Disguised Candles by The School of Dalal StreetDisguised Candles corrects one of the subtle visual distortions present in normal candlestick charts — the mismatch between the close of one candle and the open of the next.
On many instruments (especially at day/session breaks), the next candle’s open often jumps due to price gaps or data feed behavior. This can make reading the flow of price action harder than necessary.
Disguised Candles fixes this by plotting synthetic candles where the open of each candle is forced to match the close of the previous one — creating a visually continuous flow of price.
Real candles are made fully transparent, so only the "corrected" candles are visible.
This allows traders to:
Visualize price flow as a smooth path
Better spot true directional shifts and trends
Avoid distractions caused by technical gaps that are not meaningful to their strategy
🚀 Pure visual clarity. No noise from false opens.
How it works:
The open of each synthetic candle = close of previous real candle
High, Low, Close remain unchanged
Colors are based on Close vs Corrected Open
Real chart candles are hidden under a transparent overlay
Use this as a clean canvas for trend analysis or as a foundation for building new visual systems.
Educational
Magnificent 7 OscillatorThe Magnificent 7 Oscillator is a sophisticated momentum-based technical indicator designed to analyze the collective performance of the seven largest technology companies in the U.S. stock market (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta). This indicator incorporates established momentum factor research and provides three distinct analytical modes: absolute momentum tracking, equal-weighted market comparison, and relative performance analysis. The tool integrates five different oscillator methodologies and includes advanced breadth analysis capabilities.
Theoretical Foundation
Momentum Factor Research
The indicator's foundation rests on seminal momentum research in financial markets. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) demonstrated that stocks with strong price performance over 3-12 month periods tend to continue outperforming in subsequent periods¹. This momentum effect was later incorporated into formal factor models by Carhart (1997), who extended the Fama-French three-factor model to include a momentum factor (UMD - Up Minus Down)².
The momentum calculation methodology follows the academic standard:
Momentum(t) = / P(t-n) × 100
Where P(t) is the current price and n is the lookback period.
The focus on the "Magnificent 7" stocks reflects the increasing market concentration observed in recent years. Fama and French (2015) noted that a small number of large-cap stocks can drive significant market movements due to their substantial index weights³. The combined market capitalization of these seven companies often exceeds 25% of the total S&P 500, making their collective momentum a critical market indicator.
Indicator Architecture
Core Components
1. Data Collection and Processing
The indicator employs robust data collection with error handling for missing or invalid security data. Each stock's momentum is calculated independently using the specified lookback period (default: 14 periods).
2. Composite Oscillator Calculation
Following Fama-French factor construction methodology, the indicator offers two weighting schemes:
- Equal Weight: Each active stock receives identical weighting (1/n)
- Market Cap Weight: Reserved for future enhancement
3. Oscillator Transformation Functions
The indicator provides five distinct oscillator types, each with established technical analysis foundations:
a) Momentum Oscillator (Default)
- Pure rate-of-change calculation
- Centered around zero
- Direct implementation of Jegadeesh & Titman methodology
b) RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Wilder's (1978) relative strength methodology
- Transformed to center around zero for consistency
- Scale: -50 to +50
c) Stochastic Oscillator
- George Lane's %K methodology
- Measures current position within recent range
- Transformed to center around zero
d) Williams %R
- Larry Williams' range-based oscillator
- Inverse stochastic calculation
- Adjusted for zero-centered display
e) CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
- Donald Lambert's mean reversion indicator
- Measures deviation from moving average
- Scaled for optimal visualization
Operational Modes
Mode 1: Magnificent 7 Analysis
Tracks the collective momentum of the seven constituent stocks. This mode is optimal for:
- Technology sector analysis
- Growth stock momentum assessment
- Large-cap performance tracking
Mode 2: S&P 500 Equal Weight Comparison
Analyzes momentum using an equal-weighted S&P 500 reference (typically RSP ETF). This mode provides:
- Broader market momentum context
- Size-neutral market analysis
- Comparison baseline for relative performance
Mode 3: Relative Performance Analysis
Calculates the momentum differential between Magnificent 7 and S&P 500 Equal Weight. This mode enables:
- Sector rotation analysis
- Style factor assessment (Growth vs. Value)
- Relative strength identification
Formula: Relative Performance = MAG7_Momentum - SP500EW_Momentum
Signal Generation and Thresholds
Signal Classification
The indicator generates three signal states:
- Bullish: Oscillator > Upper Threshold (default: +2.0%)
- Bearish: Oscillator < Lower Threshold (default: -2.0%)
- Neutral: Oscillator between thresholds
Relative Performance Signals
In relative performance mode, specialized thresholds apply:
- Outperformance: Relative momentum > +1.0%
- Underperformance: Relative momentum < -1.0%
Alert System
Comprehensive alert conditions include:
- Threshold crossovers (bullish/bearish signals)
- Zero-line crosses (momentum direction changes)
- Relative performance shifts
- Breadth Analysis Component
The indicator incorporates market breadth analysis, calculating the percentage of constituent stocks with positive momentum. This feature provides insights into:
- Strong Breadth (>60%): Broad-based momentum
- Weak Breadth (<40%): Narrow momentum leadership
- Mixed Breadth (40-60%): Neutral momentum distribution
Visual Design and User Interface
Theme-Adaptive Display
The indicator automatically adjusts color schemes for dark and light chart themes, ensuring optimal visibility across different user preferences.
Professional Data Table
A comprehensive data table displays:
- Current oscillator value and percentage
- Active mode and oscillator type
- Signal status and strength
- Component breakdowns (in relative performance mode)
- Breadth percentage
- Active threshold levels
Custom Color Options
Users can override default colors with custom selections for:
- Neutral conditions (default: Material Blue)
- Bullish signals (default: Material Green)
- Bearish signals (default: Material Red)
Practical Applications
Portfolio Management
- Sector Allocation: Use relative performance mode to time technology sector exposure
- Risk Management: Monitor breadth deterioration as early warning signal
- Entry/Exit Timing: Utilize threshold crossovers for position sizing decisions
Market Analysis
- Trend Identification: Zero-line crosses indicate momentum regime changes
- Divergence Analysis: Compare MAG7 performance against broader market
- Volatility Assessment: Oscillator range and frequency provide volatility insights
Strategy Development
- Factor Timing: Implement growth factor timing strategies
- Momentum Strategies: Develop systematic momentum-based approaches
- Risk Parity: Use breadth metrics for risk-adjusted portfolio construction
Configuration Guidelines
Parameter Selection
- Momentum Period (5-100): Shorter periods (5-20) for tactical analysis, longer periods (50-100) for strategic assessment
- Smoothing Period (1-50): Higher values reduce noise but increase lag
- Thresholds: Adjust based on historical volatility and strategy requirements
Timeframe Considerations
- Daily Charts: Optimal for swing trading and medium-term analysis
- Weekly Charts: Suitable for long-term trend analysis
- Intraday Charts: Useful for short-term tactical decisions
Limitations and Considerations
Market Concentration Risk
The indicator's focus on seven stocks creates concentration risk. During periods of significant rotation away from large-cap technology stocks, the indicator may not represent broader market conditions.
Momentum Persistence
While momentum effects are well-documented, they are not permanent. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) noted momentum reversal effects over longer time horizons (2-5 years).
Correlation Dynamics
During market stress, correlations among the constituent stocks may increase, reducing the diversification benefits and potentially amplifying signal intensity.
Performance Metrics and Backtesting
The indicator includes hidden plots for comprehensive backtesting:
- Individual stock momentum values
- Composite breadth percentage
- S&P 500 Equal Weight momentum
- Relative performance calculations
These metrics enable quantitative strategy development and historical performance analysis.
References
¹Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Carhart, M. M. (1997). On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57-82.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
Intraday Volume by Saurabh Maggoinspired by volume indicator by nitin
Key Features
Dynamic Volume Visualization: Features thicker volume bars with color-coded insights—grey for normal volume (0.5x-1.5x baseline), orange for low volume (<0.5x), blue for Intraday Pocket Pivots (IPP), green for high up volume, and red for high down volume.
Snort Signals: Identifies strong moves with green Bull Snorts (below bars) and red Bear Snorts (above bars), triggered by volume exceeding 2.0x the baseline with significant price action.
Highest/Lowest Volume Markers: Blue squares mark the highest volume bar, and a single orange square marks the first lowest volume bar, aiding trend identification.
Enhanced Table Metrics: A 2x3 table displays Trend Strength (TS, green >100%, red <100%), Buy/Sell Signal (BS, green "Buy", red "Sell", grey "Neutral"), and Net Pressure (NP, green >0%, red <0%), offering a comprehensive view of volume and price pressure, reset daily at 9:15 AM IST.
Zigzag Simple [SCL]🟩 OVERVIEW
Draws zigzag lines from pivot Highs to pivot Lows. You can choose between three different ways of calculating pivots:
• True Highs and Lows
• Williams pivots
• Oscillator pivots
🟩 HOW TO USE
This indicator can be used to understand market structure, which is arguably the primary thing you need to be aware of when trading. The zigzag by itself does not display a market structure bias, nor any information about prices of pivots, HH and HL labels, or anything like that. Nevertheless, a simple zigzag is perhaps the easiest and most intuitive way to understand what price is doing.
Choose a pivot style that you like, customise the colours and line style, and enjoy!
🟩 PIVOT TYPES EXPLAINED
True Highs and Lows
This is not an invention of mine (all credit to my humble mentor), but I haven't seen anyone else code them up. A true High is a close below the low of the candle with the highest high. A true Low is a close above the high of a candle with the lowest low. These are solid, price action-based pivots that can sometimes confirm quickly.
Williams pivots
This is how most people calculate pivots. They're simply the highest high for x bars back and x bars forwards. They're the vanilla of pivots IMO: serviceable but not very interesting. They're very convenient to code because there are built-in Pine functions for them: ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow . They confirm a predictable number of bars after they happen, which is great for coding but also makes the trader wait for confirmation.
Oscillator pivots
This is a completely different concept, which uses momentum in order to define pivots. For example, when you get a rise in momentum and momentum then drops a configurable amount, it confirms a pivot high, and vice versa for a pivot low. I don't know if anyone else does it –- although some indicators do mark pivots in momentum itself, and plenty do divergences, I wasn't able to find one that specifically marked *pivots in price* because of pivots in momentum 🤷♂️
Anyway, while this approach needs a whole investigation on its own, here we simply plot some pivots in a smoothed RSI. This indicator doesn't plot the actual momentum values -- for a more visual understanding of how this works, refer to the examples in the OscillatorPivots library.
🟩 UNIQUE ADVANTAGES
In contrast to other zigzag indicators available, this one lets you choose between the standard and some more unique methods of generating the zigzags. Additionally, because it's based on libraries, it is relatively easy for programmers to use as a basis for experimentation.
🟩 GEEK STUFF
Although there is considerable practical use for pivot-based zigzags in trading, this script is primarily a demonstration in coding -- specifically the power of libraries!
