AAPL at a Key Breakout Zone! Can Bulls Hold This Level?

🔍 Technical Analysis Overview (Daily + 1H)
Apple (AAPL) just printed a powerful bullish candle, reclaiming $201 with strong volume. This move broke above recent consolidation and swept minor liquidity under $196 before reclaiming key levels. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) lens, we’ve confirmed a bullish CHoCH and BOS (Break of Structure), with price now entering a potential supply zone.
* Trend: Short-term reversal to the upside.
* Volume: Strong breakout volume supports bullish continuation.
* Liquidity Sweep: Price swept lows around $195 and reclaimed — a classic SMC setup.
* Rejection Watch: Overhead supply around $202–$204 is the next test zone.

🧠 Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance Zones:
* $202.5 → GEX3rd CALL Wall
* $204 → Highest positive NetGamma / Call Bias
* $207.5 → GEX2
* Support Zones:
* $197.5 → GEX9
* $192 → HVL + 50% Zone
* $190 → GEX Put Support
* $185 → 3rd Put Wall

⚙️ Options Sentiment (GEX Analysis)
* 📈 GEX Tilt: Call walls dominating from $200 → $210.
* 🧲 Gamma Magnet: $202–$205 could act as a magnet zone short-term.
* ❗ Volatility: IV Rank at 21 and IV% below avg = room to expand.
* 🛡️ Put Protection: Strong GEX support around $190–$192 — buyers stepped in here.

🔄 Intraday Outlook (1H Chart)

Price already filled the green demand zone (~$195–$197), swept key liquidity, and confirmed CHoCH. The strong bullish engulfing candle closed above the descending trendline and is now entering the supply zone marked in red.
* 📌 Possible Scenarios:
* Bullish: If price reclaims and holds above $201.30 → watch for $204–$205 squeeze.
* Bearish: Rejection at $202–$204 and loss of $200 could push us back to $197 retest.

🔁 Scalping Levels
* Breakout Long Trigger: Above $202.5
* 🎯 Target: $204.5 → $207
* ❌ Stop: Below $200.3
* Short-term Reversal Short: From $203.5–204 zone
* 🎯 Target: $200.5 then $198
* ❌ Stop: Above $205

🎯 Swing Trade Plan
* Entry: $200.50–201.00 zone (hold retest)
* Stop: $196.5
* Target:
* TP1 = $204.5
* TP2 = $207.5
* TP3 = $210

🧠 Final Thoughts
AAPL is entering a high-confluence zone both technically and via options data. If bulls hold above $200, there’s a strong chance we tag $204+ soon. But keep in mind — heavy resistance above may cause choppiness. Ideal strategy? Trail stops tight and scale out into GEX walls.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.