Surprise to most investors
評論:
Shaky shaky this
評論:
Entering period for potential reversal and final upleg into later 1Q. Lots of US data later this week
評論:
There is a rising chance that DXY at best retests the high if not lower high after the expected reversal higher. February is very USD data heavy as we have FED meeting (no presser), FOMC minutes, and Yellen testimony (do not think is scheduled yet). I think later Feb is very suspicious for final high whether retest or lower high but will see
評論:
BTW, this downleg could also be leading diagonal so if yes, then lower high. Quite debatable
評論:
First green reversal candle
評論:
More volatile basing work here. FED tomorrow and NFP Friday
評論:
FED not exactly hawkish. At this stage only a very, very strong NFP Friday or risk off event could support the USD
評論:
Quite orderly decline so far, it is getting really stretched on the downside
評論:
There is a risk that the USD decline could spread over many years as this administration seems keen to support export oriented manufacturing base and gain advantage via FX. Trump seems like Nixon. So next several weeks appear to be critical for USD since USD top could come as early as this month via lower high
評論:
Clock is running on the last USD upleg underway, most likely few weeks
評論:
Weak, weak USD, countdown to FED 15 meeting