Most of the script consists of setup, especially defining inputs. The final section sacrifices some readability for conciseness, simply to emphasise how little code you need when the heavy lifting is done by libraries .
The actual calculations and drawing are achieved in just 8 lines.
The equivalent code in the libraries is ~250 lines long.
All libraries used are my own, public and open-source:
• MarketStructure
• DrawZigZag
• OscillatorPivots
Technical Strength Index (TSI)📘 TSI with Dynamic Bands – Technical Strength Index
The TSI with Dynamic Bands is a multi-factor indicator designed to measure the statistical strength and structure of a trend. It combines several quantitative metrics into a single, normalized score between 0 and 1, allowing traders to assess the technical quality of market moves and detect overbought/oversold conditions with adaptive precision.
🧠 Core Components
This indicator draws from the StatMetrics library, blending:
📈 Trend Persistence: via the Hurst exponent, indicating whether price action is mean-reverting or trending.
📉 Risk-Adjusted Volatility: via the inverted , rewarding smoother, less erratic price movement.
🚀 Momentum Strength: using a combination of directional momentum and Z-score–normalized returns.
These components are normalized and averaged into the TSI line.
🎯 Features
TSI Line: Composite score of trend quality (0 = weak/noise, 1 = strong/structured).
Dynamic Bands: Mean ± 1 standard deviation envelopes provide adaptive context.
Overbought/Oversold Detection: Based on a rolling quantile (e.g. 90th/10th percentile of TSI history).
Signal Strength Bar (optional): Measures how statistically extreme the current TSI value is, helping validate confidence in trade setups.
Dynamic Color Cues: Background and bar gradients help visually identify statistically significant zones.
📈 How to Use
Look for overbought (red background) or oversold (green background) conditions as potential reversal zones.
Confirm trend strength with the optional signal strength bar — stronger values suggest higher signal confidence.
Use the TSI line and context bands to filter out noisy ranges and focus on structured price moves.
⚙️ Inputs
Lookback Period: Controls the smoothing and window size for statistical calculations.
Overbought/Oversold Quantiles: Adjust the thresholds for signal zones.
Plot Signal Strength: Enable or disable the signal confidence bar.
Overlay Signal Strength: Show signal strength in the same panel (compact) or not (cleaner TSI-only view).
🛠 Example Use Cases
Mean reversion traders identifying reversal zones with statistical backing
Momentum/Trend traders confirming structure before entries
Quantitative dashboards or multi-asset screening tools
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
This AI is not a financial advisor; please consult your financial advisor for personalized advice.
ADR by Saurabh MaggoADR levels for intraday
This Pine Script v5 indicator plots Average Daily Range (ADR) levels on a 5-minute NSE chart, ideal for intraday traders. It marks key price levels (L3+, L3-, L2+, L2-, L1+, L1-) at 9:15 AM IST each day, based on the daily open and a customizable ATR period.
Features:
Configurable Levels: Adjust ATR period (default 5) and multipliers (L3=0.5, L2=0.25, L1=0.125) to set price targets.
Today Only Option: Toggle Show Recent to display only the current day’s levels or all historical levels.
Visual Customization: Choose vibrant colors for each level via settings, with a glow effect
(toggleable, transparency=20) and adjustable circle size (default 2, range 1–5) for enhanced visibility, optimized for dark chart backgrounds.
Clean Design: Single-point plotting at 9:15 AM IST ensures a clutter-free chart, with dynamic points that move with the chart.
Usage: Perfect for NSE intraday trading, this indicator helps identify high-probability price targets. Customize levels, colors, and visuals to suit your strategy.
SmartPhase Analyzer📝 SmartPhase Analyzer – Composite Market Regime Classifier
SmartPhase Analyzer is an adaptive regime classification tool that scores market conditions using a customizable set of statistical indicators. It blends multiple normalized metrics into a composite score, which is dynamically evaluated against rolling statistical thresholds to determine the current market regime.
✅ Features:
Composite score calculated from 13+ toggleable statistical indicators:
Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Alpha, Beta, CV, R², Entropy, Drawdown, Z-Score, PLF, SRI, and Momentum Rank
Uses dynamic thresholds (mean ± std deviation) to classify regime states:
🟢 BULL – Strongly bullish
🟩 ACCUM – Mildly bullish
⚪ NEUTRAL – Sideways
🟧 DISTRIB – Mildly bearish
🔴 BEAR – Strongly bearish
Color-coded histogram for composite score clarity
Real-time regime label plotted on chart
Benchmark-aware metrics (Alpha, Beta, etc.)
Modular design using the StatMetrics library by RWCS_LTD
🧠 How to Use:
Enable/disable metrics in the settings panel to customize your composite model
Use the composite histogram and regime background for discretionary or systematic analysis
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Always consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Quantum RSI (TechnoBlooms)The Next Evolution of Momentum Analysis
📘 Overview
Quantum RSI is an advanced momentum oscillator based on Quantum Price Theory, designed as a superior alternative to the traditional RSI. It incorporates a Gaussian decay function to weigh price changes, creating a more responsive and intuitive measure of trend strength.
This indicator excels in identifying micro-trends and subtle momentum shifts — especially in narrow or low-volatility environments where standard RSI typically lags or gives false signals. With its enhanced smoothing, intuitive color gradients, and customizable moving average, Quantum RSI offers a powerful tool for traders seeking clarity and precision.
🔍 Key Features
• ⚛️ Quantum Momentum Engine: Measures net momentum using quantum-inspired Gaussian decay weighting.
• 🎨 Color-Reversed Gradient Zones:
o Green (Overbought): Shows momentum strength, not weakness.
o Red (Oversold): Highlights momentum exhaustion and potential bounce.
• 🧠 Smoothing with MA: Option to apply moving average (SMA/EMA/WMA/SMMA/VWMA) to the Quantum RSI line.
• 📊 Levels at 30 / 50 / 70: Standard RSI levels for decision-making guidance.
• 📈 Intuitive Visuals: Gradient fills for cleaner interpretation of zones and transitions.
👤 Who Is It For?
• Technical traders seeking a modern alternative to RSI.
• Quantitative analysts who value precision and smooth signal flow.
• Visual traders looking for intuitive, color-coded trend zones.
• Traders focused on market microstructure and early trend detection.
💡 Pro Tips
• Pair with order blocks, market structure tools, or Fibonacci confluences for high-probability entries.
• Use on assets with frequent compression or consolidation, where traditional RSI often misleads.
• Combine with volume-based indicators or smart money concepts for added confirmation.
• Ideal for sideways markets, false breakouts, or low-volatility zones where typical RSI lags.
ADR Pivot LevelsThe ADR (Average Daily Range) indicator shows the average range of price movement over a trading day. The ADR is used to estimate volatility and to determine target levels. It helps to set Take-Profit and Stop-Loss orders. It is suitable for intraday trading on lower time frames.
The “ADR Pivot Levels” produces a sequence of horizontal line levels above and below the Center Line (reference level). They are sized based on the instrument's volatility, representing the average historical price movement on a selected higher timeframe using the average daily range (ADR) indicator.
RSI Buy Sell Signals+ with MFI Cloud [RanaAlgo]Indicator Overview
This indicator combines RSI (Relative Strength Index) with MFI (Money Flow Index) to generate trading signals with additional confirmation filters. The key features include:
RSI Analysis (14-period) with overbought/oversold levels
MFI Cloud (20-period default) showing trend direction via EMAs
Enhanced Signal Generation with volume and trend confirmation options
Visual Elements including colored zones, signal labels, and an information panel
How to Use This Indicator
Basic Interpretation:
Buy Signals (green labels) appear when:
RSI crosses above oversold level (30) OR
RSI shows a rising pattern from oversold zone with volume/trend confirmation (if enabled)
Sell Signals (red labels) appear when:
RSI crosses below overbought level (70) OR
RSI shows a falling pattern from overbought zone with volume/trend confirmation (if enabled)
MFI Cloud provides trend confirmation:
Green cloud = bullish trend (fast EMA > slow EMA)
Red cloud = bearish trend (fast EMA < slow EMA)
Recommended Usage:
For Conservative Trading:
Enable both volume and trend confirmation
Require MFI cloud to align with signal direction
Wait for RSI to clearly exit overbought/oversold zones
For Active Trading:
Combine with price action at key support/resistance levels
Watch for divergence between price and RSI
The Information Panel (top-right) shows:
Current RSI value and status
MFI trend direction
Last generated signal
Current momentum
Customization Options:
Adjust RSI/MFI lengths for sensitivity
Modify overbought/oversold levels
Toggle volume/trend confirmation requirements
Adjust visual elements like cloud opacity and zone visibility
IU Liquidity Flow TrackerDESCRIPTION
The IU Liquidity Flow Tracker is a powerful market analysis tool designed to visualize hidden buying and selling activity by analyzing price action, volume behavior, market pressure, and depth. It provides a composite view of liquidity dynamics to help traders identify accumulation, distribution, and neutral phases with high clarity.
This indicator is ideal for traders who want to gauge the flow of market participants and make informed entry/exit decisions based on the underlying liquidity structure.
USER INPUTS:
* Flow Analysis Period: Length used for analyzing price spread and volume flow.
* Pressure Sensitivity: Adjusts the sensitivity of threshold detection for flow classification.
* Flow Smoothing: Controls the smoothing applied to raw flow data.
* Market Depth Analysis: Sets the depth range for rejection and wick analysis.
* Colors: Customize colors for accumulation, distribution, neutral zones, and pressure visualization.
INDICATOR LOGIC:
The IU Liquidity Flow Tracker uses a multi-factor model to evaluate market behavior:
1. Liquidity Pressure: Combines price spread, price efficiency, and volume imbalance.
2. Flow Direction: Weighted momentum using short, medium, and long-term price changes adjusted for volume.
3. Market Depth: Wick-based rejection scoring to estimate buying/selling aggressiveness at price extremes.
4. Composite Flow Index: Blended value of flow direction, pressure, and depth—smoothed for clarity.
5. Dynamic Thresholds: Automatically adjusts based on volatility to classify the market into:
* Accumulation: Strong buying signals.
* Distribution: Strong selling signals.
* Neutral: No significant flow dominance.
6. Entry Signals: Long/Short signals are generated when flow state shifts, supported by momentum, volume surge, and depth strength.
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
Unlike typical indicators that rely solely on price or volume, this tool combines spread behavior, volume polarity, momentum weighting, and price rejection zones into a single visual interface. It dynamically adjusts sensitivity based on market volatility, helping avoid false signals during sideways or low-volume periods.
It is not based on any traditional indicator (RSI, MACD, etc.), making it ideal for traders looking for an original and data-driven market read.
HOW USER CAN BENEFIT FROM IT:
* Understand Market Context: Know whether the market is being accumulated, distributed, or ranging.
* Improve Entries/Exits: Use flow transitions combined with volume confirmation for high-probability setups.
* Spot Institutional Activity: Detect subtle shifts in liquidity that precede major price moves.
* Reduce Whipsaws: Dynamic thresholds and multi-factor confirmation help filter noise.
