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Ethereum - Good gamble opportunity

Stop around 379, target 465 - 495.

Currently at 422, still looks like an OK entry.

Descending triangle set up, it has broken out upwards, bounced off the upper line too. This can play out as drawn using Elliot waves.

I calculate >50% chance based on chart that it reaches my target level. I could be wrong though.
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Just had one of those 10 dollar drops in a matter of seconds.

Greedy fucks.

If you're following me I seriously suggest adjusting the stop loss higher and making it a break even play or maybe even setting it up to make sure you gain.
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Seems like it did play out close to my target, in a very different way, but I left the party early.
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A weird idea.
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Is this a reversal or a dead cat bounce? You tell me. Those arcs can be substitute for bear flag continuation patterns. Is this just a bounce?
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Bad shooting star spotted. It will close this way too. Not good. Target 395.
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This chart is being posted exactly 14 minutes after previous chart.

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