kungfuguo

AAPL Daily Analysis 11/16/2013

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BATS:AAPL   Apple公司
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A disciplined way to play options. After playing the option game from the $400 to now, I have reviewed my plays, studies what worked and learned from my mistakes.

When to initiate calls?
- A good place to start seems to whenever the short term resistance is broken (when bullish flag is confirmed). For example, on 7/1, we gapped up and broke the resistance at $407, which was established by the downward cluster. On 7/24, we gapped up again, break apart the downward cluster with resistance at $433.2.

When to sell to close the calls?
- Perhaps a harder questions, especially if you hold longer term options. People tend to hold it longer than necessarily, thinking that eventually it will go up again.
- I like to use RSI as the guide. Consolidation appears to be signaled by > 10% drop on RSI. This appears to be reliable.

Also keep in mind that there is a negative divergence on RSI. Caution advised going forward.
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