SimpleBoyy

The Rotten Apple

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BATS:AAPL   Apple公司
Apple is the worst stock in FAANG, second only to Tesla among the Magnificent Seven tech giants. Unlike Microsoft and others, Apple has failed to successfully integrate AI and other technologies into its services, what is the main factor for the growth right now. With declining revenue growth expected, the market is losing faith in Apple's innovation. Its latest products may seem flashy but ultimately appeal only to geeks rather than the mainstream.

Now correlation analysis. It is better to trade uncorrelated stocks, and Apple is clearly underperforming compared to its FAANG peers. The ideal way to short a stock is to target low volatility names, avoiding the strong momentum stocks like Nvidia. While the trend is your friend until it is not, Apple offers an opportunity with its exceptionally low momentum and volatility. If the broad market declines, Apple is likely to get hit much harder than others. Below the $180 area we can expect volatility expansion.

Looking at the 1-year chart, Apple's stock performance has flatlined around the 0% mark since 2024. This remarkable lack of positive price action.
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