Juliac

S&P500 - neutral for now

CME_MINI:ES1!   標普500 E-mini期貨
I know there are a lot of fear out there now for a possible bear market this year. We had a severe plunge in the US markets that started on 5th Jan till it hit a near term bottom on 24th Jan, chopped around the low for a few days before making a strong rebound that lasted almost a week.

Since then the markets has started to loose some grounds again. However it looks like a bull flag is forming right now and there is a chance the market could continue to rebound further in the coming days.

Whether we are still in topping process remains to be seen, it could still be 3-6 months of flip flopping and huge volatility before the picture becomes clearer. However, with the 50day moving average still above the 200 day moving average for all 3 indices (ie we don't have a "death cross" yet), I will not be overly bearish just yet and may also look for short term long (or short) opportunities. I would prefer to stay nimble and shorter term for now.

Stay safe.

Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
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