Silen's Financials Fair ValueIt is finally here! 🔥 My 3rd and most important script in my Financial series! 🚀
Ever imagined to see all fundamentals (or many that is) combined into one indicator that is right on your chart, showing you how your favorite stock is trading compared to its fundamentals?
Well, here is your answer! 📡
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This script shows you my own personal interpretation of fair value, based solely on the financial fundamentals of a company compared to market averages.
I don't believe that certain sectors of the market should be priced higher than others. If you look at historical data you'll see that favored sectors always rotate - placing insanely high P/E multiples on some sectors. Once they are "out" and people rotate away from those sectors you're left with nothing but the naked fundamentals that matter. So, you'll see many companies, that have been doing well on paper, see their share price decline by 70-90% for no other reasons than people favoring other sectors.
That's why it's even more important to focus on fair value that is solely fundamentals-based. Know when your stock gets to expensive. 🤯
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To give you some examples:
- Most Megacaps trade at historically high valuations, several times my fair value. Those include AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, TSLA, JPM, TSM, V and so on. And no, in the past they partially traded below (my) fair value.
- Most Cybersecurity / Cloud companies are trading at truly massive multiples of my fair value. (NET, DDOG, etc)
- Many Smallcaps & Midcaps are trading several multiples (OESX, CODX, QFIN) below my fair value. And no, in the past they partially traded above (my) fair value.
Ok, so much about the market. You ultimately decide how much you want to orientate on fair value. 👨🏫
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This fair value indicator (purple line):
Takes the P/E rate of the company and compares it to the market (50% weight)
Takes the P/S rate of the company and compares it to the market (50% weight)
Then adds boni and mali f or debt/equity rates and debt and equity itself
Also looks at past growth and calculates future P/E and P/S rates which adds , in some cases, value to the fair value (green line)
Also compares how historical valuations have behaved compared to fair value and simulates a fair value guideline (dark blue line)
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This script is part 3️⃣ of a series of indicators that work well together.
Script 1️⃣ of the series is:
P/E & P/S Rates
Script 2️⃣ of the series is:
Debt & Equity
If you use all 3 scripts together it will look like this, giving you truly deep and simple information about the fundamentals of a company:
Example 1 - AMD
Example 2 - HZO
Example 3 - APPS
I hope this script makes your investing and stock picks a lot easier! 🔆💹🕗
Disclaimer: Fair value is always subjective. There are many different approaches to fair value. This one is only my personal interpretation.
Disclaimer 2: This script works only for the Day-Timeframe.
Disclaimer 3: This script uses 17,5 P/E and 3,0 P/S as market averages. The actual average keeps changing but, historically speaking, these seemed to be good numbers.
Feel free to share your thoughts and feedback! 🙃
Fair
FAIR P/E BASED ON INTEREST RATESJust a different way to view S&P 500 valuations versus the standard look of looking at raw PE. Current yield of the 10 Year Bonds are used to calculate a fair value for the SPX.
This is a methodology that Buffett uses to measure value.
Recommend turning off most plots and just plotting PE and/or PE10 percent difference only.
The "slope and intercept" inputs should be left alone unless you recalculate them with updated data.
The "current PE and PE10" inputs can be found here: www.multpl.com This is a daily estimated value.
The full calculated value is released once per month, and is what Quandl has. Change these numbers if you want today's updated values.
Once you have the study set up the way you want, I recommend saving the defaults (bottom left corner in the settings screen).
FVG MTF II, multiple time frame Fair Value GapThis is FVG indicator, it outlines the location of the efficiently traded candle.
Areas that were traded in one direction, representing volume and unfilled gaps or hidden gaps in price.
An area where Price pass through long or short only, leaving it inefficiently traded and where the market with high probility might return to trade this area in a later time in the other direction leaving it efficiently traded or to rebalance.
you can use up to multiple time frames, for full market visibility.
Indentifies market impulsive move away from Order Block
This indicator captures 99.9% of FVG on your chart
This indicator works:
on every timeframe (eg. 1M, 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 6H, D, ...) up to 5 at the same time.
on cryptocurrencies (eg. BTCUSD, ETHUSD , ETHBTC, and BTC markets, ...)
on forex (eg. EURUSD , GPBUSD, NZDUSD , ...)
on stocks (eg. NKE, TSLA , AXP, BA, ...)
on commodities (eg. GOLD, SILVER, ...)
This indicator has following options:
edit color and size of label, you can choose your color base on your interedted time frame.
Please Pm me for use of indicator.
UCS_Value BandsThis Indicator is yet another variation of KC. Inspired from Value Charts webinar. I have seen their videos on youtube. What appears to be a variation of KC.
They use 12 bands Showing the zone, and different MA for different timeframes.
You can get this indicator close to accuracy by changing the inputs (ATR) and (Deviations)
This also can be used with the triple ATR setup - Change the values to EMA to desired value. To obtain the First band to plot @ 1, Change the Band deviation to 0.25.
Also can be used as as the Acceleration Band. With Current Settings, the Third Band will plot the Acceleration band.
List of All my Indicators - www.tradingview.com
Lycka Till
