CREDITACCESS GRAMEEN LTD – Weekly Chart Analysis

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📊 Summary:
CreditAccess Grameen has shown a strong recovery from the ₹800 zone and is forming a rounding bottom pattern, suggesting the potential start of a long-term uptrend. The long-term channel from 2020 remains valid, and price is gradually making its way toward the upper range.

🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Structure: Rounding bottom formation underway.

Long-term Channel: Price respects the long-term ascending channel from Covid lows.

Support Zone: ₹800 (historical support + 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of prior rally).

Resistance Zone: ₹1,200–₹1,400 (neckline of rounding bottom and mid-channel resistance).

Fibonacci Levels:

0.618 retracement held around ₹990.

1.618 extension projects a long-term target near ₹3,218.

RSI (14): Currently at 54.39, crossing above the RSI-based MA at 55.19. Indicates improving momentum.

Volume: Spike during bounce from ₹800 zone suggests institutional interest.

✅ Suggestions:
Investment View: Ideal for long-term accumulation. SL at ₹800 with a holding horizon of 2–3 years.

Breakout Watch: A sustained breakout above ₹1,250–₹1,300 with volume can confirm the rounding bottom breakout.

Target Projections:

Medium-Term: ₹1,450 – ₹1,600

Long-Term: ₹2,400 – ₹3,200 (Fibonacci extension zone)

Risk Management: Maintain SL at ₹800 on a weekly closing basis.

RSI Bullish Structure: RSI broke its own trendline resistance – a positive divergence signal.

⚠️ Key Risks / Cautions:
Price still below neckline resistance – watch for rejection near ₹1,250–₹1,300.

Market-wide volatility could affect near-term trend – stay focused on the broader channel and structure.

Avoid adding aggressively unless breakout is confirmed with volume.

📝 Conclusion:

CreditAccess Grameen is showing a classic long-term reversal setup with strong technical confluence at ₹800. A cup-with-handle structure is maturing. The stock could become a long-term compounder if it breaks out above the neckline. Accumulate gradually with a long-term view.

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