Options Decay Speed for 0DTEUse only for:
SPX, 5 minutes time frame
This indicator is complementing options 0DTE strategy - selling options for SPX index in the same day as they are expiring. Output of the indicator (red or green color of the curve) indicates whether is profitable to sell options at given moment at delta and VIX specified in the parameters. Changing parameter "Candles" is not recommended.
Main thought is that options expire with certain speed (theta decay) when stock doesnt move. When stock moves in unfavorable direction slowly enough, decay speed can compensate for disadvantage coming from option delta. Intuitively there must be certain speed of stock value change (expressed in stock value per 5 minutes) that is exactly compensating theta decay. This indicator calculates those two values (details below) and shows, where theta decay is faster than stock movement in the last hour and thus favorable to sell options.
Indicator gets its result from comparing two values:
1) volatility in the form of highest high and lowest low for past 12 candles (one hour in total) divided by 12 - meaning average movement of stock expressed in
2) speed of options value decay in form of combination of theta decay and option delta. Formulas are approximation of Black-Scholes model as Pine script doesnt allow for advanced functions. Approximations are accurate to 2 decimal points from market open to one hour before market close and will not indicate green when accuracy is not sufficient. Its value is also expressed in so its mutualy comparable.
My focus was not on code elegance but on practical usability.
Written by Ondřej Škop.
Options-strategy
NINJA SCALPERNinja Scalper is the next evolution of the Trade Trend Indicator.
I have been trading for over 23 years now and these indicators are based on my trading style risk verse reward. The change in this is to make it more responsive and to integrate with Sword.
The background of this indicator is:
The original Trade Trend Indicator (indicator) has been the brain child of 23 years of trading experience rolled into a simple to understand all market setup alert system based solely on 5 high probability trade set ups with a 6th high risk. The hope is to provide something that is can assist traders in building confidence in their trades with a little assistance from the indicator.
This like any and all indicators is not a be all and end to trading, yes while back tested the indicator has produced fantastic profitable results; past performance is not a guarantee of future but which with human intervention can increase the return result exponentially.
You need to be able to chart simple candle sticks and you need to have an understanding of support and resistance areas to make sense of what you are doing in trading otherwise even this indicator won't help you.
While this may alert buy or sell / long or short entrance these are to be taken as educational points of reference and if you wish to trade you are understanding that you enter and exit at your own risk. Not many indicators will alert you to the possibility of a rogue wave spike / dump or both, this will but everything is perspective of the time frame you are on.
The indicator is designed for the 4hour time frame with trade entry on the 15min and managed on the 30min time frame. Alot can happen within these time frame but as we know not every trader can sit in front of a screen for hours at a time and this let's one trade for swings. Once you have your entry you place your exits and you set your stops. If you wait for the alert to exit you are in a draw down this should never reach that point pay yourself for being right.
The some set ups are simple:
1. Trend change from bearish to bullish buys are dip interim support entries.
2. Trend change from bullish to bearish sells are top interim resistance exits.
3. Blue buy is an entry position for a trade.
4. Blue long is an add position for a trade.
5. Red short is just that a short trade idea. (this is advanced and requires a manual cover target),
6. Green buy is a break out over the next candle to print above (highest risk)
All trades are based on a 5% to 10% of capital entry with no more than 40% ever in 1 trade goal is many consistent trade wins while limiting the losses and size.
Certain set ups such as longs over the Moving Averages but below the cloud can lead to strong rally returns as well as short in a bearish trend just above the Moving Averages can give prolonged selling pressure.
Pay attention to the golden dump line as it rises the closer to the candle it gets the higher the risk of the trade lacking continuation.
None of this is to be taken as investment advice but rather Edutainment and infotainment
#TradeSocially
Arrows Perfect BinaryThis is a binary options script for detecting the best flaws in the market and taking advantage.
Initially, the script was coded with Martingale in mind and no losses occur in 3-5 cycles but a revision was made and this is the current version 1.0 of the script. Use this script wisely, It's a powerful one and might be the Holy Grail or Account Blower.
If you think of something please lemme know so that I can improve the value of this script to the community.
I am open to wise contributions.
Enjoy, lucemanb
(JS) S&P 500 Volatility Oscillator For OptionsThe idea for this started here: www.tradingview.com with the user @dime
This should only be used on SPX or SPY (though you could use it on other things for correlation I suppose) given that the instrument used to create this calculation is derived from the S&P 500 (thank you VIX). There's a lot of moving parts here though, so allow me to explain...
First: The main signal is when Implied Volatility (from VIX) drops beneath Historical Volatility - which is what you want to see so you aren't purchasing a ton of premium on long options. Green and above 0 means that IV% has dropped lower than Historical Volatility. (this signal, for example, would suggest using a Long Call or Put depending on your sentiment)
Second: The green line running underneath zero is the bottom portion of the "Average True Range" derived from the values used to create the oscillator. the closer the bottom histogram is to the green line, the more "normal" IV% is. Obviously, if this gets far away from the line then it could be setting up nicely to short options and sell the IV premium to someone else. (this signal, for example, would suggest using something like a Bull Put Spread)
Third: The red background along with the white line that drops down below zero signals when (and how far) the IV% from 3 months out (from VIX3M) is less than the current IV%. This would signal the current environment has IV way too high, a signal to short options once again (and don't take any long option positions!).
Tried to make this simple, yet effective. If you trade options on SPX, SPY, even ES1! futures - this is a tool tailored specifically for you! As I said before, if you want you can use it for correlation on other securities. Any other ideas or suggestions surrounding this, please let me know! Enjoy!
MACD TBBThis indicator works similar to the Tightened Bollinger Band (TBB) Strategy. Normally, when bollinger bands tighten, you look for the point where they widen and the direction of the price is often a breakout.
This indicator does the something similar, but using MACD, so you get other opportunities to get into plays. When the bollinger bands on the indicator tighten, wait for them to widen. The MACD line will turn red. The exit to the play is when the macd pulls away from the band and turns black again.
This indicator was built to help with some instructional material presented at www.optionsplayers.com
Let me know if you like the indicator or have any suggestions!
NEEW-10.0. For binary options. 238% by 3 days (100$ to 238$).NOW IT'S TESTED
75+% profitble.
130-150 treides on week.
not paint.
Signals: maroon arrow - sell/buy 5min and 9min. two trades
blue arrow - sell/buy 5 min trade
Tester: blue and green background trade was win
black and red background trade was loss
If price not turn then was a signal(arrow) then turn were later.
By my strategy, everybody can make 138% by 2 days 20 hours.
Deposit=100$, you bu option for 10$. If your option win you get 18$ - +8$ to deposit
By 3 days was 31 wins trades and 11 lose trades
By my strategy can make 138$ - 31*8$=248$
11*(-10$)=-110$
Finaly=248$-110$=138$ + your 100$ deposit=238$
Binary option trading by two previous barsThis simple script uses the idea of inertia of the market. if 2 previous candles have the same color, current meant to have that too. Following this signal is equal to buying a binary option on the start of the bar (week here). Signals are shown as arrows on the series. The color of the bar shows the outcome of the current option: yellow is success, black is failure. The same outcomes are at the bottom of the chart. The blue line is the total revenue of all options so far. Can be used as template for strategy simulation.
