BTC 4H analysis up or down ?

HI friends ; BTC is growing in main ascending channel , but really is in a triangle that is a very important zone .
If ema100 could support the price , it will break out the tringle , otherwise it will fall to the ema200 support and in down the channel .
We might be ready for a damp ?
Are you agree with me ?
Happy new Iranian year .
thank you of your followings .