As it was predicted by our team the price went out of triangle around 23 th March. We expected further growth till Fib 0.618 resistance level, which should be followed by a consolidation and correction wave. In case of completion of this scenario there should be inverse head and shoulders pattern and further growth. However, volume decreased and bears were stronger, the pattern was broken. Currently there are 2 possible scenarios:
1. Psychological support level will be broken, Bollinger Bands contraction will lead to the sharp decline and price will move to the triangle again, Stoch RSI status supports this scenario. However it will be the last time because the price reached a right vertex of the triangle. Most likely that the price will break it upward again and there should be a huge volume increase which will bring the price up. So there are possibilities to short BTC
2. Psychological support level will hold the pressure and Bollinger Bands contraction will lead to significant rise till Fib 0.618 where a consolidation will start which will finish a new inverse H&S pattern. In case of this scenario BTC will reach Fib 0.5 which is around $12 600.
Conclusion: Probabilities of scenarios are 60% and 40%, moreover we have already opened a long position, that is why we are neutral to these movements and we are going to hold BTC.
Our recommendation:
If you like risk and have BTC try to short it, but if you are a risk averse person just hold
If you wait till the good moment to enter then just wait till uncertainty will end and the descending triangle which like a magnet pulls the price will be passed.
Alt trades are risky now, so be careful, when there will be good trade opportunities we will provide you with profitable signals.