Kyrie Crossover ( @zaytradellc )Unlocking Market Dynamics: Kyrie Crossover Script by @zaytradellc
personalized trading success with the "Kyrie Crossover" script, meticulously crafted by @zaytrade. This innovative Pine Script, tailored to the birthdays of Kyrie and the script creator, combines the power of technical analysis with a touch of personalization to revolutionize your trading experience.
**Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Crossover Strategy:**
At the heart of the "Kyrie Crossover" script lies a sophisticated EMA crossover strategy. By utilizing a 10-period EMA and a 323-period EMA (symbolizing long term price action ), the strategy effectively captures market trends with precision and insight.
- **Short-Term EMA (10-period):** This EMA reacts swiftly to recent price changes, offering heightened sensitivity to short-term fluctuations. It excels in identifying immediate shifts in market sentiment, making it invaluable for pinpointing short-lived trends and potential reversal points.
- **Long-Term EMA (323-period):** In contrast, the long-term EMA provides a broader perspective by smoothing out short-term noise and focusing on longer-term trend direction. Its extended length filters out market noise effectively, providing a clear representation of the underlying trend's momentum and sustainability.
**Directional Movement Index (DMI) Metrics:**
The "Kyrie Crossover" script goes beyond traditional indicators by incorporating DMI metrics across multiple timeframes. By assessing trend strength and direction, traders gain valuable insights into market dynamics, allowing for informed decision-making.
**Simple Instructions to Profit:**
1. **Identify EMA Crossovers:** Look for instances where the short-term EMA (10-period) crosses above the long-term EMA (323-period) for a bullish signal, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, a crossover where the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA signals a bearish trend and a potential selling opportunity.
2. **Confirm with DMI Metrics:** Validate EMA crossovers by checking DMI metrics across different timeframes (5 minutes, 15 minutes, 30 minutes, and 1 hour). Pay attention to color-coded indicators, with green indicating a bullish trend, red indicating a bearish trend, and white indicating no clear trend.
3. **Manage Risk:** Implement proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and position sizing based on your risk tolerance and trading objectives.
4. **Stay Informed:** Regularly monitor market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly based on new signals and emerging trends.
移動平均線
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
INFINITY ALGO🆕Meet the updated version of our flagship indicator, now it's INFINITY ALGO!
🏃🏻 QUICK START
In very simple terms, our indicator generates complex trading signals on your chart (buy/sell), including Entry Point, Take Profit levels, Stop Loss level
To start, you need to add our indicator to your chart , choose a timeframe (we recommend 13min,15min and 4h but you can try any, these only have the best results) and set up notifications (how to do it told below) and that's it, you can work with it even without changing the settings!
Of course, to improve the accuracy of signals you will have to choose the optimal settings of the script for each trading pair and timeframe (you can find a guide below)
📊 SIGNALS
This script will generate complex trading recommendations, both Long and Short (signals); signals include:
- Entry Point:
Calculated based on pivot levels with confirmation by EMA/SMA (you can select this in the settings); also bullish/bearish cup is checked to confirm the entry.
Additionally, in the settings you can enable Heiken Ashi calculation mode (it shows much better on some trading pairs).
Why do we mashup these components and how they work together?
- The main indicator in our script is pivot levels, it is enabled by default and cannot be disabled. Auxiliary indicators (which you can switch on and off in the script settings) are EMA/SMA and Heiken Ashi. We have used pivot levels, which mark potential support and resistance zones based on previous price action. We have also used EMA/SMA that smooth out price fluctuations and show the direction of the trend. We have added an option to use Heiken Ashi that filters out noise and highlights the trend. We have also checked for bullish/bearish cup patterns, which are reversal patterns that indicate a change in momentum. By combining these indicators, we have created a more robust entry point that considers multiple factors such as price levels, trend, noise, and momentum.
- 6 Take Profit levels:
It is also possible to change in the settings (It is also possible to change the values for Short or Long positions separately), it will be fixed values in % (The default Take Profits for Long&Short are as follows: TP1-0.3%; TP2-1%; TP3-2%; TP4-3%; TP5-7.5%; TP6-16.5%)
- Stop Loss Level:
As with Take Profits, this is a fixed % value that you can customise to suit your risk management needs (It is also possible to change the values for Short or Long positions separately, by default is 4.5% for Long&Short positions)
*When trading on these signals, we strongly recommend that you exit the position in parts at each take profit or close your entire position at one particular take profit. Our script was designed specifically for exiting a position on take profits
⚙️ SETTINGS
Now let's talk about the settings of this script, which allow you to customise the signals quite a lot. In general, we recommend selecting the settings for each trading pair and timeframe separately, this will allow you to achieve better targets accuracy (the default settings are universal, you can trade with them without changing them if you want)
-> IMAGE <-
1. Period - minimum value of 2. Increasing this parameter will increase the accuracy of signals, but will reduce their number (accordingly, lowering the parameter will do the opposite). For the majority of trading pairs and timeframes the optimal period will be between 5 and 10 (the default value is 5).
2. Maximum Breakout length (in bars) - for most trading pairs you can set the value from 200 to 300 and it will be optimal. Below 200 is not recommended
3. T hreshold Rate % - this value also affects the accuracy and the number of signals - the higher this value is, the more often signals will be generated, but it can negatively affect the accuracy. The minimum value is 3, and the maximum value is 10. We recommend to try values in the range from 4 to 7 for most tickers
4. Minimum Number of tests - the number of level checks is required, we recommend to try 2, and only for some timeframes increase to 3
5. MA type & MA filter - The shorter the length of moving averages, the faster they react to trend changes, and show more local trends than global ones. If the length of MAs is longer, more global trends are shown. By default, the most optimal values are set.
By the way, you can ask us for a ready-made preset for any pair and we will be happy to help you!
📄 BACKTESTING
Now let's talk about how to properly test the settings and evaluate their effectiveness. Our script has a c ustom built-in backtester that shows statistics on the current trading pair and allows you to calculate the accuracy of each take profit target, as well as calculate values such as Gross profit/loss, net profit, and the ratio of initial deposit to profit. (you can enable/disable backtester "statistics" label in main settings)
In the main settings you can change the values for: initial deposit (Deposit $), trade size $ and leverage (by the way, it also affects the display of the label "Peak profit", which is calculated with this leverage)
-> IMAGE <-
Now let's look at the backtester - it shows detailed statistics for each Take Profit level, including: accuracy in % and number of trades; gross profit & loss; net profit in % and $ (based on selected settings); deposit to profit ratio in % and $.
Why did we choose such properties in the backtest for publication?
- Well, as the initial capital we took 5000$ and deposit 3% (150$) of the initial capital in each trade. For the fee was taken the value from the exchange Binance, which is 0.06% per trade (Taker + Maker, for a user without VIP on Binance and without taking into account additional fees such as funding, leverage fees, etc).
- Please also take a look at our inbuilt backtester ( IMAGE ) which counts the accuracy to each Take Profit. Also note that our inbuilt backtester does not take any fees into account. Pay attention to the last field "Deposit with Profit" it shows the value if you would close all positions at a certain target. For example, we can see that the most optimal is TP3 at these settings for this trading pair and timeframe, as the deposit to profit ratio will be +61.2%
- Also the script is more designed for swing and long term trading, so on most trading pairs you will be able to see statistics for 60-90 trades dataset
*disclaimer: please note that past results does not guarantee future performance! The accuracy of take profit targets in our backtester is calculated on past results, keep this in mind please
📥 NOTIFICATIONS
We have provided notifications that will deliver the latest signals to you in a convenient format in TradingView. The notification looks like this: It contains the entry point, Take Profits, Stop Loss, and a bit of advice on risk management. -> IMAGE <-
To set up notifications:
1. Select the script settings, trading pair and timeframe
2. Click "add alert on InfinityAlgo", then select "alert () function calls only" in the settings
-> IMAGE <-
3. That's it, now all that's left is to wait for a fresh alert
🔑 HOW TO GET ACCESS
We hope you will like this script :) We are always ready to help you with customisation, just let us know! To learn more about our scripts & get access - check out the “Author’s instructions” below 👇🏼
Trend Deviation strategy - BTC [IkkeOmar]Intro:
This is an example if anyone needs a push to get started with making strategies in pine script. This is an example on BTC, obviously it isn't a good strategy, and I wouldn't share my own good strategies because of alpha decay.
This strategy integrates several technical indicators to determine market trends and potential trade setups. These indicators include:
Directional Movement Index (DMI)
Bollinger Bands (BB)
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Momentum Indicator
Aroon Indicator
Supertrend Indicator
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
It's crucial for you guys to understand the strengths and weaknesses of each indicator and identify synergies between them to improve the strategy's effectiveness.
Indicator Settings:
DMI (Directional Movement Index):
Length: This parameter determines the number of bars used in calculating the DMI. A higher length may provide smoother results but might lag behind the actual price action.
Bollinger Bands:
Length: This parameter specifies the number of bars used to calculate the moving average for the Bollinger Bands. A longer length results in a smoother average but might lag behind the price action.
Multiplier: The multiplier determines the width of the Bollinger Bands. It scales the standard deviation of the price data. A higher multiplier leads to wider bands, indicating increased volatility, while a lower multiplier results in narrower bands, suggesting decreased volatility.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC):
Length: This parameter defines the length of the STC calculation. A longer length may result in smoother but slower-moving signals.
