Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS)
Company Overview:
Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS) is an Egyptian logistics provider offering a wide range of professional and cost-effective logistic services. The company was established in 1973 and is listed on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Investment Highlights:
• Significant Undervaluation: Trading at EGP 5.90, below fair value of EGP 9.10 (54.2% upside)
• Exceptional Financial Strength: Low P/E ratio, strong profit margin, minimal debt
• Positive Technical Outlook: Bullish trend in Elliott Wave and Wyckoff analysis
• Favorable Risk-Reward Profile: Upside potential (54.2%) outweighs downside risks (15-20%)
• Strong Sector Outlook: Egyptian transportation and logistics sector projected to grow at 7% CAGR.
Fair Value Range
• Ostoul Securities Brokerag Conservative Fair Value: EGP 7.82 (+32.5% upside)
• DCF Fair Value: EGP 7.6 (+28.2% upside)
• Optimistic Fair Value: EGP 11.00 (+86.4% upside)
• Cairo Financial Holding Research Fair Value: EGP 9.5 (+61% upside)
Base Case on the above Fair Value: EGP 9.10 (+54.2% upside)
ETRS is Financial Health and is considered a strong investment opportunity based on
Fundamentals:
• Low P/E ratio of 4.17
• High profit margin of 30.83%
• ROE: 45.14%
• Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09
• EV/EBITDA: 4.06 (Undervalued)
• P/FCF: 23.02 (Suggests weaker cash flow compared to earnings)
Technical analysis:
Based on my analysis average accumulation price:4.30 EGP by Smart Money Holdings
According to Wyckoff theory, smart money typically begins distribution likely begin distribution in the 8.50-9.50 EGP range the price approaches fair value.
• Primary Support: 5.00-5.20 EGP (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: 4.80 EGP (entry point)
• Strong Support: 4.30-4.60 EGP (previous accumulation zone)
• Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave 5 Scenario: If in early Wave 5, we would expect a final push upward with a price target of approximately 7.50-9.00 EGP forecast Oct.2025
• Long-term (12+ months) target is +11.00 EGP
Company Overview:
Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS) is an Egyptian logistics provider offering a wide range of professional and cost-effective logistic services. The company was established in 1973 and is listed on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Investment Highlights:
• Significant Undervaluation: Trading at EGP 5.90, below fair value of EGP 9.10 (54.2% upside)
• Exceptional Financial Strength: Low P/E ratio, strong profit margin, minimal debt
• Positive Technical Outlook: Bullish trend in Elliott Wave and Wyckoff analysis
• Favorable Risk-Reward Profile: Upside potential (54.2%) outweighs downside risks (15-20%)
• Strong Sector Outlook: Egyptian transportation and logistics sector projected to grow at 7% CAGR.
Fair Value Range
• Ostoul Securities Brokerag Conservative Fair Value: EGP 7.82 (+32.5% upside)
• DCF Fair Value: EGP 7.6 (+28.2% upside)
• Optimistic Fair Value: EGP 11.00 (+86.4% upside)
• Cairo Financial Holding Research Fair Value: EGP 9.5 (+61% upside)
Base Case on the above Fair Value: EGP 9.10 (+54.2% upside)
ETRS is Financial Health and is considered a strong investment opportunity based on
Fundamentals:
• Low P/E ratio of 4.17
• High profit margin of 30.83%
• ROE: 45.14%
• Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09
• EV/EBITDA: 4.06 (Undervalued)
• P/FCF: 23.02 (Suggests weaker cash flow compared to earnings)
Technical analysis:
Based on my analysis average accumulation price:4.30 EGP by Smart Money Holdings
According to Wyckoff theory, smart money typically begins distribution likely begin distribution in the 8.50-9.50 EGP range the price approaches fair value.
• Primary Support: 5.00-5.20 EGP (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: 4.80 EGP (entry point)
• Strong Support: 4.30-4.60 EGP (previous accumulation zone)
• Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave 5 Scenario: If in early Wave 5, we would expect a final push upward with a price target of approximately 7.50-9.00 EGP forecast Oct.2025
• Long-term (12+ months) target is +11.00 EGP
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。