Responsive Linear Regression ChannelsThis is a linear trend indicator that can:
- automagically adjust to different chart resolutions
- snap to day/session boundaries on intraday
- totally not do the above and use ye olde good fixed lookback window
- show the regression trend and its RMSE channels
- disregard the trend and just show the period average and standard deviation lines (often acting as support and resistance)
The main idea was to allow you to quickly view linear trends for different time periods without having to calculate the required amount of bars.
By default, you will be able to quickly switch between 1-3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 2 years and 5 years of data, as well as various daily lookback periods.
Please adjust resolution settings to your liking.
Caveats:
- More data means more noise and slower calculations.
- HLC3 source is recommended, especially at resolutions above hourly.
- Trend will be slightly different if you use extended hours.
- If you use extended hours and don't have a data subscription, trend will be SUBSTANTIALLY different, especially at smaller resolutions like 1m.
- You might want to use 3.5 days per week for crypto (it's 7 days by default).
Known problems:
- If you can't see the trendlines, scroll to the left or zoom out - the origin could be outside of your viewport.
- Futures' sessions start on the previous day. We currently snap only to day boundaries, not session breaks.
- UVXY and the like that have extremely high price datapoints. The calculations will be wrong on some resolutions.
- Replay can freeze circa bar_index 244 — disable smart lookback and keep your window under 240 bars if you encounter this.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:
Many thanks to alexgrover for his extremely efficient functions (used with permission)
在腳本中搜尋"smart"
Low Scanner strategy cryptoThis is the last script of the Low scanner series
I have shown in script 1 the best strategy for stocks on 1 hour
script for forex 1 hour (if you look on comments you will find settings which are perfect for low TF (1 min system )
This strategy is the perfect weapen for crypto
no repaint as I shown the scanner do not use security
this system will buy and sell about every 1000 min in the end you will getyour profit which is progressive
set to 1,2,3, and 5 % where each time you take 25% of equaty out
as I shown before the power of the progresive take and my scanner make it best
the scnner serach for low point using my special RSI system with no repaint MTF
every time we get our profit out
the scanner will find us new low to start cycle again
so invite me for coffe if you like this system
thanks to TV that allow donation:)
so this is example of smart strategy that beat the odds
try on major crypto assets (it nice system )
without the script of adolgov
this system was not possible so I would like to thank him very much that he share with us his great script
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
COVID Statistics Tracker & Model Projections by Cryptorhythms😷 COVID-19 Coronavirus Tracker & Statistics Tools by Cryptorhythms 😷
📜Intro
I wanted to put some more meaning behind the numbers for 2020's Covid pandemic. I hope this tool can help people analyze and deal with these hard times. With these metrics I hope to give greater depth and dimension to whats available. While also at the same time creating something that looks decently presentable and gives actionable information.
I had planned on including a few forecasting models and letting the user play with values to see how social distancing works. But alas I couldnt complete those in the scope of time I gave myself for the indicator. If you are interested in collaborating on it, I will share what I have with you and we can further work on it.
📋Description
The script contains 3 main parts you will interact with. I suggest you enable the chart labels for "indicator name" and "indicator last value" to make the charts more readable (right click on the scale of your chart and goto the "labels" pop out menu). Depending on what plots and data you choose to chart, logarithmic and regular scales can both be applied in different situations. To get similar visuals to the examples I will show below, you can goto the indicator options > style tab. I then play with the line styles, colors and transparencies to achieve the nice looking charts. Please also note there is a distinction between "Infected" and "Infectious". A model telling you the number of infected doesnt designate whether that person can still pass the virus on to others (infectious). So Infectious numbers are usually lower than total confirmed, but this isnt always the case if for example a country wasnt testing very much during the early phase or something else.
🚧Disclaimer
I am not a medical professional and none of this should be considered medical advice. All of the models, numbers and math I sourced from professional places but this is not a guarantee of the future only an approximation based on current information. Numbers change daily and so can these models!
🌐PART ONE
In this area you select a region to read the proper statistics data from tradingview. You can do global totals, country totals, or for a few places (AU, CA, CN, US) you can see state/province totals. Remember to SELECT ONLY ONE region.