Fast Length: Specifies the length of the fast moving average component in the STC calculation.
Slow Length: Specifies the length of the slow moving average component in the STC calculation.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Fast Length: Determines the number of bars used to calculate the fast EMA (Exponential Moving Average) in the MACD.
Slow Length: Specifies the number of bars used to calculate the slow EMA in the MACD.
Signal Length: Defines the number of bars used to calculate the signal line, which is typically an EMA of the MACD line.
Momentum Indicator:
Length: This parameter sets the number of bars over which momentum is calculated. A longer length may provide smoother momentum readings but might lag behind significant price changes.
Aroon Indicator:
Length: Specifies the number of bars over which the Aroon indicator calculates its values. A longer length may result in smoother Aroon readings but might lag behind significant market movements.
Supertrend Indicator:
Trendline Length: Determines the length of the period used in the Supertrend calculation. A longer length results in a smoother trendline but might lag behind recent price changes.
Trendline Factor: Specifies the multiplier used in calculating the trendline. It affects the sensitivity of the indicator to price changes.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Length: This parameter sets the number of bars over which RSI calculates its values. A longer length may result in smoother RSI readings but might lag behind significant price changes.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Fast EMA: Specifies the number of bars used to calculate the fast EMA. A shorter period results in a more responsive EMA to recent price changes.
Slow EMA: Determines the number of bars used to calculate the slow EMA. A longer period results in a smoother EMA but might lag behind recent price changes.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):
Default settings are typically used for VWAP calculations, which consider the volume traded at each price level over a specific period. This indicator provides insights into the average price weighted by trading volume.
backtest range and rules:
You can specify the start date for backtesting purposes.
You can can select the desired trade direction: Long, Short, or Both.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
LONG:
DMI Cross Up: The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicates a bullish trend when the positive directional movement (+DI) crosses above the negative directional movement (-DI).
Bollinger Bands (BB): The price is below the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a potential reversal from the upper band.
Momentum Indicator: Momentum is positive, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
Supertrend Indicator: The Supertrend indicator signals an uptrend.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC): The STC indicates a bullish trend.
Aroon Indicator: The Aroon indicator signals a bullish trend or crossover.
When all these conditions are met simultaneously, the strategy considers it a favorable opportunity to enter a long trade.
SHORT:
DMI Cross Down: The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicates a bearish trend when the negative directional movement (-DI) crosses above the positive directional movement (+DI).
Bollinger Bands (BB): The price is above the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential reversal from the lower band.
Momentum Indicator: Momentum is negative, indicating increasing selling pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, signaling bearish momentum.
Supertrend Indicator: The Supertrend indicator signals a downtrend.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC): The STC indicates a bearish trend.
Aroon Indicator: The Aroon indicator signals a bearish trend or crossover.
When all these conditions align, the strategy considers it an opportune moment to enter a short trade.
Disclaimer:
THIS ISN'T AN OPTIMAL STRATEGY AT ALL! It was just an old project from when I started learning pine script!
The backtest doesn't promise the same results in the future, always do both in-sample and out-of-sample testing when backtesting a strategy. And make sure you forward test it as well before implementing it!
Furthermore this strategy uses both trend and mean-reversion systems, that is usually a no-go if you want to build robust trend systems .
Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or if you have some good notes for a beginner.
Long EMA Strategy with Advanced Exit OptionsThis strategy is designed for traders seeking a trend-following system with a focus on precision and adaptability.
**Core Strategy Concept**
The essence of this strategy lies in use of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential long (buy) positions based on the relative positions of short-term, medium-term, and long-term EMAs. The use of EMAs is a classic yet powerful approach to trend detection, as these indicators smooth out price data over time, emphasizing the direction of recent price movements and potentially signaling the beginning of new trends.
**Customizable Parameters**
- **EMA Periods**: Users can define the periods for three EMAs - long-term, medium-term, and short-term - allowing for a tailored approach to capture trends based on individual trading styles and market conditions.
- **Volatility Filter**: An optional Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility filter can be toggled on or off. When activated, it ensures that trades are only entered when market volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold, aiming to filter out entries during low-volatility periods which are often characterized by indecisive market movements.
- **Trailing Stop Loss**: A trailing stop loss mechanism, expressed as a percentage of the highest price achieved since entry, provides a dynamic way to manage risk by allowing profits to run while cutting losses.
- **EMA Exit Condition**: This advanced exit option enables closing positions when the short-term EMA crosses below the medium-term EMA, serving as a signal that the immediate trend may be reversing.
- **Close Below EMA Exit**: An additional exit condition, which is disabled by default, allows positions to be closed if the price closes below a user-selected EMA. This provides an extra layer of flexibility and risk management, catering to traders who prefer to exit positions based on specific EMA thresholds.
**Operational Mechanics**
Upon activation, the strategy evaluates the current price in relation to the set EMAs. A long position is considered when the current price is above the long-term EMA, and the short-term EMA is above the medium-term EMA. This setup aims to identify moments where the price momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The strategy's versatility is further enhanced by its optional settings:
- The **Volatility Filter** adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy to market movements, potentially improving the quality of the entries during volatile market conditions.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key component of this filter, providing a measure of market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified number of periods. Here's how you can adjust the volatility filter settings for various market conditions, focusing on filtering out low-volatility markets:
Setting Examples for Volatility Filter
1. High Volatility Markets (e.g., Cryptocurrencies, Certain Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: Setting the multiplier to a lower value, such as 1.0 or 1.2, can be beneficial in high-volatility markets. This sensitivity allows the strategy to react to volatility changes more quickly, ensuring that you're entering trades during periods of significant movement.
2. Medium Volatility Markets (e.g., Major Equity Indices, Medium-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier of 1.5 (default) is often suitable for medium volatility markets. It provides a balanced approach, ensuring that the strategy filters out low-volatility conditions without being overly restrictive.
3. Low Volatility Markets (e.g., Some Commodities, Low-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: Increasing the ATR period to 20 or 25 can smooth out the volatility measure, making it less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. This adjustment helps in focusing on more significant trends in inherently stable markets.
ATR Multiplier: Raising the multiplier to 2.0 or even 2.5 increases the threshold for volatility, effectively filtering out low-volatility conditions. This setting ensures that the strategy only triggers trades during periods of relatively higher volatility, which are more likely to result in significant price movements.
How to Use the Volatility Filter for Low-Volatility Markets
For traders specifically interested in filtering out low-volatility markets, the key is to adjust the ATR Multiplier to a higher level. This adjustment increases the threshold required for the market to be considered sufficiently volatile for trade entries. Here's a step-by-step guide:
Adjust the ATR Multiplier: Increase the ATR Multiplier to create a higher volatility threshold. A multiplier of 2.0 to 2.5 is a good starting point for very low-volatility markets.
Fine-Tune the ATR Periods: Consider lengthening the ATR calculation period if you find that the strategy is still entering trades in undesirable low-volatility conditions. A longer period provides a more averaged-out measure of volatility, which might better suit your needs.
Monitor and Adjust: Volatility is not static, and market conditions can change. Regularly review the performance of your strategy in the context of current market volatility and adjust the settings as necessary.
Backtest in Different Conditions: Before applying the strategy live, backtest it across different market conditions with your adjusted settings. This process helps ensure that your approach to filtering low-volatility conditions aligns with your trading objectives and risk tolerance.
By fine-tuning the volatility filter settings according to the specific characteristics of the market you're trading in, you can enhance the performance of this strategy
- The **Trailing Stop Loss** and **EMA Exit Conditions** provide two layers of exit strategies, focusing on capital preservation and profit maximization.
**Visualizations**
For clarity and ease of use, the strategy plots the three EMAs and, if enabled, the ATR threshold on the chart. These visual cues not only aid in decision-making but also help in understanding the market's current trend and volatility state.
**How to Use**
Traders can customize the EMA periods to fit their trading horizon, be it short, medium, or long-term trading. The volatility filter and exit options allow for further customization, making the strategy adaptable to different market conditions and personal risk tolerance levels.
By offering a blend of trend-following principles with advanced risk management features, this strategy aims to cater to a wide range of trading styles, from cautious to aggressive. Its strength lies in its flexibility, allowing traders to fine-tune settings to their specific needs, making it a potentially valuable tool in the arsenal of any trader looking for a disciplined approach to navigating the markets.
Triple MA HTF strategy - Dynamic SmoothingThe triple MA strategy is a simple but effective method to trade the trend. The advantage of this script over the existing triple MA strategies is that the user can open a lower time frame chart and select higher time frame inputs for different MA types mainting the visibility on the chart. The dynamic smoothing code makes sure the HTF trendlines are not jagged, but a fluid line visiable on the lower time frame chart. The script comes with a MA crossover and crossunder strategy explained below.
Moving Averages (MA) Crossover for Entry:
Long Entry: A long entry signal is triggered when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside. However, to validate this signal, the strategy checks if the moving average 3 on a higher time frame (eg. 4 hour) is in an upward trend. This additional filter ensures that the trade aligns with the prevailing trend on a broader time scale, increasing the probability of success.
Short Entry: Conversely, a short entry signal occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a possible downturn in market momentum. However, for a short trade to be confirmed, the strategy verifies that the moving average 3 on the higher time frame is in a downward trend. This confirmation ensures that the trade is in harmony with the overarching market direction.
