Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer [TradeDots]The Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer is a specialized tool designed to help traders assess market conditions through a detailed examination of historical volatility, market benchmarks, and percentile-based thresholds. By integrating multiple volatility metrics (including VIX and VIX9D) with color-coded regime detection, the script provides users with clear, actionable insights for selecting appropriate options strategies.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Historical Volatility & Percentile Calculations
Annualized Historical Volatility (HV): The script automatically computes the asset’s historical volatility using log returns over a user-defined period. It then annualizes these values based on the chart’s timeframe, helping you understand the asset’s typical volatility profile.
Dynamic Percentile Ranks: To gauge where the current volatility level stands relative to past behavior, historical volatility values are compared against short, medium, and long lookback periods. Tracking these percentile ranks allows you to quickly see if volatility is high or low compared to historical norms.
2. Multi-Market Benchmark Comparison
VIX and VIX9D Integration: The script tracks market volatility through the VIX and VIX9D indices, comparing them to the asset’s historical volatility. This reveals whether the asset’s volatility is outpacing, lagging, or remaining in sync with broader market volatility conditions.
Market Context Analysis: A built-in term-structure check can detect market stress or relative calm by measuring how VIX compares to shorter-dated volatility (VIX9D). This helps you decide if the present environment is risk-prone or relatively stable.
3. Volatility Regime Detection
Color-Coded Background: The analyzer assigns a volatility regime (e.g., “High Asset Vol,” “Low Asset Vol,” “Outpacing Market,” etc.) based on current historical volatility percentile levels and asset vs. market ratios. A color-coded background highlights the regime, enabling traders to quickly interpret the market’s mood.
Alerts on Regime Changes & Spikes: Automated alerts warn you about any significant expansions or contractions in volatility, allowing you to react swiftly in changing conditions.
4. Strategy Forecast Table
Real-Time Strategy Suggestions: At the close of each bar, an on-chart table generates suggested options strategies (e.g., selling premium in high volatility or buying premium in low volatility). These suggestions provide a quick summary of potential tactics suited to the current regime.
Contextual Market Data: The table also displays key statistics, such as VIX levels, asset historical volatility percentile, or ratio comparisons, helping you confirm whether volatility conditions warrant more conservative or more aggressive strategies.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: The script supports multiple timeframes. For short-term trading, intraday charts often reveal faster shifts in volatility. For swing or position trading, daily or weekly charts may be more stable and produce fewer false signals.
2. Check the Volatility Regime: Observe the background color and on-chart labels to identify the current regime (e.g., “HIGH ASSET VOL,” “LOW VOL + LAGGING,” etc.).
3. Review the Forecast Table: The table suggests strategy ideas (e.g., iron condors, long straddles, ratio spreads) depending on whether volatility is elevated, subdued, or spiking. Use these as a starting point for designing trades that match your risk tolerance.
4. Combine with Additional Analysis: For optimal results, confirm signals with your broader trading plan, technical tools (moving averages, price action), and fundamental research. This script is most effective when viewed as one component in a comprehensive decision-making process.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Directional Neutrality: This indicator analyzes volatility environments but does not predict price direction (up/down). Traders must combine with directional analysis for complete strategy selection.
Late or Missed Signals: Since all calculations require a bar to close, sharp intrabar volatility moves may not appear in real-time.
False Positives in Choppy Markets: Rapid changes in percentile ranks or VIX movements can generate conflicting or premature regime shifts.
Data Sensitivity: Accuracy depends on the availability and stability of volatility data. Significant gaps or unusual market conditions may skew results.
Market Correlation Assumptions: The system assumes assets generally correlate with S&P 500 volatility patterns. May be less effective for:
Small-cap stocks with unique volatility drivers
International stocks with different market dynamics
Sector-specific events disconnected from broad market
Cryptocurrency-related assets with independent volatility patterns
RISK DISCLAIMER
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Options strategies can result in significant losses, including the total loss of premium paid. The complexity of options strategies requires thorough understanding of the risks involved.
This indicator provides volatility analysis for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and volatility regimes may shift without warning.
No trading system can guarantee profits, and all trading involves the risk of loss. The indicator's regime classifications and strategy suggestions should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes proper risk management, directional analysis, and consideration of broader market conditions.
Optionstrading
Opening Range Breakout (ORB)This is an Opening Range Break indicator. Best if used on a 5 minute chart. It plots the opening 30 minutes high and low of a ticker. (meaning mostly for stocks, options, etfs) and then it alerts a buy signal upon break of opening high and a sell signal upon break of opening low. This is a day trading type of indicator and there is a new opening range everyday.
Monthly Options Expiration 2025Monthly Options Expiration 2025
Plots the monthly options expiration dates in advance for the year 2025.
Happy trading and all the best.
Option Time ValueThis TradingView script calculates and visualizes the time value of an option (Call or Put) based on its market price and intrinsic value. The time value represents the premium paid for the option above its intrinsic value, and it is a key metric for analyzing the cost of holding an option.
This script is suitable for traders analyzing options on indices or stocks, such as the NIFTY 50, and supports both Call and Put options. By dynamically extracting the strike price and option type from the input symbol, it adapts seamlessly to the selected instrument.
