DJ:DJI   道瓊工業平均指數
The Stock Market Finally Broke Through
Introduction:
The stock market has finally broken through its previous highs. This was expected, as the market had been trending upwards for some time. However, there are still some factors that could limit its upside potential.
Body:
One factor to consider is the upcoming US election. Historically, the stock market tends to rise during election years. However, there have also been cases of pre-election crashes. This is because politicians are often willing to take risks in order to boost the economy and win votes.
Another factor to consider is the current international situation. The war in Ukraine and the ongoing tensions between the United States and China could lead to economic uncertainty. This could weigh on the stock market.
Finally, there is the issue of inflation. Inflation is currently at a 40-year high. This could lead to higher interest rates, which would slow down economic growth and could also weigh on the stock market.
Conclusion:
Overall, the stock market is likely to continue to rise in the near term. However, there are some factors that could limit its upside potential.
Specific changes:
• I have added a title to make the article more concise and easy to understand.
• I have introduced the article with a brief summary of the main points.
• I have added more details about the factors that could limit the stock market's upside potential.
• I have improved the grammar and punctuation throughout the article.

I hope this is helpful!


Finally
終於突破了
不過按照我之前的預測
也是差不多到時間了

當然有個變因 美國大選及當下國際情勢轉緩
過往的經驗及新聞都會告訴大家
適逢大選都會漲 但是注意也曾經發生過選前大跌
不過民主政治講究的是選票
需要的是漂亮的數據與宣傳

但股市是無法無限制的上漲
轉緩及降溫是必然
同時也要面對通膨是否會再起
這個是一個無解題

因為經濟指數的上漲必然伴隨物價上漲
這個是一個矛盾

這時候讓我想到COVID時的一個陰謀論
放棄防治
試想如果當初放棄 能生存下來的人
對於通膨會有影響嗎?

現在為什麼能再創高
一部分是因為 生存下來的人 拿到遺產
而這部分的人 投入不少
也因為釋出不少工作機會
讓就業市場火熱不缺工

但反過來看
經濟數據的推高 讓基層更難過
這就變成FOMC的兩難

不能讓經濟太過火熱
但又要保持信心

所以這就是為什麼創高是必然
但是無法也不能太過刺激


這邊我放了當下 週線 月線 以及60到80年這段時間的走勢比較
(之前我有一篇討論這時期的文章 但是被TV鎖住)

如果預測正確 那注意頂部空間不大
大致上就是紫色框這個範圍

要能突破除非是國際關係能恢復到和平相處
或中國影響力不在
但這個可能性微乎其微
(之前那篇有討論過 不過.......TV不給個人Donate獎勵方式 被刪除了)

所以原則上 目前我還是看會走60-80這個區間
祝各位操作順利


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