第2頁 | Fairvalue — 指標和策略

Institutional FVG & Liquidity Range Candle (Expo)█ Institutional FVG with predicted SR levels & Liquidity Range Candle is an indicator that uses Smart Money Concepts to give you the insights needed to make informed decisions based on the theory in SMC. This premium toolkit work in any market and timeframe. █ Institutional Fair Value Gap , also known as imbalance, inefficiencies, and Liquidity void, identifies the most significant FVG within the lookback period. This is often referred to as Institutional Fair Value Gap since only big players can cause these liquidity voids. Fair Value Gap, Liquidity voids are sudden price changes without enough liquidity at a stable price, and the price jumps from the originating price level to the final price level, creating an imbalance in price. The price tends to fill or retest the FVG area, and traders understand at which price level institutional players have been active. FVG is a valuable concept in trading, as they provide insights about where many orders were injected, creating this inefficiency in the market. The price tends to restore the balance. This indicator highlights the most significant Fair Value Gap on the chart and plots predicted future support and resistance levels based on the price action created at the FVG. A super simple and yet effective way to get solid market levels that acts as a magnet for the price. █ Liquidity Range Candle is another trading concept used by large market players where they manipulate the price to stay inside a specific market area, creating a tight consolidation zone. Once the price breaks the liquidity range, liquidity flows into the market. It's an easy way to grab liquidity from retail traders. Stop losses are triggers, breakout traders jump into the market, and institutional traders absorb the liquidity. If you don't see the liquidity, you become the liquidity! A break of a liquidity range is a sign of a breakout, potential continuation, retracement, or reversal. Use it together with an overall market analysis. It's common that traders also mark the previous 1-3 liquidity ranges and plot them into the future. These zones can act as a future magnet for the price, and we can get a retest of the zones, or if we break above/below a previous range can be a sign of a trend change. We also know that these liquidity ranges have been important levels for institutional players, who may be willing to accumulate or distribute more orders at these levels. █ HOW TO USE Use the indicator to identify several important and commonly used trading concepts taught within the SMC. Find Significant FVG Find Significant liquidity ranges ----------------- Disclaimer Copyright by Zeiierman. The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!

OGT Intrinsic Value Indicator OGT Intrinsic Value Indicator This indicator will show you visually the intrinsic value of a stock. Intrinsic value aims to measure of what an asset is worth. There are a number of intrinsic valuation models where this TradingView indicator uses an earnings valuation model. There are 4 inputs to the model: 1) EPS trailing 12 months (ttm) - the first step is to know what the current EPS is for a stock. The indicator calculates this for you 2) Annual EPS Growth Next 5 Years - You need to input what you think the annual growth rate is going to be for the stock. You can use you annual estimates which you can obtain by searching "stock name - eps growth forecast" 3) Earnings Multiple (PE Ratio) - The next step is to input the earnings multiple in year 5. You can get this from analyst estimates or looking at the average PE ratio of the asset over the past 3 / 5 / 10 years. 4) Desired Rate Of Return - The last input is your rate of return. I personally use 12.5% as you can invest in an S&P ETF and get 8-10% return. So I prefer a higher rate of return for the risk I am taking. You will need to input your low, medium and high assumptions so you can see the different price ranges.

Fair Value Gap █ OVERVIEW This indicator displays the Fair Value Gap of the current timeframe and an additional higher timeframe. For each FVG the gaps act as targets creating bullish and bearish gaps that are often filled. █ FEATURES MTF Options MidPoint FIll Delete Old On Fill Label FVG Timeframe MTF Options Enabling the MTF Options will allow the user to use the "MTF Timeframe" setting to choose what HTF Fair Value Gap to display MidPoint FIll A line plot at the Half way point will be included in the Fair Value Gap, this will be used to delete the gap when reached instead of a full fill. Delete Old On Fill Deletes historical Fair Value Gaps when filled. Label FVG Timeframe Labels Every Fair Value gap with there relevant timeframe to make it easier to determine which gap is being filled. █ HOW TO USE IT The indicator is quite straight forward in its application, providing users with targets that are often filled as they are seen as market imbalance. Just applying it to your chart will provide the existing Fair Value Gaps. MTF Confluence is helpful in seeing what is happening on the macro perspective. █ SUGGESTION My suggestion for clarity is to use a different color to some degree between the MTF and Current TF as Opposed to text, keeps the chart clear. █ LIMITATIONS OF PINE (Please read) I see many users going on different indicators with MTF in mind and trying to use it for LTF data e.g. 1hour chart, and selecting 5min in chart settings. This is not recommended by the team themselves and should be noted for use always use HTF: www.tradingview.com To understand how to use fair value gaps I recommend learning about the subject some more, searching online will provide you resources. The internet is your friend when learning. All the best.