Key Features:
Dynamic Instrument Selection:
Users can input the underlying asset (e.g., NSE:NIFTY) and the specific option instrument (e.g., NSE:NIFTY250327C24000 for a Call or NSE:NIFTY250327P24000 for a Put).
Automatic Option Type Detection:
The script detects whether the option is a Call or a Put by parsing the input symbol for the characters "C" (Call) or "P" (Put).
Dynamic Strike Price Extraction:
The strike price is dynamically extracted from the input option symbol, eliminating the need for hardcoding and reducing user errors.
Key Metrics Plotted:
Time Value: The premium paid above the intrinsic value, plotted in blue.
Intrinsic Value: The calculated intrinsic value of the option, plotted in green.
Seamless Integration:
Designed for ease of use and integration into existing TradingView setups.
Automatically adjusts to the timeframe and pricing data of the selected instruments.
Options Cumulative Chart AnalysysThis Pine Script is a comprehensive tool designed for traders analyzing options data on TradingView. It aggregates multiple symbols to calculate and visualize cumulative performance, providing essential insights for decision-making.
Key Features:
Symbol and Strike Price Configuration:
Supports up to four configurable symbols (e.g., NIFTY options).
Allows defining buy/sell actions, quantities, and entry premiums for each symbol.
Customizable Chart Display:
Plot candlesticks and line charts for cumulative data.
Configurable Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for technical analysis.
Entry and price lines with customizable colors.
Timeframe Management:
Supports higher timeframe (HTF) candles.
Ensures compatibility with the current chart timeframe to maintain accuracy.
Dynamic Coloring and Visualization:
Red, green, and gray color schemes for body and wicks of candlesticks based on price movements.
Customizable positive and negative color schemes.
Table for Data Representation:
Displays an info table showing symbols, quantities, entry prices, and latest traded prices (LTP).
Adjustable table position, overlay, and styling.
Premium and Profit/Loss Calculations:
Calculates cumulative open, high, low, and close prices considering premiums and quantities.
Tracks the profit and loss dynamically based on cumulative premiums and market prices.
Alerts and Notifications:
Alerts triggered on specific conditions, such as when the profit/loss turns negative.
Modular Functions:
Functions for calculating high/low/open/close values, combining premiums, and drawing candlesticks.
Utilities for symbol management and security requests.
Custom Settings:
Includes a wide range of input options for customization:
Timeframes, EMA lengths, colors, table configurations, and more.
Error Handling:
Validates timeframe inputs to ensure compatibility and prevent runtime errors.
This script is designed for advanced traders looking for a customizable tool to analyze cumulative options data efficiently. By leveraging its modular design and visual elements, users can make informed trading decisions with a holistic view of market movements.
Rolling Straddle PremiumScript is Basically intended to provide insight's on the Rolling Straddle premium for the selected index based on the input settings.
Important thing to consider for the script to work seamlessly:
Specify the LTP in the input field (need not be very accurate)
Specify the Expiry Date for the Option Strike.
Ensure Profile matches to the chart script (Index Script)
Note: Zones marked in Blue, is the max level that indicator can track the option prices. beyond which it may fail to track, during such time consider reloading the indicator with Latest LTP .
Labels on the chart indicate that If i had shorted the Straddle, what would be my current position of that Straddle. however the rational behind shorting is only the pivot high points (not sure if this is right or wrong! )
Note On Labels: Labels are delayed basis the pivot point candles specified in the indicator settings.
EN: Entry Price (Straddle Premium) of the Strike Specified.
Cur: Current Price ( Current Straddle Premium ) of the Strike Specified.
SH: Max Straddle Premium ( Increase in Premium ) since position is active.
SL: Min Straddle Premium ( Premium Erosion ) since position is active.
Theta Shield | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Theta Shield indicator! Theta is the options risk factor concerning how fast there is a decline in the value of an option over time. This indicator aims to help the trader avoid sideways market phases in the current ticker, to minimize the risk of theta decay. For more information, please check the "How Does It Work" section.
Features of the new Theta Shield Indicator :
Foresight Of Accumulation Zones
Decrease Risk Of Theta Decay
Clear "Valid" & "Non-Valid" Signals
Validness Trail
Alerts
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
In options trading, theta is defined as the rate of decline in the value of an option due to the passage of time. Traders want to avoid this kind of decay in the value of an option. One of the best ways to avoid it is not holding an option contract when the market is going sideways. This indicator uses a stochastic oscillator to try to get a foresight of sideways markets, warning the trader to not hold an option contract while the price is in a range.
