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CADJPY: Bearish Outlook as BOJ Stays Hawkish

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Hey Realistic Traders! BOJ’s Hawkish Stance, Will CADJPY Turn More Bearish? Let’s Dive into the Analysis...

Technical analysis

On the H4 timeframe, CAD/JPY has repeatedly tested the 200 EMA but struggled to stay above it for long, indicating a strong bearish trend. Even the latest price correction failed to break above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Afterward, the price formed a bearish rising wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. The MACD indicator also signaled a bearish crossover, reinforcing the likelihood of further downside.

Looking ahead, CAD/JPY could drop toward the first target at 101.505 and, if selling pressure persists, potentially reach the second target at 100.159. These levels align with previous price movements and key historical support zones.

However, this bearish outlook remains valid only if the price stays below the key stop-loss level at 105.133.

Market Sentiments

Japan’s Bank of Japan (BOJ) is keeping its short-term interest rate steady at 0.5% while monitoring domestic wage growth and rising food prices. If inflation continues to rise, the BOJ may increase rates, potentially to 0.75% or higher, which could strengthen the yen and potentially make the CADJPY going lower.

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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CAD/JPY"
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Impulsive lower trendline breakout, indicating strong downward pressure incoming

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