Hi guys I received several question regarding Bitcoin. I do not really like to participate in the hype of posting about a hype.
I would say: forget the 'fundamental analyses', they are based on non-existing correlations/comparisons and therefore of little to no value.
For crypto's in general: there is no comparison/correlation with money, companies or commodities. Everyone with some experience in the professional market knows exactly why. If you want to compare it to something, the best you can do is compare it to a start-up. And it is not out of its danger zone (it is not mature yet) and like most start-ups, most crypto's will fail.
Bitcoin is not the best crypto compared to others but proves once again that being first is often more important than being the best.
Richt now it is buying a hype hoping that someone else is willing to pay even more without getting anything in return but participation in a hype. And when analyzing a hype you look at the technicals to see where we are in a potential cycle, because emotions drive this instrument and nothing else since we broke the 2000 level (below 2000 it was an investment (venture capitalist style).
That being sad, I do believe like many other professionals in the blockchain technology itself and I think we can't ignore that. We see major tech companies invest in the blochchain technology, FED chairman Yellen had meetings with Bitcoin representatives in early 2016, etc.
Please be smart and ignore all 'fundamental theories' for trading purposes and trade based on technical's, focus on risk reward and make sure your broker does not charge costs if your stop loss does not get respected (liquidity blackhole is the biggest risk in a hype).
At the moment Bitcoin is finally making an attempt to make a significant correction. Once that is out of the way there might be a good buying opportunity. Keep in mind that this is not a mature market and that is another risk. Technicals are far less reliable on lower time frames. So far a lot of minor consolidations resulted in good buy opportunities but that might change as of now due to the fact that we finally see some serious testing of previous levels by means of a more significant consolidation (potential strong correction).
I told my traders last Friday to look for that leg lower. Those positions are at least at break even and now we will see what kind of corrective structure will unfold.
Safe Trades!
I would say: forget the 'fundamental analyses', they are based on non-existing correlations/comparisons and therefore of little to no value.
For crypto's in general: there is no comparison/correlation with money, companies or commodities. Everyone with some experience in the professional market knows exactly why. If you want to compare it to something, the best you can do is compare it to a start-up. And it is not out of its danger zone (it is not mature yet) and like most start-ups, most crypto's will fail.
Bitcoin is not the best crypto compared to others but proves once again that being first is often more important than being the best.
Richt now it is buying a hype hoping that someone else is willing to pay even more without getting anything in return but participation in a hype. And when analyzing a hype you look at the technicals to see where we are in a potential cycle, because emotions drive this instrument and nothing else since we broke the 2000 level (below 2000 it was an investment (venture capitalist style).
That being sad, I do believe like many other professionals in the blockchain technology itself and I think we can't ignore that. We see major tech companies invest in the blochchain technology, FED chairman Yellen had meetings with Bitcoin representatives in early 2016, etc.
Please be smart and ignore all 'fundamental theories' for trading purposes and trade based on technical's, focus on risk reward and make sure your broker does not charge costs if your stop loss does not get respected (liquidity blackhole is the biggest risk in a hype).
At the moment Bitcoin is finally making an attempt to make a significant correction. Once that is out of the way there might be a good buying opportunity. Keep in mind that this is not a mature market and that is another risk. Technicals are far less reliable on lower time frames. So far a lot of minor consolidations resulted in good buy opportunities but that might change as of now due to the fact that we finally see some serious testing of previous levels by means of a more significant consolidation (potential strong correction).
I told my traders last Friday to look for that leg lower. Those positions are at least at break even and now we will see what kind of corrective structure will unfold.
Safe Trades!
評論:
I posted a new bitcoin trade idea and will use that for updates in terms of a possible bullish reversal.
Hope this helps providing some context.
4hr: