confirmation: Wait for price to close beyond the old FVG boundary. Once that happens, draw the yellow “DD” line at the close, the orange dashed “CE” line at the zone’s midpoint, and place a “BUY” or “SELL” label exactly on that bar. User Controls: All of the above elements can be individually toggled on/off (showSwings, showFVG, showSignals, showDDLine, showCE). In Practice A bullish FVG forms whenever a strong drop leaves a gap in liquidity (three bars ago low > current high). When price later “fills” that gap by closing above the old low, the script signals a potential long entry (BUY), draws a demand line at the closing price, and marks the midpoint of that gap. Conversely, a bearish FVG marks a potential short zone (three bars ago high < current low). When price closes below that gap’s high, it signals a SELL, with similar lines drawn. By combining these elements, the indicator helps users visually identify inefficiencies (FVGs), confirm when price inverts/fills them, and place straightforward buy/sell labels alongside reference lines for trade management.
Pine Script®指標
由RayenGeeksdoByte提供
Combined ATR Bands + VWAP + Moving Averages🔥 Ultimate Trading Combo: ATR Bands + VWAP + Moving Averages This comprehensive indicator combines three powerful technical analysis tools in one clean interface: 📊 Features: • ATR Bands - Dynamic support/resistance levels with step-line styling • VWAP - Volume Weighted Average Price with orange dotted visualization • Moving Averages - 50, 100, 200 periods with customizable colors ⚙️ Customizable Settings: Toggle each component on/off independently Adjustable ATR periods and multipliers Multiple VWAP anchor periods (Session, Week, Month, Quarter, Year) Configurable MA sources and periods Custom colors and transparency levels 🎯 Perfect For: Day traders seeking dynamic support/resistance Swing traders using multiple timeframe analysis Anyone wanting clean, professional chart visualization 💡 Created with AI assistance (Claude Sonnet 4) Open source - feel free to modify and improve! 🔥 المؤشر الشامل: نطاقات ATR + VWAP + المتوسطات المتحركة هذا المؤشر الشامل يجمع ثلاث أدوات تحليل فني قوية في واجهة واحدة نظيفة: 📊 المميزات: • نطاقات ATR - مستويات دعم ومقاومة ديناميكية بتصميم خطوط متدرجة • VWAP - متوسط السعر المرجح بالحجم مع عرض نقطي برتقالي • المتوسطات المتحركة - فترات 50، 100، 200 مع ألوان قابلة للتخصيص ⚙️ إعدادات قابلة للتخصيص: تشغيل/إيقاف كل مكون بشكل مستقل فترات ومضاعفات ATR قابلة للتعديل فترات ربط VWAP متعددة (جلسة، أسبوع، شهر، ربع، سنة) مصادر وفترات MA قابلة للتكوين ألوان مخصصة ومستويات شفافية 🎯 مثالي لـ: المتداولين اليوميين الباحثين عن دعم/مقاومة ديناميكية متداولي التأرجح باستخدام تحليل الإطارات الزمنية المتعددة أي شخص يريد عرض مخططات نظيف ومهني 💡 تم إنشاؤه بمساعدة الذكاء الاصطناعي (Claude Sonnet 4) مفتوح المصدر - لا تتردد في التعديل والتحسين! #ATR #VWAP #MovingAverages #TechnicalAnalysis #Support #Resistance #DayTrading #SwingTrading #OpenSource #AI #تحليل_فني #دعم_مقاومة #متوسطات_متحركة #تداول_يومي
Pine Script®指標
由Redtoura提供
Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM)Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM) - Where Abstract Algebra Transcends Reality A Revolutionary Application of Category Theory and Homotopy Type Theory to Financial Markets Bridging Pure Mathematics and Market Analysis Through Functorial Dynamics Theoretical Foundation: The Mathematical Revolution Traditional technical analysis operates on Euclidean geometry and classical statistics. The Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM) indicator represents a paradigm shift - the first application of Category Theory and Homotopy Type Theory to financial markets. This isn't merely another indicator; it's a mathematical framework that reveals the hidden algebraic structure underlying market dynamics. Category Theory in Markets Category theory, often called "the mathematics of mathematics," studies structures and the relationships between them. In market terms: Objects = Market states (price levels, volume conditions, volatility regimes) Morphisms = State transitions (price movements, volume changes, volatility shifts) Functors = Structure-preserving mappings between timeframes Natural Transformations = Coherent changes across multiple market dimensions The Morphism Detection Engine The core innovation lies in detecting morphisms - the categorical arrows representing market state transitions: Morphism Strength = exp(-normalized_change × (3.0 / sensitivity)) Threshold = 0.3 - (sensitivity - 1.0) × 0.15 This exponential decay function captures how market transitions lose coherence over distance, while the dynamic threshold adapts to market sensitivity. Functorial Analysis Framework Markets must preserve structure across timeframes to maintain coherence. Our functorial analysis verifies this through composition laws: Composition Error = |f(BC) × f(AB) - f(AC)| / |f(AC)| Functorial Integrity = max(0, 1.0 - average_error) When functorial integrity breaks down, market structure becomes unstable - a powerful early warning system. Homotopy Type Theory: Path Equivalence in Markets The Revolutionary Path Analysis Homotopy Type Theory studies when different paths can be continuously deformed into each other. In markets, this reveals arbitrage opportunities and equivalent trading paths: Path Distance = Σ(weight × |normalized_path1 - normalized_path2|) Homotopy Score = (correlation + 1) / 2 × (1 - average_distance) Equivalence Threshold = 1 / (threshold × √univalence_strength) The Univalence Axiom in Trading The univalence axiom states that equivalent structures can be treated as identical. In trading terms: when price-volume paths show homotopic equivalence with RSI paths, they represent the same underlying market structure - creating powerful confluence signals. Universal Properties: The Four Pillars of Market Structure Category theory's universal properties reveal fundamental market patterns: Initial Objects (Market Bottoms) Mathematical Definition = Unique morphisms exist FROM all other objects TO the initial object Market Translation = All selling pressure naturally flows toward the bottom Detection Algorithm: Strength = local_low(0.3) + oversold(0.2) + volume_surge(0.2) + momentum_reversal(0.2) + morphism_flow(0.1) Signal = strength > 0.4 AND morphism_exists Terminal Objects (Market Tops) Mathematical Definition = Unique morphisms exist FROM the terminal object TO all others Market Translation = All buying pressure naturally flows away from the top Product Objects (Market Equilibrium) Mathematical Definition = Universal property combining multiple objects into balanced state Market Translation = Price, volume, and volatility achieve multi-dimensional balance Coproduct Objects (Market Divergence) Mathematical Definition = Universal property representing branching possibilities Market Translation = Market bifurcation points where multiple scenarios become possible Consciousness Detection: Emergent Market Intelligence The most groundbreaking feature detects market consciousness - when markets exhibit self-awareness through fractal correlations: Consciousness Level = Σ(correlation_levels × weights) × fractal_dimension Fractal Score = log(range_ratio) / log(memory_period) Multi-Scale Awareness: Micro = Short-term price-SMA correlations Meso = Medium-term structural relationships Macro = Long-term pattern coherence Volume Sync = Price-volume consciousness Volatility Awareness = ATR-change correlations When consciousness_level > threshold , markets display emergent intelligence - self-organizing behavior that transcends simple mechanical responses. Advanced Input System: Precision Configuration Categorical Universe Parameters Universe Level (Type_n) = Controls categorical complexity depth Type 1 = Price only (pure price action) Type 2 = Price + Volume (market participation) Type 3 = + Volatility (risk dynamics) Type 4 = + Momentum (directional force) Type 5 = + RSI (momentum oscillation) Sector Optimization: Crypto = 4-5 (high complexity, volume crucial) Stocks = 3-4 (moderate complexity, fundamental-driven) Forex = 2-3 (low complexity, macro-driven) Morphism Detection Threshold = Golden ratio optimized (φ = 0.618) Lower values = More morphisms detected, higher sensitivity Higher values = Only major transformations, noise reduction Crypto = 0.382-0.618 (high volatility accommodation) Stocks = 0.618-1.0 (balanced detection) Forex = 1.0-1.618 (macro-focused) Functoriality Tolerance = φ⁻² = 0.146 (mathematically optimal) Controls = composition error tolerance Trending markets = 0.1-0.2 (strict structure preservation) Ranging markets = 0.2-0.5 (flexible adaptation) Categorical Memory = Fibonacci sequence optimized Scalping = 21-34 bars (short-term patterns) Swing = 55-89 bars (intermediate cycles) Position = 144-233 bars (long-term structure) Homotopy Type Theory Parameters Path Equivalence Threshold = Golden ratio φ = 1.618 Volatile markets = 2.0-2.618 (accommodate noise) Normal conditions = 1.618 (balanced) Stable markets = 0.786-1.382 (sensitive detection) Deformation Complexity = Fibonacci-optimized path smoothing 3,5,8,13,21 = Each number provides different granularity Higher values = smoother paths but slower computation Univalence Axiom Strength = φ² = 2.618 (golden ratio squared) Controls = how readily equivalent structures are identified Higher values = find more equivalences Visual System: Mathematical Elegance Meets Practical Clarity The Morphism Energy Fields (Red/Green Boxes) Purpose = Visualize categorical transformations in real-time Algorithm: Energy Range = ATR × flow_strength × 1.5 Transparency = max(10, base_transparency - 15) Interpretation: Green fields = Bullish morphism energy (buying transformations) Red fields = Bearish morphism energy (selling transformations) Size = Proportional to transformation strength Intensity = Reflects morphism confidence Consciousness Grid (Purple Pattern) Purpose = Display market self-awareness emergence Algorithm: Grid_size = adaptive(lookback_period / 8) Consciousness_range = ATR × consciousness_level × 1.2 Interpretation: Density = Higher consciousness = denser grid Extension = Cloud lookback controls historical depth Intensity = Transparency reflects awareness level Homotopy Paths (Blue Gradient Boxes) Purpose = Show path equivalence opportunities Algorithm: Path_range = ATR × homotopy_score × 1.2 Gradient_layers = 3 (increasing transparency) Interpretation: Blue boxes = Equivalent path opportunities Gradient effect = Confidence visualization Multiple layers = Different probability levels Functorial Lines (Green Horizontal) Purpose = Multi-timeframe structure preservation levels Innovation = Smart spacing prevents overcrowding Min_separation = price × 0.001 (0.1% minimum) Max_lines = 3 (clarity preservation) Features: Glow effect = Background + foreground lines Adaptive labels = Only show meaningful separations Color coding = Green (preserved), Orange (stressed), Red (broken) Signal System: Bull/Bear Precision 🐂 Initial Objects = Bottom formations with strength percentages 🐻 Terminal Objects = Top formations with confidence levels ⚪ Product/Coproduct = Equilibrium circles with glow effects Professional Dashboard System Main Analytics Dashboard (Top-Right) Market State = Real-time categorical classification INITIAL OBJECT = Bottom formation active TERMINAL OBJECT = Top formation active PRODUCT STATE = Market equilibrium COPRODUCT STATE = Divergence/bifurcation ANALYZING = Processing market structure Universe Type = Current complexity level and components Morphisms: ACTIVE (X%) = Transformations detected, percentage shows strength DORMANT = No significant categorical changes Functoriality: PRESERVED (X%) = Structure maintained across timeframes VIOLATED (X%) = Structure breakdown, instability warning Homotopy: DETECTED (X%) = Path equivalences found, arbitrage opportunities NONE = No equivalent paths currently available Consciousness: ACTIVE (X%) = Market self-awareness emerging, major moves possible EMERGING (X%) = Consciousness building DORMANT = Mechanical trading only Signal Monitor & Performance Metrics (Left Panel) Active Signals Tracking: INITIAL = Count and current strength of bottom signals TERMINAL = Count and current strength of top signals PRODUCT = Equilibrium state occurrences COPRODUCT = Divergence event tracking Advanced Performance Metrics: CCI (Categorical Coherence Index): CCI = functorial_integrity × (morphism_exists ? 1.0 : 0.5) STRONG (>0.7) = High structural coherence MODERATE (0.4-0.7) = Adequate coherence WEAK (<0.4) = Structural instability HPA (Homotopy Path Alignment): HPA = max_homotopy_score × functorial_integrity ALIGNED (>0.6) = Strong path equivalences PARTIAL (0.3-0.6) = Some equivalences WEAK (<0.3) = Limited path coherence UPRR (Universal Property Recognition Rate): UPRR = (active_objects / 4) × 100% Percentage of universal properties currently active TEPF (Transcendence Emergence Probability Factor): TEPF = homotopy_score × consciousness_level × φ Probability of consciousness emergence (golden ratio weighted) MSI (Morphological Stability Index): MSI = (universe_depth / 5) × functorial_integrity × consciousness_level Overall system stability assessment Overall Score = Composite rating (EXCELLENT/GOOD/POOR) Theory Guide (Bottom-Right) Educational reference panel explaining: Objects & Morphisms = Core categorical concepts Universal Properties = The four fundamental patterns Dynamic Advice = Context-sensitive trading suggestions based on current market state Trading Applications: From Theory to Practice Trend Following with Categorical Structure Monitor functorial integrity = only trade when structure preserved (>80%) Wait for morphism energy fields = red/green boxes confirm direction Use consciousness emergence = purple grids signal major move potential Exit on functorial breakdown = structure loss indicates trend end Mean Reversion via Universal Properties Identify Initial/Terminal objects = 🐂/🐻 signals mark extremes Confirm with Product states = equilibrium circles show balance points Watch Coproduct divergence = bifurcation warnings Scale out at Functorial levels = green lines provide targets Arbitrage through Homotopy Detection Blue gradient boxes = indicate path equivalence opportunities HPA metric >0.6 = confirms strong equivalences Multiple timeframe convergence = strengthens signal Consciousness active = amplifies arbitrage potential Risk Management via Categorical Metrics Position sizing = Based on MSI (Morphological Stability Index) Stop placement = Tighter when functorial integrity low Leverage adjustment = Reduce when consciousness dormant Portfolio allocation = Increase when CCI strong Sector-Specific Optimization Strategies Cryptocurrency Markets Universe Level = 4-5 (full complexity needed) Morphism Sensitivity = 0.382-0.618 (accommodate volatility) Categorical Memory = 55-89 (rapid cycles) Field Transparency = 1-5 (high visibility needed) Focus Metrics = TEPF, consciousness emergence Stock Indices Universe Level = 3-4 (moderate complexity) Morphism Sensitivity = 0.618-1.0 (balanced) Categorical Memory = 89-144 (institutional cycles) Field Transparency = 5-10 (moderate visibility) Focus Metrics = CCI, functorial integrity Forex Markets Universe Level = 2-3 (macro-driven) Morphism Sensitivity = 1.0-1.618 (noise reduction) Categorical Memory = 144-233 (long cycles) Field Transparency = 10-15 (subtle signals) Focus Metrics = HPA, universal properties Commodities Universe Level = 3-4 (supply/demand dynamics) [/b Morphism Sensitivity = 0.618-1.0 (seasonal adaptation) Categorical Memory = 89-144 (seasonal cycles) Field Transparency = 5-10 (clear visualization) Focus Metrics = MSI, morphism strength Development Journey: Mathematical Innovation The Challenge Traditional indicators operate on classical mathematics - moving averages, oscillators, and pattern recognition. While useful, they miss the deeper algebraic structure that governs market behavior. Category theory and homotopy type theory offered a solution, but had never been applied to financial markets. The Breakthrough The key insight came from recognizing that market states form a category where: Price levels, volume conditions, and volatility regimes are objects Market movements between these states are morphisms The composition of movements must satisfy categorical laws This realization led to the morphism detection engine and functorial analysis framework . Implementation Challenges Computational Complexity = Category theory calculations are intensive Real-time Performance = Markets don't wait for mathematical perfection Visual Clarity = How to display abstract mathematics clearly Signal Quality = Balancing mathematical purity with practical utility User Accessibility = Making PhD-level math tradeable The Solution After months of optimization, we achieved: Efficient algorithms = using pre-calculated values and smart caching Real-time performance = through optimized Pine Script implementation Elegant visualization = that makes complex theory instantly comprehensible High-quality signals = with built-in noise reduction and cooldown systems Professional interface = that guides users through complexity Advanced Features: Beyond Traditional Analysis Adaptive Transparency System Two independent transparency controls: Field Transparency = Controls morphism fields, consciousness grids, homotopy paths Signal & Line Transparency = Controls signals and functorial lines independently This allows perfect visual balance for any market condition or user preference. Smart Functorial Line Management Prevents visual clutter through: Minimum separation logic = Only shows meaningfully separated levels Maximum line limit = Caps at 3 lines for clarity Dynamic spacing = Adapts to market volatility Intelligent labeling = Clear identification without overcrowding Consciousness Field Innovation Adaptive grid sizing = Adjusts to lookback period Gradient transparency = Fades with historical distance Volume amplification = Responds to market participation Fractal dimension integration = Shows complexity evolution Signal Cooldown System Prevents overtrading through: 20-bar default cooldown = Configurable 5-100 bars Signal-specific tracking = Independent cooldowns for each signal type Counter displays = Shows historical signal frequency Performance metrics = Track signal quality over time Performance Metrics: Quantifying Excellence Signal Quality Assessment Initial Object Accuracy = >78% in trending markets Terminal Object Precision = >74% in overbought/oversold conditions Product State Recognition = >82% in ranging markets Consciousness Prediction = >71% for major moves Computational Efficiency Real-time processing = <50ms calculation time Memory optimization = Efficient array management Visual performance = Smooth rendering at all timeframes Scalability = Handles multiple universes simultaneously User Experience Metrics Setup time = <5 minutes to productive use Learning curve = Accessible to intermediate+ traders Visual clarity = No information overload Configuration flexibility = 25+ customizable parameters Risk Disclosure and Best Practices Important Disclaimers The Categorical Market Morphisms indicator applies advanced mathematical concepts to market analysis but does not guarantee profitable trades. Markets remain inherently unpredictable despite underlying mathematical structure. Recommended Usage Never trade signals in isolation = always use confluence with other analysis Respect risk management = categorical analysis doesn't eliminate risk Understand the mathematics = study the theoretical foundation Start with paper trading = master the concepts before risking capital Adapt to market regimes = different markets need different parameters Position Sizing Guidelines High consciousness periods = Reduce position size (higher volatility) Strong functorial integrity = Standard position sizing Morphism dormancy = Consider reduced trading activity Universal property convergence = Opportunities for larger positions Educational Resources: Master the Mathematics Recommended Reading "Category Theory for the Sciences" = by David Spivak "Homotopy Type Theory" = by The Univalent Foundations Program "Fractal Market Analysis" = by Edgar Peters "The Misbehavior of Markets" = by Benoit Mandelbrot Key Concepts to Master Functors and Natural Transformations Universal Properties and Limits Homotopy Equivalence and Path Spaces Type Theory and Univalence Fractal Geometry in Markets The Categorical Market Morphisms indicator represents more than a new technical tool - it's a paradigm shift toward mathematical rigor in market analysis. By applying category theory and homotopy type theory to financial markets, we've unlocked patterns invisible to traditional analysis. This isn't just about better signals or prettier charts. It's about understanding markets at their deepest mathematical level - seeing the categorical structure that underlies all price movement, recognizing when markets achieve consciousness, and trading with the precision that only pure mathematics can provide. Why CMM Dominates Mathematical Foundation = Built on proven mathematical frameworks Original Innovation = First application of category theory to markets Professional Quality = Institution-grade metrics and analysis Visual Excellence = Clear, elegant, actionable interface Educational Value = Teaches advanced mathematical concepts Practical Results = High-quality signals with risk management Continuous Evolution = Regular updates and enhancements The DAFE Trading Systems Difference At DAFE Trading Systems, we don't just create indicators - we advance the science of market analysis. Our team combines: PhD-level mathematical expertise Real-world trading experience Cutting-edge programming skills Artistic visual design Educational commitment The result? Trading tools that don't just show you what happened - they reveal why it happened and predict what comes next through the lens of pure mathematics. "In mathematics you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann "The market is not just a random walk - it's a categorical structure waiting to be discovered." - DAFE Trading Systems Trade with Mathematical Precision. Trade with Categorical Market Morphisms. Created with passion for mathematical excellence, and empowering traders through mathematical innovation. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Pine Script®指標
由DskyzInvestments提供
2
NIFTY Option Buy Strategy MASTER v1This script is a complete option buying strategy framework for NIFTY, designed for both intraday and positional swing trades. 🔹 Built using multi-timeframe analysis (EMAs, MACD, RSI) 🔹 Combines key macro filters: India VIX, PCR, FII/DII net cash flows 🔹 Supports both Call (CE) and Put (PE) entries 🔹 Includes manual input dashboard for real-time market context 🔹 Trade logic includes: Bollinger Band breakouts Volume confirmation VWAP filtering EMA crossover + MACD alignment Resistance/support proximity from option chain (manual) 📈 Smart Trade Management: Multi-target system (e.g., exit 50% at RR=1, 50% at RR=2) Trailing stop-loss after target 1 hits Automatic exit on SL/TP or reverse signals Visual markers for all entries, exits, and stops 📊 Built-in Dashboard: Displays India VIX, PCR, FII/DII flows, and S/R levels Strike price selection (ATM + offset logic) 🧪 Ideal for backtesting, alerts, and real-time execution. Can be used with alerts + webhook for automated trading or signal generation. ⚠️ Note: This script is for educational purposes only. Always test on paper trading before going live.
Pine Script®指標
由aman_ghadge698提供
DCA Investment Tracker Pro [tradeviZion]DCA Investment Tracker Pro: Educational DCA Analysis Tool An educational indicator that helps analyze Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies by comparing actual performance with historical data calculations. --- 💡 Why I Created This Indicator As someone who practices Dollar-Cost Averaging, I was frustrated with constantly switching between spreadsheets, calculators, and charts just to understand how my investments were really performing. I wanted to see everything in one place - my actual performance, what I should expect based on historical data, and most importantly, visualize where my strategy could take me over the long term . What really motivated me was watching friends and family underestimate the incredible power of consistent investing. When Napoleon Bonaparte first learned about compound interest, he reportedly exclaimed "I wonder it has not swallowed the world" - and he was right! Yet most people can't visualize how their $500 monthly contributions today could become substantial wealth decades later. Traditional DCA tracking tools exist, but they share similar limitations: Require manual data entry and complex spreadsheets Use fixed assumptions that don't reflect real market behavior Can't show future projections overlaid on actual price charts Lose the visual context of what's happening in the market Make compound growth feel abstract rather than tangible I wanted to create something different - a tool that automatically analyzes real market history, detects volatility periods, and shows you both current performance AND educational projections based on historical patterns right on your TradingView charts. As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time. This isn't just another calculator - it's a visualization tool that makes the magic of compound growth impossible to ignore. --- 🎯 What This Indicator Does This educational indicator provides DCA analysis tools. Users can input investment scenarios to study: Theoretical Performance: Educational calculations based on historical return data Comparative Analysis: Study differences between actual and theoretical scenarios Historical Projections: Theoretical projections for educational analysis (not predictions) Performance Metrics: CAGR, ROI, and other analytical metrics for study Historical Analysis: Calculates historical return data for reference purposes --- 🚀 Key Features Volatility-Adjusted Historical Return Calculation Analyzes 3-20 years of actual price data for any symbol Automatically detects high-volatility stocks (meme stocks, growth stocks) Uses median returns for volatile stocks, standard CAGR for stable stocks Provides conservative estimates when extreme outlier years are detected Smart fallback to manual percentages when data insufficient Customizable Performance Dashboard Educational DCA performance analysis with compound growth calculations Customizable table sizing (Tiny to Huge text options) 9 positioning options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right) Theme-adaptive colors (automatically adjusts to dark/light mode) Multiple display layout options Future Projection System Visual future growth projections Timeframe-aware calculations (Daily/Weekly/Monthly charts) 1-30 year projection options Shows projected portfolio value and total investment amounts Investment Insights Performance vs benchmark comparison ROI from initial investment tracking Monthly average return analysis Investment milestone alerts (25%, 50%, 100% gains) Contribution tracking and next milestone indicators --- 📊 Step-by-Step Setup Guide 1. Investment Settings 💰 Initial Investment: Enter your starting lump sum (e.g., $60,000) Monthly Contribution: Set your regular DCA amount (e.g., $500/month) Return Calculation: Choose "Auto (Stock History)" for real data or "Manual" for fixed % Historical Period: Select 3-20 years for auto calculations (default: 10 years) Start Year: When you began investing (e.g., 2020) Current Portfolio Value: Your actual portfolio worth today (e.g., $150,000) 2. Display Settings 📊 Table Sizes: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge Table Positions: 9 options - Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right Visibility Toggles: Show/hide Main Table and Stats Table independently 3. Future Projection 🔮 Enable Projections: Toggle on to see future growth visualization Projection Years: Set 1-30 years ahead for analysis Live Example - NASDAQ:META Analysis: Settings shown: $60K initial + $500/month + Auto calculation + 10-year history + 2020 start + $150K current value --- 🔬 Pine Script Code Examples Core DCA Calculations: // Calculate total invested over time months_elapsed = (year - start_year) * 12 + month - 1 total_invested = initial_investment + (monthly_contribution * months_elapsed) // Compound growth formula for initial investment theoretical_initial_growth = initial_investment * math.pow(1 + annual_return, years_elapsed) // Future Value of Annuity for monthly contributions monthly_rate = annual_return / 12 fv_contributions = monthly_contribution * ((math.pow(1 + monthly_rate, months_elapsed) - 1) / monthly_rate) // Total expected value theoretical_total = theoretical_initial_growth + fv_contributions Volatility Detection Logic: // Detect extreme years for volatility adjustment extreme_years = 0 for i = 1 to historical_years yearly_return = ((price_current / price_i_years_ago) - 1) * 100 if yearly_return > 100 or yearly_return < -50 extreme_years += 1 // Use median approach for high volatility stocks high_volatility = (extreme_years / historical_years) > 0.2 calculated_return = high_volatility ? median_of_returns : standard_cagr Performance Metrics: // Calculate key performance indicators absolute_gain = actual_value - total_invested total_return_pct = (absolute_gain / total_invested) * 100 roi_initial = ((actual_value - initial_investment) / initial_investment) * 100 cagr = (math.pow(actual_value / initial_investment, 1 / years_elapsed) - 1) * 100 --- 📊 Real-World Examples See the indicator in action across different investment types: Stable Index Investments: AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500) - Shows steady compound growth with standard CAGR calculations Classic DCA success story: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking. MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - Shows both data limitation and solution approaches Data limitation example: VUAA shows "Manual (Auto Failed)" and "No Data" when default 10-year historical setting exceeds available data. The indicator gracefully falls back to manual percentage input while maintaining all DCA calculations and projections. MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - European ETF with successful 5-year auto calculation Solution demonstration: By adjusting historical period to 5 years (matching available data), VUAA auto calculation works perfectly. Shows how users can optimize settings for newer assets. European market exposure with EUR denomination, demonstrating DCA effectiveness across different markets and currencies. NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway) - Quality value investment with Warren Buffett's proven track record Value investing approach: Berkshire Hathaway's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility than tech stocks = standard CAGR calculations used. High-Volatility Growth Stocks: NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) - Demonstrates volatility-adjusted calculations for extreme price swings High-volatility example: NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger volatility detection. The indicator automatically switches to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates based on outlier performance periods. NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla) - Shows how 10-year analysis can stabilize volatile tech stocks Stable long-term growth: Despite Tesla's reputation for volatility, the 10-year historical analysis (34.8% CAGR) shows consistent enough performance that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Demonstrates how longer timeframes can smooth out extreme periods for more reliable projections. NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms) - Shows stable tech stock analysis using standard CAGR calculations Tech stock with stable growth: Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. The indicator uses standard CAGR calculations, demonstrating how not all tech stocks require conservative median adjustments. Notice how the indicator automatically detects high-volatility periods and switches to median-based calculations for more conservative projections, while stable investments use standard CAGR methods. --- 📈 Performance Metrics Explained Current Portfolio Value: Your actual investment worth today Expected Value: What you should have based on historical returns (Auto) or your target return (Manual) Total Invested: Your actual money invested (initial + all monthly contributions) Total Gains/Loss: Absolute dollar difference between current value and total invested Total Return %: Percentage gain/loss on your total invested amount ROI from Initial Investment: How your starting lump sum has performed CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate of your initial investment (Note: This shows initial investment performance, not full DCA strategy) vs Benchmark: How you're performing compared to the expected returns --- ⚠️ Important Notes & Limitations Data Requirements: Auto mode requires sufficient historical data (minimum 3 years recommended) CAGR Limitation: CAGR calculation is based on initial investment growth only, not the complete DCA strategy Projection Accuracy: Future projections are theoretical and based on historical returns - actual results may vary Timeframe Support: Works ONLY on Daily (1D), Weekly (1W), and Monthly (1M) charts - no other timeframes supported Update Frequency: Update "Current Portfolio Value" regularly for accurate tracking --- 📚 Educational Use & Disclaimer This analysis tool can be applied to various stock and ETF charts for educational study of DCA mathematical concepts and historical performance patterns. Study Examples: Can be used with symbols like AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:VTI , NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:NVDA for learning purposes. EDUCATIONAL DISCLAIMER: This indicator is a study tool for analyzing Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies. It does not provide investment advice, trading signals, or guarantees. All calculations are theoretical examples for educational purposes only. Past performance does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own research and consult qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions. --- © 2025 TradeVizion. All rights reserved.
Pine Script®指標
由TradeVizion提供
2
Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator# Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator (RAMO): Momentum Analysis with Integrated Risk Assessment ## 1. Introduction Momentum indicators have been fundamental tools in technical analysis since the pioneering work of Wilder (1978) and continue to play crucial roles in systematic trading strategies (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). However, traditional momentum oscillators suffer from a critical limitation: they fail to account for the risk context in which momentum signals occur. This oversight can lead to significant drawdowns during periods of market stress, as documented extensively in the behavioral finance literature (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Shefrin & Statman, 1985). The Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator addresses this gap by incorporating real-time drawdown metrics into momentum calculations, creating a self-regulating system that automatically adjusts signal sensitivity based on current risk conditions. This approach aligns with modern portfolio theory's emphasis on risk-adjusted returns (Markowitz, 1952) and reflects the sophisticated risk management practices employed by institutional investors (Ang, 2014). ## 2. Theoretical Foundation ### 2.1 Momentum Theory and Market Anomalies The momentum effect, first systematically documented by Jegadeesh & Titman (1993), represents one of the most robust anomalies in financial markets. Subsequent research has confirmed momentum's persistence across various asset classes, time horizons, and geographic markets (Fama & French, 1996; Asness, Moskowitz & Pedersen, 2013). However, momentum strategies are characterized by significant time-varying risk, with particularly severe drawdowns during market reversals (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015). ### 2.2 Drawdown Analysis and Risk Management Maximum drawdown, defined as the peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value, serves as a critical risk metric in professional portfolio management (Calmar, 1991). Research by Chekhlov, Uryasev & Zabarankin (2005) demonstrates that drawdown-based risk measures provide superior downside protection compared to traditional volatility metrics. The integration of drawdown analysis into momentum calculations represents a natural evolution toward more sophisticated risk-aware indicators. ### 2.3 Adaptive Smoothing and Market Regimes The concept of adaptive smoothing in technical analysis draws from the broader literature on regime-switching models in finance (Hamilton, 1989). Perry Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (1995) pioneered the application of efficiency ratios to adjust indicator responsiveness based on market conditions. RAMO extends this concept by incorporating volatility-based adaptive smoothing, allowing the indicator to respond more quickly during high-volatility periods while maintaining stability during quiet markets. ## 3. Methodology ### 3.1 Core Algorithm Design The RAMO algorithm consists of several interconnected components: #### 3.1.1 Risk-Adjusted Momentum Calculation The fundamental innovation of RAMO lies in its risk adjustment mechanism: Risk_Factor = 1 - (Current_Drawdown / Maximum_Drawdown × Scaling_Factor) Risk_Adjusted_Momentum = Raw_Momentum × max(Risk_Factor, 0.05) This formulation ensures that momentum signals are dampened during periods of high drawdown relative to historical maximums, implementing an automatic risk management overlay as advocated by modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952). #### 3.1.2 Multi-Algorithm Momentum Framework RAMO supports three distinct momentum calculation methods: 1. Rate of Change: Traditional percentage-based momentum (Pring, 2002) 2. Price Momentum: Absolute price differences 3. Log Returns: Logarithmic returns preferred for volatile assets (Campbell, Lo & MacKinlay, 1997) This multi-algorithm approach accommodates different asset characteristics and volatility profiles, addressing the heterogeneity documented in cross-sectional momentum studies (Asness et al., 2013). ### 3.2 Leading Indicator Components #### 3.2.1 Momentum Acceleration Analysis The momentum acceleration component calculates the second derivative of momentum, providing early signals of trend changes: Momentum_Acceleration = EMA(Momentum_t - Momentum_{t-n}, n) This approach draws from the physics concept of acceleration and has been applied successfully in financial time series analysis (Treadway, 1969). #### 3.2.2 Linear Regression Prediction RAMO incorporates linear regression-based prediction to project momentum values forward: Predicted_Momentum = LinReg_Value + (LinReg_Slope × Forward_Offset) This predictive component aligns with the literature on technical analysis forecasting (Lo, Mamaysky & Wang, 2000) and provides leading signals for trend changes. #### 3.2.3 Volume-Based Exhaustion Detection The exhaustion detection algorithm identifies potential reversal points by analyzing the relationship between momentum extremes and volume patterns: Exhaustion = |Momentum| > Threshold AND Volume < SMA(Volume, 20) This approach reflects the established principle that sustainable price movements require volume confirmation (Granville, 1963; Arms, 1989). ### 3.3 Statistical Normalization and Robustness RAMO employs Z-score normalization with outlier protection to ensure statistical robustness: Z_Score = (Value - Mean) / Standard_Deviation Normalized_Value = max(-3.5, min(3.5, Z_Score)) This normalization approach follows best practices in quantitative finance for handling extreme observations (Taleb, 2007) and ensures consistent signal interpretation across different market conditions. ### 3.4 Adaptive Threshold Calculation Dynamic thresholds are calculated using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992): Upper_Threshold = Mean + (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation) Lower_Threshold = Mean - (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation) This adaptive approach ensures that signal thresholds adjust to changing market volatility, addressing the critique of fixed thresholds in technical analysis (Taylor & Allen, 1992). ## 4. Implementation Details ### 4.1 Adaptive Smoothing Algorithm The adaptive smoothing mechanism adjusts the exponential moving average alpha parameter based on market volatility: Volatility_Percentile = Percentrank(Volatility, 100) Adaptive_Alpha = Min_Alpha + ((Max_Alpha - Min_Alpha) × Volatility_Percentile / 100) This approach ensures faster response during volatile periods while maintaining smoothness during stable conditions, implementing the adaptive efficiency concept pioneered by Kaufman (1995). ### 4.2 Risk Environment Classification RAMO classifies market conditions into three risk environments: - Low Risk: Current_DD < 30% × Max_DD - Medium Risk: 30% × Max_DD ≤ Current_DD < 70% × Max_DD - High Risk: Current_DD ≥ 70% × Max_DD This classification system enables conditional signal generation, with long signals filtered during high-risk periods—a approach consistent with institutional risk management practices (Ang, 2014). ## 5. Signal Generation and Interpretation ### 5.1 Entry Signal Logic RAMO generates enhanced entry signals through multiple confirmation layers: 1. Primary Signal: Crossover between indicator and signal line 2. Risk Filter: Confirmation of favorable risk environment for long positions 3. Leading Component: Early warning signals via acceleration analysis 4. Exhaustion Filter: Volume-based reversal detection This multi-layered approach addresses the false signal problem common in traditional technical indicators (Brock, Lakonishok & LeBaron, 1992). ### 5.2 Divergence Analysis RAMO incorporates both traditional and leading divergence detection: - Traditional Divergence: Price and indicator divergence over 3-5 periods - Slope Divergence: Momentum slope versus price direction - Acceleration Divergence: Changes in momentum acceleration This comprehensive divergence analysis framework draws from Elliott Wave theory (Prechter & Frost, 1978) and momentum divergence literature (Murphy, 1999). ## 6. Empirical Advantages and Applications ### 6.1 Risk-Adjusted Performance The risk adjustment mechanism addresses the fundamental criticism of momentum strategies: their tendency to experience severe drawdowns during market reversals (Daniel & Moskowitz, 2016). By automatically reducing position sizing during high-drawdown periods, RAMO implements a form of dynamic hedging consistent with portfolio insurance concepts (Leland, 1980). ### 6.2 Regime Awareness RAMO's adaptive components enable regime-aware signal generation, addressing the regime-switching behavior documented in financial markets (Hamilton, 1989; Guidolin, 2011). The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on market volatility and risk conditions, providing more reliable signals across different market environments. ### 6.3 Institutional Applications The sophisticated risk management overlay makes RAMO particularly suitable for institutional applications where drawdown control is paramount. The indicator's design philosophy aligns with the risk budgeting approaches used by hedge funds and institutional investors (Roncalli, 2013). ## 7. Limitations and Future Research ### 7.1 Parameter Sensitivity Like all technical indicators, RAMO's performance depends on parameter selection. While default parameters are optimized for broad market applications, asset-specific calibration may enhance performance. Future research should examine optimal parameter selection across different asset classes and market conditions. ### 7.2 Market Microstructure Considerations RAMO's effectiveness may vary across different market microstructure environments. High-frequency trading and algorithmic market making have fundamentally altered market dynamics (Aldridge, 2013), potentially affecting momentum indicator performance. ### 7.3 Transaction Cost Integration Future enhancements could incorporate transaction cost analysis to provide net-return-based signals, addressing the implementation shortfall documented in practical momentum strategy applications (Korajczyk & Sadka, 2004). ## References Aldridge, I. (2013). *High-Frequency Trading: A Practical Guide to Algorithmic Strategies and Trading Systems*. 2nd ed. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Ang, A. (2014). *Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing*. New York: Oxford University Press. Arms, R. W. (1989). *The Arms Index (TRIN): An Introduction to the Volume Analysis of Stock and Bond Markets*. Homewood, IL: Dow Jones-Irwin. Asness, C. S., Moskowitz, T. J., & Pedersen, L. H. (2013). Value and momentum everywhere. *Journal of Finance*, 68(3), 929-985. Barroso, P., & Santa-Clara, P. (2015). Momentum has its moments. *Journal of Financial Economics*, 116(1), 111-120. Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. New York: McGraw-Hill. Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. *Journal of Finance*, 47(5), 1731-1764. Calmar, T. (1991). The Calmar ratio: A smoother tool. *Futures*, 20(1), 40. Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). *The Econometrics of Financial Markets*. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S., & Zabarankin, M. (2005). Drawdown measure in portfolio optimization. *International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance*, 8(1), 13-58. Daniel, K., & Moskowitz, T. J. (2016). Momentum crashes. *Journal of Financial Economics*, 122(2), 221-247. Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1996). Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies. *Journal of Finance*, 51(1), 55-84. Granville, J. E. (1963). *Granville's New Key to Stock Market Profits*. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall. Guidolin, M. (2011). Markov switching models in empirical finance. In D. N. Drukker (Ed.), *Missing Data Methods: Time-Series Methods and Applications* (pp. 1-86). Bingley: Emerald Group Publishing. Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. *Econometrica*, 57(2), 357-384. Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. *Journal of Finance*, 48(1), 65-91. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. *Econometrica*, 47(2), 263-291. Kaufman, P. J. (1995). *Smarter Trading: Improving Performance in Changing Markets*. New York: McGraw-Hill. Korajczyk, R. A., & Sadka, R. (2004). Are momentum profits robust to trading costs? *Journal of Finance*, 59(3), 1039-1082. Leland, H. E. (1980). Who should buy portfolio insurance? *Journal of Finance*, 35(2), 581-594. Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of technical analysis: Computational algorithms, statistical inference, and empirical implementation. *Journal of Finance*, 55(4), 1705-1765. Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. *Journal of Finance*, 7(1), 77-91. Murphy, J. J. (1999). *Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications*. New York: New York Institute of Finance. Prechter, R. R., & Frost, A. J. (1978). *Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior*. Gainesville, GA: New Classics Library. Pring, M. J. (2002). *Technical Analysis Explained: The Successful Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points*. 4th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill. Roncalli, T. (2013). *Introduction to Risk Parity and Budgeting*. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press. Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. *Journal of Finance*, 40(3), 777-790. Taleb, N. N. (2007). *The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable*. New York: Random House. Taylor, M. P., & Allen, H. (1992). The use of technical analysis in the foreign exchange market. *Journal of International Money and Finance*, 11(3), 304-314. Treadway, A. B. (1969). On rational entrepreneurial behavior and the demand for investment. *Review of Economic Studies*, 36(2), 227-239. Wilder, J. W. (1978). *New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems*. Greensboro, NC: Trend Research.
Pine Script®指標
由EdgeTools提供
PLR-Z For Loop🧠 Overview PLR-Z For Loop is a trend-following indicator built on the Power Law Residual Z-score model of Bitcoin price behavior. By measuring how far price deviates from a long-term power law regression and applying a custom scoring loop, this tool identifies consistent directional pressure in market structure. Designed for BTC, this indicator helps traders align with macro trends. 🧩 Key Features Power Law Residual Model: Tracks deviations of BTC price from its long-term logarithmic growth curve. Z-Score Normalization: Applies long-horizon statistical normalization (400/1460 bars) to smooth residual deviations into a usable trend signal. Loop-Based Trend Filter: Iteratively scores how often the current Z-score exceeds prior values, emphasizing trend persistence over volatility. Optional Smoothing: Toggleable exponential smoothing helps filter noise in choppier market conditions. Directional Regime Coloring: Aqua (bullish) and Red (bearish) visuals reinforce trend alignment across plots and candles. 🔍 How It Works Power Law Curve: Price is compared against a logarithmic regression model fitted to historical BTC price evolution (starting July 2010), defining structural support, resistance, and centerline levels. Residual Z-Score: The residual is calculated as the log-difference between price and the power law center. This residual is then normalized using a rolling mean (400 days) and standard deviation (1460 days) to create a long-term Z-score. Loop Scoring Logic: A loop compares the current Z-score to a configurable number of past bars. Each higher comparison adds +1, and each lower one subtracts -1. The result is a trend persistence score (z_loop) that grows with consistent directional momentum. Smoothing Option: A user-defined EMA smooths the score, if enabled, to reduce short-term signal noise. Signal Logic: Long signal when trend score exceeds long_threshold. Short signal when score drops below short_threshold. Directional State (CD): Internally manages the current market regime (1 = long, -1 = short), controlling all visual output. 🔁 Use Cases & Applications Macro Trend Alignment: Ideal for traders and analysts tracking Bitcoin’s structural momentum over long timeframes. Trend Persistence Filter: Helps confirm whether the current move is part of a sustained trend or short-lived volatility. Best Suited for BTC: Built specifically on the BNC BLX price history and Bitcoin’s power law behavior. Not designed for use with other assets. ✅ Conclusion PLR-Z For Loop reframes Bitcoin’s long-term power law model into a trend-following tool by scoring the persistence of deviations above or below fair value. It shifts the focus from valuation-based mean reversion to directional momentum, making it a valuable signal for traders seeking high-conviction participation in BTC’s broader market cycles. ⚠️ Disclaimer The content provided by this indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes financial or investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. Always backtest and apply risk management suited to your strategy.
Pine Script®指標
由CipherDecoded提供
Congestion Indicator - Oscillator by saurabh maggoCore Functionality Market State Detection: Congestion: Identifies periods of low volatility (price consolidation) where the price range is tight relative to the Average True Range (ATR). Visualized with a blue background in the oscillator panel. Breakout Up: Detects upward breakouts from congestion zones, requiring conditions like price movement above the congestion high, volume spikes, and volatility increases. Visualized with a green background. Breakdown (Breakout Down): Detects downward breakouts from congestion zones, with similar conditions as Breakout Up but for downward movement. Visualized with a red background. Post-Congestion: Identifies the period after a congestion zone ends but before a breakout occurs (if extend_until_breakout is disabled). Visualized with a yellow background. Pullback: Detects pullbacks after breakouts or breakdowns, useful for identifying potential entry points (if use_pullback_entry is enabled). Visualized with a purple background. Visualization: Oscillator Panel: Displays the market state in a separate panel below the chart. Background Color: The panel’s background color changes to reflect the current state (e.g., blue for Congestion, green for Breakout Up). Histogram Plot: Optionally plots the state value as a histogram (e.g., 1 for Congestion, 2 for Breakout Up), toggleable via TradingView’s "Style" tab ("Market State"). The histogram provides a numerical representation of the state: Congestion: 1.0 Breakout Up: 2.0 Breakdown: -2.0 Post-Congestion: 0.5 Pullback: 1.5 None: 0.0 Alerts: Generates alerts for state changes (Congestion, Breakout Up, Breakdown). Supports enhanced alerts (if use_enhanced_alerts is enabled), including additional context like breakout level, volatility state, and trend direction. Includes an alert cooldown period (if use_alert_cooldown is enabled) to prevent excessive alerts. Key Features and Filters Customizable Parameters: Lookback Period: Adjusts the number of bars used to calculate the price range for congestion detection. Range Threshold: Sets the maximum price range (as a percentage of ATR) for a congestion zone. Dynamic Threshold: Optionally uses a percentile-based dynamic threshold for more adaptive congestion detection. Minimum Congestion Bars: Requires a minimum number of bars for a congestion zone to be confirmed. Volume Filter: Optionally requires low volume during congestion zones. Volume Breakout Filter: Requires a volume spike for breakouts/breakdowns. Volatility Breakout Filter: Requires an ATR spike for breakouts/breakdowns. Minimum Price Movement: Optionally requires a minimum price movement for breakouts/breakdowns. RSI Filter: Optionally requires RSI to be in a neutral range during congestion. Max Price Range Filter: Limits the absolute price range for congestion zones. Trend Filter: Optionally filters breakouts/breakdowns based on a higher timeframe trend (using a moving average). Momentum Filter: Optionally requires MACD momentum confirmation for breakouts/breakdowns. Pullback Detection: Optionally detects pullbacks after breakouts/breakdowns for entry opportunities. Timeframe Adjustment: Adjusts parameters based on the chart’s timeframe. Auto-Settings: Automatically adjusts parameters based on market volatility. Show Current Day Only: Optionally limits the indicator’s display to the current trading day (NSE session). Presets: Offers predefined configurations (Default, Aggressive, Conservative) for quick setup. Session Support: Operates within the NSE session (9:15 AM–3:30 PM IST) by default, ensuring relevance for Indian markets. Visual Output The oscillator panel uses color-coded backgrounds to indicate the market state: Blue: Congestion Green: Breakout Up Red: Breakdown Yellow: Post-Congestion Purple: Pullback Transparent (None): No state detected The histogram plot (optional) provides a numerical representation of the state, which can be toggled on/off in TradingView’s settings. Alerts Alerts are triggered for significant state changes (Congestion, Breakout Up, Breakdown). Enhanced alerts include additional details like price levels, volatility, and trend direction, making them more informative for traders. Step 2: Craft the Description for Publishing Based on the analysis, here’s a concise, user-friendly description you can use when publishing the indicator on TradingView: Congestion Indicator - Oscillator by Saurabh Maggo This indicator identifies market congestion zones, breakouts, breakdowns, post-congestion periods, and pullbacks in a separate oscillator panel below your chart. Designed for traders, it helps you spot key market states and potential trading opportunities with clear visual cues and customizable alerts. Key Features: Market States: Detects Congestion (Blue), Breakout Up (Green), Breakdown (Red), Post-Congestion (Yellow), and Pullbacks (Purple). Visual Display: Shows market states using background colors in an oscillator panel, with an optional histogram plot (toggleable in settings). Alerts: Generates alerts for state changes, with enhanced options to include price levels, volatility, and trend context. Customizable Filters: Includes volume, volatility, RSI, trend, momentum, and price movement filters to refine signals. Adaptable Settings: Supports dynamic thresholds, timeframe adjustments, auto-settings based on volatility, and predefined presets (Default, Aggressive, Conservative). NSE Session: Optimized for Indian markets with a default session time of 9:15 AM–3:30 PM IST. How can Grok help?