The indicator starts by calculating the stochastic value using close, high & low prices of the candlesticks. Then a stoch threshold & a theta length are determined depending on the option contract type defined by the user in the settings of the indicator. Each candlestick that falls above or below the stoch threshold value is counted, and a "theta valid strength" is calculated using the counted candlesticks, which has a value between -100 & 100. Here is the formula of the "theta valid strength" value :
f_lin_interpolate(float x0, float x1, float y0, float y1, float x) =>
y0 + (x - x0) * (y1 - y0) / (x1 - x0)
thetaValid = Total Candlesticks That Fall Above & Below The Threshold In Last "Theta Length" bars.
thetaValidStrength = f_lin_interpolate(0, thetaLength, -100, 100, thetaValid)
Then a trail is rendered, and "Valid" & "Non-Valid" signals are given using this freshly calculated strength value. Valid means that the indicator currently thinks that no accumulation will happen in the near future, so the option positions in the current ticker are protected from the theta decay. Non-Valid means that the indicator thinks the ticker has entered the accumulation phase, so holding any option position is not recommended, as they may be affected by the theta decay.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator offers a unique way to avoid theta decay in options trading. It uses a stochastic oscillator and thresholds to calculate a "theta strength" value, which is used for rendering validness signals and a trail. Traders can follow the valid & non-valid signals when deciding to hold their options position or not. The indicator also has an alerts feature, so you can get notified when a ticker is about to enter a range, or when it's about to get out of it.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Contract Type -> You can set the option contract type here. The indicator will adjust itself to get a better foresight depending on the contract length.
2. Style
Fill Validness -> Will render a trail based on "theta strength" value.
DEVPRO TradingDEVPRO Trading system comprises of the following:
D - Double (EMA and VWAP)
E - EMA
V - VWAP (current and previous day ending VWAP level)
P - Standard Pivot Point
R - RSI (Multi-time frame table is added at the top and traders can add standard RSI 14 as an additional non-overlay indicator)
O - OI data (not available for options trading in TV but trader can always check in their broker terminal)
Double EMA have been color coded in red and green for bullish and bearish trends.
Candles are colored for bullish (green), sideways (grey) and bearish (red) phases.
Setup to be traded with monthly options for stocks and weekly options for indices.
Bullish Setup:
RSI greater than 50
Current candle close above VWAP and previous day closing VWAP
Current candle close above daily Pivot
For option buying (Call option OI should be falling below its moving average 20 meaning short covering)
For option selling (Put option OI should be rising above its moving average 20 meaning Put writers confidence is increasing)
Book partial qty profits at R1/R2/R3 and/or exit completely on Doji candle low break
Bearish Setup:
RSI less than 50
Current candle close below VWAP and previous day closing VWAP
Current candle close below daily Pivot
For option buying (Put option OI should be falling below its moving average 20 meaning short covering)
For option selling (Call option OI should be rising above its moving average 20 meaning Call writers confidence is increasing)
Book partial qty profits at S1/S2/S3 and/or exit completely on Doji candle high break
BUY/SELL + ADVANCE DECLINEThis script is a custom trading view indicator that helps to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and SMA (Simple Moving Average) indicators. The script also identifies potential reversals using a combination of RSI and price action. It plots buy, sell, and reversal signals on the chart along with an SMA line. Additionally, it provides alerts based on the buy, sell, and reversal conditions.
Changes made to the original script:
Fixed the undeclared identifier 'c' error by calculating the difference between the current closing price and the previous closing price: c = close - close .
Added an "ADD Value Floating Label" to the chart. The label shows the difference between the current and previous closing prices (ADD value) along with a "Bullish" or "Bearish" indicator based on the value of 'c'. The label is positioned at the top right of the visible chart area and remains static.
Here's a summary of the major components of the script:
Input settings: Define the input parameters for RSI and SMA.
Calculation of RSI and SMA: Compute the RSI and SMA values based on the input parameters.
Color definitions: Define colors for different conditions and levels.
Condition definitions: Define various conditions for buy, sell, reversal, and other criteria.
Buy and sell conditions: Determine buy and sell signals based on RSI, SMA, and price action.
Reversal conditions: Identify potential reversals using RSI and price action.
Plot signals: Display buy, sell, and reversal signals on the chart.
Bar colors: Color the bars based on the identified signals.
Plot SMA: Display the SMA line on the chart.
Alert conditions: Set up alerts for buy, sell, and reversal conditions.
ADD Value Floating Label: Add a label to the chart showing the ADD value and a "Bullish" or "Bearish" indicator.
Automated Option Price - Black-Scholes modelPlease make sure you are plotting this indicator on DAILY bars, not doing so will lead to unintended results. Also, make sure that you keep up to date the Risk-free interest rate, which you can consult (for U.S.) on ycharts.com.
This is an indicator that is meant to be used for Options Day Trading, but it can be useful for mid-term or leaps for I also enabled the possibility for user to input manually the Strike and Expiration date. I based the calculation on the Black-Scholes model. Variables included in the calculation are:
-Stock price (S): The current price of the underlying asset (e.g., a stock).
-Strike price (K): The predetermined price at which the option can be exercised.
-Time to expiration (T): The time remaining until the option expires, expressed as a fraction of a year.
-Volatility (σ): The annualized standard deviation of the stock's returns, which is a measure of the stock's price fluctuations.
-Risk-free interest rate (r): The annualized return on a risk-free investment, often approximated by the yield on a government bond.
The only variable I excluded from the original model was the Dividend yield (q).
