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$DBE brajkout and retest (4/5)

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AMEX:DBE   Invesco DB Energy Fund
Conviction: 4/5
potentially better entry lower around 14.25


General Thesis
  • breakout and retest of off long-term (2008) downward channel resistance
  • weekly RSI did not touch oversold, but seems to hold at historical turning point

Growth
N/A

Value
N/A

Fundamentals & Balance Sheet
  • low investment in energy production
  • unlikely to have high energy production in the future from "green" initiatives
  • inflation?

Potential Risks
  • could hug trend line down further, especially if following elliott wave (5 waves already completed)

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