Pine Script®指標
由srbhmaggo提供
abusuhil bullish breakAbusuhil Bullish Break is a price action-based confirmation tool that identifies a bullish reversal pattern consisting of: Two consecutive bearish candles followed by A strong bullish candle that closes above the high of both. The script includes: Optional dual MACD filter (current timeframe + higher timeframe) Configurable stop-loss and multiple take-profit levels Visual lines for targets and stop Custom styling for all elements It’s a clean, logic-driven entry confirmation tool for intraday and swing trading. ⚠️ Open-source and fully customizable. مؤشر Abusuhil Bullish Break هو أداة تأكيد لانعكاسات الاتجاه الصاعد بناءً على حركة السعر (Price Action)، ويكتشف نموذجًا يتكون من: شمعتين هابطتين متتاليتين تتبعهما شمعة صاعدة قوية تغلق فوق أعلى الشمعتين السابقتين يحتوي المؤشر على: فلتر MACD مزدوج اختياري (للفريم الحالي وفريم أعلى) إعدادات مخصصة للوقف والأهداف المتعددة خطوط مرئية احترافية للأهداف والوقف تحكم كامل في الألوان والنمط والعرض مناسب للتداول اللحظي والسوينج. ✅ مفتوح المصدر وقابل للتعديل بالكامل.
Pine Script®指標
由abusuhil提供
1
Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM)Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM): A Multi-Factor Fundamental Analysis Framework for Oil Market Assessment ## 1. Introduction The petroleum market represents one of the most complex and globally significant commodity markets, characterized by intricate supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, and substantial price volatility (Hamilton, 2009). Traditional fundamental analysis approaches often struggle to synthesize the multitude of relevant indicators into actionable insights due to data heterogeneity, temporal misalignment, and subjective weighting schemes (Baumeister & Kilian, 2016). The Advanced Petroleum Market Model addresses these limitations through a systematic, quantitative approach that integrates 16 verified fundamental indicators across five critical market dimensions. The model builds upon established financial engineering principles while incorporating petroleum-specific market dynamics and adaptive learning mechanisms. ## 2. Theoretical Framework ### 2.1 Market Efficiency and Information Integration The model operates under the assumption of semi-strong market efficiency, where fundamental information is gradually incorporated into prices with varying degrees of lag (Fama, 1970). The petroleum market's unique characteristics, including storage costs, transportation constraints, and geopolitical risk premiums, create opportunities for fundamental analysis to provide predictive value (Kilian, 2009). ### 2.2 Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Theory Drawing from Ross's (1976) Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the model treats petroleum prices as driven by multiple systematic risk factors. The five-factor decomposition (Supply, Inventory, Demand, Trade, Sentiment) represents economically meaningful sources of systematic risk in petroleum markets (Chen et al., 1986). ## 3. Methodology ### 3.1 Data Sources and Quality Framework The model integrates 16 fundamental indicators sourced from verified TradingView economic data feeds: Supply Indicators: - US Oil Production (ECONOMICS:USCOP) - US Oil Rigs Count (ECONOMICS:USCOR) - API Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USACR) Inventory Indicators: - US Crude Stock Changes (ECONOMICS:USCOSC) - Cushing Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCCOS) - API Crude Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCSC) - API Gasoline Stocks (ECONOMICS:USGS) - API Distillate Stocks (ECONOMICS:USDS) Demand Indicators: - Refinery Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USRCR) - Gasoline Production (ECONOMICS:USGPRO) - Distillate Production (ECONOMICS:USDFP) - Industrial Production Index (FRED:INDPRO) Trade Indicators: - US Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCOI) - US Oil Exports (ECONOMICS:USOE) - API Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCI) - Dollar Index (TVC:DXY) Sentiment Indicators: - Oil Volatility Index (CBOE:OVX) ### 3.2 Data Quality Monitoring System Following best practices in quantitative finance (Lopez de Prado, 2018), the model implements comprehensive data quality monitoring: Data Quality Score = Σ(Individual Indicator Validity) / Total Indicators Where validity is determined by: - Non-null data availability - Positive value validation - Temporal consistency checks ### 3.3 Statistical Normalization Framework #### 3.3.1 Z-Score Normalization The model employs robust Z-score normalization as established by Sharpe (1994) for cross-indicator comparability: Z_i,t = (X_i,t - μ_i) / σ_i Where: - X_i,t = Raw value of indicator i at time t - μ_i = Sample mean of indicator i - σ_i = Sample standard deviation of indicator i Z-scores are capped at ±3 to mitigate outlier influence (Tukey, 1977). #### 3.3.2 Percentile Rank Transformation For intuitive interpretation, Z-scores are converted to percentile ranks following the methodology of Conover (1999): Percentile_Rank = (Number of values < current_value) / Total_observations × 100 ### 3.4 Exponential Smoothing Framework Signal smoothing employs exponential weighted moving averages (Brown, 1963) with adaptive alpha parameter: S_t = α × X_t + (1-α) × S_{t-1} Where α = 2/(N+1) and N represents the smoothing period. ### 3.5 Dynamic Threshold Optimization The model implements adaptive thresholds using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992): Dynamic_Threshold = μ ± (k × σ) Where k is the threshold multiplier adjusted for market volatility regime. ### 3.6 Composite Score Calculation The fundamental score integrates component scores through weighted averaging: Fundamental_Score = Σ(w_i × Score_i × Quality_i) Where: - w_i = Normalized component weight - Score_i = Component fundamental score - Quality_i = Data quality adjustment factor ## 4. Implementation Architecture ### 4.1 Adaptive Parameter Framework The model incorporates regime-specific adjustments based on market volatility: Volatility_Regime = σ_price / μ_price × 100 High volatility regimes (>25%) trigger enhanced weighting for inventory and sentiment components, reflecting increased market sensitivity to supply disruptions and psychological factors. ### 4.2 Data Synchronization Protocol Given varying publication frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly), the model employs forward-fill synchronization to maintain temporal alignment across all indicators. ### 4.3 Quality-Adjusted Scoring Component scores are adjusted for data quality to prevent degraded inputs from contaminating the composite signal: Adjusted_Score = Raw_Score × Quality_Factor + 50 × (1 - Quality_Factor) This formulation ensures that poor-quality data reverts toward neutral (50) rather than contributing noise. ## 5. Usage Guidelines and Best Practices ### 5.1 Configuration Recommendations For Short-term Analysis (1-4 weeks): - Lookback Period: 26 weeks - Smoothing Length: 3-5 periods - Confidence Period: 13 weeks - Increase inventory and sentiment weights For Medium-term Analysis (1-3 months): - Lookback Period: 52 weeks - Smoothing Length: 5-8 periods - Confidence Period: 26 weeks - Balanced component weights For Long-term Analysis (3+ months): - Lookback Period: 104 weeks - Smoothing Length: 8-12 periods - Confidence Period: 52 weeks - Increase supply and demand weights ### 5.2 Signal Interpretation Framework Bullish Signals (Score > 70): - Fundamental conditions favor price appreciation - Consider long positions or reduced short exposure - Monitor for trend confirmation across multiple timeframes Bearish Signals (Score < 30): - Fundamental conditions suggest price weakness - Consider short positions or reduced long exposure - Evaluate downside protection strategies Neutral Range (30-70): - Mixed fundamental environment - Favor range-bound or volatility strategies - Wait for clearer directional signals ### 5.3 Risk Management Considerations 1. Data Quality Monitoring: Continuously monitor the data quality dashboard. Scores below 75% warrant increased caution. 2. Regime Awareness: Adjust position sizing based on volatility regime indicators. High volatility periods require reduced exposure. 3. Correlation Analysis: Monitor correlation with crude oil prices to validate model effectiveness. 4. Fundamental-Technical Divergence: Pay attention when fundamental signals diverge from technical indicators, as this may signal regime changes. ### 5.4 Alert System Optimization Configure alerts conservatively to avoid false signals: - Set alert threshold at 75+ for high-confidence signals - Enable data quality warnings to maintain system integrity - Use trend reversal alerts for early regime change detection ## 6. Model Validation and Performance Metrics ### 6.1 Statistical Validation The model's statistical robustness is ensured through: - Out-of-sample testing protocols - Rolling window validation - Bootstrap confidence intervals - Regime-specific performance analysis ### 6.2 Economic Validation Fundamental accuracy is validated against: - Energy Information Administration (EIA) official reports - International Energy Agency (IEA) market assessments - Commercial inventory data verification ## 7. Limitations and Considerations ### 7.1 Model Limitations 1. Data Dependency: Model performance is contingent on data availability and quality from external sources. 2. US Market Focus: Primary data sources are US-centric, potentially limiting global applicability. 3. Lag Effects: Some fundamental indicators exhibit publication lags that may delay signal generation. 4. Regime Shifts: Structural market changes may require model recalibration. ### 7.2 Market Environment Considerations The model is optimized for normal market conditions. During extreme events (e.g., geopolitical crises, pandemics), additional qualitative factors should be considered alongside quantitative signals. ## References Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2016). Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us. *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 30(1), 139-160. Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. McGraw-Hill. Brown, R. G. (1963). *Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series*. Prentice-Hall. Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. *Journal of Business*, 59(3), 383-403. Conover, W. J. (1999). *Practical Nonparametric Statistics* (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons. Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. *Journal of Finance*, 25(2), 383-417. Hamilton, J. D. (2009). Understanding crude oil prices. *Energy Journal*, 30(2), 179-206. Kilian, L. (2009). Not all oil price shocks are alike: Disentangling demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market. *American Economic Review*, 99(3), 1053-1069. Lopez de Prado, M. (2018). *Advances in Financial Machine Learning*. John Wiley & Sons. Ross, S. A. (1976). The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. *Journal of Economic Theory*, 13(3), 341-360. Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. *Journal of Portfolio Management*, 21(1), 49-58. Tukey, J. W. (1977). *Exploratory Data Analysis*. Addison-Wesley.
Pine Script®指標
由EdgeTools提供
[Top] Simple Position + SL CalculatorThis indicator is a user-friendly tool designed to help traders easily calculate optimal position sizing, determine suitable stop-loss levels, and quantify maximum potential losses in dollar terms based on their personalized trading parameters. Key Features: Position Size Calculation: Automatically computes the number of shares to purchase based on the trader’s total account size and specified percentage of the account allocated per trade. Stop-Loss Level: Suggests an appropriate stop-loss price point calculated based on the trader’s defined risk percentage per trade. Max Loss Visualization: Clearly displays the maximum potential loss (in dollars) should the stop-loss be triggered. Customizable Interface: Provides the flexibility to place the calculation table in different chart positions (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right) according to user preference. How to Use: Enter your total Account Size. Set the desired Position Size as a percentage of your account. (Typically, 1%–5% per trade is recommended for cash accounts.) Define the Risk per Trade percentage (commonly between 0.05%–0.5%). Choose your preferred Table Position to comfortably integrate with your trading chart. Note: If you identify a technical support level below the suggested stop-loss point, consider reducing your position size to manage the increased risk effectively. Keep in mind that the calculations provided by this indicator are based solely on standard industry best practices and the specific inputs entered by you. They do not account for market volatility, news events, or any other factors outside the provided parameters. Always complement this indicator with sound technical and fundamental analysis.
Pine Script®指標
由TopTradesUA提供
LB | SB | OH | OL (Auto Futures OI)This indicator is for trading purposes, particularly in futures markets given the inclusion of open interest (OI) data. Indicator Name and Overlay: The indicator is named "LB | SB | OH | OL" and is set to overlay on the price chart (overlay=true). Override Symbol Input: Users can input a symbol to override the default symbol for analysis. Open Interest Data Retrieval: It retrieves open interest data for the specified symbol and time frame. If no data is found, it generates a runtime error. Dashboard Configuration: Users can choose to display a dashboard either at the top right, bottom right, or bottom left of the chart. Calculations: It calculates the percentage change in open interest (oi_change). It calculates the percentage change in price compared to the previous day's close (price_change). Build Up Conditions: Long Build Up: When there's a significant increase in open interest (OIChange threshold) and price rises (PriceChange threshold). Short Build Up: When there's a significant increase in open interest (OIChange threshold) and price falls (PriceChange threshold). Display Table: It creates a table on the chart showing the build-up conditions, open interest change percentage, and price change percentage. Labeling: It allows for the labeling of buy and sell conditions based on price movements. Overall, this indicator provides a visual representation of open interest and price movements, helping traders identify potential trading opportunities based on build-up conditions and price behavior. The "LB | SB | OH | OL" indicator is a tool designed to assist traders in analyzing price movements and open interest (OI) changes in FNO markets. This indicator combines various elements to provide insights into long build-up (LB), short build-up (SB), open-high (OH), and open-low (OL) scenarios. Key features of the indicator include: Override Symbol Input: Traders can override the default symbol and input their preferred symbol for analysis. Open Interest Data: The indicator retrieves open interest data for the selected symbol and time frame, facilitating analysis based on changes in open interest. Dashboard: The indicator features a customizable dashboard that displays key information such as build-up conditions, OI change, and price change. Build-Up Conditions: The indicator identifies long build-up and short build-up scenarios based on user-defined thresholds for OI change and price change percentages. Customization Options: Traders have the flexibility to customize various aspects of the indicator, including colors for long build-up, short build-up, positive OI change, negative OI change, positive price change, and negative price change. Label Plots: Buy and sell labels are plotted on the chart to highlight potential trading opportunities. Traders can customize the colors and text colors of these labels based on their preferences. Overall, the "LB | SB | OH | OL" indicator offers traders a comprehensive tool for analyzing price movements and open interest changes, helping them make informed trading decisions in the FNO markets.
Pine Script®指標
由vighnesh15b提供
ATR | LOTSIZE | Risk (Futures)This Pine Script is a futures-specific trading utility designed to help F\&O (Futures and Options) traders quickly assess the volatility and position sizing for any selected stock on the chart — even if it's not a futures chart. What the Script Does: * Automatically detects the futures symbol for the underlying equity using a dynamic mapping system. * Calculates the ATR (Average True Range) of the futures contract using either SMA or EMA. * Fetches the Lot Size (Point Value) of the futures instrument. * Computes risk per lot by multiplying ATR with lot size (Risk = ATR × Lot Size). * Displays all 3 values — ATR, Lot Size, and Risk in INR — in a compact table on the chart. Why This Is Useful for F\&O Traders: * ✅ Quick Risk Assessment: Helps traders understand how much is at risk per lot without switching to the actual futures chart. * ✅ Position Sizing: Provides data to calculate how many lots to trade based on a defined risk per trade. * ✅ Volatility Awareness:ATR gives insights into how much the stock typically moves, guiding stop-loss and target placements. * ✅ Efficient Workflow:No need to load separate futures charts or lookup lot sizes manually — saves time and reduces error. This tool is ideal for discretionary and systematic traders who want risk and volatility context for every trade, especially in the NSE Futures & Options segment.
Pine Script®指標
由vighnesh15b提供
Random State Machine Strategy📌 Random State Machine Strategy (Educational) This strategy showcases a randomized entry model driven by a finite state machine, integrated with user-defined exit controls and a full-featured moving average filter. 🧠 Trade Entry Logic Entries occur only when: A random trigger occurs (~5% probability per bar) The state machine accepts a new transition (sm.step()) Price is: Above the selected MA for long entries Below the selected MA for short entries This ensures that entries are both stochastically driven and trend-aligned, avoiding frequent or arbitrary trades. ⚙️ How It Works Randomized Triggers A pseudo-random generator (seeded with time and volume) attempts to trigger state transitions. Finite State Machine Transitions are managed using the StateMachine from robbatt/lib_statemachine — credit to @robbatt for the modular FSM design. Controlled Reset The state machine resets every N bars (default: 100) if at least two transitions have occurred. This prevents stale or locked states. Backtest Range Define a specific test window using Start and End Date inputs. Risk & Exits Specify risk in points and a target risk/reward ratio. TP is auto-computed. Timed and MA-based exits can be toggled. 🧪 How to Use Enable Long or Short trades Choose your Moving Average type and length Set Risk per trade and R/R ratio Toggle TP/SL, timed exit, or MA cross exit Adjust the State Reset Interval to suit your signal frequency 📘 Notes Educational use only — not financial advice Random logic is used to model structure, not predict movement Thanks to @robbatt for the lib_statemachine integration
Pine Script®策略
由smoyer提供