On October 21, Bitcoin capped out at 6200. We pulled back 600 points to 5400, and shot right back up to the 6000 level, your typical V-reversal pattern in these cryptos - gotta love'em.
Now we have crashed up to that 6200 level once more, after breaking the consolidation range from the last week, and the question is -- DO WE BREAK OUT NOW OR LATER? It's not a matter of if, but rather when. The 2x fork is coming up in mid November and people want those air-dropped coins.
I would love to see some healthy consolidation here between 6000 and 6200 before we see a breakout, but as often happens, we might skip that phase all together and get on with the next leg up! It's a simple play, classic break of horizontal resistance. We've seen two attacks, and after a small pullback we should get the next one....usually 3rd or 4th attempts break support or resistance. Like a glass floor or ceiling being tested by a hammer. It's ridiculous how bullish the signs are right now, so there's not much that points to a stronger pullback.
Long above 6200
Target 1: 6500 (round psychological number)
Target 2: 6689 (161.8 Fibonacci Level)
Stop: Under 6000
If we fall back below 6000, then we'll probably end up range bound for a bit longer between 5800-6000.
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MY TRADING METHOD:
I keep my analysis simple. Good analysis always is.
I use Price Patterns, Moving Averages, and RSI for my analysis.
I use the 1 day for trend analysis and 60 minute for trade entry
For my Targets I use Fibonacci projections, measured moves, support and resistance.
Successful trading means proper risk sizing and trading small so you can stay in the game.
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