reasons for short: break/retest of horizontal S/R level 4 hour 50 ema third touch of the trend line 61.8% fib previous low is already broken and could be the sign of the next leg down.
TP at 200 EMA SL above 75% fib
Risks: previously rejected the 4 hour 200 EMA, therefore not going to push it further down. You could take the risk and push it to 95 pips