Exit from Long Position: The strategy triggers an exit signal from a long position when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential reversal in the market trend, prompting the trader to close their long position and take profits or minimize losses.
Exit from Short Position: Similarly, an exit signal from a short position occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside, prompting the trader to exit their short position and manage their risk accordingly.
Features of the script
This Triple MA Strategy is basically the HTF Trend Filter displayed 3 times on the chart. For more infomation on how the MA with dynamic smoothing is calculated I recommend reading the following script:
For risk management I included a simple script to opt for % of eauity or # of contracts of in the instrument. For explanation on how the risk management settings work I refer to my ealier published script:
The strategy is a simplified example for setting up an entry and exit logic based on multiple moving avarages. Hence the script is meant for educational purposes only.
Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
EMA Crossover Strategy with RSI Filter BIGTIME 5mThis script essentially creates a trading strategy that goes long when there is an EMA crossover, but only if the RSI is below a certain overbought level. It goes short when there is an EMA crossunder, but only if the RSI is above a certain oversold level. The moving averages are plotted on the chart for visual reference.
SCALPING 5m
Pairs: BIGTIME/USDT--- API3/USDT---BAKE/USDT--- ZIL/USDT
FluxFilter Trend Strategy [BITsPIP]Hello fellow traders, I'm excited to share with you the FluxFilter Trend Strategy, a trading approach I've developed for those interested in exploring trend-following strategies. My goal was to create something straightforward and accessible, so traders looking to refine their portfolios can easily integrate its features. By the end of this guide, I hope you'll have a solid grasp of how the FluxFilter Trend Strategy functions, appreciate its benefits, understand its potential drawbacks, and see how it might fit into various trading contexts.
I) Overview
The FluxFilter Trend Strategy is tailored to align with the market's long-term trend. It examines the price data from the previous year to gauge the market's overall trajectory by employing moving averages. Subsequently, within shorter timeframes, the strategy utilizes a combination of modified Supertrend, Hull Suite, and various trend-following and filtering techniques to generate buy or sell signals. Although its advanced take profit and stop loss mechanisms might initially present a learning curve, they are integral to the strategy's effectiveness. They are designed to secure gains by capturing prevailing trends and mitigating the impact of false reversal signals.
II) Deep Backtesting
Deep backtesting stands as a cornerstone in the development of trading strategies, offering a robust method for traders to assess the performance of their strategy against historical data. This process yields a retrospective view, illustrating how the strategy might have navigated through past market fluctuations, thereby shedding light on its potential robustness and areas for refinement. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that a strategy's performance can be influenced by a myriad of factors including market dynamics, the chosen timeframe, and the inherent attributes of the traded asset. Consequently, it's advisable to conduct thorough backtesting under various conditions to ascertain the strategy's reliability before applying it to actual trading scenarios.
III) Benefits
A primary advantage of the FluxFilter Trend Strategy is its proficiency in discerning genuine market trends from mere price fluctuations, thereby avoiding premature or uncertain trades. Unlike approaches that take high risks on speculative trades, this strategy prioritizes a high degree of confidence in the direction of the trade. It meticulously waits for a clear confirmation of the market trend. Once this certainty is established, the strategy promptly generates trade signals, ensuring that traders are positioned to capitalize on optimal market entry points without delay. This approach not only enhances the potential for profit but also aligns with a disciplined and methodical trading ethos.
IV) Applications
FluxFilter Trend Strategy can be applied across various timeframes, with a particular efficacy in those under 15 minutes. Its adaptable framework means it can be customized to cater to a variety of asset classes, encompassing stocks, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Initially, the strategy was specifically calibrated for low-volatile cryptocurrencies, as reflected in the default settings for stop loss and take profit values. It's important to recognize that the unique volatility and trend patterns of your selected market necessitate careful adjustments to these parameters. This fine-tuning of profit targets and stop loss thresholds is crucial for aligning the strategy with the specific dynamics of your chosen market, which I will discuss shortly.
V) Strategy's Logic
1. Trend Identification: My conviction lies in the power of trend trading to yield long-term gains. Central to the FluxFilter Trend Strategy is the Hull Suite indicator, a tool developed by InSilico, serving as one of the confirmation indicators. This indicator acts as a compass for trend direction; a price residing above the Hull Suite line signals an uptrend, potentially marking an entry point for a buy position or confirming it. In contrast, a price positioned below this line suggests a downtrend, potentially indicating a strategic moment to sell or confirming the sell.
2. Noise Reduction: The financial markets are known for their 'noise'—short-lived price movements that can obscure the true market direction. The FluxFilter Trend Strategy is designed to sift through this noise, thereby facilitating more lucid and informed trading decisions. It employs a set of straightforward yet innovative techniques to single out significant misleading fluctuations. This is achieved by analyzing recent bars to spot bars with unusually large bodies, which often represent misleading market noise.
3. Risk Management: A key facet of the strategy is its emphasis on pragmatic risk management. Traders are empowered to establish practical stop-loss and take-profit levels, tailoring these crucial parameters to the specific market they are engaging in. This customization is instrumental in optimizing long-term profitability, ensuring that the strategy adapts fluidly to the unique characteristics and volatility patterns of different trading environments.
VI) Strategy's Input Settings and Default Values
1. Modified Supertrend
i. Factor: Serving as a multiplier in the Average True Range (ATR) calculation, this parameter adjusts the distance of the Supertrend line relative to the price chart. Elevating the factor value widens the gap between the Supertrend line and price, offering a more conservative stance. On the flip side, diminishing the factor value pulls the Supertrend line closer to the price action, heightening its sensitivity. While the preset value is 1, you have the flexibility to modify this to suit your trading approach.
ii. ATR Length: This defines the count of bars that are incorporated into the ATR computation, directly influencing the Supertrend's adaptability to market changes. With a default setting of 30 bars, it strikes a balance, smoothing over short-term fluctuations while maintaining a meaningful sensitivity to market trends. Adjusting this parameter allows you to tailor the indicator's responsiveness to suit your trading strategy, considering the volatility and behavioral patterns of the asset you are trading.
2. Hull Suite
i. Hull Suite Length: Designed for capturing long-term trends, the Hull Suite Length is configured at 1000. Functioning comparably to moving averages, the Hull Suite features upper and lower bands, though these are not employed in our current strategy.
ii. Length Multiplier: It's advisable to maintain a minimal value for the Length Multiplier, prioritizing the optimization of the Hull Suite Length. Presently, it is set to 1.
3. Filtering Indicators
i. Fluctuation Filtering Percentage: It's advisable to set this parameter to ten times the size of the average bar in your specific market, as this helps effectively mitigate the impact of market fluctuations. While the initial default is 0.4(%), based on the BTCUSDT market, it's crucial to adjust this figure to align with the characteristics of different assets or markets you're trading in.
ii. Fluctuation Filtering Bars: This parameter designates the count of preceding bars to consider when assessing market fluctuations. It's fully customizable, allowing you to tailor it based on your market insights. The preset default is 3, a balance chosen to minimize susceptibility to potentially misleading signals.
iii. Trend Confirmation Percentage: This metric is pivotal for verifying the viability of a trend post-entry. If the trade doesn't achieve this percentage in profit, it indicates a deviation from the expected trend. Under such circumstances, it may be prudent to exit the trade prematurely rather than awaiting the stop-loss trigger. It's recommended to set this parameter at half the size of the average candle body for the market you're analyzing. The initial default is set at 0.2(%).
4. StopLoss and TakeProfit
i. StopLoss and TakeProfit Settings: Two distinct approaches are available. Semi-Automatic StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting and Manual StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting. The Semi-Automatic mode streamlines the process by allowing you to input values for a 5-minute timeframe, subsequently auto-adjusting these values across various timeframes, both lower and higher. Conversely, the Manual mode offers full control, enabling you to meticulously define TakeProfit values for each individual timeframe.
ii. TakeProfit Threshold # and TakeProfit Value #: Imagine this mechanism as an ascending staircase. Each step represents a range, with the lower boundary (TakeProfit Value) designed to close the trade upon being reached, and the upper boundary (TakeProfit Threshold) upon being hit, propelling the trade to the next level, and forming a new range. This stair-stepping approach enhances risk management and has the potential to increase profitability. The pre-set configurations are tailored for volatile markets, such as BTCUSDT. It's advisable to devote time to tailoring these settings to your specific market, aiming to achieve optimal results based on backtesting.
iii. StopLoss Value: In line with its name, this value marks the limit of loss you're prepared to accept should the market trend go against your expectations. It's crucial to note that once your asset reaches the first TakeProfit range, the initial StopLoss value becomes obsolete, supplanted by the first TakeProfit Value. The default StopLoss value is pegged at 1.8(%), a figure worth considering in your trading strategy.
VII) Entry Conditions
The principal element that triggers the signal is the Modified Supertrend. Additional indicators serve as confirmatory tools. Nonetheless, to refine your strategy effectively, it's crucial to fine-tune the parameters. This involves adjusting input variables such as take profit levels, threshold parameters, and the filtering values discussed previously.
VIII) Exit Conditions
The strategy stipulates exit conditions primarily governed by stop loss and take profit parameters. On infrequent occasions, if the trend lacks confirmation post-entry, the strategy mandates an exit upon the issuance of a reverse signal (whether confirmed or unconfirmed) by the strategy itself.