U S E R I N P U T S:
1. AUTOMATIC calculations enabled:
i) Strike price (K):
Automatically calculate the strike price for both call and put options based on the stock's closing price. The logic follows a set of rules to determine the strike prices which will usually be Out-of-the-Money (OTM):
-If the stock's closing price is between 1 and 60, the call strike price is rounded up to the nearest whole number, while the put strike price is rounded down to the nearest whole number.
-If the stock's closing price is between 60 and 90, the call strike price is rounded up to the nearest whole number and increased by 1, while the put strike price is rounded down to the nearest whole number and decreased by 1.
-If the stock's closing price is between 90 and 120, the call strike price is rounded up to the nearest whole number and increased by 2, while the put strike price is rounded down to the nearest whole number and decreased by 2.
-If the stock's closing price is above 120, the call strike price is rounded up to the nearest multiple of 5, while the put strike price is rounded down to the nearest multiple of 5.
By applying these rules, I just tried to ensure that the automatically calculated strike prices are tailored to the stock's price range, allowing for more accurate option pricing calculations.
ii) Time to expiration (T):
The indicator will consider this week’s expiration contracts (Friday) only when the current day/bar = Monday. If Tuesday or older it will consider the expiration date of the next week’s Friday (because we are not Theta gamblers, right?).
If you are not comfortable with above for whatever reason, you can always…
2. Enter inputs MANUALLY
First make sure you UNTICK the boxes for automatic calculation.
i) Strike price (K) – Self-explanatory
ii) Time to expiration (T) – Just make sure that the horizon you are inputting matches with the next parameter (e.g. you would not input a Monthly risk-free interest rate for a Leap).
iii) Risk-free interest rate (r) – You can pull this data from the web. Here’s the link I used to define the value that this indicator was launched with:
ycharts.com
Don’t get obsessed with updating this daily if you are using this for day trading, you will notice that weekly may be more than enough.
V O L A T I L I T Y
Not option to manually input Volatility so I’ll explain how it is calculated in this script:
I considered two measures of volatility; one is derived calculating the annualized volatility using the standard deviation of daily returns and the second one is the ATR-based annualized volatility. I then used a ‘combined’ approach with the harmonic mean and the arithmetic mean of these results which can help account for the variability in the option prices calculated with different volatility estimates, which can be more robust when dealing with outliers or skewed data. I back tested with some samples of actual option prices and found that this approach is the one that got results closer to the actual bids.
T A B L E
Nomenclature to read rows is:
Option Strike Price | Type of Option (Put or Call) @ The current Close or at 50% level of bar | Estimated Price
*The Option expiration Date showed as dd-MMM as part of the headers.
Second and third row (color 1): These will show the calculated value for the Put/Call, assuming you are buying at the CURRENT price of the stock.
Third and Fifth row (color2): These will show the calculated value for the Put/Call, assuming you buy at the 50% level of the current bar (this is the value that the contract WOULD HAVE at the 50% level of the bar).
If you plot the indicator during market hours it will obviously update as price moves, this is an intended feature.
L I M I T A T I O N S
The Black-Scholes model, like many other models, has its limitations and will oftentimes provide inaccurate option prices in all market conditions. High volatility events, such as earnings announcements, can lead to significant price fluctuations that are not fully captured by the model.
The model assumes that the stock price follows a continuous random walk with constant volatility, but in reality, volatility can change over time, and stock prices can exhibit jumps, especially around significant events like earnings announcements. This can cause the model to underestimate the true option price in such situations.
Please make sure that you first back test on the symbols you trade to ensure the information presented by this indicator will suit your trading strategy. You will find that the delta between the proposed price of the indicator versus the actual price may differ significantly in some symbols while for others it will be very close. For instance, today (13APR23), the prices for AMD, DIS, AAPL (puts only), were very close to actual bids, whereas TSLA differ significantly (but then again, take a look at the calendar and this last symbol is having earnings next week which may add a premium to the contracts)… I am sure you will get your own conclusions and applicable use cases based on the data you test with.
As always, be wise and methodical on the investment or trading decisions you make!
Options Price CalculatorIn the team, we continue to explore and expand the boundaries of TradingView.
For now, there is not much an options trader can do with options in TradingView.
We wanted to change that and created a simple option pricer.
You can set up in parameters a set of strikes, implied volatility, and days to expiry.
The indicators will take a risk-free rate from US01Y and the underlying price from your current chart.
It will compute prices and greeks for both put and call options.
Thanks to @MUQWISHI for helping code it.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not indicate future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Higher Time Frame Average True RangesPurpose: This script will help an options trader asses risk and determine good entry and exit strategies
Background Information: The true range is the greatest of: current high minus the current low; the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close. The Average True Range (ATR) is a 14-day moving average of the true range. Traders use the ATR indicator to assess volatility in stocks and decide when to enter and exit trades. It is important to note the limitations of using True Range and ATR: These indications cannot tell you the direction of your options trade (call vs. put) and they cannot tell you whether a particular trend is about to reverse. However, it can be used to assess if volatility has peaked for a particular direction and time period.
