Technicals: * Fib study done off the entire range * Price bounced back from the .382 fib also leaving one hell of a tail that eventually get eaten * Tail size approximately 33% * Many gaps especially on a 2 month chart * Histogram has made a LL * W%R has been heavily over bought and also embedded * RSI has had a bearish divergence in play since 1998 :O
Generally the market like to take back 50% of value in a recession and so far we've seen DJI take back around 38%. Going back to previous years of 2009 lost 54%, 2000 lost 39%, 1987 lost 41%, 1932 lost 89% so backed by historical data. My other concern is that it was left a very long tail and tails usually like to be eaten meaning filled in 91% of the time. I still think we have a few rough years to go.