Good Luck!!
Four WMA Strategy with TP and SLBasically I read a research paper on how they used different moving averages for long entries and short entries, and it kind of dawned on me that I always used the same one for long entry or exit, or even swing trading. So I smashed this together to see what would happen.
The strategy combines the use of four different WMAs for identifying trade entry points, along with a predefined take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) for risk management. Here's a detailed description of its features and how it operates:
Main Features
1. **WMAs as the Core Indicator**:
- The strategy uses four WMAs with different lengths. Two WMAs (`longM1` and `longM2`) are used for long entry signals, and the other two (`shortM1` and `shortM2`) for short entry signals.
- The lengths of these WMAs are adjustable through input parameters.
2. **Trade Entry Conditions**:
- A long entry is signaled when the shorter WMA crosses under the longer WMA .
- Conversely, a short entry is signaled when the shorter WMA crosses under the longer WMA.
3. **Take Profit and Stop Loss**:
- The strategy includes a take profit and stop loss mechanism.
- The TP and SL levels are set as a percentage of the entry price, with the percentage values being adjustable through input parameters.
4. **Visual Representation**:
- The WMAs are plotted on the chart for visual aid, each with a distinct color for easy identification.
How It Works
- The strategy continuously monitors the crossing of WMAs to detect potential entry points for long and short positions.
- Upon detecting a long or short condition, it automatically enters a trade and sets the corresponding TP and SL levels based on the current price and the specified percentages.
- The strategy then actively manages the trade, exiting the position when either the TP or SL level is reached.
Drawbacks
- **Overreliance on WMAs**: The strategy heavily relies on WMAs for trade signals. While WMAs are useful for identifying trends, they might not always provide timely entry and exit signals.
- **Market Conditions**: It may not perform well in highly volatile or sideways markets where WMA crossovers could lead to false signals.
- **Risk Management**: The fixed percentage for TP and SL might not be suitable for all market conditions. Traders might need to adjust these values frequently based on market volatility and their risk tolerance.
Apparently I need to emphasize to use brains when using indicators and setting them up to achieve the results you can or want. Also risk of 12% is considered very high so I lowered the numbers to 5%, which tanked the profits, try adjusting them on your own. Check the properties settings for more info on comission and slippage.
Conclusion
The "Four WMA Strategy with TP and SL" is suitable for traders who prefer a moving average-based approach to trading, combined with a straightforward mechanism for risk management through take profit and stop loss. However, like all strategies, it should be used with an understanding of its limitations and ideally tested thoroughly in various market conditions before applying it to live trading.
BitBell - EMA PullBack RSI EXO
🔵 Introduction
Version 1.1
This is a Pine 5 trend following strategy. It has a four strategy with several alerts and signals. The design intent is to produce a commercial grade signal generator that can be adapted to any symbol in cryptocurrency and only 1H Chart. Ideally, the script is reliable enough to be the basis of an automated trading system web-hooked to a server with API access to crypto brokerages. The strategy can be run in three different modes: long, short and bidirectional.
As a trend following strategy, the behavior of the script is to buy on strength and sell on weakness. As such the trade orders maintain its directional bias according to price pressure. What you will see on the chart is long positions on the left side of the mountain and short on the right. Long and short positions are not intermingled as long as there exists a detectable trend. This is extremely beneficial feature in long running bull or bear markets. The script uses multiple setups to avoid the situation where you got in on the trend, took a small profit but couldn’t get back in because the logic is waiting for a pullback or some other intricate condition.
Deep draw-downs are a characteristic of trend following systems and this system is no different. However, this script makes use of the TradingView pyramid feature with three NPUs to find better place and even you can change drop percentage in settings for another trigger, accessible from the properties tab.
When trend market break it will stop the trade and usually it takes 2-4 percent loss but don't worry it has prefect money management and you can use it for Futures market and even Spot market.
🔵 Design
This script uses twelve indicators on two time frames. The chart (primary) interval and one higher time frame which is based on the primary. The higher time frame identifies the trend for which the primary will trade. I’ve tried to keep the higher time frame around five times greater than the primary. The original trading algorithms are a port from a much larger program on another trading platform. I’ve converted some of the statistical functions to use standard indicators available on TradingView. The setups make heavy use of the Hull Moving Average in conjunction with EMAs that form the Bill Williams Alligator as described in his book “New Trading Dimensions” Chapter 3. Lag between the Hull and the EMAs form the basis of the entry and exit points. The alligator itself is used to identify the trend main body.
The entire script is around 740 lines of Pine code which is the maximum incidental size given the TradingView limits: local scopes, run-time duration and compile time. I’ve been working on this script for over a year and have tested it on various instruments stock crypto. It performs well on higher liquidity markets that have at least a year of historical data. Though it can be configured to work on any interval between 15 minutes and 4 hour, trend trading is generally a longer term paradigm. For day trading the 10 to 15 minute interval will allow you to catch momentum breakouts. For intraweek trades 30 minutes to 1 hour should give you a trade every other a day.
Inputs to the script use cone centric measurements in effort to avoid exposing adjustments to the various internal indicators. The goal was to keep the inputs relevant to the actual trade entry and exit locations as opposed to a series of MA input values and the like. As a result the strategy exposes over 12 inputs grouped into long or short sections. Inputs are available for the usual minimum profit and stop-loss as well as trade, modes, presets, reports and lots of calibrations. The inputs are numerous, I’m aware. Unfortunately, at this time, TradingView does not offer any other method to get data in the script. The usual initialization files such as cnf, cfg, ini, json and xml files are currently unsupported.
Example configurations for various instruments along with a detailed PDF user manual is available.
it has no repaint i guaranty this, and you can have 10 days free with comment and check it by yourself
One issue that comes up when comparing the strategy with the study is that the strategy trades show on the chart one bar later than the study. This problem is due to the fact that “strategy.entry()” and “strategy_close()” do not execute on the same bar called. The study, on the other hand, has no such limitation since there are no position routines. However, alerts that are subsequently fired off when triggered in the study are dispatched from the TradingView servers one bar later from the study plot. Therefore the alert you actually receive on your cell phone matches the strategy plot but is one bar later than the study plot.
Please be aware that the data source matters. Cryptocurrency has no central tick repository so each exchange supplies TradingView its feed. Even though it is the same symbol the quality of the data and subsequently the bars that are supplied to the chart varies with the exchange. This script will absolutely produce different results on different data feeds of the same symbol. Be sure to backtest this script on the same data you intend to receive alerts for. Any example settings I share with you will always have the exchange name used to generate the test results.
🟡 Usage
It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 3, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 3 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (Long and LongX). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
🔵 If Findes Supports And Ressitances And Trend Lines As Best As It Can, And You Can See:
🟢 Frist Simple Long Condition = It Look At The Trend Wait For RSI Cross 30 Number Then Ckeck Risk To Reward, check something else such as divergence:
🟢 Another Long Example:
🔴 Frist Simple Short Condition = It Look At The Trend Wait For RSI Cross 70 Number Then Ckeck Risk To Reward, check something else such as divergence:
🔴 Another Short Example:
The following steps provide a very brief set of instructions that will get you started but will most certainly not produce the best backtest. A trading system that you are willing to risk your hard earned capital will require a well crafted configuration that involves time, expertise and clearly defined goals. As previously mentioned, I have several example configs that I use for my own trading that I can share with you along with a PDF which describes each input in detail. To get hands on experience in setting up your own symbol from scratch please follow the steps below.
The input dialog box contains over 12 inputs, There are four options must to be configured: Choose Target, side, Choose Settings, Money Management,and settings that apply to both. The following steps address these four main options only.
Money Management System For Leverage 10:
Bot Finds Last Lower Low And Calculate Distance From Entry Price, Then Cross It To Initial Capitan And Cross Leverage =>
Position_Size = (((1.64) * (initial Capital)) * (leverage))
And Check Dominances Too For Getting Best Money Management Result
🔵 Settings
* Side, You Can Set Long Or Short Or Both.
* Choose Target, You Can Set One Target Or All Targets.
* Money Management, You Can ON Or OFF It, With OFF You Can USE It For SPOT Trades.
* Choose Settings, In This Field You Can Set Mathematical Optimization, Ddepends On Which Pair You USE.
* Clear With Daily PullBack?, With This Check Box You Can Clear Signals With Daily PullBack.
* Long X, You Can Set Long Leverage.
* Short X, You Can Set Short Leverage.
* Second Order X, You Can Set Pyramiding Leverage.
* Target Long, You Can Set Percent For Long Target.
* Target Short, You Can Set Percent For Short Target.
* Short Martin Percent, You Can Set Short Martingale Percent.
* Long Martin Percent, You Can Set Long Martingale Percent.
🟡 Pyraming 3
🟡 Commission Is 0.065 %
🟡 Slippage Is 10 ticks
🔴Only Use For 1 Hour Chart
🔴 CONCLUSION
We believe that success lies in the association of the user with the indicator, opposed to many traders who have the perspective that the indicator itself can make them become profitable. The reality is much more complicated than that.
The aim is to provide an indicator comprehensive, customizable, and intuitive enough that any trader can be led to understand this truth and develop an actionable perspective of technical indicators as support tools for decision making.
