Bitcoin, we have to talk !

前天

FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !


Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.

You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)

The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?

A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.

Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.

The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.

But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.

P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.

Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.

"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !