Daily 4XSetUps - 2 Recovered Bearish GAPs Give Confidence In BA

2025/02/13
Daily 4XSetUps - 2 Recovered Bearish GAPs Give Confidence In BA
“more or less back where the ceo change was published, end july`24!
is this bullish now? or bearish? what is crucial? which price action?”



Hope for a peace solution for Ukraine and or rather strong business figures from Siemens SIE pushed the Dax above the 22,600 point mark for the first time today, on Thursday, February 13, 2025. As of today, the record high stands at almost 22,625 points. At the end of today's trading session, our leading German index DAX gained an impressive +2.09% to 22,612.02 points. The MDax MDAX for medium-sized companies even went up by +2.11% to 27,760.53 points. It seems that currently - at least here in my home country and country of birth, Germany - more and more traders and/or investors are jumping into the German stock market for fear of missing out on an ongoing rally!? The Eurozone leading index EuroStoxx 50 EUSTX50 continued to approach its record high of a good 5,522 points, reached in 2000, and closed with an increase of +1.75% at 5,500.50 points. Outside the euro area, the Swiss SMI SMI also rose at the end by +1.85% to 12,949.06 points. In contrast, the British FTSE 100 UKX fell by +0.49% to 8,764.72 points.

Even if I repeat myself - but Trump is back in office! And I don't know how you feel? But he hasn't even been in office a full month - and it feels like a quarter? How a year? And that in both good and bad contexts - if I may write so freely here! However, I truly think and/or believe he's the best US President since I've been alive (born in 1978); Because he not only seems to keep his word, but also doesn't let his military send him on costly military adventures. Quite the opposite! Which doesn't send commodities prices down yet - the bears aren't on the rise yet - but the charts show that the path towards all-time highs no longer leads at least straight to the northeast. "The fact that the stocks are not falling significantly, even on WallStreet, can also be attributed to the fact that Trump is extremely committed to peace. The trigger for our German DAX was a telephone conversation between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin!", a friend of mine and/or cfd online broker analyst told me. Clear - after almost three years of war in Ukraine, there could be movement in efforts to find a peace solution. “Trump holds phone calls with Putin and Zelensky; 'US wants to withdraw from conflict with minimum sacrifice' China supports all efforts conducive to peaceful resolution of the crisis:”, wrote for example China's Global Times. It was Putin's first confirmed contact with Trump in his second term in office. A personal meeting in Saudi Arabia is expected to follow soon. "And tomorrow the Munich Security Conference also begins. The 61st Munich Security Conference (MSC) will take place from February 14th to 16th, 2025 at the Hotel Bayerischer Hof in Munich. The MSC 2025 will once again be a unique platform for high-level debates on the greatest foreign and security policy challenges of our time."

“If you’re not failing, you’re not pushing your limits, and if you’re not pushing your limits, you’re not maximizing your potential.”
Ray Dalio

$196.95 : 2024/07/31 - Doji Intraday Day High
$188.48 : 2025/01/28 - Annual Yearly High 2025
$185.44 : 2025/02/13 - last price action
$183.86 : 2024/07/31 - Doji Intraday Day Low
$171.49 : 2024/08/30 - Bearish GAP Intraday Low
$179.40 : 2024/12/27 - Bearish GAP Intraday Low
$178.17 : 2024/12/30 - Bearish GAP Intraday High
$169.60 : 2024/09/03 - Bearish GAP Intraday High
$164.62 : 2025/01/14 - 2nd Leg Upper Trend
$137.03 : 2024/11/15 - 1st Leg Upper Trend
The Doji from July 31, 2024 with the high of $196.95 and/or low of $183.86 is currently decisive! Why? Because it was the day before the news that Robert “Kelly” Ortberg was coming out of retirement and taking over the leadership from August 8th. The long BA 4XSetUp from back then was a short crash! No question? Because the price action of the share fell to $137.03 on November 15, 2024. An excellent example is that it is worthwhile to operate with stop prices and/or target prices - even if long-term arguments argue that you could have sat it out!? Sure - in hindsight, are you always smarter! Be that as it may, the current price action of the BA price action is again at $185.44 - the story is clear and let's focus on it. It's a classic turnaround story; Directed by Robert “Kelly” Ortberg and his team. But the traders and/or investors are still undecided! Where is the journey going? Which is why we should initially pay the greatest attention to the price action between $196.95 and/or even $183.86. Because if traders and/investors send the price action back above $196.95, BA will be under pressure to deliver - as far as the coming quarterly figures are concerned. And if traders and/or investors send the price action back below $183.86 - that would mean that the expectations would be out for now. And the story is maybe over before it starts.

However, two bearish GAPs that have currently been recaptured by the bulls make me confident that we could see $200 and more again in 2025. Between $171.49 & $169.60 and/or also $183.86 & $179.40. It is therefore important to pay attention to these four price action areas, if you will. Because a price action below $169.60 would mean that we would have something like a short-term trend reversal formation from December 2024. And that would be bearish. Vice versa: a price action above $183.86 is a still pretty good slightly bullish price action development, since $137.03, from 15.11.2025 even the 2024 yearly low, Which is why I placed the stop price the way I did. A break of the uptrend from 15th November 2024 & 14th January 2025 at $137.03 & $164.62? That would be a great source of food for pessimists and/or bears! But not as bad as the fall under the two bearish GAPs. Because a fall of the price action under both bearish GAPs would not be only an evidence of a weakening bullish momentum, rather the beginning of a trend reversal formation. At least in my opinion.

-------------------------------------------------
$200.00 : 2025/12/30 - Target Price
-------------------------------------------------
$185.44 : 2025/02/13 - last price action
$172.38 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
-------------------------------------------------
$159.00 - 2025/06/30 - Stop Price
-------------------------------------------------


Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron



“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.