🧮PART TWO
The Plots/Stats/Data section includes:
1. ) Plot the Days to Double Number of Confirmed
2. ) Plot the Infection Growth Ratio
3. ) Plot Fatality Risk Rate (Total Deaths / Total Outcomes)
4. ) Plot Overall Fatality Rate / Recovery Rate
5. ) Plot % of World Infected & % of USA Infected
6. ) Plot Daily New Deaths, Confirmed & Recovered
7. ) Plot Daily Change Percentages
🎱PART THREE
Forecasting Models and Settings:
1 .) Plot the % of Custom Population Infected (Vs. the Region Selected in Part 1 of Settings)
2 .) Plot the True Num. of Infectious (Death Model / DM)
3 .) Plot the Current and Next Weeks Cumulative Infection Projection (DM)
4 .) Plot Estimated Infection Rates? (DM)
5 .) Enable Basic Trajectory Projection?
6 .) Plot the Likelihood of > 0 **Infectious** in a Group (DM) for Today, Tomorrow and Next Week
7 .) Plot the True Num. of Infected (Confirmed/Tested Model)
8 .) Plot the Estimated Epidemiology for 7 and 14 Days Out (Hospital Beds, ICU Beds, Ventilator Units)
Planned But not completed
9.) SIR Epidemiology Model
10.) Exponential Growth Plot & Correlation
To use the Estimator for likelihood of Infected in N group of people you need to do 2 things. Select and use "Custom Population" as the population source for part 3. Then you need to enable "Custom Infected" as the source for the model. Then you enter your geographical area's population and confirmed cases. Its best to goto the smallest / most granular level of data available to accurately estimate the likelihood. So for instance in the order of least effective to most effective data source: global, country, state, county, city...etc.
If you do not understand what these terms or numbers represent, please read the source materials I have linked in the code, or use google. I dont have the time or expertise to explain all the various specific methods and terms included here. This entire project was a learning journey for me and I have zero experience in epidemiology so please excuse any errors I may have made. (and tell me, so I can change it!)
🔮Future Additions
If anyone has a model or stat they would like included I will be happy to add your code to this toolbox to make it more effective and give you credit here in the description. If you want to collaborate please message me.
📊Some Example Charts:
The Cryptorhythms Team wish you and your families all the absolute best of health!
P.S. Stay safe and act smart I dont think this will be the EOTW.
Pure Stochastic long onlyJust a stochastic for giving you a smart and quick signals of entering and exiting.
Your enter is K>D in the low band and close > last bar's high.
An Ema has been added for targeting and stops.
You exit also in case of high values of K or in case D crosses over K but in the "upper".
Length, periods and level of bands are personalized.
The system goes long only, because it fits at best for shares only; I leave you the attemp of writing code for other classes and for going short, in particular.
SUGGESTIONS:
Keep Oversold period high (> 20, also 40-45)
Keep Emaperiodfast higher (> 5)
BEST Trailing Take Profit StrategyHello traders
Hope you enjoyed your weekend on my behalf. Was staying home working ... ^^
This is my first strategy educational post I'm doing ever
While I'm generally against posting strategies because it's very easy to fake performance numbers... I cannot prevent myself from sharing a few cool strategy snippets anyway.
So from now on, I'll be sharing a few strategies also - generally not to showcase performance but only to show what pinescript can do.
As once again strategy performance can be faked is so many ways... :)
What's on the menu?
We all know what a trailing-stop is. right? right? Ok... sharing the definition here :)
A trailing stop is designed to protect gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor. The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by a specified percentage or dollar amount.
But...do you know what a trailing profit is?
Short definition : Well the same but with your profit limit order.
Long definition : A trailing profit is designed to increase your gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor. The order closes the trade if the price hits the trailing profit level specified percentage or dollar amount.
Some trading strategies used both a trailing stop AND trailing profit. Not making any recommendation here - only sharing what's possible in the realm of trading and pinescripting
Trigger me I'm famous
I developed many trading strategies in my career and often I've been asked to trigger a trailing-stop or trailing-profit once a certain % move has been made.
I integrated here a Take Profit trigger - once hit, it will activate the trailing profit
On the screenshot below, the TP trigger is plotted in orange. Once the price goes past that level for the first time, I'll start trailing the profit level.
