This is one of those "too easy" setups.
Dollar reversed from bullish to bearish trend in January of 2017. Created a lower low on A-Leg. Retracing to the 0.618 of the fall for B-Leg. Now preparing for next big leg down, with a 20% decline.
The scary thing about this, is I do not see that actually being the stopping point for the dollar. That's just the technical location of it's fall. It is likely to do a little bounce there, but, resume the downtrend WAY deeper after that.
Timing is very difficult for this. It could take anywhere from a couple of months to several years to do this 20% decline.
Be mindful that a bull trap could be set, sending DXY up to around 99, the 70.2% retrace, before the fall occurs. Otherwise, the 61.8% retrace is totally acceptable as completing this wave.
Dollar reversed from bullish to bearish trend in January of 2017. Created a lower low on A-Leg. Retracing to the 0.618 of the fall for B-Leg. Now preparing for next big leg down, with a 20% decline.
The scary thing about this, is I do not see that actually being the stopping point for the dollar. That's just the technical location of it's fall. It is likely to do a little bounce there, but, resume the downtrend WAY deeper after that.
Timing is very difficult for this. It could take anywhere from a couple of months to several years to do this 20% decline.
Be mindful that a bull trap could be set, sending DXY up to around 99, the 70.2% retrace, before the fall occurs. Otherwise, the 61.8% retrace is totally acceptable as completing this wave.
註釋
DXY reached 98.69 today. As mentioned in this post on December 27th, 2018, 99.2 collapses it.註釋
The narrative is unfolding. Here we sit right at the .702, right where this prediction was made, over 9 months ago. And what has been going on? Overnight Repo liquidity injections at the tune of $100 Billion per night from the Fed, which started on September 16th. Free money printing to banks. Right at the .702. You think that's ironic? Money printing exactly at the .702? No. It's not. 免責聲明
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。