BTC/USD Futures: High-Probability Setup with 2.8R Potential

2月15日

Bitcoin is presenting a compelling trading opportunity with a clearly defined risk-reward setup. The current market structure, supported by volume profile analysis and EMA alignments, suggests a high-probability long entry.



Entry Strategy:

• Entry Price: $97,727.6
  

• Take Profit: $98,838.1
  
• Stop Loss: $97,300.3
  
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (favorable for position sizing)
  

Technical Confluence:
The entry point at $97,727.6 aligns with:

• Rising EMA support cluster
  
• Previous resistance turned support
  
• Positive MACD momentum crossover
  
• Strong volume node support zone
  

Target Analysis:
The $98,838.1 target is justified by:

• Clear price inefficiency above $98,400 POC
  
• Historical reaction zone
  
• Minimal volume resistance until this level
  
• 1.13% potential upside from entry
  

Risk Management:
Stop placement at $97,300.3 provides protection while:

• Sitting below key structural support
  
• Allowing sufficient room for normal market volatility
  
• Representing contained risk of 0.44%
  

Volume Profile Context:

Two major POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) act as stepping stones toward our target, potentially providing intraday support during the move up.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis


Trade Management:

Consider partial profit-taking at POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) while moving stop to breakeven after first target is reached.

Note: This analysis represents a snapshot in time. Always conduct your own due diligence and adjust position sizing according to your risk management rules.

2月15日

交易結束：達到停損點

Stop reached, however there is still the potentila of the upside with a 3rd continuation on the H4 Timeframe to grab the liquidity resting at 100,000.

Hopefully we'll see price find support at 97,100 and then see a push to the upside.