In other words, when we see a price makes an interesting move in percentage value - we decide to offset the profit as we concluded that once it reached such distance - then it leads often to more profit
Of course, using only a trailing profit without stop/trailing-stop/invalidation isn't smart and the surest way to kiss goodbye a trading capital and trading and your good mood
See you tomorrow for another strategy snippet
All the BEST
Dave
Setting-Less Trend-Step FilteringIntroduction
Indicators settings have been a major concern in trading strategies, in order to provide the best results each indicators involved in the strategy must have its settings optimized, when using only 1 indicator this task can easily be achieved, but an increasing number of indicators involve more slower computations, lot of softwares will use brute force for indicators settings optimization, this involve testing each indicator settings and see which setting/combination maximize the equity, in order to fasten this process softwares can use a user defined range for the indicator settings. Nonetheless the combination that maximize the equity at time t might be different at time t+1...n .
Therefore i propose an indicator without any numerical setting that aim to filter small price variations using the architecture of the T-step lsma, such indicator can provide robust filtering and can therefore be used as input for other indicators.
Robustness Vs Non Robustness
Robustness is often defined as the ability of certain statistical tools to be less affected by outliers, outliers are defined as huge variations in a data-set, high volatility movements and large gaps might be considered as outliers. However here we define robustness as the ability of an indicator to be non affected by price variations that are not correlated with the main trend, which can be defined in technical analysis as pullbacks.
Some small pullbacks in INTEL, the indicator is not affected by them, which allow the indicator to filter the price in a "smart" way.
This effect is made possible by using exponential averaging in the indicator, exponential averaging is defined as y = sc*x + (1-sc)*y , with 1 > sc > 0 . Here sc is calculated in a similar way as the kalman gain, which is in the form of a/(a + b) , in our case this is done with :
sc = abs(input - nz(b ))/(abs(input - nz(b )) + nz(a ))
Non Robust Version Of The Indicator
The user is allowed to use the non robust version of the indicator by unchecking "robust" in the setting panel, this allow a better fit with the price at the cost of less filtering.
robust checked
robust unchecked
Conclusion
I proposed a technical indicator that aim to filter short frequencies without the use of parameters, the indicator proven to be robust to various pullbacks and therefore was able to follow the main trend, although using the term trend for such small price variations might be wrong. Removing high frequencies is always beneficial in trading, noisy series are harder to manipulate, this is why you'll see a lot of indicators using median price often defined as hl2 instead of the closing price.
Like previous settings-less indicators i published this one can behave differently depending on the time frame selected by the user, lower time frames will make the indicator filter more. I'll try to make more setting-less indicators that will correct this effect.
Acknowledgements
The support and interest of the community is only thing that allowed me to be where i'am today, i'am thankful. Special thanks to the tv staff, LucF, and my family who may not have believed in this project but are still proud of their son.
Forecasting - Drift MethodIntroduction
Nothing fancy in terms of code, take this post as an educational post where i provide information rather than an useful tool.
Time-Series Forecasting And The Drift Method
In time-series analysis one can use many many forecasting methods, some share similarities but they can all by classified in groups and sub-groups, the drift method is a forecasting method that unlike averages/naive methods does not have a constant (flat) forecast, instead the drift method can increase or decrease over time, this is why its a great method when it comes to forecasting linear trends.
Basically a drift forecast is like a linear extrapolation, first you take the first and last point of your data and draw a line between those points, extend this line into the future and you have a forecast, thats pretty much it.
One of the advantage of this method is first its simplicity, everyone could do it by hand without any mathematical calculations, then its ability to be non-conservative, conservative methods involve methods that fit the data very well such as linear/non-linear regression that best fit a curve to the data using the method of least-squares, those methods take into consideration all the data points, however the drift method only care about the first and last point.
Understanding Bias And Variance
In order to follow with the ability of methods to be non-conservative i want to introduce the concept of bias and variance, which are essentials in time-series analysis and machine learning.
First lets talk about training a model, when forecasting a time-series we can divide our data set in two, the first part being the training set and the second one the testing set. In the training set we fit a model to the training data, for example :
We use 200 data points, we split this set in two sets, the first one is for training which is in blue, and the other one for testing which is in green.