* Use with Any Style: Whether you're a swing trader, day trader, or scalper, this tool adapts to different timeframes and strategies.
DISCLAIMER:
This indicator is created for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. All trading involves risk, and users should conduct their own analysis or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The creator is not responsible for any losses incurred through the use of this tool. Use at your own discretion.
Euclidean Range [InvestorUnknown]The Euclidean Range indicator visualizes price deviation from a moving average using a geometric concept Euclidean distance. It helps traders identify trend strength, volatility shifts, and potential overextensions in price behavior.
Euclidean Distance
Euclidean distance is a fundamental concept in geometry and machine learning. It measures the "straight-line distance" between two points in space. In time series analysis, it can be used to measure how far one sequence deviates from another over a fixed window.
euclidean_distance(src, ref, len) =>
var float sum_sq_diff = na
sum_sq_diff := 0.0
for i = 0 to len - 1
diff = src - ref
sum_sq_diff += diff * diff
math.sqrt(sum_sq_diff)
In this script, we calculate the Euclidean distance between the price (source) and a smoothed average (reference) over a user-defined window. This gives us a single scalar that reflects the overall divergence between price and trend.
How It Works
Moving Average Calculation: You can choose between SMA, EMA, or HMA as your reference line. This becomes the "baseline" against which the actual price is compared.
Distance Band Construction: The Euclidean distance between the price and the reference is calculated over the Window Length. This value is then added to and subtracted from the average to form dynamic upper and lower bands, visually framing the range of deviation.
Distance Ratios and Z-Scores: Two distance ratios are computed: dist_r = distance / price (sensitivity to volatility); dist_v = price / distance (sensitivity to compression or low-volatility states)
Both ratios are normalized using a Z-score to standardize their behavior and allow for easier interpretation across different assets and timeframes.
Z-Score Plots: Z_r (white line) highlights instances of high volatility or strong price deviation; Z_v (red line) highlights low volatility or compressed price ranges.
Background Highlighting (Optional): When Z_v is dominant and increasing, the background is colored using a gradient. This signals a possible build-up in low volatility, which may precede a breakout.
Use Cases
Detect volatile expansions and calm compression zones.
Identify mean reversion setups when price returns to the average.
Anticipate breakout conditions by observing rising Z_v values.
Use dynamic distance bands as adaptive support/resistance zones.
Notes
The indicator is best used with liquid assets and medium-to-long windows.
Background coloring helps visually filter for squeeze setups.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for speculative analysis and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always backtest and evaluate in a simulated environment before live trading.
Math by Thomas Liquidity PoolDescription
Math by Thomas Liquidity Pool is a TradingView indicator designed to visually identify potential liquidity pools on the chart by detecting areas where price forms clusters of equal highs or equal lows.
Bullish Liquidity Pools (Green Boxes): Marked below price where two adjacent candles have similar lows within a specified difference, indicating potential demand zones or stop loss clusters below support.
Bearish Liquidity Pools (Red Boxes): Marked above price where two adjacent candles have similar highs within the difference threshold, indicating potential supply zones or stop loss clusters above resistance.
This tool helps traders spot areas where smart money might hunt stop losses or where price is likely to react, providing valuable insight for trade entries, exits, and risk management.
Features:
Adjustable box height (vertical range) in points.
Adjustable maximum difference threshold between candle highs/lows to consider them equal.
Boxes automatically extend forward for visibility and delete when price sweeps through or after a defined lifetime.
Separate visual zones for bullish and bearish liquidity with customizable colors.
How to Use
Add the Indicator to your chart (preferably on instruments like Nifty where point-based thresholds are meaningful).
Adjust Inputs:
Box Height: Set the vertical size of the liquidity zones (default 15 points).
Max Difference Between Highs/Lows: Set the max price difference to consider two candle highs or lows as “equal” (default 10 points).
Box Lifetime: How many bars the box stays visible if not swept (default 120 bars).
Interpret Boxes:
Green Boxes (Bullish Liquidity Pools): Areas of potential demand and stop loss clusters below price. Watch for price bounces or accumulation near these zones.
Red Boxes (Bearish Liquidity Pools): Areas of potential supply and stop loss clusters above price. Watch for price rejections or distribution near these zones.
Trading Strategy Tips:
Use these zones to anticipate where stop loss hunting or liquidity sweeps may occur.
Combine with your Order Block, Fair Value Gap, and Market Structure tools for higher probability setups.
Manage risk by avoiding entries into price regions just before large liquidity pools get swept.
Automatic Cleanup:
Boxes delete automatically once price breaks above (for bearish zones) or below (for bullish zones) the zone or after the set lifetime.
Fallback VWAP (No Volume? No Problem!) – Yogi365Fallback VWAP (No Volume? No Problem!) – Yogi365
This script plots Daily, Weekly, and Monthly VWAPs with ±1 Standard Deviation bands. When volume data is missing or zero (common in indices or illiquid assets), it automatically falls back to a TWAP-style calculation, ensuring that your VWAP levels always remain visible and accurate.
Features:
Daily, Weekly, and Monthly VWAPs with ±1 Std Dev bands.
Auto-detection of missing volume and seamless fallback.
Clean, color-coded trend table showing price vs VWAP/bands.
Uses hlc3 for VWAP source.
Labels indicate when fallback is used.
Best Used On:
Any asset or index where volume is unavailable.
Intraday and swing trading.
Works on all timeframes but optimized for overlay use.
How it Works:
If volume == 0, the script uses a constant fallback volume (1), turning the VWAP into a TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) — still useful for intraday or index-based analysis.
This ensures consistent plotting on instruments like indices (e.g., NIFTY, SENSEX,DJI etc.) which might not provide volume on TradingView.
GEEKSDOBYTE IFVG w/ Buy/Sell Signals1. Inputs & Configuration
Swing Lookback (swingLen)
Controls how many bars on each side are checked to mark a swing high or swing low (default = 5).
Booleans to Toggle Plotting
showSwings – Show small triangle markers at swing highs/lows
showFVG – Show Fair Value Gap zones
showSignals – Show “BUY”/“SELL” labels when price inverts an FVG
showDDLine – Show a yellow “DD” line at the close of the inversion bar
showCE – Show an orange dashed “CE” line at the midpoint of the gap area
2. Swing High / Low Detection
isSwingHigh = ta.pivothigh(high, swingLen, swingLen)
Marks a bar as a swing high if its high is higher than the highs of the previous swingLen bars and the next swingLen bars.
isSwingLow = ta.pivotlow(low, swingLen, swingLen)
Marks a bar as a swing low if its low is lower than the lows of the previous and next swingLen bars.
Plotting
If showSwings is true, small red downward triangles appear above swing highs, and green upward triangles below swing lows.
3. Fair Value Gap (3‐Bar) Identification
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is defined here using a simple three‐bar logic (sometimes called an “inefficiency” in price):
Bullish FVG (bullFVG)
Checks if, two bars ago, the low of that bar (low ) is strictly greater than the current bar’s high (high).
In other words:
bullFVG = low > high
Bearish FVG (bearFVG)
Checks if, two bars ago, the high of that bar (high ) is strictly less than the current bar’s low (low).
In other words:
bearFVG = high < low
When either condition is true, it identifies a three‐bar “gap” or unfilled imbalance in the market.
4. Drawing FVG Zones
If showFVG is enabled, each time a bullish or bearish FVG is detected:
Bullish FVG Zone
Draws a semi‐transparent green box from the bar two bars ago (where the gap began) at low up to the current bar’s high.
Bearish FVG Zone
Draws a semi‐transparent red box from the bar two bars ago at high down to the current bar’s low.
These colored boxes visually highlight the “fair value imbalance” area on the chart.
5. Inversion (Fill) Detection & Entry Signals
An inversion is defined as the price “closing through” that previously drawn FVG:
Bullish Inversion (bullInversion)
Occurs when a bullish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bullFVG), and on the current bar the close is greater than that old bar-2 low:
bullInversion = bullFVG and close > low
Bearish Inversion (bearInversion)
Occurs when a bearish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bearFVG), and on the current bar the close is lower than that old bar-2 high:
bearInversion = bearFVG and close < high
When an inversion is true, the indicator optionally draws two lines and a label (depending on input toggles):
Draw “DD” Line (yellow, solid)
Plots a horizontal yellow line from the current bar’s close price extending five bars forward (bar_index + 5). This is often referred to as a “Demand/Daily Demand” line, marking where price inverted the gap.
Draw “CE” Line (orange, dashed)
Calculates the midpoint (ce) of the original FVG zone.
For a bullish inversion:
ce = (low + high) / 2
For a bearish inversion:
ce = (high + low) / 2
Plots a horizontal dashed orange line at that midpoint for five bars forward.
Plot Label (“BUY” / “SELL”)
If showSignals is true, a green “BUY” label is placed at the low of the current bar when a bullish inversion occurs.
Likewise, a red “SELL” label at the high of the current bar when a bearish inversion happens.
6. Putting It All Together
Swing Markers (Optional):
Visually confirm recent swing highs and swing lows with small triangles.
FVG Zones (Optional):
Highlight areas where price left a 3-bar gap (bullish in green, bearish in red).
Inversion Confirmation:
Wait for price to close beyond the old FVG boundary.
Once that happens, draw the yellow “DD” line at the close, the orange dashed “CE” line at the zone’s midpoint, and place a “BUY” or “SELL” label exactly on that bar.
User Controls:
All of the above elements can be individually toggled on/off (showSwings, showFVG, showSignals, showDDLine, showCE).
In Practice
A bullish FVG forms whenever a strong drop leaves a gap in liquidity (three bars ago low > current high).
When price later “fills” that gap by closing above the old low, the script signals a potential long entry (BUY), draws a demand line at the closing price, and marks the midpoint of that gap.
Conversely, a bearish FVG marks a potential short zone (three bars ago high < current low). When price closes below that gap’s high, it signals a SELL, with similar lines drawn.
By combining these elements, the indicator helps users visually identify inefficiencies (FVGs), confirm when price inverts/fills them, and place straightforward buy/sell labels alongside reference lines for trade management.
Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM)Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM) - Where Abstract Algebra Transcends Reality
A Revolutionary Application of Category Theory and Homotopy Type Theory to Financial Markets
Bridging Pure Mathematics and Market Analysis Through Functorial Dynamics
Theoretical Foundation: The Mathematical Revolution
Traditional technical analysis operates on Euclidean geometry and classical statistics. The Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM) indicator represents a paradigm shift - the first application of Category Theory and Homotopy Type Theory to financial markets. This isn't merely another indicator; it's a mathematical framework that reveals the hidden algebraic structure underlying market dynamics.