🔴 RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading is risky & most day traders lose money. All content, tools, scripts, articles, & education provided by BitBell are purely for informational & educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
FlexiMA x FlexiST - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The FlexiMA x FlexiST Strategy blends two analytical methods - FlexiMA and FlexiST, which are opened in my early post.
- FlexiMA calculates deviations between an indicator source and a dynamic moving average, controlled by a starting factor and increment factor.
- FlexiST, on the other hand, leverages the SuperTrend model, adjusting the Average True Range (ATR) length for a comprehensive trend-following oscillator.
This synergy offers traders a more nuanced and multifaceted tool for market analysis.
BTC 6H L/S Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy combines two components: FlexiMA and FlexiST, each utilizing unique methodologies to analyze market trends.
🔶FlexiMA Component:
- Calculates deviations between an indicator source and moving averages of variable lengths.
- Moving average lengths are dynamically adjusted using a starting factor and increment factor.
- Deviations are normalized and analyzed to produce median and standard deviation values, forming the FlexiMA oscillator.
Length indicator (50)
🔶FlexiST Component:
- Uses SuperTrend indicators with varying ATR (Average True Range) lengths.
- Trends are identified based on the position of the indicator source relative to the SuperTrend bands.
- Deviations between the indicator source and SuperTrend values are calculated and normalized.
Starting Factor (5)
🔶Combined Strategy Logic:
- Entry Signals:
- Long Entry: Triggered when median values of both FlexiMA and FlexiST are positive.
- Short Entry: Triggered when median values of both FlexiMA and FlexiST are negative.
- Exit Signals:
- Long Exit: Triggered when median values of FlexiMA or FlexiST turn negative.
- Short Exit: Triggered when median values of FlexiMA or FlexiST turn positive.
This strategic blend of FlexiMA and FlexiST allows for a nuanced analysis of market trends, providing traders with signals based on a comprehensive view of market momentum and trend strength.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy is designed to cater to various trading preferences, offering "Long", "Short", and "Both" options. This flexibility allows traders to align the strategy with their specific market outlook, be it bullish, bearish, or a combination of both.
█ Usage
Traders can effectively utilize the FlexiMA x FlexiST Strategy by first selecting their desired trade direction. The strategy then generates entry signals when the conditions for either the FlexiMA or FlexiST are met, indicating potential entry points in the market. Conversely, exit signals are generated when the conditions for these indicators diverge, thus signaling a potential shift in market trends and suggesting a strategic exit point.
█ Default Settings
1. Indicator Source (HLC3): Provides a balanced and stable price source, reducing the impact of extreme market fluctuations.
2. Indicator Lengths (20 for FlexiMA, 10 for FlexiST): Longer FlexiMA length smooths out short-term fluctuations, while shorter FlexiST length allows for quicker response to market changes.
3. Starting Factors (1.0 for FlexiMA, 0.618 for FlexiST): Balanced start for FlexiMA and a harmonized approach for FlexiST, resonating with natural market cycles.
4. Increment Factors (1.0 for FlexiMA, 0.382 for FlexiST): FlexiMA captures a wide range of market behaviors, while FlexiST provides a gradual transition to capture finer trend shifts.
5. Normalization Methods ('None'): Uses raw deviations, suitable for markets where absolute price movements are more significant.
6. Trade Direction ('Both'): Allows strategy to consider both long and short opportunities, ideal for versatile market engagement.
*More details:
1. FlexiMA
2. FlexiST
5 ema strategyThis Strategy is based of Subhashish Pani's (power of stocks) 5 EMA Strategy.strategy used for sell in 5 minutes and for buy in 15 minutes ..
Rules for this strategy ..
Sell signal -
1) if price is above 5 Ema and not touching Ema use as alert candle..
2) if price break low of alert candle strategy open trade ..
3) if price move more upside low of alert candle keep change into next candle ..
4) input we can select number of trade per day .as rule should take only 4 signal should execute
5) stop loss is fixed highest high of last 2 candle and take profit is input multiply of stop loss
buy signal-
1) if price is below 5 Ema and not touching Ema use as alert candle..
2) if price break high of alert candle strategy open trade ..
3) if price move more downside high of alert candle keep change into next candle ..
4) input we can select number of trade per day .as rule should take only 4 signal should execute
5) stop loss is fixed lowest low of last 2 candle and take profit is input multiply of stop loss
notes -input can be selected which side should take signal either buy or sell side ...number of trade can be adjusted ..
Disclaimer -Traders can use this script as a starting point for further customization or as a reference for developing their own trading strategies. It's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and thorough testing and validation are recommended before deploying any trading strategy.
Zero-lag Volatility-Breakout EMA Trend StrategyThis is a simple volatility-breakout strategy which uses the difference in two different zero-lag* EMAs (explained below on what exactly I mean by this) to track the upwards or downwards strength of an instrument. When the difference breaks above a Bollinger Band of a configurable standard deviation multiple, the strategy enters based off the direction of the base EMA used (i.e. if the difference breaks above and the current EMA is rising, a long entry is produced. If the difference breaks above and the current EMA is falling, a short entry is produced).
The two EMA-type metrics used to calculate the volatility difference are calculated by the following formula:
top_ema = math.max(src, ta.ema(src, length))
bottom_ema = math.min(src, ta.ema(src, length))
ema_difference = (top_ema - bottom_ema) - 1
This produces a difference which responds immediately to large price movements, instead of lagging if it used strictly the EMA itself.
SETTINGS
Source : The source of the strategy - close, hlc3, another indicator plot, etc.
EMA Difference Length : The length of both the EMA difference statistics and the base EMA used to calculate the entry side.
Standard Deviation Multiple : The Bollinger Bands multiple used when the difference is breaking out.
Use Binary Strategy : The strategy has two configurations: Binary and Rapid-Exit. 'Binary' means that it will not close a long position until a short position is generated, and vice-versa. 'Rapid-Exit' will close a long or short position once the difference reaches the middle Bollinger Band MA. This means that turning on 'Binary' will expose you to more market risk, but potentially greater market return. Turning off 'Binary' will exit quickly and reduce drawdown.
The strategy results below use 10% equity and 0.1% fees per trade.
The Flash-Strategy with Minervini Stage Analysis QualifierThe Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR) with Minervini Stage Analysis Qualifier
Introduction
Welcome to a comprehensive guide on a cutting-edge trading strategy I've developed, designed for the modern trader seeking an edge in today's dynamic markets. This strategy, which I've honed through my years of experience in the trading arena, stands out for its unique blend of technical analysis and market intuition, tailored specifically for use on the TradingView platform.
As a trader with a deep passion for the financial markets, my journey began several years ago, driven by a relentless pursuit of a trading methodology that is both effective and adaptable. My background in trading spans various market conditions and asset classes, providing me with a rich tapestry of experiences from which to draw. This strategy is the culmination of that journey, embodying the lessons learned and insights gained along the way.
The cornerstone of this strategy lies in its ability to generate precise long signals in a Stage 2 uptrend and equally accurate short signals in a Stage 4 downtrend. This approach is rooted in the principles of trend following and momentum trading, harnessing the power of key indicators such as the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). What sets this strategy apart is its meticulous design, which allows it to adapt to the ever-changing market conditions, providing traders with a robust tool for navigating both bullish and bearish scenarios.
This strategy was born out of a desire to create a trading system that is not only highly effective in identifying potential trade setups but also straightforward enough to be implemented by traders of varying skill levels. It's a reflection of my belief that successful trading hinges on clarity, precision, and disciplined execution. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just beginning your journey, this guide aims to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of how to harness the full potential of this strategy in your trading endeavors.
In the following sections, we will delve deeper into the mechanics of the strategy, its implementation, and how to make the most out of its features. Join me as we explore the nuances of a strategy that is designed to elevate your trading to the next level.
Stage-Specific Signal Generation
A distinctive feature of this trading strategy is its focus on generating long signals exclusively during Stage 2 uptrends and short signals during Stage 4 downtrends. This approach is based on the widely recognized market cycle theory, which divides the market into four stages: Stage 1 (accumulation), Stage 2 (uptrend), Stage 3 (distribution), and Stage 4 (downtrend). By aligning the signal generation with these specific stages, the strategy aims to capitalize on the most dynamic and clear-cut market movements, thereby enhancing the potential for profitable trades.
1. Long Signals in Stage 2 Uptrends
• Characteristics of Stage 2: Stage 2 is characterized by a strong uptrend, where prices are consistently rising. This stage typically follows a period of accumulation (Stage 1) and is marked by increased investor interest and bullish sentiment in the market.
• Criteria for Long Signal Generation: Long signals are generated during this stage when the technical indicators align with the characteristics of a Stage 2 uptrend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: By focusing on Stage 2 for long trades, the strategy seeks to enter positions during the phase of strong upward momentum, thus riding the wave of rising prices and investor optimism. This stage-specific approach minimizes exposure to less predictable market phases, like the consolidation in Stage 1 or the indecision in Stage 3.
2. Short Signals in Stage 4 Downtrends
• Characteristics of Stage 4: Stage 4 is identified by a pronounced downtrend, with declining prices indicating prevailing bearish sentiment. This stage typically follows the distribution phase (Stage 3) and is characterized by increasing selling pressure.