Basically the Bias is related to how well a forecasting model fit the training set, while the variance is related to how well the model fit the testing set. In our case we can see that the drift line does not fit the training set very well, it is then said to have high bias. If we check the testing set :
We can see that it does not fit the testing set very well, so the model is said to have high variance. It can be better to talk of bias and variance when using regression, but i think you get it. This is an important concept in machine learning, you'll often see the term "overfitting" which relate to a model fitting the training set really well, those models have a low to no bias, however when it comes to testing they don't fit well at all, they have high variance.
Conclusion On The Drift Method
The drift method is good at forecasting linear trends, and thats all...you see, when forecasting financial data you need models that are able to capture the complexity of the price structure as well as being robust to noise and outliers, the drift method isn't able to capture such complexity, its not a super smart method, same goes for linear regression. This is why more peoples are switching to more advanced models such a neural networks that can sometimes capture such complexity and return decent results.
So this method might not be the best but if you like lines then here you go.
Simple LinesIntroduction
Making lines is great in technical analysis since it can highlights principal movements and make the analysis of the price easier when using certain methodologies (Elliott Waves, patterns).
However most of the indicators making lines (Zig-Zag, simple linear regression) are non causal (repaint), this is the challenge i tried to overcome, making an indicator capable of making lines in a smart way (able to follow price without loosing a linear approach) and with the least lag possible, i inspired myself from the behaviour of the renko when using a small brick size. This indicator does not repaint .
The code is short and i hope, understandable for all of you, making lines is not a difficult task and its important to know that when a problem appear complex it does not mean that the code used to solve this problem must be complex. Lets see the indicator in details.
The indicator
The indicator have 4 parameters, the length parameter who control the length of lines, the emphasis parameter who control the stability and also the ability to make lines closer to the price (thus minimizing the sum of squares) , the mult parameter which is similar to emphasis and a point option that we will discuss later.
When emphasis and mult are both equal to 1 the indicator will sometimes draw a perfect line, however this line will try to follow the price and thus can create a noisy result.
This is where emphasis and mult will correct this behaviour. The emphasis parameter give a more periodic look as well as some control to the lines but can also destroy them.
This should not happen with mult , this parameter also give more predictability to the lines. Overall it correct the drawbacks of the parameters combinations mentioned earlier.
Its also possible to mix both the emphasis and mult parameter, but take into account that when both are equals the result consist of less reactive lengthy lines with low accuracy. Its better to only use one of them and let the other stay to 1.
Point Option
The indicator can sometimes have a weird look, appearing almost flat or just dont appearing at all. When such thing happen use the point option.
XPDUSD without point option.
with point option :
Time Frame Problem and Its Fix
When using higher time-frames the result of the indicator can appear different, in general the higher the time frame the lengthier are the lines. In order to fix this you can use decimals in the length parameter
length and mult both equal to 5.5, emphasis cant use decimals.
Conclusion
I have highlighted a simple way to make use of the small renko box size method in order to return reactive lines without making the indicator repaint. However Its ability to be close to the price as well as being always super reactive is not a guarantee.
For any suggestion/help feel free to pm me, i would be happy to help you :)
PivotBoss TriggersI have collected the four PivotBoss indicators into one big indicator. Eventually I will delete the individual ones, since you can just turn off the ones you don't need in the style controller. Cheers.
Wick Reversal
When the market has been trending lower then suddenly forms a reversal wick candlestick , the likelihood of
a reversal increases since buyers have finally begun to overwhelm the sellers. Selling pressure rules the decline,
but responsive buyers entered the market due to perceived undervaluation. For the reversal wick to open near the
high of the candle, sell off sharply intra-bar, and then rally back toward the open of the candle is bullish , as it
signifies that the bears no longer have control since they were not able to extend the decline of the candle, or the
trend. Instead, the bulls were able to rally price from the lows of the candle and close the bar near the top of its
range, which is bullish - at least for one bar, which hadn't been the case during the bearish trend.
