BTCUSDT Analysis Based on BTC.D, Total, and Total 2

2月18日

BTCUSDT Analysis Based on BTC.D, Total, and Total 2
In the crypto market, key metrics such as BTC Dominance (BTC.D), Total Market Cap (Total), and Altcoin Market Cap (Total 2) are highly interconnected. Analyzing them in isolation does not provide a complete picture of market trends. When Bitcoin (BTC) moves up or down, these indicators shift accordingly, reflecting capital flows and overall market sentiment.

🔑 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – The Key to Understanding Market Flow
📊 BTC.D represents Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap.

📈 When BTC.D is high → BTC dominates, and Altcoins may stay flat or decline.
📉 When BTC.D drops → Money flows into Altcoins, signaling a possible Altseason.
📌 Current Trend: BTC.D is moving between 60-61%, targeting 59.3% downward. This means BTC.D is in a correction and accumulation phase, and local BTC.D spikes may be SELL opportunities rather than bullish signals.

💰 Total Market Cap (Total) – Understanding Liquidity Trends
💵 Total reflects the overall capital in crypto.

📊 If Total increases → BTC.D determines whether money flows into BTC or Altcoins.
📉 If Total decreases → Altcoins suffer heavier losses than BTC.
📌 Current Trend: Total is sideways with a downward bias, fluctuating between $2.94T - $3.3T, with a target of $2.5T.

🔻 If BTC.D drops to 58%, BTC price could reach $75K before accumulation and reversal.

🚀 Total 2 – The Altcoin Market Perspective
📊 Total 2 excludes BTC, showing capital flow into Altcoins.

📉 Total 2 is also in a downtrend, mirroring BTC.D and Total.
📌 Currently: Moving within $1.07T - $1.34T, with a target of $900B.
⚠️ This signals that Altcoins are not yet ready for a major breakout.

📈 BTCUSDT Price Forecast
🔮 BTC’s projected path for the coming weeks:
1️⃣ BTC may reach $98.6K, then pull back to $88K.
2️⃣ Short-term recovery before further decline to $75K for accumulation.
3️⃣ If BTC.D and Total align, BTC could rally from $75K in the following months.

✅ Conclusion & Trading Strategy
🔹 BTC.D is decreasing, meaning BTC is losing dominance, but a strong Altseason is not imminent.
🔹 Total is downtrending, suggesting liquidity pressure.
🔹 Total 2 is weakening, signaling that Altcoins won’t see a major surge soon.
🔹 BTC likely drops to $75K before a strong recovery.

🎯 Trading Approach
📌 Monitor BTC at $75K for accumulation instead of expecting an immediate bullish continuation.
📌 Short-term traders can look for SELL setups when BTC.D spikes to local highs.

2月25日

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BTC 91k5