In this analysis, we compare Bitcoin's price movements in Feb. 2019, during the phase of consolidation leading to a breakout in the early 3k levels.
Analysis
- The fractal starts with a small consolidation marked by the blue area - A breakout follows, forming a huge bullish engulfing candle with a long wick - At this point, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) form a death cross - Inidcators cool off during this stage, with the MACD showing a downtrend as well as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) - However, despite the indicators cooling off, prices trade between the 0.382 Fibonacci support and the 0.236 Fibonacci resistance
Market Sentiment:
Long short ratios are at 65 to 35, with still more bullish sentiment over bearish sentiment.
What We Believe
We have previously mentioned that a break and close above 7.2k levels would confirm a bullish continuation to 7.5k. Given that the prices remain in between the Fibonacci levels stated, we believe that there is a high probability for this fractal to play out.