Essentially, when a reversal wick forms at the extreme of a trend, the market is telling you that the trend
either has stalled or is on the verge of a reversal. Remember, the market auctions higher in search of sellers, and
lower in search of buyers. When the market over-extends itself in search of market participants, it will find itself
out of value, which means responsive market participants will look to enter the market to push price back toward
an area of perceived value. This will help price find a value area for two-sided trade to take place. When the
market finds itself too far out of value, responsive market participants will sometimes enter the market with
force, which aggressively pushes price in the opposite direction, essentially forming reversal wick candlesticks .
This pattern is perhaps the most telling and common reversal setup, but requires steadfast confirmation in order
to capitalize on its power. Understanding the psychology behind these formations and learning to identify them
quickly will allow you to enter positions well ahead of the crowd, especially if you've spotted these patterns at
potentially overvalued or undervalued areas.
Fade (Extreme) Reversal
The extreme reversal setup is a clever pattern that capitalizes on the ongoing psychological patterns of
investors, traders, and institutions. Basically, the setup looks for an extreme pattern of selling pressure and then
looks to fade this behavior to capture a bullish move higher (reverse for shorts). In essence, this setup is visually
pointing out oversold and overbought scenarios that forces responsive buyers and sellers to come out of the dark
and put their money to work-price has been over-extended and must be pushed back toward a fair area of value
so two-sided trade can take place.
This setup works because many normal investors, or casual traders, head for the exits once their trade
begins to move sharply against them. When this happens, price becomes extremely overbought or oversold,
creating value for responsive buyers and sellers. Therefore, savvy professionals will see that price is above or
below value and will seize the opportunity. When the scared money is selling, the smart money begins to buy, and
Vice versa.
Look at it this way, when the market sells off sharply in one giant candlestick , traders that were short
during the drop begin to cover their profitable positions by buying. Likewise, the traders that were on the
sidelines during the sell-off now see value in lower prices and begin to buy, thus doubling up on the buying
pressure. This helps to spark a sharp v-bottom reversal that pushes price in the opposite direction back toward
fair value.
Engulfing (Outside) Reversal
The power behind this pattern lies in the psychology behind the traders involved in this setup. If you have
ever participated in a breakout at support or resistance only to have the market reverse sharply against you, then
you are familiar with the market dynamics of this setup. What exactly is going on at these levels? To understand
this concept is to understand the outside reversal pattern. Basically, market participants are testing the waters
above resistance or below support to make sure there is no new business to be done at these levels. When no
initiative buyers or sellers participate in range extension, responsive participants have all the information they
need to reverse price back toward a new area of perceived value.
As you look at a bullish outside reversal pattern, you will notice that the current bar's low is lower than the
prior bar's low. Essentially, the market is testing the waters below recently established lows to see if a downside
follow-through will occur. When no additional selling pressure enters the market, the result is a flood of buying
pressure that causes a springboard effect, thereby shooting price above the prior bar's highs and creating the
beginning of a bullish advance.
If you recall the child on the trampoline for a moment, you'll realize that the child had to force the bounce
mat down before he could spring into the air. Also, remember Jennifer the cake baker? She initially pushed price
to $20 per cake, which sent a flood of orders into her shop. The flood of buying pressure eventually sent the price
of her cakes to $35 apiece. Basically, price had to test the $20 level before it could rise to $35.
Let's analyze the outside reversal setup in a different light for a moment. One of the reasons I like this setup
is because the two-bar pattern reduces into the wick reversal setup, which we covered earlier in the chapter. If
you are not familiar with candlestick reduction, the idea is simple. You are taking the price data over two or more
candlesticks and combining them to create a single candlestick . Therefore, you will be taking the open, high, low,
and close prices of the bars in question to create a single composite candlestick .
Doji Reversal
The doji candlestick is the epitome of indecision. The pattern illustrates a virtual stalemate between buyers
and sellers, which means the existing trend may be on the verge of a reversal. If buyers have been controlling a
bullish advance over a period of time, you will typically see full-bodied candlesticks that personify the bullish
nature of the move. However, if a doji candlestick suddenly appears, the indication is that buyers are suddenly
not as confident in upside price potential as they once were. This is clearly a point of indecision, as buyers are no
longer pushing price to higher valuation, and have allowed sellers to battle them to a draw-at least for this one
candlestick . This leads to profit taking, as buyers begin to sell their profitable long positions, which is heightened
by responsive sellers entering the market due to perceived overvaluation. This "double whammy" of selling
pressure essentially pushes price lower, as responsive sellers take control of the market and push price back
toward fair value.