Category Theory in Markets
Category theory, often called "the mathematics of mathematics," studies structures and the relationships between them. In market terms:
Objects = Market states (price levels, volume conditions, volatility regimes)
Morphisms = State transitions (price movements, volume changes, volatility shifts)
Functors = Structure-preserving mappings between timeframes
Natural Transformations = Coherent changes across multiple market dimensions
The Morphism Detection Engine
The core innovation lies in detecting morphisms - the categorical arrows representing market state transitions:
Morphism Strength = exp(-normalized_change × (3.0 / sensitivity))
Threshold = 0.3 - (sensitivity - 1.0) × 0.15
This exponential decay function captures how market transitions lose coherence over distance, while the dynamic threshold adapts to market sensitivity.
Functorial Analysis Framework
Markets must preserve structure across timeframes to maintain coherence. Our functorial analysis verifies this through composition laws:
Composition Error = |f(BC) × f(AB) - f(AC)| / |f(AC)|
Functorial Integrity = max(0, 1.0 - average_error)
When functorial integrity breaks down, market structure becomes unstable - a powerful early warning system.
Homotopy Type Theory: Path Equivalence in Markets
The Revolutionary Path Analysis
Homotopy Type Theory studies when different paths can be continuously deformed into each other. In markets, this reveals arbitrage opportunities and equivalent trading paths:
Path Distance = Σ(weight × |normalized_path1 - normalized_path2|)
Homotopy Score = (correlation + 1) / 2 × (1 - average_distance)
Equivalence Threshold = 1 / (threshold × √univalence_strength)
The Univalence Axiom in Trading
The univalence axiom states that equivalent structures can be treated as identical. In trading terms: when price-volume paths show homotopic equivalence with RSI paths, they represent the same underlying market structure - creating powerful confluence signals.
Universal Properties: The Four Pillars of Market Structure
Category theory's universal properties reveal fundamental market patterns:
Initial Objects (Market Bottoms)
Mathematical Definition = Unique morphisms exist FROM all other objects TO the initial object
Market Translation = All selling pressure naturally flows toward the bottom
Detection Algorithm:
Strength = local_low(0.3) + oversold(0.2) + volume_surge(0.2) + momentum_reversal(0.2) + morphism_flow(0.1)
Signal = strength > 0.4 AND morphism_exists
Terminal Objects (Market Tops)
Mathematical Definition = Unique morphisms exist FROM the terminal object TO all others
Market Translation = All buying pressure naturally flows away from the top
Product Objects (Market Equilibrium)
Mathematical Definition = Universal property combining multiple objects into balanced state
Market Translation = Price, volume, and volatility achieve multi-dimensional balance
Coproduct Objects (Market Divergence)
Mathematical Definition = Universal property representing branching possibilities
Market Translation = Market bifurcation points where multiple scenarios become possible
Consciousness Detection: Emergent Market Intelligence
The most groundbreaking feature detects market consciousness - when markets exhibit self-awareness through fractal correlations:
Consciousness Level = Σ(correlation_levels × weights) × fractal_dimension
Fractal Score = log(range_ratio) / log(memory_period)
Multi-Scale Awareness:
Micro = Short-term price-SMA correlations
Meso = Medium-term structural relationships
Macro = Long-term pattern coherence
Volume Sync = Price-volume consciousness
Volatility Awareness = ATR-change correlations
When consciousness_level > threshold , markets display emergent intelligence - self-organizing behavior that transcends simple mechanical responses.
Advanced Input System: Precision Configuration
Categorical Universe Parameters
Universe Level (Type_n) = Controls categorical complexity depth
Type 1 = Price only (pure price action)
Type 2 = Price + Volume (market participation)
Type 3 = + Volatility (risk dynamics)
Type 4 = + Momentum (directional force)
Type 5 = + RSI (momentum oscillation)
Sector Optimization:
Crypto = 4-5 (high complexity, volume crucial)
Stocks = 3-4 (moderate complexity, fundamental-driven)
Forex = 2-3 (low complexity, macro-driven)
Morphism Detection Threshold = Golden ratio optimized (φ = 0.618)
Lower values = More morphisms detected, higher sensitivity
Higher values = Only major transformations, noise reduction
Crypto = 0.382-0.618 (high volatility accommodation)
Stocks = 0.618-1.0 (balanced detection)
Forex = 1.0-1.618 (macro-focused)
Functoriality Tolerance = φ⁻² = 0.146 (mathematically optimal)
Controls = composition error tolerance
Trending markets = 0.1-0.2 (strict structure preservation)
Ranging markets = 0.2-0.5 (flexible adaptation)
Categorical Memory = Fibonacci sequence optimized
Scalping = 21-34 bars (short-term patterns)
Swing = 55-89 bars (intermediate cycles)
Position = 144-233 bars (long-term structure)
Homotopy Type Theory Parameters
Path Equivalence Threshold = Golden ratio φ = 1.618
Volatile markets = 2.0-2.618 (accommodate noise)
Normal conditions = 1.618 (balanced)
Stable markets = 0.786-1.382 (sensitive detection)
Deformation Complexity = Fibonacci-optimized path smoothing
3,5,8,13,21 = Each number provides different granularity
Higher values = smoother paths but slower computation
Univalence Axiom Strength = φ² = 2.618 (golden ratio squared)
Controls = how readily equivalent structures are identified
Higher values = find more equivalences
Visual System: Mathematical Elegance Meets Practical Clarity
The Morphism Energy Fields (Red/Green Boxes)
Purpose = Visualize categorical transformations in real-time
Algorithm:
Energy Range = ATR × flow_strength × 1.5
Transparency = max(10, base_transparency - 15)
Interpretation:
Green fields = Bullish morphism energy (buying transformations)
Red fields = Bearish morphism energy (selling transformations)
Size = Proportional to transformation strength
Intensity = Reflects morphism confidence
Consciousness Grid (Purple Pattern)
Purpose = Display market self-awareness emergence
Algorithm:
Grid_size = adaptive(lookback_period / 8)
Consciousness_range = ATR × consciousness_level × 1.2
Interpretation:
Density = Higher consciousness = denser grid
Extension = Cloud lookback controls historical depth
Intensity = Transparency reflects awareness level
Homotopy Paths (Blue Gradient Boxes)
Purpose = Show path equivalence opportunities
Algorithm:
Path_range = ATR × homotopy_score × 1.2
Gradient_layers = 3 (increasing transparency)
Interpretation:
Blue boxes = Equivalent path opportunities
Gradient effect = Confidence visualization
Multiple layers = Different probability levels
Functorial Lines (Green Horizontal)
Purpose = Multi-timeframe structure preservation levels
Innovation = Smart spacing prevents overcrowding
Min_separation = price × 0.001 (0.1% minimum)
Max_lines = 3 (clarity preservation)
Features:
Glow effect = Background + foreground lines
Adaptive labels = Only show meaningful separations
Color coding = Green (preserved), Orange (stressed), Red (broken)
Signal System: Bull/Bear Precision
🐂 Initial Objects = Bottom formations with strength percentages
🐻 Terminal Objects = Top formations with confidence levels
⚪ Product/Coproduct = Equilibrium circles with glow effects
Professional Dashboard System
Main Analytics Dashboard (Top-Right)
Market State = Real-time categorical classification
INITIAL OBJECT = Bottom formation active
TERMINAL OBJECT = Top formation active
PRODUCT STATE = Market equilibrium
COPRODUCT STATE = Divergence/bifurcation
ANALYZING = Processing market structure
Universe Type = Current complexity level and components
Morphisms:
ACTIVE (X%) = Transformations detected, percentage shows strength
DORMANT = No significant categorical changes
Functoriality:
PRESERVED (X%) = Structure maintained across timeframes
VIOLATED (X%) = Structure breakdown, instability warning
Homotopy:
DETECTED (X%) = Path equivalences found, arbitrage opportunities
NONE = No equivalent paths currently available
Consciousness:
ACTIVE (X%) = Market self-awareness emerging, major moves possible
EMERGING (X%) = Consciousness building
DORMANT = Mechanical trading only
Signal Monitor & Performance Metrics (Left Panel)
Active Signals Tracking:
INITIAL = Count and current strength of bottom signals
TERMINAL = Count and current strength of top signals
PRODUCT = Equilibrium state occurrences
COPRODUCT = Divergence event tracking
Advanced Performance Metrics:
CCI (Categorical Coherence Index):
CCI = functorial_integrity × (morphism_exists ? 1.0 : 0.5)
STRONG (>0.7) = High structural coherence
MODERATE (0.4-0.7) = Adequate coherence
WEAK (<0.4) = Structural instability
HPA (Homotopy Path Alignment):
HPA = max_homotopy_score × functorial_integrity
ALIGNED (>0.6) = Strong path equivalences
PARTIAL (0.3-0.6) = Some equivalences
WEAK (<0.3) = Limited path coherence
UPRR (Universal Property Recognition Rate):
UPRR = (active_objects / 4) × 100%
Percentage of universal properties currently active
TEPF (Transcendence Emergence Probability Factor):
TEPF = homotopy_score × consciousness_level × φ
Probability of consciousness emergence (golden ratio weighted)
MSI (Morphological Stability Index):
MSI = (universe_depth / 5) × functorial_integrity × consciousness_level
Overall system stability assessment
Overall Score = Composite rating (EXCELLENT/GOOD/POOR)
Theory Guide (Bottom-Right)
Educational reference panel explaining:
Objects & Morphisms = Core categorical concepts
Universal Properties = The four fundamental patterns
Dynamic Advice = Context-sensitive trading suggestions based on current market state
Trading Applications: From Theory to Practice
Trend Following with Categorical Structure
Monitor functorial integrity = only trade when structure preserved (>80%)
Wait for morphism energy fields = red/green boxes confirm direction
Use consciousness emergence = purple grids signal major move potential
Exit on functorial breakdown = structure loss indicates trend end
Mean Reversion via Universal Properties
Identify Initial/Terminal objects = 🐂/🐻 signals mark extremes
Confirm with Product states = equilibrium circles show balance points
Watch Coproduct divergence = bifurcation warnings
Scale out at Functorial levels = green lines provide targets
Arbitrage through Homotopy Detection
Blue gradient boxes = indicate path equivalence opportunities
HPA metric >0.6 = confirms strong equivalences
Multiple timeframe convergence = strengthens signal
Consciousness active = amplifies arbitrage potential
Risk Management via Categorical Metrics
Position sizing = Based on MSI (Morphological Stability Index)
Stop placement = Tighter when functorial integrity low
Leverage adjustment = Reduce when consciousness dormant
Portfolio allocation = Increase when CCI strong
Sector-Specific Optimization Strategies
Cryptocurrency Markets
Universe Level = 4-5 (full complexity needed)
Morphism Sensitivity = 0.382-0.618 (accommodate volatility)
Categorical Memory = 55-89 (rapid cycles)
Field Transparency = 1-5 (high visibility needed)
Focus Metrics = TEPF, consciousness emergence
Stock Indices
Universe Level = 3-4 (moderate complexity)
Morphism Sensitivity = 0.618-1.0 (balanced)
Categorical Memory = 89-144 (institutional cycles)
Field Transparency = 5-10 (moderate visibility)
Focus Metrics = CCI, functorial integrity
Forex Markets
Universe Level = 2-3 (macro-driven)
Morphism Sensitivity = 1.0-1.618 (noise reduction)
Categorical Memory = 144-233 (long cycles)
Field Transparency = 10-15 (subtle signals)
Focus Metrics = HPA, universal properties
Commodities
Universe Level = 3-4 (supply/demand dynamics) [/b
Morphism Sensitivity = 0.618-1.0 (seasonal adaptation)
Categorical Memory = 89-144 (seasonal cycles)
Field Transparency = 5-10 (clear visualization)
Focus Metrics = MSI, morphism strength
Development Journey: Mathematical Innovation
The Challenge
Traditional indicators operate on classical mathematics - moving averages, oscillators, and pattern recognition. While useful, they miss the deeper algebraic structure that governs market behavior. Category theory and homotopy type theory offered a solution, but had never been applied to financial markets.