• Criteria for Short Signal Generation: Short signals are generated in this stage when the indicators reflect a strong bearish trend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: Targeting Stage 4 for shorting capitalizes on the market's downward momentum. This tactic aligns with the natural market cycle, allowing traders to exploit the downward price movements effectively. By doing so, the strategy avoids the potential pitfalls of shorting during the early or late stages of the market cycle, where trends are less defined and more susceptible to reversals.
In conclusion, the strategy’s emphasis on stage-specific signal generation is a testament to its sophisticated understanding of market dynamics. By tailoring the long and short signals to Stages 2 and 4, respectively, it leverages the most compelling phases of the market cycle, offering traders a clear and structured approach to aligning their trades with dominant market trends.
Strategy Overview
At the heart of this trading strategy is a philosophy centered around capturing market momentum and trend efficiency. The core objective is to identify and capitalize on clear uptrends and downtrends, thereby allowing traders to position themselves in sync with the market's prevailing direction. This approach is grounded in the belief that aligning trades with these dominant market forces can lead to more consistent and profitable outcomes.
The strategy is built on three foundational components, each playing a critical role in the decision-making process:
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index): The Momentum-RSI is a pivotal element of this strategy. It's an enhanced version of the traditional RSI, fine-tuned to better capture the strength and velocity of market trends. By measuring the speed and change of price movements, the Momentum-RSI provides invaluable insights into whether a market is potentially overbought or oversold, suggesting possible entry and exit points. This indicator is especially effective in filtering out noise and focusing on substantial market moves.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover: The EMA Crossover is a crucial component for trend identification. This strategy employs two EMAs with different timeframes to determine the market trend. When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, it signals an emerging uptrend, suggesting a potential long entry. Conversely, a crossover below indicates a possible downtrend, hinting at a short entry opportunity. This simple yet powerful tool is key in confirming trend directions and timing market entries.
3. ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is instrumental in assessing market volatility. This indicator helps in understanding the average range of price movements over a given period, thus providing a sense of how much a market might move on a typical day. In this strategy, the ATR is used to adjust stop-loss levels and to gauge the potential risk and reward of trades. It allows for more informed decisions by aligning trade management techniques with the current volatility conditions.
The synergy of these three components – the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR – creates a robust framework for this trading strategy. By combining momentum analysis, trend identification, and volatility assessment, the strategy offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the markets. Whether it's capturing a strong trend in its early stages or identifying a potential reversal, this strategy aims to provide traders with the tools and insights needed to make well-informed, strategically sound trading decisions.
Detailed Component Analysis
The efficacy of this trading strategy hinges on the synergistic functioning of its three key components: the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). Each component brings a unique perspective to the strategy, contributing to a well-rounded approach to market analysis.
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Definition and Function: The Momentum-RSI is a modified version of the classic Relative Strength Index. While the traditional RSI measures the velocity and magnitude of directional price movements, the Momentum-RSI amplifies aspects that reflect trend strength and momentum.
• Significance in Identifying Trend Strength: This indicator excels in identifying the strength behind a market's move. A high Momentum-RSI value typically indicates strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential continuation of an uptrend. Conversely, a low Momentum-RSI value signals strong bearish momentum, possibly indicative of an ongoing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: In this strategy, the Momentum-RSI is used to gauge the underlying strength of market trends. It helps in filtering out minor fluctuations and focusing on significant movements, providing a clearer picture of the market's true momentum.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover
• Definition and Function: The EMA Crossover component utilizes two exponential moving averages of different timeframes. Unlike simple moving averages, EMAs give more weight to recent prices, making them more responsive to new information.
• Contribution to Market Direction: The interaction between the short-term and long-term EMAs is key to determining market direction. A crossover of the shorter EMA above the longer EMA is an indicator of an emerging uptrend, while a crossover below signals a developing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: The EMA Crossover serves as a trend confirmation tool. It provides a clear, visual representation of the market's direction, aiding in the decision-making process for entering long or short positions. This component ensures that trades are aligned with the prevailing market trend, a crucial factor for the success of the strategy.
3. ATR (Average True Range)
• Definition and Function: The ATR is an indicator that measures market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified period.
• Role in Assessing Market Volatility: The ATR provides insights into the typical market movement within a given timeframe, offering a measure of the market's volatility. Higher ATR values indicate increased volatility, while lower values suggest a calmer market environment.
• Application in Strategy: Within this strategy, the ATR is instrumental in tailoring risk management techniques, particularly in setting stop-loss levels. By accounting for the market's volatility, the ATR ensures that stop-loss orders are placed at levels that are neither too tight (risking premature exits) nor too loose (exposing to excessive risk).
In summary, the combination of Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR in this trading strategy provides a comprehensive toolkit for market analysis. The Momentum-RSI identifies the strength of market trends, the EMA Crossover confirms the market direction, and the ATR guides in risk management by assessing volatility. Together, these components form the backbone of a strategy designed to navigate the complexities of the financial markets effectively.
1. Signal Generation Process
• Combining Indicators: The strategy operates by synthesizing signals from the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR indicators. Each indicator serves a specific purpose: the Momentum-RSI gauges trend momentum, the EMA Crossover identifies the trend direction, and the ATR assesses the market’s volatility.
• Criteria for Signal Validation: For a signal to be considered valid, it must meet specific criteria set by each of the three indicators. This multi-layered approach ensures that signals are not only based on one aspect of market behavior but are a result of a comprehensive analysis.
2. Conditions for Long Positions
• Uptrend Confirmation: A long position signal is generated when the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, indicating an uptrend.
• Momentum-RSI Alignment: Alongside the EMA crossover, the Momentum-RSI should indicate strong bullish momentum. This is typically represented by the Momentum-RSI being at a high level, confirming the strength of the uptrend.
• ATR Consideration: The ATR is used to fine-tune the entry point and set an appropriate stop-loss level. In a low volatility scenario, as indicated by the ATR, the stop-loss can be set tighter, closer to the entry point.
3. Conditions for Short Positions
• Downtrend Confirmation: Conversely, a short position signal is indicated when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA, signaling a downtrend.
• Momentum-RSI Confirmation: The Momentum-RSI should reflect strong bearish momentum, usually seen when the Momentum-RSI is at a low level. This confirms the bearish strength of the market.
• ATR Application: The ATR again plays a role in determining the stop-loss level for the short position. Higher volatility, as indicated by a higher ATR, would warrant a wider stop-loss to accommodate larger market swings.
By adhering to these mechanics, the strategy aims to ensure that each trade is entered with a high probability of success, aligning with the market’s current momentum and trend. The integration of these indicators allows for a holistic market analysis, providing traders with clear and actionable signals for both entering and exiting trades.
Customizable Parameters in the Strategy
Flexibility and adaptability are key features of this trading strategy, achieved through a range of customizable parameters. These parameters allow traders to tailor the strategy to their individual trading style, risk tolerance, and specific market conditions. By adjusting these parameters, users can fine-tune the strategy to optimize its performance and align it with their unique trading objectives. Below are the primary parameters that can be customized within the strategy:
1. Momentum-RSI Settings
• Period: The lookback period for the Momentum-RSI can be adjusted. A shorter period makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer period smoothens the RSI line, offering a broader view of the momentum.
• Overbought/Oversold Thresholds: Users can set their own overbought and oversold levels, which can help in identifying extreme market conditions more precisely according to their trading approach.
2. EMA Crossover Settings
• Timeframes for EMAs: The strategy uses two EMAs with different timeframes. Traders can modify these timeframes, choosing shorter periods for a more responsive approach or longer periods for a more conservative one.
• Source Data: The choice of price data (close, open, high, low) used in calculating the EMAs can be varied depending on the trader’s preference.
3. ATR Settings
• Lookback Period: Adjusting the lookback period for the ATR impacts how the indicator measures volatility. A longer period may provide a more stable but less responsive measure, while a shorter period offers quicker but potentially more erratic readings.
• Multiplier for Stop-Loss Calculation: This parameter allows traders to set how aggressively or conservatively they want their stop-loss to be in relation to the ATR value.
Here are the standard settings:
Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry by HedgerLabsThe "Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry" strategy, designed by HedgerLabs, is an advanced TradingView strategy script focusing on the mean reversion technique in financial markets. This strategy is engineered for traders who prefer a systematic approach with an emphasis on incremental entries based on price movements relative to a moving average.
Key Features:
Moving Average Based Strategy: Central to this strategy is the simple moving average (SMA), around which all trade entries and exits revolve. Traders can customize the MA length, making it flexible for various trading styles and timeframes.
Incremental Entry Mechanism: Unique to this strategy is the incremental entry system. The strategy initiates an initial trade when the price deviates from the MA by a specified percentage. Subsequent entries are made at incremental steps, defined by the trader, as the price moves further away from the MA. This method can potentially capitalize on increasing market volatility.
Dynamic Position Management: The strategy intelligently manages positions by entering long when the price is below the MA and short when above, allowing for adaptive positioning in different market conditions.
Automated Exit Logic: Exit points are determined when the price touches the MA, aiming to close positions at potential reversal points for optimized trade outcomes.
Continuous Market Analysis: With 'calc_on_every_tick' enabled, the strategy constantly evaluates market conditions, ensuring prompt reaction to price movements.
Usage Scenario:
This strategy is particularly beneficial in markets exhibiting mean-reverting behavior. It is suitable for traders focusing on swing trading or those who prefer to scale into positions during periods of high volatility.
