ChinaA50 - Blood on the streets already?
The Chinese stock market is not for everyone, however, could it be an opportunity to invest when others are fearful? I am putting this down for my own record so that I can look back a year from now to see if I'm right on this one.
There has been 3 rather major bear markets since Mr Xi Jinping came into power in 2013: a bear in 2015, 2018 and now 2021, is it a coincidence that the bulls are being reigned in about once every 3 years? Just an interesting observation.
After the latest curb on online educational companies which sent even more investors stampeding out of the Chinese markets last week ("throwing the baby out with the bathwater"), I am now seeing a confluence of supports right now where the China A50 chart tested the low last week(at ~14500) :
1. The current crash EF being the 100% projection of AB (the 2015 "crash")
2. 14500 is the 50% fib retracement of the major BE swing up (from low of 2105 to the peak in Feb 2021)
3. 14500-15000 zone is a long term resistence turned support area
4. a bullish divergence between Price and RSI is now forming on the monthly and weekly charts.
I suspect it is already bottoming at these levels though it may still be months before confidence can come back in for it to take off again (however watch out in 2024??). This is just for the sake of TA discussion. :)
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you. Do give me a thumbs up if you agree. Feel free to let me know what you think! :)
There has been 3 rather major bear markets since Mr Xi Jinping came into power in 2013: a bear in 2015, 2018 and now 2021, is it a coincidence that the bulls are being reigned in about once every 3 years? Just an interesting observation.
After the latest curb on online educational companies which sent even more investors stampeding out of the Chinese markets last week ("throwing the baby out with the bathwater"), I am now seeing a confluence of supports right now where the China A50 chart tested the low last week(at ~14500) :
1. The current crash EF being the 100% projection of AB (the 2015 "crash")
2. 14500 is the 50% fib retracement of the major BE swing up (from low of 2105 to the peak in Feb 2021)
3. 14500-15000 zone is a long term resistence turned support area
4. a bullish divergence between Price and RSI is now forming on the monthly and weekly charts.
I suspect it is already bottoming at these levels though it may still be months before confidence can come back in for it to take off again (however watch out in 2024??). This is just for the sake of TA discussion. :)
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you. Do give me a thumbs up if you agree. Feel free to let me know what you think! :)
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