Stock Fair Value (SFV)Stock Fair Value (SFV) is an indicator that displays an estimated fair value per share price for the business. It uses fundamental data including future consensus earnings estimates from Wall Street analysts, how fast the business is growing, and the balance sheet to come up with a number that approximates what a fair price would be to pay for the stock. In the top right hand corner of the Indicator is a highlighted box showing the % difference from the current price and the Fair Value price, if the box is green it means the stock is currently undervalued by that much % below the Fair Value price, if the box is red it means the stock is currently overvalued by that much % above the Fair Value price. The indicator formula also uses the current market price as an input, as there is information about the business baked into the current stock price that isn't apparent in fundamental data that I believe deserves to affect the fair value price. This indicator uses my own unique formula, it is not a standard Discounted Cash flow (DCF) model nor is it based on any other published valuation formula or model. As this indicator uses fundamental data there isn't any changeable settings for the user. This indicator is designed for stocks only and isn't applicable on other markets like forex, futures or crypto. It can be used on the daily, weekly or monthly time frames as the value doesn't change. It's designed to be part of an overall investment process for stock investors with medium to long term timeframes, it's not suited for short term trading like most valuation strategies. Please note like any indicator it's not perfect as there's only so much input that can go into it, therefore use it as a rough guide as to what the fair value of a stock could be, there are of course many other factors that can and will affect what a fair price of a business should be. As value investors, we ideally want to buy safe quality growing businesses that are at least 30% below fair value then hold them until the stock trades back up to fair value or above. This indicator can help with what all value investors are trying to do, that is buy low and sell high. It can also be used to avoid expensive stocks as they may have more downside risk with less upside potential. If you see the Stock Fair Value price make a drastic and significant move overnight that's because some new fundamental data has come into the system, it could be new consensus earnings estimates or a change in business growth rates that causes a sudden and significant shift in the calculated fair value. As you can see from the chart above of Alibaba NYSE:BABA the Stock Fair Value indicator is showing a current reading of $385.12 per share. At the current date of this writing, 11th January 2021, the current price of BABA is $132.19 which is 65.68% below the Stock Fair Value price of $385.12 and makes this stock one of the most undervalued large cap stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange according to this indicator. It's also worth noting that Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.B and long term business partner of Warren Buffett, has recently been accumulating a large position in NYSE:BABA which as a lifelong devotee of value investing suggests he sees great value in Alibaba at current prices just as the Stock Fair Value Indicator is suggesting too. Other examples of large cap stocks that are currently significantly undervalued according to this indicator are; AT&T NYSE:T (40.72% undervalued) Citigroup NYSE:C (51.97% undervalued) Fedex NYSE:FDX (41.94% undervalued) To get access to this indicator PM or email me to my address shown below. Enjoy :) Disclaimer: All my scripts and content are for educational purposes only. I'm not a financial advisor and do not give personal finance advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Please trade at your own risk.

[astropark] Fair Value Gaps Dear Followers, today a new epic tool, the "Fair Value Gap (FVG) Finder" . Fair Value Gaps are quite important to trade, as they represent both volume and trading unfilled gaps, which most of the time are filled and then price reverse . This indicator will let you set alerts on when a new FVG is found and when it is filled. Traded together with Breaker Blocks (BB) and Supply/Demand Order Blocks (OB) , you can easily spot important points where to start a short or a long trade. Here my Breaker Blocks (BB) and Supply/Demand Order Blocks (OB) indicator Here below some examples on how to use the indicator. On Bitcoin On EURUSD

Bitcoin Energy Value Oscillator Bitcoin Energy Value as an oscillator against price. Calculated as: (Bitcoin Price / Bitcoin Energy Value - 1) * 100

Metcalfes Law - Bitcoin Fair Price Metcalfe's Law has been successfully used to value a variety of network effect technologies and businesses, including Facebook and Tencent. Applying Metcalfe's Law to Bitcoin, using "Daily Active Addresses" (DAA) as the "n" value, yields interesting results. Historically, Bitcoin has tracked the Metcalfe Law Fair Price reasonably well. A number of studies have been performed over recent years which validate this and have used various derivations of Metcalfe’s Law. Note: this indicator sticks to the original Metcalf’s Law. Prior to 2018, every time Bitcoin was above the Metcalfe’s Law fair price (calculated using a default “A” of 0.5 here), a bubble had formed, and price quickly reverted back down to the mean. Nonetheless, since February 2018, Metcalfe's Law Fair Price has remained below the actual Bitcoin price, suggesting Bitcoin is currently overvalued. There may be a few reasons for this: 1. Possibility A: Bitcoin may still be extremely overvalued. Since the December 2017 peak, Bitcoin has only reverted to the Metcalfe’s Law Fair Price briefly during the December 2018 bottom. If this case is true, there could be further to fall unless DAA numbers pick up to fill the gap. 2. Possibility B: The introduction of side-chains, private transactions and the Lightning Network may have fundamentally altered the effectiveness of using DAA to value Bitcoin. As more daily transactions are completed off-chain, or on large platforms/exchanges which use fewer addresses, the relative number and growth of DAA may be misrepresented and artificially low. In this case, DAA as it is reported today is no longer useful in assessing the fair value of Bitcoin with Metcalfe’s Law and this Indicator is effectively useless. 3. Possibility C: Neither of the above are true. We are just in an anomalous period in which price and Metcalfe’s Law Fair Price have deviated from the mean for an extended period (and will meet again in the future, potentially at a higher price). 4. Possibility D: Metcalfe’s Law doesn’t really work for Bitcoin. I am inclined to believe Possibilities “C” and “D” are unlikely. Given the way Bitcoin infrastructure is being developed and used in 2019, Possibility “B” seems the most likely, as this case is supported by the fact that a number of other metrics indicate that Bitcoin is currently on the lower side of “fair value” (including Dynamic Range NVT Signal). Regardless, Possibility “A” remains a strong candidate. Only time will tell. It will be interesting to check back on this indicator in 12-24 months time. Hopefully this indicator has been proven redundant by then.