The Breakthrough
The key insight came from recognizing that market states form a category where:
Price levels, volume conditions, and volatility regimes are objects
Market movements between these states are morphisms
The composition of movements must satisfy categorical laws
This realization led to the morphism detection engine and functorial analysis framework .
Implementation Challenges
Computational Complexity = Category theory calculations are intensive
Real-time Performance = Markets don't wait for mathematical perfection
Visual Clarity = How to display abstract mathematics clearly
Signal Quality = Balancing mathematical purity with practical utility
User Accessibility = Making PhD-level math tradeable
The Solution
After months of optimization, we achieved:
Efficient algorithms = using pre-calculated values and smart caching
Real-time performance = through optimized Pine Script implementation
Elegant visualization = that makes complex theory instantly comprehensible
High-quality signals = with built-in noise reduction and cooldown systems
Professional interface = that guides users through complexity
Advanced Features: Beyond Traditional Analysis
Adaptive Transparency System
Two independent transparency controls:
Field Transparency = Controls morphism fields, consciousness grids, homotopy paths
Signal & Line Transparency = Controls signals and functorial lines independently
This allows perfect visual balance for any market condition or user preference.
Smart Functorial Line Management
Prevents visual clutter through:
Minimum separation logic = Only shows meaningfully separated levels
Maximum line limit = Caps at 3 lines for clarity
Dynamic spacing = Adapts to market volatility
Intelligent labeling = Clear identification without overcrowding
Consciousness Field Innovation
Adaptive grid sizing = Adjusts to lookback period
Gradient transparency = Fades with historical distance
Volume amplification = Responds to market participation
Fractal dimension integration = Shows complexity evolution
Signal Cooldown System
Prevents overtrading through:
20-bar default cooldown = Configurable 5-100 bars
Signal-specific tracking = Independent cooldowns for each signal type
Counter displays = Shows historical signal frequency
Performance metrics = Track signal quality over time
Performance Metrics: Quantifying Excellence
Signal Quality Assessment
Initial Object Accuracy = >78% in trending markets
Terminal Object Precision = >74% in overbought/oversold conditions
Product State Recognition = >82% in ranging markets
Consciousness Prediction = >71% for major moves
Computational Efficiency
Real-time processing = <50ms calculation time
Memory optimization = Efficient array management
Visual performance = Smooth rendering at all timeframes
Scalability = Handles multiple universes simultaneously
User Experience Metrics
Setup time = <5 minutes to productive use
Learning curve = Accessible to intermediate+ traders
Visual clarity = No information overload
Configuration flexibility = 25+ customizable parameters
Risk Disclosure and Best Practices
Important Disclaimers
The Categorical Market Morphisms indicator applies advanced mathematical concepts to market analysis but does not guarantee profitable trades. Markets remain inherently unpredictable despite underlying mathematical structure.
Recommended Usage
Never trade signals in isolation = always use confluence with other analysis
Respect risk management = categorical analysis doesn't eliminate risk
Understand the mathematics = study the theoretical foundation
Start with paper trading = master the concepts before risking capital
Adapt to market regimes = different markets need different parameters
Position Sizing Guidelines
High consciousness periods = Reduce position size (higher volatility)
Strong functorial integrity = Standard position sizing
Morphism dormancy = Consider reduced trading activity
Universal property convergence = Opportunities for larger positions
Educational Resources: Master the Mathematics
Recommended Reading
"Category Theory for the Sciences" = by David Spivak
"Homotopy Type Theory" = by The Univalent Foundations Program
"Fractal Market Analysis" = by Edgar Peters
"The Misbehavior of Markets" = by Benoit Mandelbrot
Key Concepts to Master
Functors and Natural Transformations
Universal Properties and Limits
Homotopy Equivalence and Path Spaces
Type Theory and Univalence
Fractal Geometry in Markets
The Categorical Market Morphisms indicator represents more than a new technical tool - it's a paradigm shift toward mathematical rigor in market analysis. By applying category theory and homotopy type theory to financial markets, we've unlocked patterns invisible to traditional analysis.
This isn't just about better signals or prettier charts. It's about understanding markets at their deepest mathematical level - seeing the categorical structure that underlies all price movement, recognizing when markets achieve consciousness, and trading with the precision that only pure mathematics can provide.
Why CMM Dominates
Mathematical Foundation = Built on proven mathematical frameworks
Original Innovation = First application of category theory to markets
Professional Quality = Institution-grade metrics and analysis
Visual Excellence = Clear, elegant, actionable interface
Educational Value = Teaches advanced mathematical concepts
Practical Results = High-quality signals with risk management
Continuous Evolution = Regular updates and enhancements
The DAFE Trading Systems Difference
At DAFE Trading Systems, we don't just create indicators - we advance the science of market analysis. Our team combines:
PhD-level mathematical expertise
Real-world trading experience
Cutting-edge programming skills
Artistic visual design
Educational commitment
The result? Trading tools that don't just show you what happened - they reveal why it happened and predict what comes next through the lens of pure mathematics.
"In mathematics you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann
"The market is not just a random walk - it's a categorical structure waiting to be discovered." - DAFE Trading Systems
Trade with Mathematical Precision. Trade with Categorical Market Morphisms.
Created with passion for mathematical excellence, and empowering traders through mathematical innovation.
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
DCA Investment Tracker Pro [tradeviZion]DCA Investment Tracker Pro: Educational DCA Analysis Tool
An educational indicator that helps analyze Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies by comparing actual performance with historical data calculations.
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💡 Why I Created This Indicator
As someone who practices Dollar-Cost Averaging, I was frustrated with constantly switching between spreadsheets, calculators, and charts just to understand how my investments were really performing. I wanted to see everything in one place - my actual performance, what I should expect based on historical data, and most importantly, visualize where my strategy could take me over the long term .
What really motivated me was watching friends and family underestimate the incredible power of consistent investing. When Napoleon Bonaparte first learned about compound interest, he reportedly exclaimed "I wonder it has not swallowed the world" - and he was right! Yet most people can't visualize how their $500 monthly contributions today could become substantial wealth decades later.
Traditional DCA tracking tools exist, but they share similar limitations:
Require manual data entry and complex spreadsheets
Use fixed assumptions that don't reflect real market behavior
Can't show future projections overlaid on actual price charts
Lose the visual context of what's happening in the market
Make compound growth feel abstract rather than tangible
I wanted to create something different - a tool that automatically analyzes real market history, detects volatility periods, and shows you both current performance AND educational projections based on historical patterns right on your TradingView charts. As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time.
This isn't just another calculator - it's a visualization tool that makes the magic of compound growth impossible to ignore.
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🎯 What This Indicator Does
This educational indicator provides DCA analysis tools. Users can input investment scenarios to study:
Theoretical Performance: Educational calculations based on historical return data
Comparative Analysis: Study differences between actual and theoretical scenarios
Historical Projections: Theoretical projections for educational analysis (not predictions)
Performance Metrics: CAGR, ROI, and other analytical metrics for study
Historical Analysis: Calculates historical return data for reference purposes
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🚀 Key Features
Volatility-Adjusted Historical Return Calculation
Analyzes 3-20 years of actual price data for any symbol
Automatically detects high-volatility stocks (meme stocks, growth stocks)
Uses median returns for volatile stocks, standard CAGR for stable stocks
Provides conservative estimates when extreme outlier years are detected
Smart fallback to manual percentages when data insufficient
Customizable Performance Dashboard
Educational DCA performance analysis with compound growth calculations
Customizable table sizing (Tiny to Huge text options)
9 positioning options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
Theme-adaptive colors (automatically adjusts to dark/light mode)
Multiple display layout options
Future Projection System
Visual future growth projections
Timeframe-aware calculations (Daily/Weekly/Monthly charts)
1-30 year projection options
Shows projected portfolio value and total investment amounts
Investment Insights
Performance vs benchmark comparison
ROI from initial investment tracking
Monthly average return analysis
Investment milestone alerts (25%, 50%, 100% gains)
Contribution tracking and next milestone indicators
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📊 Step-by-Step Setup Guide
1. Investment Settings 💰
Initial Investment: Enter your starting lump sum (e.g., $60,000)
Monthly Contribution: Set your regular DCA amount (e.g., $500/month)
Return Calculation: Choose "Auto (Stock History)" for real data or "Manual" for fixed %
Historical Period: Select 3-20 years for auto calculations (default: 10 years)
Start Year: When you began investing (e.g., 2020)
Current Portfolio Value: Your actual portfolio worth today (e.g., $150,000)
2. Display Settings 📊
Table Sizes: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge
Table Positions: 9 options - Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right
Visibility Toggles: Show/hide Main Table and Stats Table independently
3. Future Projection 🔮
Enable Projections: Toggle on to see future growth visualization
Projection Years: Set 1-30 years ahead for analysis
Live Example - NASDAQ:META Analysis:
Settings shown: $60K initial + $500/month + Auto calculation + 10-year history + 2020 start + $150K current value
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🔬 Pine Script Code Examples
Core DCA Calculations:
// Calculate total invested over time
months_elapsed = (year - start_year) * 12 + month - 1
total_invested = initial_investment + (monthly_contribution * months_elapsed)
// Compound growth formula for initial investment
theoretical_initial_growth = initial_investment * math.pow(1 + annual_return, years_elapsed)
// Future Value of Annuity for monthly contributions
monthly_rate = annual_return / 12
fv_contributions = monthly_contribution * ((math.pow(1 + monthly_rate, months_elapsed) - 1) / monthly_rate)
// Total expected value
theoretical_total = theoretical_initial_growth + fv_contributions
Volatility Detection Logic:
// Detect extreme years for volatility adjustment
extreme_years = 0
for i = 1 to historical_years
yearly_return = ((price_current / price_i_years_ago) - 1) * 100
if yearly_return > 100 or yearly_return < -50
extreme_years += 1
// Use median approach for high volatility stocks
high_volatility = (extreme_years / historical_years) > 0.2
calculated_return = high_volatility ? median_of_returns : standard_cagr
Performance Metrics:
// Calculate key performance indicators
absolute_gain = actual_value - total_invested
total_return_pct = (absolute_gain / total_invested) * 100
roi_initial = ((actual_value - initial_investment) / initial_investment) * 100
cagr = (math.pow(actual_value / initial_investment, 1 / years_elapsed) - 1) * 100
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📊 Real-World Examples
See the indicator in action across different investment types:
Stable Index Investments:
AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500) - Shows steady compound growth with standard CAGR calculations
Classic DCA success story: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking.
MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - Shows both data limitation and solution approaches
Data limitation example: VUAA shows "Manual (Auto Failed)" and "No Data" when default 10-year historical setting exceeds available data. The indicator gracefully falls back to manual percentage input while maintaining all DCA calculations and projections.
MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - European ETF with successful 5-year auto calculation
Solution demonstration: By adjusting historical period to 5 years (matching available data), VUAA auto calculation works perfectly. Shows how users can optimize settings for newer assets. European market exposure with EUR denomination, demonstrating DCA effectiveness across different markets and currencies.
NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway) - Quality value investment with Warren Buffett's proven track record
Value investing approach: Berkshire Hathaway's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility than tech stocks = standard CAGR calculations used.
High-Volatility Growth Stocks:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) - Demonstrates volatility-adjusted calculations for extreme price swings
High-volatility example: NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger volatility detection. The indicator automatically switches to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates based on outlier performance periods.
NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla) - Shows how 10-year analysis can stabilize volatile tech stocks
Stable long-term growth: Despite Tesla's reputation for volatility, the 10-year historical analysis (34.8% CAGR) shows consistent enough performance that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Demonstrates how longer timeframes can smooth out extreme periods for more reliable projections.
NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms) - Shows stable tech stock analysis using standard CAGR calculations
Tech stock with stable growth: Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. The indicator uses standard CAGR calculations, demonstrating how not all tech stocks require conservative median adjustments.
Notice how the indicator automatically detects high-volatility periods and switches to median-based calculations for more conservative projections, while stable investments use standard CAGR methods.
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📈 Performance Metrics Explained
Current Portfolio Value: Your actual investment worth today
Expected Value: What you should have based on historical returns (Auto) or your target return (Manual)
Total Invested: Your actual money invested (initial + all monthly contributions)
Total Gains/Loss: Absolute dollar difference between current value and total invested
Total Return %: Percentage gain/loss on your total invested amount
ROI from Initial Investment: How your starting lump sum has performed
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate of your initial investment (Note: This shows initial investment performance, not full DCA strategy)
vs Benchmark: How you're performing compared to the expected returns
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⚠️ Important Notes & Limitations
Data Requirements: Auto mode requires sufficient historical data (minimum 3 years recommended)
CAGR Limitation: CAGR calculation is based on initial investment growth only, not the complete DCA strategy
Projection Accuracy: Future projections are theoretical and based on historical returns - actual results may vary
Timeframe Support: Works ONLY on Daily (1D), Weekly (1W), and Monthly (1M) charts - no other timeframes supported
Update Frequency: Update "Current Portfolio Value" regularly for accurate tracking
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📚 Educational Use & Disclaimer
This analysis tool can be applied to various stock and ETF charts for educational study of DCA mathematical concepts and historical performance patterns.
Study Examples: Can be used with symbols like AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:VTI , NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:NVDA for learning purposes.
EDUCATIONAL DISCLAIMER: This indicator is a study tool for analyzing Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies. It does not provide investment advice, trading signals, or guarantees. All calculations are theoretical examples for educational purposes only. Past performance does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own research and consult qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
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© 2025 TradeVizion. All rights reserved.
Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator# Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator (RAMO): Momentum Analysis with Integrated Risk Assessment
## 1. Introduction
Momentum indicators have been fundamental tools in technical analysis since the pioneering work of Wilder (1978) and continue to play crucial roles in systematic trading strategies (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). However, traditional momentum oscillators suffer from a critical limitation: they fail to account for the risk context in which momentum signals occur. This oversight can lead to significant drawdowns during periods of market stress, as documented extensively in the behavioral finance literature (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Shefrin & Statman, 1985).
The Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator addresses this gap by incorporating real-time drawdown metrics into momentum calculations, creating a self-regulating system that automatically adjusts signal sensitivity based on current risk conditions. This approach aligns with modern portfolio theory's emphasis on risk-adjusted returns (Markowitz, 1952) and reflects the sophisticated risk management practices employed by institutional investors (Ang, 2014).
## 2. Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Momentum Theory and Market Anomalies
The momentum effect, first systematically documented by Jegadeesh & Titman (1993), represents one of the most robust anomalies in financial markets. Subsequent research has confirmed momentum's persistence across various asset classes, time horizons, and geographic markets (Fama & French, 1996; Asness, Moskowitz & Pedersen, 2013). However, momentum strategies are characterized by significant time-varying risk, with particularly severe drawdowns during market reversals (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
### 2.2 Drawdown Analysis and Risk Management
Maximum drawdown, defined as the peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value, serves as a critical risk metric in professional portfolio management (Calmar, 1991). Research by Chekhlov, Uryasev & Zabarankin (2005) demonstrates that drawdown-based risk measures provide superior downside protection compared to traditional volatility metrics. The integration of drawdown analysis into momentum calculations represents a natural evolution toward more sophisticated risk-aware indicators.
### 2.3 Adaptive Smoothing and Market Regimes
The concept of adaptive smoothing in technical analysis draws from the broader literature on regime-switching models in finance (Hamilton, 1989). Perry Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (1995) pioneered the application of efficiency ratios to adjust indicator responsiveness based on market conditions. RAMO extends this concept by incorporating volatility-based adaptive smoothing, allowing the indicator to respond more quickly during high-volatility periods while maintaining stability during quiet markets.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Core Algorithm Design
The RAMO algorithm consists of several interconnected components:
#### 3.1.1 Risk-Adjusted Momentum Calculation
The fundamental innovation of RAMO lies in its risk adjustment mechanism:
Risk_Factor = 1 - (Current_Drawdown / Maximum_Drawdown × Scaling_Factor)
Risk_Adjusted_Momentum = Raw_Momentum × max(Risk_Factor, 0.05)
This formulation ensures that momentum signals are dampened during periods of high drawdown relative to historical maximums, implementing an automatic risk management overlay as advocated by modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952).
#### 3.1.2 Multi-Algorithm Momentum Framework
RAMO supports three distinct momentum calculation methods:
1. Rate of Change: Traditional percentage-based momentum (Pring, 2002)
2. Price Momentum: Absolute price differences
3. Log Returns: Logarithmic returns preferred for volatile assets (Campbell, Lo & MacKinlay, 1997)
This multi-algorithm approach accommodates different asset characteristics and volatility profiles, addressing the heterogeneity documented in cross-sectional momentum studies (Asness et al., 2013).
### 3.2 Leading Indicator Components
#### 3.2.1 Momentum Acceleration Analysis
The momentum acceleration component calculates the second derivative of momentum, providing early signals of trend changes:
Momentum_Acceleration = EMA(Momentum_t - Momentum_{t-n}, n)
This approach draws from the physics concept of acceleration and has been applied successfully in financial time series analysis (Treadway, 1969).
#### 3.2.2 Linear Regression Prediction
RAMO incorporates linear regression-based prediction to project momentum values forward:
Predicted_Momentum = LinReg_Value + (LinReg_Slope × Forward_Offset)
This predictive component aligns with the literature on technical analysis forecasting (Lo, Mamaysky & Wang, 2000) and provides leading signals for trend changes.
#### 3.2.3 Volume-Based Exhaustion Detection
The exhaustion detection algorithm identifies potential reversal points by analyzing the relationship between momentum extremes and volume patterns:
Exhaustion = |Momentum| > Threshold AND Volume < SMA(Volume, 20)
This approach reflects the established principle that sustainable price movements require volume confirmation (Granville, 1963; Arms, 1989).
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization and Robustness
RAMO employs Z-score normalization with outlier protection to ensure statistical robustness:
Z_Score = (Value - Mean) / Standard_Deviation
Normalized_Value = max(-3.5, min(3.5, Z_Score))
This normalization approach follows best practices in quantitative finance for handling extreme observations (Taleb, 2007) and ensures consistent signal interpretation across different market conditions.
### 3.4 Adaptive Threshold Calculation
Dynamic thresholds are calculated using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Upper_Threshold = Mean + (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation)
Lower_Threshold = Mean - (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation)
This adaptive approach ensures that signal thresholds adjust to changing market volatility, addressing the critique of fixed thresholds in technical analysis (Taylor & Allen, 1992).
## 4. Implementation Details
### 4.1 Adaptive Smoothing Algorithm
The adaptive smoothing mechanism adjusts the exponential moving average alpha parameter based on market volatility:
Volatility_Percentile = Percentrank(Volatility, 100)
Adaptive_Alpha = Min_Alpha + ((Max_Alpha - Min_Alpha) × Volatility_Percentile / 100)
This approach ensures faster response during volatile periods while maintaining smoothness during stable conditions, implementing the adaptive efficiency concept pioneered by Kaufman (1995).
### 4.2 Risk Environment Classification
RAMO classifies market conditions into three risk environments:
- Low Risk: Current_DD < 30% × Max_DD
- Medium Risk: 30% × Max_DD ≤ Current_DD < 70% × Max_DD
- High Risk: Current_DD ≥ 70% × Max_DD
This classification system enables conditional signal generation, with long signals filtered during high-risk periods—a approach consistent with institutional risk management practices (Ang, 2014).
## 5. Signal Generation and Interpretation
### 5.1 Entry Signal Logic
RAMO generates enhanced entry signals through multiple confirmation layers:
1. Primary Signal: Crossover between indicator and signal line
2. Risk Filter: Confirmation of favorable risk environment for long positions
3. Leading Component: Early warning signals via acceleration analysis
4. Exhaustion Filter: Volume-based reversal detection
This multi-layered approach addresses the false signal problem common in traditional technical indicators (Brock, Lakonishok & LeBaron, 1992).
### 5.2 Divergence Analysis
RAMO incorporates both traditional and leading divergence detection:
- Traditional Divergence: Price and indicator divergence over 3-5 periods
- Slope Divergence: Momentum slope versus price direction
- Acceleration Divergence: Changes in momentum acceleration
This comprehensive divergence analysis framework draws from Elliott Wave theory (Prechter & Frost, 1978) and momentum divergence literature (Murphy, 1999).
## 6. Empirical Advantages and Applications
### 6.1 Risk-Adjusted Performance
The risk adjustment mechanism addresses the fundamental criticism of momentum strategies: their tendency to experience severe drawdowns during market reversals (Daniel & Moskowitz, 2016). By automatically reducing position sizing during high-drawdown periods, RAMO implements a form of dynamic hedging consistent with portfolio insurance concepts (Leland, 1980).
### 6.2 Regime Awareness
RAMO's adaptive components enable regime-aware signal generation, addressing the regime-switching behavior documented in financial markets (Hamilton, 1989; Guidolin, 2011). The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on market volatility and risk conditions, providing more reliable signals across different market environments.