RCI3Short MTFFor RCI lover.
We are facing a timeout problem on smart phone apps of TV.
It looks like a staircase, but It frees us from timeout problems.
default MTF: 60 / 120 / 240
MTF line as middle/long lines
Donchian Channel with Range AdditionA Donchian Channel with additional zones at places where its range is smaller than a set amount of atr. Thus it kind of combines with Keltner Channel qualities. Purpose is to set a stop loss wide enough to avoid shaking out of a position. The example chart shows a Philips day chart, where I opened position on 16 juli at 37,50 and set the stop loss at low border level 35,60, on 23 juli was an earnings rapport, the wick of the candle shows that quotes went very low, obviously smart traders had to fill a huge order and hunted for stops, triggering my stop closing the position. next days quotes went a lot better, so I missed the fun. The Donchian Channel was too narrow because quotes had ranged in the previous weeks. If I had placed my stop on the additional low, setting it 5 atr below the high border, my stop would have been safe.
Dhananjay Volatility stop strategy v1.0
Sharing one more strategy after getting good feedback on my earlier published strategy.
This is simple volatility stop strategy where in we are using VStop as entry and exit point.
Again smart traders can add MA to decide the trend and can avoid trading in opposite direction of trend which will help them to minimize loss making trades.
There are more than 1 parameters which traders can use/change to make this strategy compatible to their instrument.
To understand what is VStop use google.com :-)
Looking forward to receiving feedback from all of you.
PivotBoss Extreme Reversal SetupPATTERN SUMMARY
1. The first bar of the pattern is about two times larger than the average size of the candles in the lookback
period.
2. The body of the first bar of the pattern should encompass more than 50 percent of the bar's total range, but
usually not more than 85 percent.
3. The second bar of the pattern opposes the first. If the first bar of the pattern is bullish (C > 0), then the second
bar must be bearish (C < 0). If the first bar is bearish (C < 0), then the second bar must be bullish (C > 0).
PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
The extreme reversal setup is a clever pattern that capitalizes on the ongoing psychological patterns of
investors, traders, and institutions. Basically, the setup looks for an extreme pattern of selling pressure and then
looks to fade this behavior to capture a bullish move higher (reverse for shorts). In essence, this setup is visually
pointing out oversold and overbought scenarios that forces responsive buyers and sellers to come out of the dark
and put their money to work-price has been over-extended and must be pushed back toward a fair area of value
so two-sided trade can take place.
This setup works because many normal investors, or casual traders, head for the exits once their trade
begins to move sharply against them. When this happens, price becomes extremely overbought or oversold,
creating value for responsive buyers and sellers. Therefore, savvy professionals will see that price is above or
below value and will seize the opportunity. When the scared money is selling, the smart money begins to buy, and
Vice versa.
Look at it this way, when the market sells off sharply in one giant candlestick, traders that were short
during the drop begin to cover their profitable positions by buying. Likewise, the traders that were on the
sidelines during the sell-off now see value in lower prices and begin to buy, thus doubling up on the buying
pressure. This helps to spark a sharp v-bottom reversal that pushes price in the opposite direction back toward
fair value.
MA Smart MA Auto adaptive following cycle lenght and volatility. A linear regression of the MA is adds and gives the signal when cross MA. Adjustable value.
Donchian Fibo Channels v2Updated and fixed version of DFC.
- fixed bugs
- added permanent setting for direction
- added color change for terminal and breakout bars
- added smart timings for line of 100% retracement
UCS_3rd FridaySimple script to show you a way to find 3rd Fridays (Monthly Options Expiry)
If that friday is a holiday, then it doesn't generate a signal. Futures & Forex trader need not to worry. I will fix it for the stock traders as well. Time is all I need.
as usual Good Luck for those who believe in it. Practice for those who believe in hard work. Think for those who believe in smart work. ;)