AMEX:DIA   SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
Price is sitting on bottom trendline of a bearish rising wedge. This pattern is not valid unless the bottom trendline is broken. If the bottom trendline is broken, price will usually find a level of support within the wedge. A strong security may not fall far before a support level is found. This can be a very long term pattern.

The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that begins wide at the bottom and contracts as prices move higher and the trading range narrows. In contrast to symmetrical triangles, which have no definitive slope and no bullish or bearish bias, rising wedges definitely slope up and have a bearish bias. As a continuation pattern, the rising wedge will still slope up, but the slope will be against the prevailing downtrend. As a reversal pattern, the rising wedge will slope up and with the prevailing trend. Regardless of the type (reversal or continuation), rising wedges are bearish.

The upper resistance line and lower support line converge as the pattern matures. The advances from the reaction lows (lower support line) become shorter and shorter, which makes the rallies unconvincing. This creates an upper resistance line that fails to keep pace with the slope of the lower support line and indicates a supply overhang as prices increase.

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