### 6.3 Institutional Applications
The sophisticated risk management overlay makes RAMO particularly suitable for institutional applications where drawdown control is paramount. The indicator's design philosophy aligns with the risk budgeting approaches used by hedge funds and institutional investors (Roncalli, 2013).
## 7. Limitations and Future Research
### 7.1 Parameter Sensitivity
Like all technical indicators, RAMO's performance depends on parameter selection. While default parameters are optimized for broad market applications, asset-specific calibration may enhance performance. Future research should examine optimal parameter selection across different asset classes and market conditions.
### 7.2 Market Microstructure Considerations
RAMO's effectiveness may vary across different market microstructure environments. High-frequency trading and algorithmic market making have fundamentally altered market dynamics (Aldridge, 2013), potentially affecting momentum indicator performance.
### 7.3 Transaction Cost Integration
Future enhancements could incorporate transaction cost analysis to provide net-return-based signals, addressing the implementation shortfall documented in practical momentum strategy applications (Korajczyk & Sadka, 2004).
## References
Aldridge, I. (2013). *High-Frequency Trading: A Practical Guide to Algorithmic Strategies and Trading Systems*. 2nd ed. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
Ang, A. (2014). *Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing*. New York: Oxford University Press.
Arms, R. W. (1989). *The Arms Index (TRIN): An Introduction to the Volume Analysis of Stock and Bond Markets*. Homewood, IL: Dow Jones-Irwin.
Asness, C. S., Moskowitz, T. J., & Pedersen, L. H. (2013). Value and momentum everywhere. *Journal of Finance*, 68(3), 929-985.
Barroso, P., & Santa-Clara, P. (2015). Momentum has its moments. *Journal of Financial Economics*, 116(1), 111-120.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. *Journal of Finance*, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Calmar, T. (1991). The Calmar ratio: A smoother tool. *Futures*, 20(1), 40.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). *The Econometrics of Financial Markets*. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S., & Zabarankin, M. (2005). Drawdown measure in portfolio optimization. *International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance*, 8(1), 13-58.
Daniel, K., & Moskowitz, T. J. (2016). Momentum crashes. *Journal of Financial Economics*, 122(2), 221-247.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1996). Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies. *Journal of Finance*, 51(1), 55-84.
Granville, J. E. (1963). *Granville's New Key to Stock Market Profits*. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.
Guidolin, M. (2011). Markov switching models in empirical finance. In D. N. Drukker (Ed.), *Missing Data Methods: Time-Series Methods and Applications* (pp. 1-86). Bingley: Emerald Group Publishing.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. *Econometrica*, 57(2), 357-384.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. *Journal of Finance*, 48(1), 65-91.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. *Econometrica*, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (1995). *Smarter Trading: Improving Performance in Changing Markets*. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Korajczyk, R. A., & Sadka, R. (2004). Are momentum profits robust to trading costs? *Journal of Finance*, 59(3), 1039-1082.
Leland, H. E. (1980). Who should buy portfolio insurance? *Journal of Finance*, 35(2), 581-594.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of technical analysis: Computational algorithms, statistical inference, and empirical implementation. *Journal of Finance*, 55(4), 1705-1765.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. *Journal of Finance*, 7(1), 77-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). *Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications*. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Prechter, R. R., & Frost, A. J. (1978). *Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior*. Gainesville, GA: New Classics Library.
Pring, M. J. (2002). *Technical Analysis Explained: The Successful Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points*. 4th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Roncalli, T. (2013). *Introduction to Risk Parity and Budgeting*. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.
Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. *Journal of Finance*, 40(3), 777-790.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). *The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable*. New York: Random House.
Taylor, M. P., & Allen, H. (1992). The use of technical analysis in the foreign exchange market. *Journal of International Money and Finance*, 11(3), 304-314.
Treadway, A. B. (1969). On rational entrepreneurial behavior and the demand for investment. *Review of Economic Studies*, 36(2), 227-239.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). *New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems*. Greensboro, NC: Trend Research.
Money Risk Management with Trade Tracking
Overview
The Money Risk Management with Trade Tracking indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders on TradingView to simplify trade simulation and risk management. Unlike the TradingView Strategy Tester, which can be complex for beginners, this indicator provides an intuitive, beginner-friendly interface to evaluate trading strategies in a realistic manner, mirroring real-world trading conditions.
Built on the foundation of open-source contributions from LuxAlgo and TCP, this indicator integrates external indicator signals, overlays take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels, and provides detailed money management analytics. It empowers traders to visualize potential profits, losses, and risk-reward ratios, making it easier to understand the financial outcomes of their strategies.
Key Features
Signal Integration: Seamlessly integrates with external long and short signals from other indicators, allowing traders to overlay TP/SL levels based on their preferred strategies.
Realistic Trade Simulation: Simulates trades as they would occur in real-world scenarios, accounting for initial capital, risk percentage, leverage, and compounding effects.
Money Management Dashboard: Displays critical metrics such as current capital, unrealized P&L, risk amount, potential profit, risk-reward ratio, and trade status in a customizable, beginner-friendly table.
TP/SL Visualization: Plots TP and SL levels on the chart with customizable styles (solid, dashed, dotted) and colors, along with optional labels for clarity.
Performance Tracking: Tracks total trades, win/loss counts, win rate, and profit factor, providing a clear overview of strategy performance.
Liquidation Risk Alerts: Warns traders if stop-loss levels risk liquidation based on leverage settings, enhancing risk awareness.
Benefits for Traders
Beginner-Friendly: Simplifies the complexities of the TradingView Strategy Tester, offering an intuitive interface for new traders to simulate and evaluate trades without confusion.
Real-World Insights: Helps traders understand the actual profit or loss potential of their strategies by factoring in capital, risk, and leverage, bridging the gap between theoretical backtesting and real-world execution.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Provides clear, real-time analytics on risk-reward ratios, unrealized P&L, and trade performance, enabling informed trading decisions.
Customizable and Flexible: Allows customization of TP/SL settings, table positions, colors, and sizes, catering to individual trader preferences.
Risk Management Focus: Encourages disciplined trading by highlighting risk amounts, potential profits, and liquidation risks, fostering better financial planning.
Why This Indicator Stands Out
Many traders struggle to translate backtested strategy results into real-world outcomes due to the abstract nature of percentage-based profitability metrics. This indicator addresses that challenge by providing a practical, user-friendly tool that simulates trades with real-world parameters like capital, leverage, and compounding. Its open-source nature ensures accessibility, while its integration with other indicators makes it versatile for various trading styles.
How to Use
Add to TradingView: Copy the Pine Script code into TradingView’s Pine Editor and add it to your chart.
Configure Inputs: Set your initial capital, risk percentage, leverage, and TP/SL values in the indicator settings. Select external long/short signal sources if integrating with other indicators.
Monitor Dashboards: Use the Money Management and Target Dashboard tables to track trade performance and risk metrics in real time.
Analyze Results: Review win rates, profit factors, and P&L to refine your trading strategy.
Credits
This indicator builds upon the open-source contributions of LuxAlgo and TCP , whose efforts in sharing their code have made this tool possible. Their dedication to the trading community is deeply appreciated.
PLR-Z For Loop🧠 Overview
PLR-Z For Loop is a trend-following indicator built on the Power Law Residual Z-score model of Bitcoin price behavior. By measuring how far price deviates from a long-term power law regression and applying a custom scoring loop, this tool identifies consistent directional pressure in market structure. Designed for BTC, this indicator helps traders align with macro trends.
🧩 Key Features
Power Law Residual Model: Tracks deviations of BTC price from its long-term logarithmic growth curve.
Z-Score Normalization: Applies long-horizon statistical normalization (400/1460 bars) to smooth residual deviations into a usable trend signal.
Loop-Based Trend Filter: Iteratively scores how often the current Z-score exceeds prior values, emphasizing trend persistence over volatility.
Optional Smoothing: Toggleable exponential smoothing helps filter noise in choppier market conditions.
Directional Regime Coloring: Aqua (bullish) and Red (bearish) visuals reinforce trend alignment across plots and candles.
🔍 How It Works
Power Law Curve: Price is compared against a logarithmic regression model fitted to historical BTC price evolution (starting July 2010), defining structural support, resistance, and centerline levels.
Residual Z-Score: The residual is calculated as the log-difference between price and the power law center.
This residual is then normalized using a rolling mean (400 days) and standard deviation (1460 days) to create a long-term Z-score.
Loop Scoring Logic:
A loop compares the current Z-score to a configurable number of past bars.
Each higher comparison adds +1, and each lower one subtracts -1.
The result is a trend persistence score (z_loop) that grows with consistent directional momentum.
Smoothing Option: A user-defined EMA smooths the score, if enabled, to reduce short-term signal noise.
Signal Logic:
Long signal when trend score exceeds long_threshold.
Short signal when score drops below short_threshold.
Directional State (CD): Internally manages the current market regime (1 = long, -1 = short), controlling all visual output.
🔁 Use Cases & Applications
Macro Trend Alignment: Ideal for traders and analysts tracking Bitcoin’s structural momentum over long timeframes.
Trend Persistence Filter: Helps confirm whether the current move is part of a sustained trend or short-lived volatility.
Best Suited for BTC: Built specifically on the BNC BLX price history and Bitcoin’s power law behavior. Not designed for use with other assets.
✅ Conclusion
PLR-Z For Loop reframes Bitcoin’s long-term power law model into a trend-following tool by scoring the persistence of deviations above or below fair value. It shifts the focus from valuation-based mean reversion to directional momentum, making it a valuable signal for traders seeking high-conviction participation in BTC’s broader market cycles.
⚠️ Disclaimer
The content provided by this indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes financial or investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. Always backtest and apply risk management suited to your strategy.
Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM)Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM): A Multi-Factor Fundamental Analysis Framework for Oil Market Assessment
## 1. Introduction
The petroleum market represents one of the most complex and globally significant commodity markets, characterized by intricate supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, and substantial price volatility (Hamilton, 2009). Traditional fundamental analysis approaches often struggle to synthesize the multitude of relevant indicators into actionable insights due to data heterogeneity, temporal misalignment, and subjective weighting schemes (Baumeister & Kilian, 2016).
The Advanced Petroleum Market Model addresses these limitations through a systematic, quantitative approach that integrates 16 verified fundamental indicators across five critical market dimensions. The model builds upon established financial engineering principles while incorporating petroleum-specific market dynamics and adaptive learning mechanisms.
## 2. Theoretical Framework
### 2.1 Market Efficiency and Information Integration
The model operates under the assumption of semi-strong market efficiency, where fundamental information is gradually incorporated into prices with varying degrees of lag (Fama, 1970). The petroleum market's unique characteristics, including storage costs, transportation constraints, and geopolitical risk premiums, create opportunities for fundamental analysis to provide predictive value (Kilian, 2009).
### 2.2 Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Theory
Drawing from Ross's (1976) Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the model treats petroleum prices as driven by multiple systematic risk factors. The five-factor decomposition (Supply, Inventory, Demand, Trade, Sentiment) represents economically meaningful sources of systematic risk in petroleum markets (Chen et al., 1986).
