Possible BTC Path

Hello guys. This is my first idea. Ive been keeping this to my self for a while and it's been playing out so I taught to share.

If BTC breaks below that triangle , which has a support around $30,000 we are likely going to 26k
Once we loose that $22,496

I lean more on the bearish part of the whole market trend as we are somewhere around complacency on the market chat cycle.

I'm being cautious as this was how 2017 /2018 bear started and everybody taught they were buying cheap..