YogaID

Long Term Outlook about BBRI - BULLISH TREND

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IDX:BBRI   BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA
# First of all, Disclaimer on. This is not advice to buy or sell the stock. Only sharing about my outlook point of view.
Here, let me explain my long term analysis about BBRI banking stock in Indonesia in Technical Point of View.

1. So the first, I draw my support and resistance line based on candlestick on 12M or 1 Year timeframe. You can also look at the 12M timeframe. I put it in 5 line, there are 330, 750, 1410, 2380, and 4610 IDR.
2. Next step, I will predict the next resistance using average return between 5 line (4 step return in log), You can see the return between 4610 and 330 is 1300%. That's so amazing return for invesment. Then, because I use logarithmic SnR, I can calculate the next resistance based on this formula.
Avg return SnR = (1 + return )^(1/4) - 1
we've got the avg return is 93,5%.
3. After that, I will do the price resistance projection using avg return that we have done before. 4610 * 1,935 = 8920 around 8900
4. The others perspective using chart pattern, you can also look on the chart. That is ascending triangle pattern. So we can predict the next price target with copying the length of triangle to the next upper 4610 . Also we've got the value around 9000.
5. I have copied the chart to do the projection of price movement with optimism scenario and slow scenario. The price target result of 8900 IDR will be achieve between 2025 and 2028.
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