Disclaimer:
Please remember that this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or investment advice. Trading in financial markets carries risks, including the potential loss of capital. We advise doing your own research and consulting with a financial expert before making any investment decisions.
FlexiMA Variance Tracker - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The FlexiMA Variance Tracker by PresentTrading introduces a novel approach to technical trading strategies. Unlike traditional methods, it calculates deviations between a chosen indicator source (such as price or average) and a moving average with a variable length. This flexibility is achieved through a unique combination of a starting factor and an increment factor, allowing the moving average to adapt dynamically within a specified range. This strategy provides a more responsive and nuanced view of market trends, setting it apart from standard trading methodologies.
BTC 8h L/S
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The FlexiMA Variance Tracker, developed by PresentTrading, stands at the forefront of trading strategies, distinguished by its adaptive and multifaceted approach to market analysis. This strategy intricately weaves various technical elements to construct a comprehensive trading logic. Here's an in-depth professional breakdown:
🔶Foundation on Variable-Length Moving Averages:
Central to this strategy is the concept of variable-length Moving Averages (MAs). Unlike traditional MAs with a fixed period, this strategy dynamically adjusts the length of the MA based on a starting factor and an incremental factor. This approach allows the strategy to adapt to market volatility and trend strength more effectively.
Each MA iteration offers a distinct temporal perspective, capturing short-term price movements to long-term trends. This aggregation of various time frames provides a richer and more nuanced market analysis, essential for making informed trading decisions.
🔶Deviation Analysis and Normalization:
The strategy calculates deviations of the price (or the chosen indicator source) from each of these MAs. These deviations are pivotal in identifying the immediate market direction relative to the average trend captured by each MA.
To standardize these deviations for comparability, they undergo a normalization process. The choice of normalization method (Max-Min or Absolute Sum) can significantly influence the interpretation of market conditions, offering distinct insights into price movements and trend strength.
🔹Normalization: Absolute Sum
🔶Composite Oscillator Construction:
A composite oscillator is derived from the median of these normalized deviations. The median serves as a balanced and robust central trend indicator, minimizing the impact of outliers and market noise.
Additionally, the standard deviation of these deviations is computed, providing a measure of market volatility. This volatility indicator is crucial for assessing market risk and can guide traders in setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels.
🔶Integration with SuperTrend Indicator:
The FlexiMA strategy integrates the SuperTrend indicator, renowned for its effectiveness in identifying trend direction and reversals. The SuperTrend's incorporation enhances the strategy's ability to filter out false signals and confirm genuine market trends.
* The SuperTrend Toolkit is made by @QuantiLuxe
This combination of the variable-length MA oscillator with the SuperTrend indicator forms a potent duo, offering traders a dual-confirmation mechanism for trade signals.
🔹Supertrend's incorporation
🔶Strategic Trade Signal Generation:
Trade signals are generated when there is a confluence between the composite oscillator and the SuperTrend indicator. For example, a long position signal might be considered when the oscillator suggests an uptrend, and the SuperTrend flips to bullish.
The strategy's parameters are fully customizable, enabling traders to tailor the signal generation process to their specific trading style, risk tolerance, and market conditions.
█ Usage
To effectively employ the FlexiMA Variance Tracker strategy:
Traders should set their desired trade direction and fine-tune the starting and increment factors according to their market analysis and risk tolerance.
Indicator Length: 5
Indicator Length: 40
The strategy is suitable for a wide range of markets and can be adapted to different time frames, making it a versatile tool for various trading scenarios.
█ Default Settings Impact on Performance: FlexiMA Variance Tracker
1. Trade Direction (Configurable: Long, Short, Both): Determines trade types. 'Long' for buying, 'Short' for selling, 'Both' adapts to market trends.
2. Indicator Source: HLC3: Balances market sentiment by considering high, low, and close, providing comprehensive period analysis.
4. Indicator Length (Default: 10): Baseline for moving averages. Shorter lengths increase responsiveness but add noise, while longer lengths favor trends.
5. Starting and Increment Factor (Default: 1.0): Adjusts MA lengths range. Higher values capture broad market dynamics, lower values focus analysis.
6. Normalization Method (Options: None, Max-Min, Absolute Sum): Standardizes deviations. 'None' for raw deviations, 'Max-Min' for relative scaling, 'Absolute Sum' emphasizes relative strength.
7. SuperTrend Settings (ATR Length: 10, Multiplier: 15.0): Influences indicator sensitivity. Short ATR or high multiplier for short-term, long ATR or low multiplier for long-term trends.
8. Additional Settings (Mesh Style, Color Customization): Enhances visual clarity. Mesh style for detailed deviation view, colors for quick market condition identification.
TASC 2024.01 Gap Momentum System█ OVERVIEW
TASC's January 2024 edition of Traders' Tips features an article titled “Gap Momentum” by Perry J. Kaufman. The article discusses how a trader might create a momentum strategy based on opening gap data. This script implements the Gap Momentum system presented therein.
█ CONCEPTS
In the article, Perry J. Kaufman introduces Gap Momentum as a cumulative series constructed in the same way as On-Balance Volume (OBV) , but using gap openings (today’s open minus yesterday’s close).
To smoothen the resulting time series (i.e., obtain the " signal line "), the author applies a simple moving average . Subsequently, he proposes the following two trading rules for a long-only trading system:
• Enter a long position when the signal line is moving higher.
• Exit when the signal line is moving lower.
█ CALCULATIONS
The calculation of Gap Momentum involves the following steps:
1. Calculate the ratio of the sum of positive gaps over the past N days to the sum of negative gaps (absolute values) over the same time period.
2. Add the resulting gap ratio to the cumulative time series. This time series is the Gap Momentum.
3. Keep moving forward, as in an N-day moving average.
MACD of Relative Strenght StrategyMACD Relative Strenght Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators: MACD and Relative Strenght (RS). By coupling them, we obtain powerful buy signals. In fact, the special feature of this strategy is that it creates an indicator from an indicator. Thus, we construct a MACD whose source is the value of the RS. The strategy only takes buy signals, ignoring SHORT signals as they are mostly losers. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RELATIVE STRENGHT :
RS is an indicator that measures the anomaly between momentum and the assumption of market efficiency. It is used by professionals and is one of the most robust indicators. The idea is to own assets that do better than average, based on their past performance. We calculate RS using this formula :
RS = close/highest_high(RS_Length)
Where highest_high(RS_Length) = highest value of the high over a user-defined time period (which is the RS_Length).
We can thus situate the current price in relation to its highest price over this user-defined period.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence - Divergence) :
This is one of the best-known indicators, measuring the distance between two exponential moving averages : one fast and one slower. A wide distance indicates fast momentum and vice versa. We'll plot the value of this distance and call this line macdline. The MACD uses a third moving average with a lower period than the first two. This last moving average will give a signal when it crosses the macdline. It is therefore constructed using the values of the macdline as its source.
It's important to note that the first two MAs are constructed using RS values as their source. So we've just built an indicator of an indicator. This kind of method is very powerful because it is rarely used and brings value to the strategy.
PARAMETERS :
RS Length : Relative Strength length i.e. the number of candles back to find the highest high and compare the current price with this high. Default is 300.
MACD Fast Length : Relative Strength fast EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 14.
MACD Slow Length : Relative Strength slow EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 26.
MACD Signal Smoothing : Macdline SMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 10.
Max risk per trade (in %) : The maximum loss a trade can incur (in percentage of the trade value). Default is 8%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, meaning that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD in 8h timeframe with the parameters set by default.
ENTER RULES :
The entry rules are very simple : we open a long position when the MACD value turns positive. You are therefore LONG when the MACD is green.
EXIT RULES :
We exit a position (whether losing or winning) when the MACD becomes negative, i.e. turns red.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy can incur losses, so it's important to manage our risks well. If the position is losing and has incurred a loss of -8%, our stop loss is activated to limit losses.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Trend-based Price Action StrategyThis is a strategy script that combines trend-based price action analysis with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) as trend filters. Here's a summary of the key components and logic:
Price Action Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish patterns: Engulfing candle and Morning Star.
Bearish patterns: Engulfing candle and Evening Star.
RSI Integration:
RSI is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
EMA Trend Filter:
Three EMAs with different periods: Fast , Medium and Slow.
Long trend condition occur when the fast EMA is above the medium and the medium is above the slow EMA.
Short trend condition occur when the slow EMA is above the medium and the medium is above the fast EMA.
Long entry conditions: RSI is oversold, RSI is decreasing, bullish candlestick pattern, and EMA trend filter conditions are met.
Short entry conditions: RSI is overbought, RSI is decreasing, bearish candlestick pattern, and EMA trend filter conditions are met.
Exit conditions:
Take profit or stop loss is reached.
Plotting:
Signals are plotted on the chart when entry conditions are met.
EMAs are plotted when the EMA trend filter is enabled.
This script aims to capture potential trend reversal points based on a combination of candlestick patterns, RSI, and EMA trend analysis.
Traders can use this script as a starting point for further customization or as a reference for developing their own trading strategies. It's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and thorough testing and validation are recommended before deploying any trading strategy.
Crypto Market Strategy (CMS)/Introduction
The Crypto Market Strategy (CMS) is a composite strategy for the cryptocurrency market. It integrates multiple strategies (called signals) to ensure you are exploiting multiple patterns/anomalies in the market.
