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Two scenarios for Bitcoin's path

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Two scenarios for Bitcoin's path from October 2025 to October 2026: Growth to 118,000 and then a drop to 63-64,000 or growth to 236,000 and then a drop to 52,000. I currently give less weight to the second scenario. But the time frame in both scenarios is the same.
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One thing that friends should keep in mind is that ""Time"" is more important than price, and when the specified time is reached, with a near certainty, a reversal will occur in the market, and the price of Bitcoin will be down for a year.

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