How this script works: This indicator calculates true range for the daily (DTR), weekly (WTR), and monthly (MTR) time frames and compares it to the Average True Range (ATR) for each of those time frames (DATR, WATR, and MATR). The comparison is displayed into a colored table in the upper right-hand corner of the screen. When a daily, weekly, or monthly true range reaches 80% of its respective ATR, the row for that time frame will turn Orange indicating medium risk for staying in the trade. If the true range goes above 100% of the respective ATR, then the row will turn Red indicating high risk for staying in the trade. When the row for a time period turns red, volatility for the time period has likely peaked and traders should heavily consider taking profits. It is important to note these calculations start at different times for each time frame: Daily (Today’s Open), Weekly (Monday’s Open), Monthly (First of the Month’s Open). This means if it’s the 15th of the month then the Monthly True Range is being calculated for the trading days in the first half of the month (approximately 10 trade days).
The script also plots three sets of horizontal dotted lines to visually represent the ATR for each time period. Each set is generated by adding and subtracting the daily, weekly, and monthly ATRs from that time periods open price. For example, the weekly ATR is added and subtracted from Mondays open price to visually represent the true range for that week. The DATR is represented by red lines, the WATR is represented by the green lines, and the MATR is represented by the blue lines. These plots could also be used to assess risk as well.
How to use this script: Use the table to assess risk and determine potential exit strategies (Green=Low Risk, Orange=Medium Risk, Red=High Risk. Use the dotted lines to speculate what a stock’s price could be in a given time period (Daily=Red, Weekly=Green, and Monthly=Blue). And don’t forget the true range’s calculation and plots starts at the beginning of each time period!
Dealar VIX Implied Range + Retracement LevelsThis Implied range Is derived by the VIX(1 sd annual +/- Implied move.)
This Indicator plots the daily Implied range, A lot of quantitative trading firms/ MM firms hedge their delta & gamma exposure around the Implied range(prop calc). I have added retracement levels as well, so you have more pivot levels.
Enjoy!
5MSM VISHNU5MSM VISHNU Indicator for Trending Markets originally written by patrick1994.
It was originally based on the MACD 12-26 and the 50 bar EMA .
The macd hist is color coded with green as buy and sell as red.
I added an option to use a couple of lower lag ema's (See line 13 - ema_signal).
5MSM VISHNU with MACD Indicator for Trending Markets
Originally written by Trading Rush
Note that the user may choose lower lags to compute the MACD signals
added lower lag ema functions - see lines 21 to 30
added plot for the MACD signal 'hist' - computed in lines 36 to 41
The extra MACD line was added for clarity for the placement of the buy sell signals.
MACD Willy StrategyThis strategy is mainly developed for scalping / intraday trading. It could potentially be used to identify entry/exit signals for short term options trading. It performs decently well on popular stocks when used on time frames between 5 min to 15 min using regular session bar data. It combines 3 popular indicators, EMA, MACD, and William %range, to generate both long and short signals.
EMA:
Default is 200 EMA line.
MACD:
Default is 12/26 lengths for fast/slow signal inputs.
William %R - Smoothed (Published):
This is a custom indicator that generates two moving average lines from the original William %R line.
How it works:
Entry conditions:
1. Long/short entries when bar closes above/below EMA line
2. Long/short entries when MACD line is above/below signal line (histogram > 0 for long, < 0 for short)
3. Long/short entries when William %R fast MA line is above/below slow MA line
Exit conditions:
1. Exit long when MACD line is below signal line, vise versa for exit short
2. Exit long when William %R fast MA line is below slow MA line, vise versa for exit short
3. Exit long when William %R fast MA line must in below the overbought (-20) limit, exit short when above the oversold (-80) limit.
***Note that parameters are NOT optimized for any particular stocks / instruments.
Enjoy~~!!
Volatility Risk Premium GOLD & SILVER 1.0ENGLISH
This indicator (V-R-P) calculates the (one month) Volatility Risk Premium for GOLD and SILVER.
V-R-P is the premium hedgers pay for over Realized Volatility for GOLD and SILVER options.
The premium stems from hedgers paying to insure their portfolios, and manifests itself in the differential between the price at which options are sold (Implied Volatility) and the volatility GOLD and SILVER ultimately realize (Realized Volatility).
I am using 30-day Implied Volatility (IV) and 21-day Realized Volatility (HV) as the basis for my calculation, as one month of IV is based on 30 calendaristic days and one month of HV is based on 21 trading days.
At first, the indicator appears blank and a label instructs you to choose which index you want the V-R-P to plot on the chart. Use the indicator settings (the sprocket) to choose one of the precious metals (or both).
Together with the V-R-P line, the indicator will show its one year moving average within a range of +/- 15% (which you can change) for benchmarking purposes. We should consider this range the “normalized” V-R-P for the actual period.
The Zero Line is also marked on the indicator.
Interpretation
When V-R-P is within the “normalized” range, … well... volatility and uncertainty, as it’s seen by the option market, is “normal”. We have a “premium” of volatility which should be considered normal.
When V-R-P is above the “normalized” range, the volatility premium is high. This means that investors are willing to pay more for options because they see an increasing uncertainty in markets.
When V-R-P is below the “normalized” range but positive (above the Zero line), the premium investors are willing to pay for risk is low, meaning they see decreasing uncertainty and risks in the market, but not by much.
