AAPL Inside a Coil – Big Move Loading from the $200 Zone

🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment:
Apple (AAPL) is caught between tight gamma compression and heavy resistance.
The $205–$207 zone is packed with GEX9 and multiple Call Walls. This is the key ceiling that has rejected price repeatedly over the past week. On the other side, the Highest Positive Net GEX / Gamma Wall is just below at $202, acting as the current pivot level.
Support sits around $197.50, marked by the HVL zone and the lower end of GEX structure. Below that, $195 is protected by the 2nd PUT Wall — a critical gamma defense zone.
Implied Volatility Rank is 20.7, so options are still relatively cheap. Notably, we’re seeing a 5% PUT flow dominance, a subtle bearish tilt — not extreme, but worth watching.

🔧 Options Setup for Monday–Wednesday:
Bullish Scenario:
If AAPL clears $203.21 and holds, this opens up the play toward $204.98 (Gamma Ceiling), and potentially $207 if momentum builds.
You can consider a CALL debit spread, like 202.5c/205c or 205c/207c for July 3/5 expiry.
Stop out if price drops below $200.
Bearish Scenario:
If AAPL fails to hold $199.50 and breaks through $197.50 HVL, we may see a sharper unwind toward $195 or even $190 PUT wall zone.
Consider 200p or 197.5p for July 3 expiry.
Cut if price reclaims $202 with strength.

📉 1-Hour Chart Breakdown:

Price has been coiling in a symmetrical triangle just below the $203–$205 resistance supply zone. There’s a visible CHoCH just under structure, with multiple tap rejections from the overhead resistance.
The recent CHoCH printed after a bounce from minor demand, suggesting that sellers are still defending the top channel. Volume has been flat, but tightening price range signals an imminent breakout or breakdown.
As long as price remains pinned inside this triangle under the BOS and supply zone, this is a range-bound chop — not a trending setup yet.

📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$204.98 – Gamma ceiling and top of supply
$203.21 – Structure pivot, minor resistance
$201.17 – Local midpoint and breakout base
$199.50 – Demand edge, current support
$197.50 – HVL and gamma support zone
$195.00 – 2nd PUT Wall
$190.00 – Final gamma support if breakdown accelerates

✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan:
AAPL is one of the cleanest coil setups among the tech names heading into Monday. This type of structure doesn’t last long — expect expansion.
Wait for direction at open:
If we break $203.21 with volume, we ride toward $205–207 for a short-term gamma pop.
If price fails to break and loses $199.50, the fade to $197.50 or lower is likely.
This is not a time to anticipate — react to the move. Let the coil resolve and follow the breakout or breakdown.

Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence, trade with a plan, and manage your risk carefully.