Bitcoin Controlled consolidation above 106,480

32
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ BTC trades in the 1st quartile of its yearly range (100k – 111k).
➤ Stacked resistance zone: 108,239 to 110,603 USDT → potential seller exhaustion.
➤ Key support at 106,480; defensive cluster 102,626–99,581.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy; ISPD Divergence = Neutral.
➤ Normal volume, but lack of fresh capital → sustainability of rally questionable.

__________________________________________________________________________________

Strategic Summary
➤ HTF trend bullish above 106,480; breakout > 108,239 targets 109,950 / 110,600.
➤ Buy swing pullbacks on 106,480 or 104,600. Invalidation < 102,626 = drop to 99k.
➤ Tactical short scalps around 108,250–109,000.
➤ Core PCE = major catalyst (June 27).
➤ Watch spot volumes, funding, and Risk On / Risk Off signals.

__________________________________________________________________________________

Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D: bullish bias > 106,480; danger < 102,626.
12H: bullish consolidation; confirmed breakout > 108,239.
6H: compression; buy dips 106,480 / 104,600.
4H: lateral-bullish; key support = 104,600.
2H: neutral-bullish; triggers = 107,800 / 106,000.
1H: bull flag; micro-divergence, prefer long > 106,950.
30 min: tight triangle; breakout at 107,200 / 106,650 = signal.
15 min: bearish < 106,950, expected bounce on 106,480.

__________________________________________________________________________________

Macro, News & On-Chain Analysis
Macro backdrop: “Higher for longer” stance continues, no FOMC imminent.
Core PCE June 27: upside surprise (2.7% YoY vs 2.6% expected) – USD supported, potential headwind for risk assets.
Pacific Region: ongoing tensions in Taiwan Strait and South China Sea:
- Increased military activity: air incursions, naval maneuvers.
- High risk of escalation flagged by defense analysts & social feeds.
- Risk sentiment: volatile – sudden events could trigger risk-off.
On-chain: Range 100–110k; weak spot volume; cautious leverage; no major sell-side imbalance.

__________________________________________________________________________________

Conclusion
➤ BTC maintains a controlled bullish bias > 106,480.
➤ Swing buy zones = 106,480 & 104,600; targets 109,950 / 110,600.
➤ Main risk: break < 102,626 = sell-off toward 99k.
➤ Monitor Core PCE and geopolitical risk in the Pacific region.

__________________________________________________________________________________

免責聲明

這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。