When V-R-P is negative (below the Zero line), we have COMPLACENCY. This means investors see upcoming risk as being lower than what happened in the market in the recent past (within the last 30 days).
CONCEPTS :
Volatility Risk Premium
The volatility risk premium (V-R-P) is the notion that implied volatility (IV) tends to be higher than realized volatility (HV) as market participants tend to overestimate the likelihood of a significant market crash.
This overestimation may account for an increase in demand for options as protection against an equity portfolio. Basically, this heightened perception of risk may lead to a higher willingness to pay for these options to hedge a portfolio.
In other words, investors are willing to pay a premium for options to have protection against significant market crashes even if statistically the probability of these crashes is lesser or even negligible.
Therefore, the tendency of implied volatility is to be higher than realized volatility, thus V-R-P being positive.
Realized/Historical Volatility
Historical Volatility (HV) is the statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for an index over a given period of time.
Historical volatility is a well-known concept in finance, but there is confusion in how exactly it is calculated. Different sources may use slightly different historical volatility formulas.
For calculating Historical Volatility I am using the most common approach: annualized standard deviation of logarithmic returns, based on daily closing prices.
Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility (IV) is the market's forecast of a likely movement in the price of the index and it is expressed annualized, using percentages and standard deviations over a specified time horizon (usually 30 days).
IV is used to price options contracts where high implied volatility results in options with higher premiums and vice versa. Also, options supply and demand and time value are major determining factors for calculating Implied Volatility.
Implied Volatility usually increases in bearish markets and decreases when the market is bullish.
For determining GOLD and SILVER implied volatility I used their volatility indices: GVZ and VXSLV (30-day IV) provided by CBOE.
Warning
Please be aware that because CBOE doesn’t provide real-time data in Tradingview, my V-R-P calculation is also delayed, so you shouldn’t use it in the first 15 minutes after the opening.
This indicator is calibrated for a daily time frame.
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ESPAŇOL
Este indicador (V-R-P) calcula la Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (de un mes) para GOLD y SILVER.
V-R-P es la prima que pagan los hedgers sobre la Volatilidad Realizada para las opciones de GOLD y SILVER.
La prima proviene de los hedgers que pagan para asegurar sus carteras y se manifiesta en el diferencial entre el precio al que se venden las opciones (Volatilidad Implícita) y la volatilidad que finalmente se realiza en el ORO y la PLATA (Volatilidad Realizada).
Estoy utilizando la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) de 30 días y la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) de 21 días como base para mi cálculo, ya que un mes de IV se basa en 30 días calendario y un mes de HV se basa en 21 días de negociación.
Al principio, el indicador aparece en blanco y una etiqueta le indica que elija qué índice desea que el V-R-P represente en el gráfico. Use la configuración del indicador (la rueda dentada) para elegir uno de los metales preciosos (o ambos).
Junto con la línea V-R-P, el indicador mostrará su promedio móvil de un año dentro de un rango de +/- 15% (que puede cambiar) con fines de evaluación comparativa. Deberíamos considerar este rango como el V-R-P "normalizado" para el período real.
La línea Cero también está marcada en el indicador.
Interpretación
Cuando el V-R-P está dentro del rango "normalizado",... bueno... la volatilidad y la incertidumbre, como las ve el mercado de opciones, es "normal". Tenemos una “prima” de volatilidad que debería considerarse normal.
Cuando V-R-P está por encima del rango "normalizado", la prima de volatilidad es alta. Esto significa que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar más por las opciones porque ven una creciente incertidumbre en los mercados.
Cuando el V-R-P está por debajo del rango "normalizado" pero es positivo (por encima de la línea Cero), la prima que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar por el riesgo es baja, lo que significa que ven una disminución, pero no pronunciada, de la incertidumbre y los riesgos en el mercado.
Cuando V-R-P es negativo (por debajo de la línea Cero), tenemos COMPLACENCIA. Esto significa que los inversores ven el riesgo próximo como menor que lo que sucedió en el mercado en el pasado reciente (en los últimos 30 días).
CONCEPTOS :
Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad
La Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (V-R-P) es la noción de que la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) tiende a ser más alta que la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) ya que los participantes del mercado tienden a sobrestimar la probabilidad de una caída significativa del mercado.
Esta sobreestimación puede explicar un aumento en la demanda de opciones como protección contra una cartera de acciones. Básicamente, esta mayor percepción de riesgo puede conducir a una mayor disposición a pagar por estas opciones para cubrir una cartera.
En otras palabras, los inversores están dispuestos a pagar una prima por las opciones para tener protección contra caídas significativas del mercado, incluso si estadísticamente la probabilidad de estas caídas es menor o insignificante.
Por lo tanto, la tendencia de la Volatilidad Implícita es de ser mayor que la Volatilidad Realizada, por lo cual el V-R-P es positivo.
Volatilidad Realizada/Histórica
La Volatilidad Histórica (HV) es la medida estadística de la dispersión de los rendimientos de un índice durante un período de tiempo determinado.
La Volatilidad Histórica es un concepto bien conocido en finanzas, pero existe confusión sobre cómo se calcula exactamente. Varias fuentes pueden usar fórmulas de Volatilidad Histórica ligeramente diferentes.
Para calcular la Volatilidad Histórica, utilicé el enfoque más común: desviación estándar anualizada de rendimientos logarítmicos, basada en los precios de cierre diarios.
Volatilidad Implícita
La Volatilidad Implícita (IV) es la previsión del mercado de un posible movimiento en el precio del índice y se expresa anualizada, utilizando porcentajes y desviaciones estándar en un horizonte de tiempo específico (generalmente 30 días).
IV se utiliza para cotizar contratos de opciones donde la alta Volatilidad Implícita da como resultado opciones con primas más altas y viceversa. Además, la oferta y la demanda de opciones y el valor temporal son factores determinantes importantes para calcular la Volatilidad Implícita.
La Volatilidad Implícita generalmente aumenta en los mercados bajistas y disminuye cuando el mercado es alcista.
Para determinar la Volatilidad Implícita de GOLD y SILVER utilicé sus índices de volatilidad: GVZ y VXSLV (30 días IV) proporcionados por CBOE.
Precaución
Tenga en cuenta que debido a que CBOE no proporciona datos en tiempo real en Tradingview, mi cálculo de V-R-P también se retrasa, y por este motivo no se recomienda usar en los primeros 15 minutos desde la apertura.
Este indicador está calibrado para un marco de tiempo diario.
TICK strategy for SPY optionsImportant notes:
1. This strategy is designed for same day SPY option scalping. All profit shown in back testing report is based on Profit/Loss (P/L) estimates from trading options with approximately 6 months of data. By default, it is set to 10 option contracts. By default the initial capital is set to $5000. Pyramiding is set to 3.
2. This strategy works better with non-extended market data.
3. This strategy is mainly developed for SPY trading on 5 min chart, it probably will not be very profitable with other tickers or time frame without tweaking all the parameters first.
4. This strategy will work with QQQ as well, but please adjust the profit multiplier to match the P/L of QQQ options.
How it works:
When trading the indices, many rely on the TICK for market directions. This strategy is a trend following strategy that uses a combination of conditions using the following indicators:
- TICK
- RSI
- VIX volatility index
- EMA
For entries, the conditions are:
1. TICK moving average crossover with a delayed signal line
2. Bullish or bearish RSI signal, RSI > 50 for bullish, < 50 for bearish
3. VIX must be above a certain threshold to take advantage of high market volatility
4. Price must be on top of EMA line for long, and below for short
For exits, there are 3 scenarios:
1. Stop loss set by a percentage of the daily ATR value
2. Trend changes on the TICK and the RSI
3. Bearish or bullish divergence on price with TICK
This strategy automatically signal to close all trades at 3:50 pm EST at the end of the day.
Extras:
- There is an option to show P/L for reinvesting profits
Enjoy~!!! Let's all make $$$
Monthly Options Expiration 2022Monthly options expiration for the year 2022.
Also you can set a flag X no. of days before the expiration date. I use it at as marker to take off existing positions in expiration week or roll to next expiration date or to place new trades.
Happy new year 2022 in advance and all the best traders.
wEMPlotDescription:
Plots the Weekly Expected Move (wEM) using the following week's Option Chain ATM Call+Put ask price to determine the EM for the following week
The wEM is the options market pricing in the expected future volatility for the following week.
The wEM is the range that the underlying price will be contained during the week 68% of the time.
These levels can be used as targets for options or equity trades for either directional or non-directional trades.
The options market in the major indices, such as SPX, can drive the overall market's order flow and so the EM can provide
useful insight into the hedging levels being used by professionals and market markers.
As Trading View does not currently provide access to option chain data, the option chain expected move for an underlying has to be manually
entered each week, but the script provides an easy to use framework to enter the parameters for the next week.
These parameters are as follows:
eg.
t1_1 = timestamp(2021, 02, 08) <==== timestamp for the start of next week (yyyy,mm,dd)
t1_2 = timestamp(2021, 02, 12) <==== timestamp for the end of next week (yyyy,mm,dd)
plotwem("QQQ", 331.36, 5.86, t1_1, t1_2, 0, 0)
^^^^
plotwem(Symbol, Close-last-week, Expected Move next week, Next week start timestamp, Next week end timestamp, Highlight-Upper-EM, Highlight-Lower-EM)
Parameters are:
Symbol : Underlying chart symbol (aka ticker). Can be a symbol for equity, future or index.
Close-last-week: Closing price at the end of last week.
Expected Move next week: The Expected Move for next week: Calculated from next week's Option Chain ATM Call+Put ask price
Next week start timestamp : Timestamp for the start of next week
Next week end timestamp : Timestamp for the end of next week
Highlight-Upper-EM : highlight upper expected move level. Set to 1 to highlight with red color. Set to 0 is no highlight.
Highlight-Lower-EM : highlight lower expected move level. Set to 1 to highlight with red color. Set to 0 is no highlight.
The highlight parameters can be updated at any point to indicate that the underlying has either touched the EM level or breached the level.
The highlights can be used to visually determine periods of market instability which can provide insight into applicable strategies for the market conditions.
