Has Bitcoin found its bottom? How to properly swing trade.

Hello Everyone,

This is a chart I made a few days ago as bitcoin was approaching 44k. As always. the first step in my analysis is identifying support and resistances on daily chart and looking for the formation of a bullish/bearish pattern to engage in a buying or selling strategy. Next, I look at price action and see if the selling momentum is waning off to support any buillish divergence I see on the chart.

As we can see, bitcoin is in a double bottom formation. Now, how do you properly trade this without getting burned? You average in.

Averaging in is a way to ensure profit with minimizing your risk.

A first buy would be 25% of portfolio at 44.5k (I always buy a bit above support so my limit order fills) which is right above support. A stop loss would need to be just below 43.3k (the previous lowest low). This is about a 3% loss but a total of .07% to your portfolio. If the trade fails you can walk away taking a very small loss and you get lower prices in return.

A second buy would need to be confirmed by indicators on a 4 hour to daily timeframe with shorter term timeframes showing bullish behavior as well. A good buy would be around 51-52k depending on the close on a 4 hour and daily candle and I would also move my previous stop loss up depending where the daily candle opened. At this point i would do another 25-40% buy depending on how each chart looks.

A third and fourth buy would be constituted by closes above the next resistance levels and how bullish or bearish each timeframe looks.



OVerall, averaging in is a great way to ensure big wins with taking minimum losses. Let your winners win and keep your losers small. Be patient, find confirmation, and utilize risk management strategies to help you become a better trader. Please give me a thumbs up if you found this useful and good luck trading!
Beyond Technical AnalysisBitcoin (Cryptocurrency)Chart PatternsriskmanagementstrategyswingtradingTrend Analysis

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