/Signals
The three distinct strategies, each providing signals based on specific market conditions are explained below:
1. Limit Range: This signal targets stable market periods, triggering signals based on micro breakouts in price. The market during this period is described as stable because of the short lookback period required for breakout, four bars is the default.
2. Trend Breakout: This signal seeks to capitalize on significant market movements following consolidation periods, it triggers when large price breakouts occur. The market during this period is described as volatile because of the long lookback period required for breakout, forty bars is the default.
3. Momentum: After breakouts, price uptrends may persist for a long time, typically weeks to months. This signal captures long term trends.
An upward blue arrow signifies a long entry signal, a downward red arrow indicates a short entry signal, while an upward/downward pink arrow indicates an exit signal. All signals will have a label indicating the triggering strategy and number of units (this can be disabled in the style settings).
/Construction
The strategy is constructed using minimal indicators, it is basically price action and moving averages.
/Settings
The settings are organised according to the signals;
1. Limit range
Entry - This is the size of breakout
+Exit - Closes the trade in profit
-Exit - Closes the trade to minimise loss
2. Trend breakout
Entry - This is the size of the breakout
Exit - Closes the trade to minimise loss
3. Momentum
Entry - This determines how quickly a signal is triggered
Lookback - This is the duration considered for the entry
/Results
The backtest results are based on a starting capital of $13,700 (convenient amount for retail traders) with 5% of equity for the position size and pyramiding of 3 consecutive positions because there are three signals. Commissions vary from broker to broker with some charging zero commissions, so commissions is set to an exorbitant $3 per order to ensure profitability in backtests is reproducible in live trading. Slippage of 3 ticks is used to ensure the results are representative of real world, market order, end-of-day trading. The backtest results are available to view at the bottom of this page.
Note:
Past performance in backtesting does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency markets are particularly volatile, and individual execution and market changes can significantly affect strategy performance. Price data may also vary across exchanges.
/Tickers
CMS has been backtested primarily on BTCUSD. It also performs well on ETHUSD.
RSI & Backed-Weighted MA StrategyRSI & MA Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators that work best together: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average (MA). We're going to use the RSI as a trend-follower indicator, rather than a reversal indicator as most are used to. To the signals sent by the RSI, we'll add a condition on the chart's MA, filtering out irrelevant signals and considerably increasing our winning rate. This is a medium/long-term strategy. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RSI :
The RSI is one of the best-known and most widely used indicators in trading. Its purpose is to warn traders when an asset is overbought or oversold. It was designed to send reversal signals, but we're going to use it as a trend indicator by increasing its length to 20. The RSI formula is as follows :
RSI (n) = 100 - (100 / (1 + (H (n)/L (n))))
With n the length of the RSI, H(n) the average of days closing above the open and L(n) the average of days closing below the open.
MA :
The Moving Average is also widely used in technical analysis, to smooth out variations in an asset. The SMA formula is as follows :
SMA (n) = (P1 + P2 + ... + Pn) / n
where n is the length of the MA.
However, an SMA does not weight any of its terms, which means that the price 10 days ago has the same importance as the price 2 days ago or today's price... That's why in this strategy we use a RWMA, i.e. a back-weighted moving average. It weights old prices more heavily than new ones. This will enable us to limit the impact of short-term variations and focus on the trend that was dominating. The RWMA used weights :
The 4 most recent terms by : 100 / (4+(n-4)*1.30)
The other oldest terms by : weight_4_first_term*1.30
So the older terms are weighted 1.30 more than the more recent ones. The moving average thus traces a trend that accentuates past values and limits the noise of short-term variations.
PARAMETERS :
RSI Length : Lenght of RSI. Default is 20.
MA Type : Choice between a SMA or a RWMA which permits to minimize the impact of short term reversal. Default is RWMA.
MA Length : Length of the selected MA. Default is 19.
RSI Long Signal : Minimum value of RSI to send a LONG signal. Default is 60.
RSI Short signal : Maximum value of RSI to send a SHORT signal. Default is 40.
ROC MA Long Signal : Maximum value of Rate of Change MA to send a LONG signal. Default is 0.
ROC MA Short signal : Minimum value of Rate of Change MA to send a SHORT signal. Default is 0.
TP activation in multiple of ATR : Threshold value to trigger trailing stop Take Profit. This threshold is calculated as multiple of the ATR (Average True Range). Default value is 5 meaning that to trigger the trailing TP the price need to move 5*ATR in the right direction.
Trailing TP in percentage : Percentage value of trailing Take Profit. This Trailing TP follows the profit if it increases, remaining selected percentage below it, but stops if the profit decreases. Default is 3%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD with a timeframe set to 6h. Parameters are set as follows :
MA type: RWMA
MA Length: 19
RSI Long Signal: >60
RSI Short Signal : <40
ROC MA Long Signal : <0
ROC MA Short Signal : >0
TP Activation in multiple ATR : 5
Trailing TP in percentage : 3
ENTER RULES :
The principle is very simple:
If the asset is overbought after a bear market, we are LONG.
If the asset is oversold after a bull market, we are SHORT.
We have defined a bear market as follows : Rate of Change (20) RWMA < 0
We have defined a bull market as follows : Rate of Change (20) RWMA > 0
The Rate of Change is calculated using this formula : (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100
Overbought is defined as follows : RSI > 60
Oversold is defined as follows : RSI < 40
LONG CONDITION :
RSI > 60 and (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100 < -1
SHORT CONDITION :
RSI < 40 and (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100 > 1
EXIT RULES FOR WINNING TRADE :
We have a trailing TP allowing us to exit once the price has reached the "TP Activation in multiple ATR" parameter, i.e. 5*ATR by default in the profit direction. TP trailing is triggered at this point, not limiting our gains, and securing our profits at 3% below this trigger threshold.
Remember that the True Range is : maximum(H-L, H-C(1), C-L(1))
with C : Close, H : High, L : Low
The Average True Range is therefore the average of these TRs over a length defined by default in the strategy, i.e. 20.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy may incur losses. The method for limiting losses is to set a Stop Loss equal to 3*ATR. This means that if the price moves against our position and reaches three times the ATR, we exit with a loss.
Sometimes the ATR can result in a SL set below 10% of the trade value, which is not acceptable. In this case, we set the SL at 10%, limiting losses to a maximum of 10%.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
hamster-bot MRS 2 (simplified version) MRS - Mean Reversion Strategy (Countertrend) (Envelope strategy)
This script does not claim to be unique and does not mislead anyone. Even the unattractive backtest result is attached. The source code is open. The idea has been described many times in various sources. But at the same time, their collection in one place provides unique opportunities.
Published by popular demand and for ease of use. so that users can track the development of the script and can offer their ideas in the comments. Otherwise, you have to communicate in several telegram chats.
Representative of the family of counter-trend strategies. The basis of the strategy is Mean reversion . You can also read about the Envelope strategy .
Mean reversion , or reversion to the mean, is a theory used in finance that suggests that asset price volatility and historical returns eventually will revert to the long-run mean or average level of the entire dataset.
The strategy is very simple. Has very few settings. Good for beginners to get acquainted with algorithmic trading. A simple adjustment will help avoid overfitting. There are many variations of this strategy, but for understanding it is better to start with this implementation.
Principle of operation.
1)
A conventional MA is being built. (fuchsia line). A limit order is placed on this line to close the position.
2)
(green line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a long position
3)
(red line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a short position
Attention!
Please note that a limit order is used. Conclude that the strategy has a limited capacity. And the results obtained on low-liquid instruments will be too high in the tester. On real auctions there will be a different result.
Note for testing the strategy in the spot market:
When testing in the spot market, do not include both long and short at the same time. It is recommended to test only the long mode on the spot. Short mode for more advanced users.
Settings:
Available types of moving averages:
SMA
EMA
TEMA - triple exponential moving average
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
ZLEMA - Zero lag exponential moving average
WMA - weighted moving average
Hma - Hull Moving Average
Thma - Triple Exponential Hull Moving Average
Ehma - Exponential Hull Moving Average
H - MA built based on highs for n candles | ta.highest(len)
L - MA built based on lows for n candles | ta.lowest(len)
DMA - Donchian Moving Average
A Kalman filter can be applied to all MA
The peculiarity of the strategy is a large selection of MA and the possibility of shifting lines. You can set up a reverse trending strategy on the Donchian channel for example.
Use Long - enable/disable opening a Long position
Use Short - enable/disable opening a Short position
Lot Long, % - % allocated from the deposit for opening a Long position. In the spot market, do not use % greater than 100%
Lot Short, % - allocated % of the deposit for opening a Short position
Start date - the beginning of the testing period
End date - the end of the testing period (Example: only August 2020 can be tested)
Mul - multiplier. Used to offset lines. Example:
Mul = 0.99 is shift -1%
Mul = 1.01 is shift +1%
Non-strict recommendations:
1) Test the SPOT market on crypto exchanges. (The countertrend strategy has liquidation risk on futures)
2) Symbols altcoin/bitcoin or altcoin/altcoin. Example: ETH/BTC or DOGE/ETH
3) Timeframe is usually 1 hour
If the script passes moderation, I will supplement it by adding separate settings for closing long and short positions according to their MA