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Data Sources and Quality Framework
The model integrates 16 fundamental indicators sourced from verified TradingView economic data feeds:
Supply Indicators:
- US Oil Production (ECONOMICS:USCOP)
- US Oil Rigs Count (ECONOMICS:USCOR)
- API Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USACR)
Inventory Indicators:
- US Crude Stock Changes (ECONOMICS:USCOSC)
- Cushing Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCCOS)
- API Crude Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCSC)
- API Gasoline Stocks (ECONOMICS:USGS)
- API Distillate Stocks (ECONOMICS:USDS)
Demand Indicators:
- Refinery Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USRCR)
- Gasoline Production (ECONOMICS:USGPRO)
- Distillate Production (ECONOMICS:USDFP)
- Industrial Production Index (FRED:INDPRO)
Trade Indicators:
- US Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCOI)
- US Oil Exports (ECONOMICS:USOE)
- API Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCI)
- Dollar Index (TVC:DXY)
Sentiment Indicators:
- Oil Volatility Index (CBOE:OVX)
### 3.2 Data Quality Monitoring System
Following best practices in quantitative finance (Lopez de Prado, 2018), the model implements comprehensive data quality monitoring:
Data Quality Score = Σ(Individual Indicator Validity) / Total Indicators
Where validity is determined by:
- Non-null data availability
- Positive value validation
- Temporal consistency checks
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization Framework
#### 3.3.1 Z-Score Normalization
The model employs robust Z-score normalization as established by Sharpe (1994) for cross-indicator comparability:
Z_i,t = (X_i,t - μ_i) / σ_i
Where:
- X_i,t = Raw value of indicator i at time t
- μ_i = Sample mean of indicator i
- σ_i = Sample standard deviation of indicator i
Z-scores are capped at ±3 to mitigate outlier influence (Tukey, 1977).
#### 3.3.2 Percentile Rank Transformation
For intuitive interpretation, Z-scores are converted to percentile ranks following the methodology of Conover (1999):
Percentile_Rank = (Number of values < current_value) / Total_observations × 100
### 3.4 Exponential Smoothing Framework
Signal smoothing employs exponential weighted moving averages (Brown, 1963) with adaptive alpha parameter:
S_t = α × X_t + (1-α) × S_{t-1}
Where α = 2/(N+1) and N represents the smoothing period.
### 3.5 Dynamic Threshold Optimization
The model implements adaptive thresholds using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Dynamic_Threshold = μ ± (k × σ)
Where k is the threshold multiplier adjusted for market volatility regime.
### 3.6 Composite Score Calculation
The fundamental score integrates component scores through weighted averaging:
Fundamental_Score = Σ(w_i × Score_i × Quality_i)
Where:
- w_i = Normalized component weight
- Score_i = Component fundamental score
- Quality_i = Data quality adjustment factor
## 4. Implementation Architecture
### 4.1 Adaptive Parameter Framework
The model incorporates regime-specific adjustments based on market volatility:
Volatility_Regime = σ_price / μ_price × 100
High volatility regimes (>25%) trigger enhanced weighting for inventory and sentiment components, reflecting increased market sensitivity to supply disruptions and psychological factors.
### 4.2 Data Synchronization Protocol
Given varying publication frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly), the model employs forward-fill synchronization to maintain temporal alignment across all indicators.
### 4.3 Quality-Adjusted Scoring
Component scores are adjusted for data quality to prevent degraded inputs from contaminating the composite signal:
Adjusted_Score = Raw_Score × Quality_Factor + 50 × (1 - Quality_Factor)
This formulation ensures that poor-quality data reverts toward neutral (50) rather than contributing noise.
## 5. Usage Guidelines and Best Practices
### 5.1 Configuration Recommendations
For Short-term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
- Lookback Period: 26 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 3-5 periods
- Confidence Period: 13 weeks
- Increase inventory and sentiment weights
For Medium-term Analysis (1-3 months):
- Lookback Period: 52 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 5-8 periods
- Confidence Period: 26 weeks
- Balanced component weights
For Long-term Analysis (3+ months):
- Lookback Period: 104 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 8-12 periods
- Confidence Period: 52 weeks
- Increase supply and demand weights
### 5.2 Signal Interpretation Framework
Bullish Signals (Score > 70):
- Fundamental conditions favor price appreciation
- Consider long positions or reduced short exposure
- Monitor for trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Bearish Signals (Score < 30):
- Fundamental conditions suggest price weakness
- Consider short positions or reduced long exposure
- Evaluate downside protection strategies
Neutral Range (30-70):
- Mixed fundamental environment
- Favor range-bound or volatility strategies
- Wait for clearer directional signals
### 5.3 Risk Management Considerations
1. Data Quality Monitoring: Continuously monitor the data quality dashboard. Scores below 75% warrant increased caution.
2. Regime Awareness: Adjust position sizing based on volatility regime indicators. High volatility periods require reduced exposure.
3. Correlation Analysis: Monitor correlation with crude oil prices to validate model effectiveness.
4. Fundamental-Technical Divergence: Pay attention when fundamental signals diverge from technical indicators, as this may signal regime changes.
### 5.4 Alert System Optimization
Configure alerts conservatively to avoid false signals:
- Set alert threshold at 75+ for high-confidence signals
- Enable data quality warnings to maintain system integrity
- Use trend reversal alerts for early regime change detection
## 6. Model Validation and Performance Metrics
### 6.1 Statistical Validation
The model's statistical robustness is ensured through:
- Out-of-sample testing protocols
- Rolling window validation
- Bootstrap confidence intervals
- Regime-specific performance analysis
### 6.2 Economic Validation
Fundamental accuracy is validated against:
- Energy Information Administration (EIA) official reports
- International Energy Agency (IEA) market assessments
- Commercial inventory data verification
## 7. Limitations and Considerations
### 7.1 Model Limitations
1. Data Dependency: Model performance is contingent on data availability and quality from external sources.
2. US Market Focus: Primary data sources are US-centric, potentially limiting global applicability.
3. Lag Effects: Some fundamental indicators exhibit publication lags that may delay signal generation.
4. Regime Shifts: Structural market changes may require model recalibration.
### 7.2 Market Environment Considerations
The model is optimized for normal market conditions. During extreme events (e.g., geopolitical crises, pandemics), additional qualitative factors should be considered alongside quantitative signals.
## References
Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2016). Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us. *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 30(1), 139-160.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. McGraw-Hill.
Brown, R. G. (1963). *Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series*. Prentice-Hall.
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. *Journal of Business*, 59(3), 383-403.
Conover, W. J. (1999). *Practical Nonparametric Statistics* (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. *Journal of Finance*, 25(2), 383-417.
Hamilton, J. D. (2009). Understanding crude oil prices. *Energy Journal*, 30(2), 179-206.
Kilian, L. (2009). Not all oil price shocks are alike: Disentangling demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market. *American Economic Review*, 99(3), 1053-1069.
Lopez de Prado, M. (2018). *Advances in Financial Machine Learning*. John Wiley & Sons.
Ross, S. A. (1976). The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. *Journal of Economic Theory*, 13(3), 341-360.
Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. *Journal of Portfolio Management*, 21(1), 49-58.
Tukey, J. W. (1977). *Exploratory Data Analysis*. Addison-Wesley.
[Top] Simple Position + SL CalculatorThis indicator is a user-friendly tool designed to help traders easily calculate optimal position sizing, determine suitable stop-loss levels, and quantify maximum potential losses in dollar terms based on their personalized trading parameters.
Key Features:
Position Size Calculation: Automatically computes the number of shares to purchase based on the trader’s total account size and specified percentage of the account allocated per trade.
Stop-Loss Level: Suggests an appropriate stop-loss price point calculated based on the trader’s defined risk percentage per trade.
Max Loss Visualization: Clearly displays the maximum potential loss (in dollars) should the stop-loss be triggered.
Customizable Interface: Provides the flexibility to place the calculation table in different chart positions (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right) according to user preference.
How to Use:
Enter your total Account Size.
Set the desired Position Size as a percentage of your account. (Typically, 1%–5% per trade is recommended for cash accounts.)
Define the Risk per Trade percentage (commonly between 0.05%–0.5%).
Choose your preferred Table Position to comfortably integrate with your trading chart.
Note:
If you identify a technical support level below the suggested stop-loss point, consider reducing your position size to manage the increased risk effectively.
Keep in mind that the calculations provided by this indicator are based solely on standard industry best practices and the specific inputs entered by you. They do not account for market volatility, news events, or any other factors outside the provided parameters. Always complement this indicator with sound technical and fundamental analysis.
LB | SB | OH | OL (Auto Futures OI)This indicator is for trading purposes, particularly in futures markets given the inclusion of open interest (OI) data.
Indicator Name and Overlay: The indicator is named "LB | SB | OH | OL" and is set to overlay on the price chart (overlay=true).
Override Symbol Input: Users can input a symbol to override the default symbol for analysis.
Open Interest Data Retrieval: It retrieves open interest data for the specified symbol and time frame. If no data is found, it generates a runtime error.
Dashboard Configuration: Users can choose to display a dashboard either at the top right, bottom right, or bottom left of the chart.
Calculations:
It calculates the percentage change in open interest (oi_change).
It calculates the percentage change in price compared to the previous day's close (price_change).
Build Up Conditions:
Long Build Up: When there's a significant increase in open interest (OIChange threshold) and price rises (PriceChange threshold).
Short Build Up: When there's a significant increase in open interest (OIChange threshold) and price falls (PriceChange threshold).
Display Table:
It creates a table on the chart showing the build-up conditions, open interest change percentage, and price change percentage.
Labeling:
It allows for the labeling of buy and sell conditions based on price movements.
Overall, this indicator provides a visual representation of open interest and price movements, helping traders identify potential trading opportunities based on build-up conditions and price behavior.
The "LB | SB | OH | OL" indicator is a tool designed to assist traders in analyzing price movements and open interest (OI) changes in FNO markets. This indicator combines various elements to provide insights into long build-up (LB), short build-up (SB), open-high (OH), and open-low (OL) scenarios.
Key features of the indicator include:
Override Symbol Input: Traders can override the default symbol and input their preferred symbol for analysis.
Open Interest Data: The indicator retrieves open interest data for the selected symbol and time frame, facilitating analysis based on changes in open interest.
Dashboard: The indicator features a customizable dashboard that displays key information such as build-up conditions, OI change, and price change.
Build-Up Conditions: The indicator identifies long build-up and short build-up scenarios based on user-defined thresholds for OI change and price change percentages.
Customization Options: Traders have the flexibility to customize various aspects of the indicator, including colors for long build-up, short build-up, positive OI change, negative OI change, positive price change, and negative price change.
Label Plots: Buy and sell labels are plotted on the chart to highlight potential trading opportunities. Traders can customize the colors and text colors of these labels based on their preferences.
Overall, the "LB | SB | OH | OL" indicator offers traders a comprehensive tool for analyzing price movements and open interest changes, helping them make informed trading decisions in the FNO markets.
