Introduction: This strategy is a modification of the “3-day Mean Reversion Strategy” from the book "High Probability ETF Trading" by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. In the book, the authors discuss a high-probability ETF mean reversion strategy for a 1-day time-frame with these simple rules:
The price must be above the 200 day SMA and below the 5 day SMA.
The augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF) is a statistical test for the tendency of a price series sample to mean revert .
The current price of a mean-reverting series may tell us something about the next move (as opposed, for example, to a geometric Brownian motion). Thus, the ADF test allows us to spot market inefficiencies and potentially exploit this...
This oscillator is used for *mean reversion* strategies only.
This oscillator calculates the real-time distance of a price-point subtracted from the SMA, then compares it to the average distance to determine equilibrium imbalances. When the imbalance becomes less and goes under the signal line, a reversal is very likely.
Do not trade mean reversion during any...
This is a more advanced version of my original mean reversion script.
It employs the famous Bollinger Bands.
This robot will buy when price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, and sell when price moves above the upper Bollinger Band.
I've only tested it on the S&P 500, though you could try it out on other assets to see the backtest performance.
My first try to implement Full Hurst Exponent.
The Hurst exponent is used as a measure of long-term memory of time series. It relates to the autocorrelations of the time series and the rate at which these decrease as the lag between pairs of values increases
The Hurst exponent is referred to as the "index of dependence" or "index of long-range dependence". It...
The Bollinger Imbalance Oscillator is used for *mean reversion* purposes only.
It uses Double Bollinger deviation levels to determine each level of perceived imbalance.
When price start to revert to its mean after an imbalance, small char-type arrows appear to assist with direction.
This oscillator also includes a squeeze feature on the center-line, based on...
This indicator plots the 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations from the mean as bands of color (hot and cold). Useful in identifying likely points of mean reversion.
Default mean is WMA 200 but can be SMA, EMA, VWMA, and VAWMA.
Calculating the standard deviation is done by first cleaning the data of outliers (configurable).
This is a simplified version of the Hurst Exponent indicator.
In the meantime, I'm working on the full version. It's computationally intensive, so it's a challenge to squeeze it to PineScript limits. It will require some time to optimize it, so I decided to publish a simplified version for now.
The Hurst exponent is used as a measure of long-term memory of time...
Mean reversion strategy, based upon the price deviation (%) from a chosen moving average (bars). Do note that the "gains" are always relative to your starting capital, so if you set a smaller starting capital (e.g. $10000) your gains will look bigger. Also when the strategy tester has finished calculating, check the "Open P/L", as there could still be open trades....
Volatility is cyclical, after a large move up or down the market typically "ranges" during the next session. Directional order flow that enters the market during this subsequent session tends not to persist, this non-persistency of transactions leads to a non-trend day which is when I trade intraday reversionary strategies.
This script finds trend days in BTC...
I like trading the 1 minute and 3 minutes time-frames. I'm what is commonly called a "scalper". Long term investments yes, I have some, but for trading, I don't have neither the time,
nor the patience to wait hours or days for my trade to be complete.
This doesn't mean I discount the higher time-frames, no, I actually rely heavily on them. I found that EMAs do a...
Keltner Channel Bands
Great indicator for mean reversion strategies.
Alerts you can set:
Crossover upper band
Crossunder upper band
Crossover lower band
Crossunder lower band
B3 Pendulums, quick little indicators that do change print inside the current bar, so beware. It is good for anticipation, but it is important to make sure the current and next bars follow through.
Ever wanted an indicator that really points out the micro term action in the form of a pendulum swing? This my attempt to show the market ups and downs in the...
Count of previous bars above or below a chosen Exponential Moving Average. Typically price reconnects with well defined EMAs regularly. If the price has been above/below an EMA for too long, you can expect a reconnect in a short order and bet on mean reversion strategies.
As I progress through my journey, I have come to the realization that it is time to give back. This script isn't a life changer, but it has the building blocks for a motivated individual to optimize the parameters and have a production script ready to go.
Credit for the indicator is due to @rumpypumpydumpy
I adapted this indicator to a...
This Indicator shows the Absolute Rate of Change in correlation to its Moving Average.
Values over 3 (gray dotted line) can savely be considered as a breakout; values over 4.5 got a high mean-reverting chance (red dotted line).
This Indicator can be used in all timeframes, however, i recommend to use it <30m, when you want search for meaningful Mean-Reverting...