Almonty Industries Update
Long-term view
From a long-term perspective, the price has already reached a phase top and has completed a pullback to red line 2.
However, the second upside attempt failed to break through the previous high, and the market has now entered a consolidation phase.
From an optimistic scenario, there is still a good chance for the price to move toward red line 1.
That said, this is a bullish scenario, and a healthy structure would require another pullback to red line 2 or even red line 3 before a stronger attempt can be made.
Short-term view
In the short term, the price is forming a small M-top pattern.
If the structure breaks, it may be possible to start scaling in near the lower dashed support.
However, there is also a high probability that price will test the lowest solid red support line, where I would consider adding more position.
If price breaks below the November 21 low, the best action would be to exit all positions and wait to rebuild positions around the 4.51 level.
Alternative short-term bullish scenario
If price does not break down, an entry or add-on can be considered after a breakout above 9.96, but strict stop-losses are required.
The key conditions for this setup are:
Breakout with expanding volume
Pullback that holds above 9.96
Stabilization for 2–3 candles
Volume does not contract
長線來看
目前 已經是階段頂部 而且已經回測過 （紅線 2）
但第二波攻勢沒有成功突破 開始進行盤整
樂觀看待 很有機會去紅線 1
但是這是樂觀看待 而且再次回測到 紅線2 或3 （這個比較健康）
才再次挑戰的機會比較大
短線來看
注意現在呈現小M頭
如果破線可以再 下面虛線地方嘗試接一些
但是可能還是會去摸最下面的紅實線 （這裡我會加碼）
但是跌破 11/21號低點 最好就是出清
等待4.51位置再進行佈局
短線沒有跌破可以在突破 9.96 再次進場或加碼 但是要設停損
而且這邊重點在於
放量突破
回踩不破 9.96
站穩 2–3 根K
量能不縮