Monthly Options Expiration 2021Monthly options expiration for the year 2021.
Also you can set a flag X no. of days before the expiration date. I use it at as marker to take off existing positions in expiration week or roll to next expiration date or to place new trades.
Happy new year 2021 in advance and all the best traders.
Swing Reversal IndicatorSwing Reversal Indicator was meant to help identify pivot points on the chart which indicate momentum to buy and sell. The indicator uses 3 main questions to help plot the points:
Criteria
Did price take out yesterday's high or low?
Is today's range bigger than yesterday? (Indicates activity in price)
Is the close in the upper/lower portion of the candle? Thus, indicating momentum in that direction
This indicator was built to help me find pivot points for directional options trading however can be used for equities and forex swing trading and other strategies. Used in conjunction with a BB extreme can provide good setups.
Alerts are available for both the long and the short positions and the indicator will repaint as price moves.
The character Plotted can be changed in the settings
The size of the candle area can be changed as well if you want to tighten/loosen the trigger points based on the third question above.
Implied Volatility PercentileThis script calculates the Implied Volatility (IV) based on the daily returns of price using a standard deviation. It then annualizes the 30 day average to create the historical Implied Volatility. This indicator is intended to measure the IV for options traders but could also provide information for equities traders to show how price is extended in the expected price range based on the historical volatility.
The IV Rank (Green line) is then calculated by looking at the high and low volatility over the number of days back specified in the input parameter, default is 252 (trading days in 1 year) and then calculating the rank of the current IV compared to the High and Low. This is not as reliable as the IV Percentile as the and extreme high or low could have a side effect on the ranking but it is included for those that want to use.
The IV Percentile is calculated by counting the number of days below the current IV, then returns this as a % of the days back in the input
You can adjust the number of days back to check the IV Rank & IV Percentile if you are not wanting to look back a whole year.
This will only work on Daily or higher timeframe charts.
FOMO DRIVEN DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS RETICLE Options Reticle caters to degenerate traders and gamblers worldwide, reaching out for long distant contract expiration and just OTM strike placement.
Generate the overlay yourself using the tradingview-options-reticle CLI tool found on GitHub.
The Options Reticle provides a targeting system overlay that will show a horizontal OTM strike price and verticle expiration target. If you're thinking as soon as the expiration date has passed, this overlay will be useless; you're right but, you can use the options-reticle CLI tool to generate a new overlay from a watchlist exported from TradingView.
OVERLAY FEATURES:
Quick Action PUT (QAP) Mode - When you flip the chart by adding a 0- in front of the symbol, you will see the PUT contract target. Strike Price / Expiration Crosshairs.
Fill Mode - Shows a fill between the historical price and the target strike price. It will show green when ITM and red when OTM. Target information panel - Shows the company name, days till expiration, month and day of expiration, strike price, dollars OTM or ITM, and the contract type.
Emotion Indicator - Shows an exact representation of your feelings based on if you were in the trade. It has an accuracy of 99.9 percent.
QUICK ACTION PUT (QAP) MODE :
This style of reticle is not visible until you flip the chart. The advantage of the (QAP) is that it maintains the same appearance as the standard style of reticle, making PUT contract targeting feel the same. When targeting with (QAP) mode, be aware that the chart prices are reversed. Up is down, and down is up; this can be confusing but will feel normal overtime. Activate QAP mode by appending a 0- to the symbol of the chart. If nothing appears, no put option data was found for that symbol.
CALIBRATING YOUR RETICLE :
The overlay is generated using the options-reticle CLI tool found on GitHub. The adjustment script will parse a watchlist exported from TradingView then download options data for each ticker in the watchlist. The max amount of symbols you can add to a single overlay is about 200. Any more than 200 and the overlay will crash. Luckily, If you use a TradingView watchlist with more than 200 ticker symbols to generate overlays, the options-reticle command-line tool will automatically create multiple overlays with 200 tickers each. You can add multiple overlays to your chart to get all the tickers in the watchlist.
RETICLE GENERATION AND MOUNTING :
Add all the tickers you want to track into a watchlist on Tradingview.
Export the watchlist into a txt file using TradingView's watchlist export list button.
Open the terminal and change to the directory with the downloaded watchlist txt file.
Install options-reticle command tool with pipx. pipx install tradingview-options-reticle.
Run the command options-reticle download --watchlist {name of watchlist.txt file}. This will download the options data to an options_data.toml in the same directory as the watchlist txt file.
Run the command options-reticle build --options-data-input-path options_data.toml. This will generate the overlay scripts. If the watch list has more than 200 ticker symbols, it will generate a separate overlay script for every 200 ticker symbol chunk.
Copy and paste each of the generated overlay scripts one at a time into the Pine Editor on TradingView, then click the Add to Chart button. Make sure you copy the entire code.
FUTURE FEATURES :
Give the choice to generate PUT option contracts without using QAP mode. This option will allow you to use the input settings to change the contract type without flipping the chart.
Max OTM target argument - This will allow the option-reticle CLI to generate overlays with deeper OTM contracts. It currently only searches for the first OTM contract.
Add the ability to change the crosshair line type.
